It was Kabete MP Paul Muite who first coined the term "the project" to describe Uhuru Kenyatta's candidature for the presidency in 2002. Now the majority of Kenyans believe that Nicholas Biwott is the new project for 2007 and was handpicked by the same person who picked Uhuru about 5 years ago.
In a KTN viewers sms poll last night a clear majority of well over 70 per cent indicated that they were certain that Biwott was a government project. (Or to put in the poetic language of one viewer, "Biwot is a total government project headed for total failure.") The real significance of this poll will be lost on many Kenyans so let me emphasize it. I will start by telling a popular joke that emerged from the 2002 general elections.
This rib-cracking, extremely funny joke commences with the question; in 2002, which Kenyan hero of the opposition did the most to unite the opposition (NPK, DP, Ford Kenya, Safina etc) when all else had failed? The answer is of course President Moi. And he did it by pushing Uhuru Kenyatta forward as his preferred successor.
It would seem that the same man has pulled it off again and united the vast majority of Kenyans behind ODM. By elevating Biwott to chairman of Kanu, Moi has caused many of the stanch Kibaki supporters to suddenly sit up and pay attention. Chances are high that their vote will now be anti-Biwott meaning that they will vote for the candidate opposed to Biwott's candidature.
It would seem that the self-proclaimed professor of politics has made yet another major blunder that will hand over easy victory to the opposition, or has he?
Many political analysts are now of the view that Moi anointed Uhuru knowing full well that there was a high possibility of his being defeated. However Moi was not worried because the way he had carefully played his cards, he was going to emerge the winner whichever of the two candidates won the elections. The Sunday Nation analysts poured a lot of ink on newsprint this week explaining how Kibaki was in fact Moi's first choice to succeed him and the former president sent many feelers in his direction. We are even told that there was actually a meeting that took place between the two. However everything seems to have fallen apart because Kibaki did not trust Moi. (Well at least that has changed now and Moi is today one of the President's most trusted advisors).
The Sunday Nation analysts go even further to give clear evidence to prove that whichever side the coin was going to fall in 2002, Moi was home and dry. This is in the fact that he completely ignored intelligence reports that clearly showed that Kanu and Uhuru were headed for defeat. It is said that this was the first time, Moi had ignored intelligence reports in his long tenure as president and especially after the failed 1982 coup.
Well, the stakes are much higher this time and if Moi was careful in 2002, this time he will be paranoid. (Have you noticed how Moi's political activity has dramatically increased as elections draw nearer). It is clear that the sharks are circling and closing in and Kenya's second president could easily lose everything and have his favorite son in prison for Goldenberg and other "sins" against the people of Kenya. Moi will go to any length (and I stress any length, even murder) to make sure that that does not happen and this is why Nick "executioner" Biwott is back.
There are a number of people who if elected as President in 2007, will not give Moi a single sleepless night. Here is the List;
1. Mwai Kibaki
2. Kalonzo Musyoka (running on ODM ticket. Still a very close friend of Moi's. Has publicly told the Kalenjin community that he will protect them from prosecution of elected president)
3. Musalia Mudavadi (running on ODM ticket. Said to be related to the former president. His mother is a sister to Moi.).
4. Uhuru Kenyatta (If Moi goes down for sins of the past, chances are high the Kenyatta family will also have to go down with him)
5. Mutula Kilonzo (still the President's lawyer. If Moi has a file on him, then one room is not enough to house it).
6. William Ruto (akiwa mgumu [if he is stubborn] Moi just needs to leak a little information about the YK92 – Youth For Kanu '92 organization. This organization single handedly impoverished millions of Kenyans overnight by flooding the Kenyan market with cartons of Kshs 500 notes, ushering in unprecedented hyper inflation that will take us decades to recover from – if we ever recover, that is.).
Here is the list of persons who according to Moi, must not be elected at all costs;
1. An outsider (a new clean broom that will emerge from nowhere according to prophecy, with no excess buggage, and no file in Moi's office of personal sins committed that can be used against them.)
2. ???????? (Name removed after my recent investigations. See explanation below. This person's name appearing here would seem to explain recent speculation that there are people who want to assassinate him.)
I have deliberately not put Raila Odinga's name on this second list because Moi has got too much on him. Besides he owes Moi a big one – the fact that he was not hanged for his involvement in the 1982 coup attempt when others who played much smaller roles are now with their maker. My very latest investigation has also unearthed evidence that Raila is fully aware (like many people in parliament today) of who killed former foreign minister Robert Ouko and the reason why. So Agwambo, (I know your people will read this and inform you) you are our hero and we are all looking up to you, especially due to the fact that of all the trash we have in Kenyan politics currently, you are the cleanest. Now, is Robert Ouko's gruesome murder not important enough? Is it not more important than any debt you may owe Moi? Please prove that you are different from the rest.
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Who was the main brain behind the 1982 attempted coup? We now know of Raila's involvement but to this day, it is not known who within Moi's government was the main mastermind behind the coup attempt. The sad thing is that many Kenyans lost their lives, some of them at the gallows, and countless innocent Kenya Airforce officers were dismissed from the service, court-martialed and jailed, yet the main mastermind never spent a single day in jail. You will find out who this mastermind was in this week's Kumekucha Confidential. Subscribe now and get it Free (to subscribe just send a blank email to kumekucha-subscribe@yahoogroups.com now). Subscribe now and beat the rapidly approaching deadline after which an annual subscription for new subscribers will be charged. Those who subscribe before then will never pay a single cent.
how come opion polls tell a different story
ReplyDeletehttp://www.opinionpower.com/Surveys/368043612.html
i will let you know that the issue of "bias" is a very important issue when it comes to polls . Anyone who has done a research methodology class will tell you that the 'measure of bias' is at the very core of opinion poll credibility . Any social scientist of repute will tell you that when sampling is done you have to consider Coverage bias,Response bias, Nonresponse bias,
ReplyDelete(people who are not social scientist like journalist should stick to what they do -reporting news and drawing cartoons not politicking and creating news)
LET ME TAKE YOU TO SCHOOL KIDOGO :
(EVEN if we assume that ktn can overcome bias as well as acquire the competent knowlege required to design an opinion poll) there are other issues such as Sample Size and Methodology that have to be addressed ( i think that was an sms poll) which raises other issues:
1.How many kenyans have cell phones in relation to population size of kenya?
2.Do all kenyans have cell phones ?
3.Is the use of cell phone ownership a true representative of all kenyans ?
4.Do all kenyans watch ktn ?
which brings me to the issue of demographics or demographic profile .what Demographic Window was ktn targetting and expecting responses from
So you see my raising ktn is a legit issue since polls are open to abuse by interviewer as well as other wide ranging factors that i will not go into.
in short the ktn poll reflects the views of ktn viewrs only not all kenyans! and even within the ktn viewers the issue of bias can not be dismissed .
THEREFORE TO STATE THAT MAJORITY OF KENYANS BELIEVE BIWOTT IS A GOVERNMENT PROJECT IS FALSE
That said you and have an intelligent day
Please, Raila should stay in opposition and keep on keeping the ruling party on its toes.
ReplyDeleteI would even pay him extra money if he could just stay in this opposition/troublemaker position.
Raila is part of the crowd. In the past he has come out an sanitized the dirtiest crooks just because they were in his team.
ReplyDeleteIt is less than a month ago when Raila came out to say that Moi owes him one because he saved his ass when the government was going after his (Moi's) properties.
"I came to Moi’s aid when the Government wanted to take away his houses and sue him over Goldenberg during my days as the Minister for Roads," Raila said.
http://www.eastandard.net/archives/sunday/hm_news/news.php?articleid=1143961640&date=26/11/2006
They are all rotten to the core!
RAILA NOT CORRUPT? PLEASE GET THE FACTS!
ReplyDeleteAs minister for Roads, Housing and Public Works, Raila participated in corruption.
Energem Kenya Limited, was licensed to "import refined oil products" and "bitumen for the Ministry of Roads", headed by Raila Odinga. It is the award of an exclusive contract to a company associated with the Odinga family by a ministry headed by a member of the same Odinga family that shows Raila is just as corrupt as them all. In fact, one could forgive a tribalist who gives preferrential deal to his tribemen (for at least the money would circulate in Kenya), but Raila is a imperialist stooge who IS READY to sell every piece of Kenya so long as he gets his 10%. We have seen yalas swamp (to americans), titanium (to canadians), lake victoria (to south african british). This is the worst kind of speciment of a slave dealer.
*Raila has a lot to explain regarding the molasses plant. In 1995/96, Rails went around the country collecting money allegedly to buy the molasses plant in kisumu which was being auctioned. He collected at least 4 milion shillings from luos in kenya and inthe diaspora. Now, what happened next? In March 2001, in exchnage for merging NDP with KANU, Moi gave raila the land free,
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Although the molasses plant was supposed to have been auctioned, the ministry’s brief raised questions on the transaction: "What appears to have been processed for sale is empty land and there is no record of how the physical infrastructure investment on the stalled project (was) sold and for how much."
"The land deal was a direct allocation to Spectre International and there is no indication of other offers being sourced in the absence of official valuation".
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He pocketed the 3million from Luos, and then in Feb 2003, sold the land and the plant to a foreigner at 122 mullion shillings. If this is not corruption, then I don't know what corruption is. But the most heinous crime of all, given the sate of the pathetic economic situation of the Luos-- is the sale of the land to a foreigner, and not just a any foreigner, but a known crook who is wanted both in Canada and US, and has perpetrated the murder and extermination of our African brothers and sisters, and plunder of our natural resourses. Raila is a heartless imperialist stooge, a conman out to use ethnic sentiment for personal gain. Luos are Raila's number one victims in his self-enrichment games.
*Odinga family accused of "grabbing" the land occupied by the molasses plant, "failing to pay for it" and later selling it to Canadian, notorious gun runner Amtonio Texeria.
*The value of the entire land measuring 112 hectares was put at Sh3,699,750. Twenty-three months later, Teixeira’s DiamondWorks, renamed Energem, acquired a controlling stake in Spectre International and paid $2 million (Sh160 million) for a stake in the Odinga family-owned enterprise.
*Raila's buddy Teixeira has been linked to Branch Energy and Executive Outcomes, two notorious private security-cum-paramilitary companies with a record of involvement in war wealth.
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Exposed: The new faces behind molasses plant
East African Standard
August 1, 2004
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The name Antonio Teixeira may not ring any bells in Kenya. But in international circles, the chairman of Energem Resources, which bought a 55 per cent stake in the Odinga family’s Spectre International –sends several alarms.
His entry into Kenya’s business circles is expected to raise eyebrows because of past business links with "mercenary" companies hired to protect mining companies in some of Africa’s bloodiest war zones, The Sunday Standard can exclusively report.
Four years ago, the South African Portuguese, also known as Tony Teixeira, was accused in the British Parliament of gun-running for Angola’s Unita rebels and for defying United Nations sanctions by supplying oil to the rebel movement.
Now questions are being raised about the controversial man behind a Canadian company that purchased the troubled Kisumu molasses plant from the Oginga Odinga family.
Teixeira has been linked to Branch Energy and Executive Outcomes, two notorious private security-cum-paramilitary companies with a record of involvement in war wealth.
Branch Energy, which had mining concessions in Sierra Leone, is 100 per cent owned by Teixeira’s Energem, is one of the pioneers in the provision of private security in return for mining concessions in war-torn nations. Executive Outcomes, on the other hand, was founded by a former Teixeira ally, Tony Buckingham, who recently sat on the board of Energem Resources.
Buckingham, a former South African soldier, was a member of the dreaded South African apartheid-era assassination squad, the 32nd Battalion, and was also behind the British mercenary company, Sandline, which in 1999 broke a UN arms embargo in Sierra Leone, allegedly with the backing of the British government.
Sandline, however, closed shop in April, this year, citing failure to get British support for its private military activities.
According to an Energem company profile obtained by the Sunday Standard, Teixeira’s newly registered company, Energem Kenya Limited, is licensed to "import refined oil products" and "bitumen for the Ministry of Roads", headed by Raila Odinga. It is the award of an exclusive contract to a company associated with the Odinga family by a ministry headed by a member of the same Odinga family that sparked the row over the acquisition of the Kisumu molasses plant last week.
But Teixeira is not new to controversy.
Last year, another of Teixeira’s companies, Trans Sahara Trading (TST), was stopped from supplying oil to Zambia by President Levy Mwanawasa, who cited "irregularities" in the award of the tender.
And now, Teixeira’s ownership of the Kisumu molasses plant has thrust him to the centre of another dispute only eight months after he announced that his company had acquired a controlling stake in the moribund ethanol plant.
Bondo MP Dr Oburu Odinga, who is also the chairman of East African Spectre, which partly owned Spectre International, says the family has "no interest" in the ethanol maker after pulling out last November.
The current storm was kicked up by newly appointed Urban Development assistant minister Maina Kamanda, who accused the Odinga family of "grabbing" the land occupied by the plant, "failing to pay for it" and later selling it to Canadians.
Official documents now indicate that the land in question was offered to Spectre International by the then Commissioner of Lands, Mr S.K Mwaita, in a letter dated January 11, 2001.
The value of the entire land measuring 112 hectares was put at Sh3,699,750. Twenty-three months later, Teixeira’s DiamondWorks, renamed Energem, acquired a controlling stake in Spectre International and paid $2 million (Sh160 million) for a stake in the Odinga family-owned enterprise.
But the molasses saga deepened further after the Ministry of Lands and Housing issued a brief this week saying there "is no record of official valuation of the property by the chief government valuer".
Although the molasses plant was supposed to have been auctioned, the ministry’s brief raised questions on the transaction: "What appears to have been processed for sale is empty land and there is no record of how the physical infrastructure investment on the stalled project (was) sold and for how much."
"The land deal was a direct allocation to Spectre International and there is no indication of other offers being sourced in the absence of official valuation".
Dr Oburu Odinga who sits on the board of Spectre International with his sister, Ruth, has denied any impropriety on the family’s part.
With the matter now being investigated by a Cabinet committee, Kenyans have not heard the last of the matter.
It seems curious that the offer of the molasses plant land was made to Spectre International some five days after the Raila’s National Development Party (NDP) entered into a partnership with then ruling party, Kanu.
Although Oburu denied that the Odinga family owns the molasses plant, he conceded that two family members sit on the board of Spectre International.
Texeira entered Kenya’s business world through one of his subsidiary companies, Petroplus Africa Limited, which concluded a memorandum of understanding with the National Oil Company of Kenya (NOCK) and a separate "hospitality agreement" with the state corporation, Kenya Petroleum Refining Ltd, Kenya Pipeline Company and NOCK’s Nairobi Terminal.
"These arrangements were entered into for purposes of enabling Petroplus’s entry into the Kenyan market and to facilitate its ability to undertake a review of the mid-stream oil industry in Kenya aimed at its modernisation and development," the company said in a statement in November last year.
Under the auspices of NOCK, Petroplus imported two trial shipments of oil products in April and May and was awarded its own oil importation and trading licence for Kenya in June 2003.
"The test results were positive and supported the decision by DiamondWorks (now Energem Resources) to acquire control through Spectre of the Kisumu ethanol plant," the company said.
That entry, we have established, came after another of Energem’s subsidiaries faced problems in the Zambian market where Teixeira reported "difficult trading conditions" in a statement he issued to shareholders in October last year.
Although Teixeira’s name has not featured in Kenya, the allegations of gun-running made in Britain that his operations in Angola, Sierra Leone and Liberia made a fortune out of blood diamonds is bound raise a lot of heat.
In its company profile, Energem Resources says it is "supplying bitumen and other products to the Roads and Energy ministries", an issue that could generate political heat in Kenya.
Texeira came to the board of DiamondWorks, now known as Energem Resources, in January 2000 when his Isle-of-Man registered company, Lyndhurst Limited, advanced $5 million to the ailing DiamondWorks. The loan was converted into shares.
But the company appears to have run into trouble with Canada’s Ontario Securities Commission, which stopped the board from sitting in April 2002 and accused its members of "failing to file financial statements" and to "disclose" the affairs of DiamondWorks.
The company immediately changed its name to Energem Resources.
http://www.eastandard.net/archives/august/sun01082004/intelligence/intel31070410.htm