Big Orange Shortage Predicted...

...But Once Again, Kibaki Strategists have Fooled Everybody

The way oranges are being distributed at public rallies to campaign for the “no” vote in the forthcoming referendum on the constitution, clearly points to a big shortage of this fruit soon.

Most Kenyans to whom an orange is usually a luxury that they cannot afford, are enjoying these “nutritious” rallies and there seems little doubt as to which direction the majority of the votes will go.

But before you start celebrating, many analysts have missed the clever strategy of Kibaki handlers.

It is now clear as day that the new government like the one before it, have no problem with the current constitution which turns the President into an all-powerful god. So they’ve created a new constitution that is not very different from the current one, knowing full well that whatever they did, they would be opposed. So the strategy is to use the opportunity to do a full dress rehearsal for the next elections. They are going all out for a win but even if they lose, they will still have actually won on two fronts.

(i) They will still have the beloved old constitution that makes them so powerful.
(ii) They get to find a strategy to win in 2007 from the valuable data they will gather from voting patterns.

So once again, Kenyans have been fooled…

Yes, it has been said that if the government loses the referendum, it will be political suicide. Those saying this have forgotten the Moi days where he went on to win two general elections after a massive opposition political rally in Nairobi that clearly showed public sentiment was heavily against Kanu.

Toss a coin.

If it falls on heads, Kibaki wins. If it falls on tails, Kenyans lose. That’s the referendum for you.