Majority of Kenyans are now waiting for one Kalonzo Musyoka to cause a split within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM-Kenya) and the big question is not why but when he will leave.
In recent weeks the former foreign affairs minister has been behaving very strangely from leaving crucial meetings in the middle and crying foul over nothing, even before the long awaited nominations for the presidential candidate have been done.
It is common knowledge that there is no way Kalonzo can beat Raila Odinga for the party nomination and the former has already started weighing his options after his expected exit from ODM soon after the party primary's expected mid this year.
These recent developments have only acted to fuel some bizarre rumours that have been doing the rounds within ODM-Kenya for sometime now. Could Musyoka and his lawyer bossom-buddy, Mutula Kilonzo be moles in ODM reporting to former president Moi? And by extention President Kibaki? One fact that has caused this rumor to refuse to go away is the fact that Mutula Kilonzo is still representing the former president in some very sensitive legal matters steming from the past.
For starters, Kalonzo will have very limited options after walking out of ODM which will include standing for the presidency as an independent candidate (he already has his own registered party—also called Orange Democratic Movemenet but without the "Kenya" at the end. Or he could join forces with president Kibaki to ensure his re-election. The former is unlikely as he does not have the financial capability to go it alone.
And again, Moi will be very interested in Kalonzo to do the spade work for him and ensure that Raila does not make it to State House—a recenet pet obsession of the former president.
Moi has never forgiven Raila for leading the rebellion in Kanu after Moi declared Uhuru Kenyatta the party's presidential candidate in the 2002 elections. It ruined his well laid plans and is one of the reasons why he has been forced out of retirement, even as his health starts showing signs of deteriorating.
Along with Kalonzo is his lawyer Mutula Kilonzo who is still Moi's advocate yet he holds considerable clout in ODM and sometimes serves as the party's spokesman and reads out press statements on behalf of the movement.
Kalonzo has never fallen out with Moi and usually defends the former president at every opportunity he gets. When Moi was involved in an automobile accident last year, it was Kalonzo who came out first asking the government to increase chase cars for the ex- president and enhance his security while traveling by road.
Moi and Kalonzo have always been good friends even after Kanu's defeat in 2002 and the former largely blamed Raila for Kanu's defeat and had nothing against those who ditched Kanu for NARC ahead of those elections.
Mutula owes everything he has to Moi. After being introduced to the former president by the then powerful Machakos Kanu branch chairman, the late Mulu Mutisya, Mutula made a fortune by not only being Moi's lawyer but by also representing parastatals like the National Social Security fund.
It is on record that Mutula made Sh 900 million for two jobs he did for the NSSF and did not pay any taxes on these fees. It is said that he now has an arrangement with the Kenya Revenue Authority which takes almost all his salary and allowances from parliament as he clears his tax arrears which accumulated during the Moi era.
Without Moi, Mutula could not be the multi millionaire that he is today and it goes without saying that the lawyer still takes instructions from the former president and this may just include reporting back to him about crucial decisions being taken by ODM.
The bizarre rumour within ODM-Kenya that has been heightened by the recent behaviour of Kalonzo claims that Mutula Kilonzo and Kalonzo Musyoka are moles in the opposition working for the former president. So could this be true? If we are a little patient the truth will soon emerge, but there are definitely enough signs of smoke here.
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