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Make no mistake about it, the stakes are pretty high on the approaching general elections. What this means is that money will be poured, and we have in fact already started seeing this.

In his article I will try and identify possible cash sources that will all add up to give us the most cash-rich election campaigns in the history of Kenya.

It all starts with the incumbent President Mwai Kibaki. The reluctant politician who looked so odd distributing cash and welcoming delegations in the run up to the infamous November referendum. President Kibaki is determined to avoid at all costs the dubious lable of being the first Kenyan president to serve only one term. This means that his campaign team will stop at nothing to see their candidate safely back in State House for another 5 years. Already we are now seeing "the vultures circling in anticipation." There have been reports of the formation of a Youth for Kibaki campaign lobby group in Luo Nyanza and right in Kisumu to be more exact. There is little doubt that many other so-called lobby groups will be formed before December and their main objective will be to "harvest" some of the campaign cash that will be raining close to the president. Don't ask where the cash will come from, because you will get the sort of answer that is not palatable. Let me just say that there are friends of the president whose interests will be best served by President Kibaki going back for another 5 year term. I dare not mention the billions in Anglo Leasing cash sitting in foreign accounts… waiting.

In Kenya, we now have royal families (not just one royal family like everybody else). We have the royal Kenyatta family, the royal Moi family and more recently the royal Kibaki family. The Kenyatta family has one of their own in contention for the presidency and Uhuru in fact stands an excellent chance of emerging as the ODM-Kenya candidate if thing continue in the direction they are heading at the moment. What this means is that the massive resources of the Kenyatta family will be "poured" in the bid to ensure that a Kenyatta occupies that coveted address along State House Road once again.

There are those who argue that the Kenyatta family wealth is greater than that of the Mi family. The reasoning here is that the vast tracts of grabbed land owned by the Kenyatta family has a cash value that is hard to match. Naturally the folks who argue like this are short of some vital information. They also forget that Moi was in power for 24 years while Kenyatta was president for only 15 years (most of which he spent drifting in and out of comas, as Duncan Ndegwa kindly revealed recently in his biography). People in comas can hardly see land and opportunity to grab.

What I am driving at is that for the first time since 1992, we will see some serious Moi family cash in these elections. The main objective is to secure the future of this royal family from any possible overzealous future regimes that may want to ask too many uncomfortable questions about the source of the family "treasures."

The Kibaki royal family will not need to spend any of their own money. Being the incumbent, there will be no shortage of good folks willing to do anything to be given an opportunity to pour their cash into this campaign.

The 1997 general elections was memorable in that Kenyans saw massive amounts of cash whose source was never really traced. But rumour had it that the Americans poured in massive amounts of money into Charity Ngilu's presidential campaign. Somebody at the CIA must have dug out the Philipines file and decided that Kenya was ripe for a "Corazon Aquino" move. That is the woman president who was swept into power by a people's revolution in that country that ousted dictator Ferdinand Marcos. Of course it all happened with a little er, ..help from the CIA.

This time round, the Americans are all over the place to ensure that Al Quieda cells in Eastern Africa do not take off, let alone thrive. This is what the Americans call a priority A1 issue. Meaning that no expense will be spared to achieve the objective. Naturally the Washington will be keen to get a government that is more American-friendly than the stubborn Kibaki government has been. And for the first time they will be working closely with London (keen to recover the billions lost in government contracts during the Kibaki tenure).

I will not go into other sources of serious cash like drug money, which has surprisingly risen dramatically in these shores during the Kibaki tenure. Don't ask me why because I have no idea why.

All in all, Kenyan voters should prepare for the heavy rains ahead. Heavy rains of campaign cash.

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2007 General Elections: Prepare For The Coming Heavy "Cash" Rain