Sunday, December 30, 2007

Kenya Can’t Be Allowed to go to The Dogs

Yesterday will go down in the country’s history as having been a tumultuous and tension-filled day. It was a day when all the citizens (and even hundreds of thousands of non-citizens who live in the country and abroad) were on edge, jittery and anxious.

This situation was extremely exacerbated by the late announcement of the president of the republic of Kenya in what could be termed as a circus of sorts. Only the National Broadcaster, KBC, was present to broadcast the announcement live to all and sundry as all other media outlets, both local and foreign, had been ‘bundled’ out of KICC. And even more disturbing was the fact that within an hour of the announcement, President Kibaki was sworn-in to serve a second term in office.

The ODM cried foul for, in their book, their presidential candidate Mr. Raila Amollo Odinga had won the elections and therefore was the one supposed to be sworn-in instead of Mr. Kibaki. For this reason they have made it clear, in black and white, that they don’t acknowledge the presidency of Kibaki.

To prove that they mean business, they have made it clear that they will organise their own swearing-in ceremony at Uhuru Park today.

As things stand right now, there has been untold suffering unleashed on the people who live in some parts of Western, Nyanza, Coast and Nairobi. Fears are almost tangible that this planned rally and swearing-in by ODM and Raila will not augur well for the Kenyan populace.

My take is that, if such a thought is allowed to blossom and become a flower then this country could as well be headed to anarchy and lawlessness of untold proportions.

Hon. Raila, there surely are other ways of championing your cause instead of letting it take this route. Sir, the lives of the people you very much want to protect (by becoming the president) are at stake here. Many have already been lost in the carnage that has erupted; please don’t stoke a fire that will be hard to put out. Steer clear of that hearth for the sake of innocent mothers, fathers, and children. Innocent Kenyans should not be caught in the cross fire that is more than likely to materialise.

Our great country should not go down the road that Somalia, Sudan and other such countries have trodden. The citizens of these countries come to our country to seek solace and refuge. We are a beacon of hope in this part of Africa; we are the hope of the people who live within our borders.

Kenya country should not be allowed to go to the dogs.

Kudos Chris, Phil

Kumekucha has proved itself once again as a leader as far as breaking news is concerned. Throughout the pre-election, election and post-election periods, Kumekucha has kept us informed on the happenings, events, counter-events, reactions, results, consequences and all that goes with news!!

All this has undauntedly been executed by the almost unflagging mettle of two great kumekucha sons; Chris and Phil. These two have helped us keep tabs on the historic events that have been unfolding in our great country.

Chris and Phil, we know this has taken a lot of sacrifice to accomplish. But your quest to inform has trounced all other reasons that would have made you renege on what your heart of hearts willed you. Kudos.

I am visibly happy that the order made by the Kenya government yesterday to media houses not to have live radio and TV broadcasts does not in any way affect blogs.

As we sojourn towards the Promised Land, Kumekucha espies the great daylight that is looming larger by the day in the horizon. Was that a bright flash in the plains? I can assure you, I saw something!

Let those keyboards sound the more as our fingers, here at Kumekucha, do the walking amid the rubble.

When we are pelted with the stones and bricks of snide and cynicism, we use them to build the mansions that we have all along wished to have. Catch the drift?

By the way, Happy 44th birthday, Chris.

Kumekucha’s Birthday

Friends, countrymen, Kenyans, today is December 31st 2007. On this day 4 hours before midnight in the year 1963 I was born. Ironically in Kisumu as my parents were traveling on a job transfer. In 1985 in the same city I met my dear wife. But I digress.

I celebrate my birthday today fighting using the “gift” the almighty gave me. And if it is true that the pen is mightier than the sword then it explains the rapid removal of press freedom instituted on Kenyans by a group of people that were rejected at the polls just a few days ago but insist on ruling us against our will.

Most people leaving comments at this blog are either working for a salary or doing it for fan. A very small percentage are genuine folks worried for their country. Am not joking and I am not paid any salary. In fact I have made many sacrifices to keep this blog going and I will continue to make them.

I fear nothing because I see no sense in living for 100 years as a chicken and prefer to live 50 as a lion. I have no interest in allowing a country full of injustices to be inherited by my children and grandchildren. That is why I started this blog and have been repeatedly warning Kenyans since May 2005 (just go back and read for yourself). Mostly I have been ignored. Today as I celebrate my 44th birthday my most treasured present is the captive audience and especially those genuine ones who will understand me a little more and what I have been saying here.

To those who claim that I am an inciter here is a simple question. Who is more of an inciter of violence Kumekucha or Mwai “stole the 2007 presidential elections” Kibaki?

Thanking you in advance for your sincere birthday wishes.

Heavy Gun Shot Fire In Kibera

Residents of High Rise estate in Nairobi have reported very heavy gun fire in Kibera which started at around 8 pm and is still going on as I type this 12:40 am Kenyan time 31st Dec 2007.

It is not immediately clear what is happening as numerous Kenyans whose only crime is not being a rich looter suffer and lose their lives.

I would like to appeal to every reader of this blog who can reach angry Kenyans everywhere to appeal to them to stop the violence. As has been quite rightly pointed here, the people suffering are the same people to whom this great injustice has been done. Peaceful protest is the way to go and we are yet to exhaust peaceful means of dealing with the illegal government of Mwai “stole the 2007 presidential elections” Kibaki.

Meanwhile I do not want to pass any hurried judgment but I am wondering what a sober Kenyan could be doing busy posting pro Kibaki comments here from a Kenyan IP address when most Kenyans at home are worried for their own personal security. Could they be doing it from a very safe place? (Get my drift?) With freedom fighters like Phil and others, I can understand.

At the moment I cannot verify rumors I have seen here in the comments section to the effect that ODM Pentagon members have been arrested. However I can confirm that operations are being directed by John “Standard Raid” Michuki and his colleague Njenga Karume who in fact wanted Raila arrested last Saturday.

ODM Refuses to Endorse Kibaki's Presidency

Kenya's leading opposition candidate, ODM's Raila Odinga, has this evening declared that he will not recognise the purported re-election of President Kibaki.

Instead, Raila has announced that his party has called a public rally scheduled for Uhuru Park at 2pm tomorrow 31st December 2007. This was annouced in a press conference at the ODM Presidential Campaign Centre in Upper Hill Nairobi where Raila also indicated that the rally was meant to show the world "who really was elected as Kenya's president" in the concluded polls.

It is instructive to note that Raila has on several occasions warned Kibaki and the PNU that the ODM shall not accept any poll rigging and should the PNU resort to manipulating the electoral process, it shall be met with greater and sustained resistance.

EU and AU observers, who were earlier manhandled and thrown out of KICC by armed paramilitary personnel, have already cast serious aspersions on the Kenyan electoral process, moreso because of Kivuitu's suspicious mode of declaring Kibaki as president and Kibaki's hurriedly arranged swearing-in ceremony. The election observer team, reputed to be the largest to be dispatched anywhere around the globe, fell short of endorsing the Raila presidency and it is suspected some of them may find their way to Uhuru Park tomorrow afternoon.

Without a (sworn) cabinet in place, Kibaki may be tempted to declare a state of emergency in order to bring the country to manageable level but this will paralyze social, economic and political activities. This will certainly not argur well for government parliamentary business for his fragile and battered coalition.

State Security Agents Invade Kumekucha Blog!

Dear Kenya,

Majority of THE ANONYMOUSES YOU SEE HERE posting comments today, especially in the last few hours after Kibaki was purportedly declared president and including our famous Deroo, are all NSIS or something close, trying as much as possible to masquerade as ODM/PNU supporters. We have IP addresses to back-up accusations. Dare to challenge me Derek?

Anonymouses are commenting and publishing pro and anti messages to torpedo ODM and confuse the world and innocent , patriotic Kenyans who are reading this blog and have done so for the last few years, but more because they have relied on this blog for the last few days for election updates.

These are the same fellows who mixed up and threatened Kivuitu, going as far as kidnapping members of Kivuitu's family so as coax him to read pre-typed results, then escort with armed guard to state house to hand over a pre-typed nomination certificate, with KBC and Citizen cameras in tow.

GOD IS WATCHING, and he will certainly not let down this mighty country - DEREK!

The Kenyan Dream and Mwai Kibaki's Re-election

When we got our independence in 1963, there was something leaders of the time liked to call The Kenya Dream and what a wonderful dream that was. Modern day politicians also talk about it, the loudest being those in the Orange Democratic Movement. The Kenyan Dream was essentially a victory against Poverty, Ignorance and Disease. While I agree there is more to good leadership than a fight against these three evils, the success of such a fight can form a sound basis for assessment of any regime. It therefore makes sense to analyze how Kibaki fared in this front and whether his performance played a role in his re-election.

There is a very interesting statistic that I kept hearing when I was coming through (probably when in fifth standard in 1992); that 56% of Kenyans live below the poverty line. Politicians like to quote these statistics to advance their cause but the truth is that Kenya’s poverty index used to be 56% in the ‘90s. Kibaki took over when it was 50% and he finished his first term when it was 46%. That is not a too shabby performance over five years in my opinion.

You cannot talk about poverty eradication without looking at the state of the economy. Mwai Kibaki’s government oversaw a period of high economic growth. Of course there are those who believe otherwise, but then we can’t all agree on all things. Angola, Ethiopia and Mozambique are the only African countries that recorded higher growth rates than Kenya in 2006/2007. When one considers what the ‘growth’ was five years ago, they cannot fail to appreciate the gains. There is an argument that Kenyan latter day economists like to advance that the trickle down effect is just not there. Any Poverty report says that poverty has reduced in the last five years. What then exactly do they mean when they say the average person does not feel the economic gains? Where do the people of Kenya take the money they used to pay primary school Development levies with? If people used to ‘fund raise’ to erect classrooms and village dispensaries, where are they taking that money today? The CDF was a good idea and the fact that the economy can support that without a sweat is good news to everyone. If healthcare is cheaper than it was six years ago, doesn’t that mean the Kenyan people are either saving money or spending on stuff they used to live without? It is just plain dishonest for anybody to claim that the economic growth statistics are a fabrication. What that basically means is that the government has made some strides in the war against poverty.

The War against ignorance; Mwai Kibaki’s administration’s biggest success story is the free primary education. Bill Clinton said in 2003 his biggest wish was to meet Mwai Kibaki and thank him for making elementary school education accessible to every Kenyan child. Since the introduction of the free primary school education, school enrolment rates have shot up. Many children were being locked out of school due to the high fees. Today, Kenya boasts the oldest primary school pupil in the world. He had stayed out of school for almost a century and in my opinion, there is no better way of proving that you are fighting ignorance than having an 80 year old man enroll in class one. It has been argued that the quality of education has been compromised but to be fair everything comes with some side effects. Even so, the deterioration of standards is yet to be proved because performance in the national exams has continued to improve every year. The country’s literacy level as well as general education attainment is something we are all proud of.

The last aspect of the Kenyan Dream is victory over disease. When Mwai Kibaki’s government came to power in 2003, the HIV prevalence rate was 14.2%. It was 6.7% in 2004. 6.1% in 2005, 5.9% in 2006 and 5.1% in 2007. These figures were given by Alloys Orago, the Director of National Aids Control Council in August this year. It would be very selfish for the government to claim solo credit for this decline, but no one can rule out their role either. The fact that HIV/AIDS victims can access ARVs at no cost in public hospitals is one of the biggest reasons for the decline. Healthcare is less costly than it was six years ago. The general health of Kenyans is better and that is why we are talking about a life expectancy of 55 up from 49. That means we are not doing badly in that front either.

I know that some of these statistics may not make sense to a lot of people, but honestly how else would you assess the country’s situation without looking at them? These were noble goals that our founding politicians set and Kibaki should be rightly proud for being in charge at a time when all indicators show a favorable trend. Americans did not think very highly of President Bill Clinton, but when they looked at statistics on unemployment rate, inflation, economic wellbeing, home ownership, and welfare roles, they started seriously considering him as one of the country’s five best presidents ever. When we ask ourselves what it is we expect a president to do, we will agree that it is to provide leadership on things that matter to the governed. When you report to a right thinking Kenyan that there is better business environment, there is more money in circulation which they can get if they work hard, healthcare is better accessible and more affordable and that their children are better educated than they were six years ago, you will definitely see them smile.

There are other areas of governance that must be assessed before passing a verdict on Kibaki’s regime. These include expansion of the democratic space to allow people of normal intelligence like Najib Balala to make fun of the president and his family. There are other things like his wife’s attempt at intimidating the press, the failure by his government to midwife the writing and adoption of a new constitutional dispensation acceptable to a majority of the people of Kenya and his war against corruption and insecurity. His performance in some of these aspects of governance was ‘outstanding’, ‘average’ on others and ‘outright failure’ in others.

After considering all these, I think it’s fair to give the president a general score of 6.5/10. That in my opinion is a score that merits some reward. It is not too bad if you ask me and I am sure some people considered some of these things when casting their vote.

“The World is full of willing people; some willing to work and others willing to let them.”

KIBAKI, Please Save Kenya!

Special Appeal

I am taking this chance to appeal you, Mr. Mwai Kibaki, in whose hands state power rests, to kindly seek Hon Raila Odinga's hand, consent and understanding, so as to come to a mutual agreement about the just concluded general elections.

Kenya is at the brink of disaster and you, Hon Kibaki, hold the key towards resolving this stand-off. Fortunately or unfortunately you are not the first nor the last president we shall have in this country. Kenyans are needlessly dying as I write this and I hope you will see the reason why they are dying. You may be aware that your victory, swearing-in, ban of a free press and now supposed "arrest" of Raila and members of the pentagon are all illegal and completely out of step with democracy and civilized world. Please consult Mr. Kivuiti, hopefully he is less tense and can advise you exactly what took place in the last three days. You will be shocked!

I am kindly asking you to talk to your opponent instead of being misled by those "generals" in your neighbourhood, majority of whom were rejected at the polls by the Kenyan people, and majority of whom have never cared for your presidency nor for the welfare of the people of Kenya.

PLEASE LISTEN TO US, SIR!

Thank You.
PS. I am an ODM supporter and I voted for Hon Raila in Langata in the 3-piece manner. It does not mean that YOU, Mwai Kibaki, are not my countryman and my former president. Like my party leader always says, USIONE SIMBA AMENYESHEWA UKADHANI NI PAKA, in other words..........

ODM: People's President Set To Be Sworn In Tommorow

ALL KENYANS ARE INVITED TO UHURU PARK AT 14H00, KENTA TIME (ie 2PM) - MONDAY 31st december 2007 - FOR THE SWEARING-IN AND INAUGURATION OF THE THE PEOPLE'S PRESIDENT , HON. RAILA AMOLO ODINGA

ORANGE DEMOCRATIC MOVEMENT
Nairobi, 30th December 2007
21h00 EAT

The Reason Why The Government Banned Live Broadcasts

The reason why the government has banned live broadcasts is because ODM has formed a parallel government since it does not recognize the fraudulent government of Mwai Kibaki. John Michuki got wind of it and quickly moved to ban all live broadcasts in a bid to nip this plan in the bud.

But what this means is that Kenyans cannot even receive news broadcasts because that is a live broadcast.

Freedom of speech and expression has with one directive been taken away from the people of Kenya.

Incidentally ODM plan a swearing in ceremony for its’ parallel government tomorrow at Uhuru Park at 2:00 pm.

P.S. Does Kibaki have grand children? Does he care about that favorite one of his? Is president Mwai "stole the 2007 Kenyan presidency" in full control of his mental facalties? Kumekucha doubts very much.

P.S. I gave Mwai Kibaki's new government 3 days. I have started counting...

Breaking News: Government BANS All Live Media Broadcasts

The Government of Kenya (sic) has banned all live news broadcasts with immediate effect.

Information PS, Bitange Ndemo, issued a statement a few moments ago indicating that the GoK has banned all live news broadcasts with immediate effect. Directive was issued by the Minister of Internal Security - obviously in anticipation of an ODM press conference due shortly, with regard to the Kivuitu circus and the Kibaki swearing in. Will a curfew be declared next?

All live press transmission by NTV, KTN and other independent media have been stopped.

Violence is getting worse in Mombasa, Kisumu and Eldoret, practically police have been overwhelmed all over the country.

Regrettably, No reasons whatsoever, were given for the government BAN.

Election observers, diplomats and the Kenyan public are now worried for the safety of ODM pentagon member and other independent bloggers like Kumekucha who has to keep moving to avoid security forces.

Mwai "Stole the 2007 Election" Kibaki Declares 31st Dec A Public Holiday

Kenyans have a chance to mourn quietly at home tomorrow (if that is practical) as Emilio Mwai "Stole the 2007 presidential election" Kibaki has declared December 31st a public holiday.

One would expect this kind of behaviour from young president like president Kabila of Congo rather than from this grandfather of almost 80 years old.

I keep repeating, I am happy that all those dreamers who imagined Kibai was a good man with bad advisors surrounding him, now know the truth. The truth shall set Kenya FREE.

Kenya On Fire: Innocent Kikuyus Murdered In Eldoret

Impeccable sources have just informed me that in Eldoret innocent Kikuyus are being dragged out of their houses and killed even as you read this.

Kibera is predictably on fire.

I need to move now.

Chaos In Mombasa As Kikuyu Shops Are Burnt To The Ground

Danlieve says that the situation is very tense in Mombasa. Shops belonging to Kikuyus are being burnt to the ground.

My source worries where they will run to. Some rich folks are headed towards Tanzania border.

Surely Mwai Kibaki, you can do something to save human life. Do the right thing, Sir.

Several Kumekuchans have fled Nairobi for unknown destinations. I am still trying to raise them on their cell phones. Networks jammed.

Great Injustice To Kenyan Voters

Notice how the results were carefully announced late in the day so that Kenyans sleep on it and cool off.

But will they?

Let us wait and see.

I will be very surprised if this presidency lasts 3 days.

I am now signing off for a long, long time.

P.S. I expect that a "bedroom swearing in" (Mwai Kibaki's own words about Moi's swearing in in 1997) will follow tomorrow. Correction I have just seen Emilio Mwai "Stole the election" Kibaki being sworn in on KBC TV. God help Kenya.

After Anglo Leasing, Kibaki Now Steals An Election Unintelligently

Notice how the results were carefully announced late in the day so that Kenyans sleep on it and cool off.

I am sick to the pit of my stomach at the way these elections have been so blatantly rigged and stolem on broad daylight. Rigging requires a little more intelligence than what the world has seen over the last two days in Kenya.

Those who did not know the true character of Mwai Kibaki now do. Moi was better because he handed over power peacefully.

I suppose a "bedroom swearing in" (to quote Kibaki's own words about Moi's swearing in in 1997) will follow tomorrow.

I am now signing off for a long long time because I need to move again.

P.S. Mwai Kibaki has just been shown on national TV (KBC) being sworn in "in the bedroom" in what appears to be State House.

Its A Disaster, a Major One

Kenya's Electoral Commission have undone years of struggle by declaring Mr. Mwai Kibaki as president.

It is unfortunate that Kivuitu as ECK Chairman was arm twisted into making illegal concessions and as such been seen as a party to the BIG FRAUD that has taken place in Nairobi a few minutes ago.

The ODM pentagon have left KICC without talking to the press, and I can assure Kumekuchans the fight has began and whatever happens next will be entirely attributed to the irresponsible Mr. Kivuiti.

Personally, I fail to understand how the ECK can acknowledge theft and at the same time advise the victims to seek legal redress in a court of law that is managed, prosecuted and judged by the robber.

Similar scenes (not so dramatic) were witnessed in Kenya in 1992 and to date, many Kenyans fail to understand what Kenneth Matiba is keeps complaining about and many young Kenyans dont understand who MOI is. Sadly and unfortunately for Mr. Kibaki and Mr. Moi and their ilk, ODM is not FORD Asili and Raila Odinga is no Kenneth Matiba. What happens next will disappoint a few people, but it will ensure prosperity, peace and development to future generations. It will be a disaster!

18h20 local time;

STOP PRESS: RIOTS HAVE ERUPTED COUNTRYWIDE, KIBAKI TO BE SWORN-IN SHORTLY IN STATE HOUSE - NAIROBI. ONLY CITIZEN MEDIA AND KBC TO AIR IT LIVE.

KIBERA, MATHARE, EASTLANDS, KISUMU, ARE NO GO AREAS. GOD HELP THIS COUNTRY.

CARS HOOTING ALL OVER NAIROBI, CROWDS INVADING POLICE STATIONS IN KISUMU. POLICE ARE OVERWHELMED IN KISUMU.

KENYA IS ON FIRE. CAN YOU GUYS KEEP SENDING E-MAILS SO CHRIS CAN POST THEM. WE MUST INFORM KIBAKI OF OUR FEELINGS EVEN IF HE IS PRESIDENT. PNU SUPPORTERS MUST ALSO SEND IN WHAT THEIR HONEST ASSESMENT RATHER THAN USUAL INSULTS. VIKII ESPECIALLY, CAN YOU GET SOBER COMMENTS/POSTS THROUGH?

Kenya's New President

1) Won only 2 provinces, one of them consists of only his own tribesmates.

2) Yet he ended up with more votes than his opponent who won 5 provinces very convincingly.

3) I am no ODMer but will somebody please explain this arithmetic to me?


It is time to pray very hard for our nation. In 2002 we assumed that it was us who achieved the peaceful transition. YET it was GOD. It is time for Kenyans to cry to God. Ask for forgiveness for our big sin. He is merciful and will correct this great injustice to the Kenyan people.

Imagine the man whom we put on the throne na roho safi has refused to leave State House even after we have rejected him en masse.

I have never liked Raila, but this is NOT about Raila. It is about the people of Kenya and how they voted. Our votes have been reduced to rubbish.

Breaking News: KIBAKI DECLARED PRESIDENT OF KENYA

Kivuiti is presently reading a statement declaring Kibaki president.

ECK RESULTS

KIBAKI: 4,584,721
RAILA 4,352,993
KALONZO: 879,903

KBC BROADCASTING THESE RESULTS LIVE.

KTN, NATION, K24 AND OTHER MEDIA NO AWARE.

ECK Announces Kibaki Winner

Samuel Kivuitu has just announced the official results for the presidential elections in Kenya 2007.

Mwai Kibaki 4,584,721
Raila Odinga 4,352,993

We told you so.

Appeal To Kenyan Voters From Kenyan Students In Costa Rica

Hi Editor,

I am a Kenyan student studying in Costa Rica. I am speaking on behalf of the Kenyans students here. We have been following the our country's elections keenly and it has dawned to us that Kibaki is rigging himself back. We strongly refuse to accept this. IT IS NOT JUST. THE PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN. Kibaki needs to accept it and let Raila the people's choice be the president.

Some piece of advice to Kivuitu: RESIGN !!! PERIOD.

I see a situation that Kibaki will be thrilled to rig himself in even after losing 3/4 of his allies. He has Kalonzo to entice.

In case of rigging , our best advice is to have Kenyans to bring the Country to a peaceful paralysis until justice is done.

Robert Lechipan

Kivuitu To Announce Results NOW

The ECK Commissioners are back and Kivuitu is about to announce results now.

There is chaos in the hall when a policeman attempted to eject an Nazleen Umar.

Kivuitu was in process of announcing results from last three constituencies showing Kibaki leading
in all those three constituencies.

Ruto interrupts Kivuitu after he reads Molo results, and the ECK returning officer for Molo is present in the hall. And figures are not tallying.

Keep it here. Time of reckoning is now.

A Time For True Kenyans To Stand Up And Be Counted

It would seem that part of the reason for the long delay in announcing the presidential elections is Samuel Kivuitu's refusal to announce the results because of certain issues his conscience will not allow him to go along with. He is reported to have been under intense pressure from fellow commissioners.

If it is true that these elections were rigged then there were Kenyans who were involved.

My advice to anybody involved in any way with the current events is;

DO THE RIGHT THING.

This Christmas I took time to reflect together with my dad on the life of a neighbor who did not DO the right thing during a long career with the Special Branch in the 70s and early 80s. Finally he could not live with his conscience and drunk himself to death.

Do the right thing. Say NO. RESIGN. That way you will be able to live with your conscience later.

It is clear that President Kibaki is not prepared to do the right thing. But this does not stop anybody in PNU from saying "NO" and doing the right thing.

This is a time to stand up and be counted as a true Kenyan.

ODM: ECK Announced Results for 48 Constituencies Without F16A

ECK put in a quagmire, as ODM demands certified documentary evidence

The ODM has just addressed a packed press conference indicating that presidential results from a total of 48 constituencies were doctored to favour President Kibaki. Interestingly, the press conference was held at the ECK press centre in the presence of their PNU counterparts - who listened wide-eyed!

The press statement read by Eldoret North MP elect and pentagon member - William Ruto - was to show that someone within the ECK headquarters in Nairobi has marked-up figures so as to deprive Kenyans of their true leaders. This complaint has already been formally filed with ECK yesterday.

For example, according to Ruto, Igembe South constituencies form16A - specifically flown in by chatter flight at the expense of ODM - shows that Kibaki garnered 45,029, while the ECK announced 60,050 votes! Similarly in Kieni constituency Kibaki garnered 54,377 while the ECK announced 72,054! What is shocking however, is that in Juja Kibaki garnered 48,293 votes but the ECK announced 100,390 votes and the sum total of parliamentary votes cast were 85,000 votes. In other words, 15,000 voters came and voted for Kibaki as president - and then walked away without bothering with parliamentary and civic polls! Mwea constituency is another example where form16A shows Kibaki garnered 62,374 votes but the ECK "awarded" him 82,374 votes, while in Molo it was actually 50,175 for Kibaki while the ECK gave him 74,474.

The ODM is saying, if elections were about awarding votes, ECK may as well give Kibaki 500,00 votes for free!

ODM has vowed that unless the ECK backs up its announcement with certified documentary evidence, ladies and gentlemen, this country is headed to the dogs.

ODM further insists that the figures they have tabled are in public domain. The press and all political parties have figures and any variance with ECK officially announced figures is unacceptable.

According to ODM tallying, and as reported by this blogger yesterday, the presidential election results between the top two candidates are as follows:-

Raila: 4,215,437
Kibaki: 3,748,261

Period!!!

Dr. Bishop Margaret Wanjiru has conducted very passionate prayers for the country after the ODM press conference.

Raila had earlier been interviewed by German TV channel - and Raila speaking in German - informed the country that all ODM agents have now arrived with the actual results that were signed by representatives of all political parties and have also this morning be made to swear affidavits.

The country Kenya is presently walking on thin ice and I ASK AGAIN: Will Kivuitu take my unsolicited advise and nullify presidential polls, if not confirm Raila as president?

Or did someone give Kivuitu a job that is far above his capabilities?

PNU are now about to address their own press conference at the same venue. Watch this space.

Kenya Elections 2007 Set To Go Down In History

All indications are that the ECK is about to announce President Kibaki the winner of the 2007 General elections. Somebody has given me a figure of 40,000. That is the margin Kibaki will allegedly win the presidency with.

Security is being beefed up all over the country and it seems to me that this is in readiness for this announcement.

It is believed that the President is strongly considering announcing Kalonzo Musyoka as his vice president and will form a colaition with ODM-K. Interestingly the ODM-K leader had a press conference earlier today where he appealed for calm and urged Kenyans to accept the election results. He is currently at the KICC ECK nerve centre with others waiting for Kivutu's verdict. Incidentally the Pentagon (ODM) is reported to have left KICC for an unknown destination.

Meanwhile PNU leaders have just held a press conference where Amos Kimunya, Musikari "lost his parliamentary seat" Kombo, and Kivutha "lost his parliamentary seat" Kibwana have accused their opponents of trying to intimidate the ECK and "doing everything possible to prevent them from announcing the results." The PNU leaders have appealed to Kenyans to accept the results.

The writing is clearly on the wall. All this is to prepare Kenyans for the announcement of a Kibaki win. A man who has lost so badly in at least 5 provinces is now set to rule Kenya. Interestingly the opposition in Moi days could not win because of the vast voter rich Rift Valley. Now the ECK may want us to believe later today that the Kikuyu vote with a little help from Meru and Embu can win the presidency.

I have travelled in many parts of the country and I can tell you that Kenyans do not need to be incited to say "NO" to a Kibaki win this time round. That is the truth. Let those who have stood with the president in his Kamikaze and suicidal decision be prepared to take responsibility for their actions and the consequences that are sure to follow.

God help Kenya, God have mercy on Kenya.

ECK To Anounce Kibaki

Swearing in at 2:30 pm?

Unconfirmed reports are persistent in indicating that the ECK is about to announce President Kibaki as the winner and that the swearing in will be at 2:30pm today.

So far I have been reluctant to believe these reports. However the situation has changed because I am now informed that the Kibaki administration stopped taking calls last night. That could only mean that they are not prepared to listen to reason and are probably planning to dig in and weather the storm. This is one time when I will be delighted and ecstatic to be proved wrong. I will celebrate for a week if I'm proved wrong and announce here how wrong I was.

Heavy Security Presence In Nairobi

Life in Nairobi seem to have come to a standstill. The busy commercial, tusker, accra and Ambassadeur areas look like ghost towns.

There are police officers, some in full military regalia and some on horseback in all corners of Nairobi. Public transport is absolutely paralyzed. The military is said to be on high alert and helicopters can be seen overflying important state institutions, like JKI Airport, KBC Studios, State House and the Department of Defence HQS in Milimani area. It is apparent that the security activities are being conducted by someone much higher than the Police Commissioner and that the ousted Kiambaa MP Njega Karume is sitting in the Defence Council meeting as the Minister of State for Defence.

Major supermarkets like Nakumatt, Uchumi and Tuskys are all closed for business, and only Uchumi Hyper at Sarit Centre is open for business - through half opened doors. This blogger just visited this supermarket and spoke to shoppers who have driven all the way from Limuru, Athi River and Embakasi. TV footage showed supermarkets in Kisumu being looted. Some reports said that Standard Chartered bank was invaded by demonstrators in Kisumu and bank tellers relieved of their till contents. The strong room thankfully, was not accessed.

As I type these lines (13h00 local time) the business community lead by industrialist Manu Chandaria has read a statement calling on political leaders to accept the results when they are announced by ECK. They are concerned about looting and violence particularly what damage this could cause to the tourism industry. Schools are due to re-open in one week and skirmishes will only hurt Kenyan children, they say. Business community say country is losing a whopping 2 billion Kenya shillings each day that the election impasse takes.

My opinion is democracy comes at a price. And this blogger also hopes that President Kibaki is reading this blog, and Derek - who say he is wired to PNU - will get some of the words expressed in this blog to the pwers that be in PNU.

Sources are telling this blogger that ECK commissioners have disagreed on the way forward. It is now 18 hours since they went in and although the counting is just about done, the Chairman has refused to be arm-twisted into making fraudulent declarations.

Stop Press: All Political Leaders Gather At KICC

As I write this, major political parties and their leaders are gathered at KICC waiting for Samuel Kivuitu to announce the winner of the Presidential election. No word has come from the ECK yet.

The leaders include Raila Odinga, Kalonzo Musyoka, Uhuru Kenyatta and generally anybody who is somebody in Kenyan politics.

Unconfirmed reports reaching this blogger claim that after night-long scrutiny the ECK have arrived at the following figures:

Raila: 4.8 million
Kibaki: 3.6 million

However PNU has strongly disagreed with this tally. They have however been challenged by Kivuitu to justify their claim.

Personally my view is that the ECK is waiting for instructions from State House. Those who know President Kibaki are well aware that he is a very slow decision maker and on many occasions prefers not to make any decisions at all and this is one of the reasons why the country is in the crisis it is in today.

International Powers Urge Kibaki To Resign

Impeccable sources have just informed me that President Kibaki is under immense pressure from the international community to resign the presidency. They have bluntly told him that they will not accept his victory or the government he may want to form as a legitimate one.

Major world powers are in no mood to have millions of Kenyans flocking into Western capitals seeking asylum and are extremely anxious that Kenya does not explode into another Sudan or Somalia.

However the radicals in the Kibaki regime will not want to let go of power that easily. For this reason it is expected that the announcement from the ECK will take a long time because the electoral body is receiving instructions directly from State House.

In my view, one good thing that is coming out of all this crisis is that Kenyans and the International community are getting to know President Kibaki's true character and moral standing. For a long time it has been assumed that the old man is wise and honorable and only gets into trouble because of some of the characters surrounding him. The world (including my Dad who still thinks Kibaki is a good man) are about to find out the terrible truth.

Kenyans handed over the reigns of power peacefully and in good faith to Kibaki some 5 years ago today. Now Emilio Stanley Mwai Kibaki does not seem to care how many Kenyans die as long as he remains in State House. I am happy that history will give a true judgement of the man. Interestingly Moi handed over power peacefully, so what is so special about Kibaki? Why is it that he wants this to be viewed as a tribal issue when it is clearly a very personal issue about the true character and patriotism of the man Mwai Kibaki?

Kenyans should not be cheated that the decision is in the hands of Samuel Kivuitu (the ECK chairman). The truth is that he is waiting for instructions from State House.

It is difficult to tell at this point whether an exit strategy is being worked out (Moi is said to be in Germany and it is quite possible that Kibaki could announce his resignation from outside Kenya, if common sense prevails) or the President will decide to dig in and fight to hang on to power.

We'll keep you posted.

P.S. Rumours have been flying from yesterday that the press were told to prepare for a quick swearing in of President Kibaki at State house for a second term early this morning, shortly after Kivuitu announces him the winner. My personal view is that this is just a rumour. If it is indeed true then Kenyans should brace for major blood shed if such a thing happens. I will provide a detailed analysis later of why my view and that of many observers is that this is not trouble that Maj Gen Hussein Ali can quell and keep under a control with a few threatening statements and heavy security presence countrywide. Nobody has enough security personnel to stop an idea whose time has come.

Saturday, December 29, 2007

Kenya Awaits Kivuitu's Verdict

Following the ugly skirmishes, angry protests and acrimonious exchanges on Saturday that resulted to the suspension of the announcement of results from Thursday’s General Election, the country wakes up today with even more anxiety on wanting to know who will be Kenya's president.

As at the time of suspension, only 38,000 votes separated the two leading presidential candidates with President Kibaki trailing his challenger. Observers feel that even after overnight negotiations, it is unlikely that the audit of all the 210 constituency elections files will yield some agreement between the PNU and ODM.

As a Kenyan citizen, I am an interested party in this saga. My unsolicited advise to Kivuitu and company is to order a repeat of the presidential poll; and in collaboration with the police and political parties, put in place a strict supervisory structure on the poll. This proposed repeat poll should NOT be a run-off, but a repeat of the poll only involving ALL registered presidential candidates. I am not sure about the logistics involved but in my opinion, the poll should take place within one week.

It is obvious that there was some fraud on the presidential poll as it is unbelievable that, with only a clear lead in one province and slight lead in another, President Kibaki IS AT PAR with Raila Odinga who has a clear lead in 5 other provinces including the vote rich Rift Valley, Nyanza and Western provinces.

The riots that rocked parts of the country on Saturday will get worse should Kivuitu be naive enough to declare Kibaki president notwithstanding electoral malpractices in Kibaki's stronghold areas.

As matters stand now, the law places all powers on the ECK and its Chairman - and as he was repeatedly informed yesterday, the fate of this country is in his hands.

Breaking News: ODM Poll Agents Reveal Actual Upper Eastern Province Results

21h20 local time, 29th December 2007

Presidential poll results announced by ECK earlier today in favour of President Kibaki differ greatly from what the ODM officials tallied in their own polling station count yesterday and today.

Journalists have apparently been able to assemble the accredited agents at a secret location in Meru town where these sensational revelations have been made.

For instance, they claim that the votes in Nithi constituency were actually 71,404 in favour of Kibaki but the ECK announced 95,693 at KICC this afternoon resulting to protests from those attending the press briefing.

The agents further add that the votes in Tigania West were 33,304, but the ECK announced 37,688. The story is the same in South Imenti where actual results were 56,144 in favour of Kibaki, but the ECK announced 75,441. Kibaki votes in Imenti South were actually 78,684 , yet the ECK announced 98,684!

Luckily, these announcements have now been halted before the ECK announced those from Imenti North which were actually 45,029. It goes without saying this was going to be marked-up by several thousand.

All political party representatives are mandated to sign FORM 16A to show their agreement for the results announced by the ECK Returning Officers at the polling stations. The ECK ROs also counter-sign the same form to endorse the counting. It is this FORM 16A that is considered as "certified results" which the main ECK head office uses to announce official results to the nation. Most of the results announced this afternoon WERE NOT on the basis of FORM 16A because ECK ROs were out of reach through out the night and the better part of today, strangely, having already filed civic and parliamentary results!

Not only are the individuals who doctored these results breaking the law, they are also depriving Kenyan people a fundamental democratic right.

According to the agents, some of whom were locked out of counting halls, they will not accept the ECK announced results because the figures are not only makred up, they seemingly do not tally with parliamentary and civic results. The highly intimidated agents reported the matter to the Meru OCPD but he was apparently unable to offer any help but asked the aggrieved agents not to "please cause for us any trouble in this area."

If these allegations are proven to be true by ECK, it will be a sad day for Kenya and a huge embarrassment for President Kibaki and the PNU.

The country goes to sleep tonight with plenty of anxiety.

Kibaki's remarkable come-back in catching up with ODM presidential candidate was evident as at the time there were about 70 presidential constituency results yet to be filed although parliamentary results were filed on 28th December 2007. At that time, the Kibaki was trailing the ODM candidate by more than one million votes and most of his cabinet ministers within and without Eastern and Central provinces had already been voted out.

ODM Agents from other disputed constituencies, especially Central province, have yet to surface.

Keep it Kumekucha.

Only 9 GNU Cabinet Ministers Re-Elected To Parliament

It is emerging now that out of 35 member strong of President Kibaki's so called Government of National Unity government, only 9 members have made it back to the August House following the 27th December 2007 general election.

They are:-
  1. Wilfred Machage
  2. Amos Kimunya
  3. Kiraitu Murungi
  4. Chirau Ali Mwakwere
  5. John Njoroge Michuki
  6. Noah Wekesa
  7. Soita Shitanda
  8. Mohammed Kuti
  9. Martha Karua
It therefore means, in the unlikely event that PNU wins the election, new faces like KANU's Uhuru Kenyatta and possibly ODM-K's Kalonzo Musyoka and Mutula Kilonzo may be named as full cabinet ministers.

However, Kibaki's government, even if it includes ODM-K and KANU members of parliament will have to contend with a minority in parliament because the latest MP's breakdown show the ODM has more than 96 MPs so far, against PNUs 35, ODM-K's 15 and KANU's 7. Whether a PNU government will conduct business smoothly. Other parties affiliated to PNU with seats won so far are Safina which has 9 seats and New FORD-K 2. Nationally, 21 seats have yet to be announced.

Nairobi, with eight constituencies has won 5 seats (Langata, Westlands, Embakasi, Kasarani, Starehe) while PNU has only won 1 seat (Dagoretti). The Kamkunji seat is hotly disputed and the ECK has announced the vote will have to be repeated.

ECK: Presidential Winner Will Be Announced Tomorrow

19h00 Saturday 29th December 2007

The ECK will announce Kenya's new president tomorrow (Sunday 30th December 2007).

This, according to Commissioner Tumwa, is to allow 29/30 December night for the ECK to verify all the 210 constituency files and announce the winner after reviewing all the files and ascertaining that the information therein is correct.

This is the decision of the ECK reached after deep consultation between the 21 commissioners and the Chairman. Each political party/presidential candidate will be allowed to have two agents together with the ECK commissioners during tonight's critical review sojourn.

It is not clear how the Kamukunji and Maragwa constituency files, which were rejected by the ECK earlier, will be reviewed or verified.

There seem to be a lot of animosity beween ODM and PNU although some media houses, like the Nation Media Group, have already started running peace campaigns in the TV stations.

Skirmishes, looting and violence have spread all over the country and unconfirmed reports reaching this blogger indicates several people have been killed while tens more are in hospital nursing injuries. People in Kibera and Mathare slums waved pangas and other crude weapons while others in the Nairobi CBD stoned cars, looted shops, lit huge bonfires and burned down informal settlement homes.

The US Ambassador was interviewed a few minutes ago and appealed to the political class to accept ECK results and reach out to their opponents so as to heal the country.

19h07: ECK press briefing ends with the above agreement. No further election results will be announced until the ECK and political party agents have audited the election results.

Any further developments shall be posted here.

ECK Press Briefing Turns Rowdy, Breaks Down

16h00 local time

This blogger just witnessed the ECK press briefing breaking down after agents (mostly from ODM) demanded that the ECK Chairman should come down and announce the winner of the presidential poll.

It seems the parliamentary results being announced are deemed to be a way of building President Kibaki's votes towards overtaking those of Raila Odinga.

This blogger is genuinely afraid for this country - and only Mr. Kivuitu can save this country at this point. His arrival at the press conference is awaited.

Updates coming.

Election Update: Progress On Kajiado North Vote Recount

Vote recount in Kajiado North constituency, represented by Education Minister and former Vice President Professor George Saitoti are on going and nearly completed.

The challenger Rev Moses Ole Sakuda of ODM is currently leading in the recount with 16,642 votes against Saitoti's (PNU) 15,590 votes.

Surprisingly, Kibaki is leading in the presidential vote with 16,542 against Raila's 15,595. The constituency has a total of 107,381 registered voters.

The winner will be known in the next few hours or so.

PNU Announce That Kibaki Has Won

PNU have just held a press conference where they have announced that according to their figures President Mwai Kibaki has retained the presidency after getting 4.5 million votes to Raila Odinga's 4.2 milion votes.

A number of PNU leaders including Amos Kimunya, Uhuru Kenyatta and Raphael Tuju held consultations briefly just before Noah Wekesa addressed the press. I know Wekesa well and he looked visibly shaken as he made this announcement.

This press conference was a big mistake as it clearly shows the world for the first time what State House is thinking. It is clear that the game plan here is to hang on to power at all costs.

Their plan will bring nothing but chaos and somebody needs to talk sense into them urgently. You cannot frustrate the will of the people. Not when Kenyans are in the mood they are in, as clearly displayed in the way they voted.

Kibaki's government is now starting to resemble the Kamikaze-type Pakistan government that seems to have had a hand in the assassination of former premier Benazir Bhuto recently as she campaigned ahead of the General election in that country on January 8th next year.

Kenyans have rejected Kibaki (apart from some from his own community and a few neighboring communities), the honorable thing is for him to go home in peace. Why must Kenyan lives be lost before he gets the message?

Election Update: EU & AU Observer Mission Urge Calm

The EU and AU observer teams are currently addressing a tension packed press conference in which they are urging calm to prevail "in this great country Kenya" even as skirmishes spread countrywide.

President Kibaki and some of his close ministers are holed up in State House Nairobi awaiting official results announcement by ECK. Raila Odinga's whereabouts are unknown.

The observers are urging restraint and stressing that kenyan citizens and their leaders whould learn to respect the law which in this instance mandates the ECK to undertake the counting and tallying of the votes before announcing the final winner(s).


The ECK are also investigating the sudden high voter turn-out in certain constituencies in Mt. Kenya region. They are concerned that the delay in releasing presidential results from these areas raised their interest, more so because the presidential votes appear to outstrip the sum-total of parliamentary and/or civic seats.

Questions are also being raised as to why tallying of votes was not done as is normally and commonly practiced. ie. Presidential, Parliamentary and Civic, in that order. Former ECK Vice Chairman - Gabriel Mukele - attributes this to pressure from politicians.

Raila Odinga: 4.356m
Mwai Kibaki: 4.009m

Votes still awaited from 21 constituencies. Kivuitu expected to announce results any time now.

Updates to follow.

Will Mutahi Ngunyi's Chilling Prediction On Kibaki Come True?

I hereby reproduce an article which we carried in Kumekucha more than a year ago.

Kindly note that this post has nothing to do with tribal opinions because Mr Ngunyi is a Kikuyu from Nyeri

Tuesday, April 04, 2006

Will President Kibaki Hand Over Power Peacefully?

When former Nation columnist Mutahi Ngunyi boldly said in one of his columns 2 years ago, that he did not think that President Kibaki was capable of handing over power peacefully in the event of losing elections, many people wrote Ngunyi off as an alarmist.

Now after recent disturbing developments, including the raid on the Standard newspapers and KTN media houses, it is clear that this is no longer such a far-fetched suggestion.

Ironically Mr Ngunyi is now working for the Kibaki administration.

What is probably even more disturbing are the powerful forces working around the President. These are the same forces that cancelled a scheduled meeting between Raila Odinga and President Kibaki after the two met at Safari Park Hotel and mutually agreed on such a meeting.

This meeting would have been for the better of Kenya and those who cancelled it had their individual needs (which hinge on President Kibaki remaining in power) at the topmost on their minds.

Despite some well-laid plans, a defeat for the President is almost certain bearing in mind recent opinion polls. So what happens if the president and his men refuse to hand over power peacefully? What would be the consequences especially when you consider the fact that the wounds created by the referendum of last November are yet to heal?


You can find the original post here;

http://kumekucha.blogspot.com/2006/04/will-president-kibaki-hand-over-power.html

Breaking News: Trouble In Mombasa

Report From Kakamega And Mombasa

I have just received the following two reports from Kumekuchans on the ground;

This first one I reproduce verbatim;

Hi kumekucha,

I have been following the latest stories of a chance of rigging in president Kibaki,
But the reaction here in Kakamega has started being violent with people chanting "Kibaki toka" and a fight between the police and the people, no business going on and the tension is very high as people follow the proceedings from KICC with more anxiety of the latest development.

Thats is what i can say for now.


Report from Mombasa

It is difficult to believe that the usually peaceful and quiet city of Mombasa has now degenerated into violence. A Kumekuchan on the ground (danlieve) informs me that he was caught in the city centre in widespread fracas and left the island on foot (he lives on the North Coast). For at least two hours there was no public transport operating anywhere in the city as riots have quickly spread across Kenya's second largest city.

The government's response to this is the usual (dealing with the symptom rather than the disease) my appeal to the President is that he acts quickly and averts disaster.

When a peaceful city like Mombasa has trouble...

Raila Has Won Presidential Race, Kumekucha Tally Clearly Shows

Even as ODM were holding a press conference to claim victory in the presidential race, my tally as I had indicated in an earlier post clearly shows a Raila victory.

Interestingly the ECK is still giving Kenyans stories about missing returning officers and switched off mobile phones to divert attention from the crux of the matter.

Back to my figures. Assuming an amazingly high average voter turn out countrywide of 60% from approx 14 million voters, that would give you a total vote count of 8.4 million votes meaning that as soon as Raila hit 4 million votes he should have been declared the winner. Available figures show that Raila has accumulated well over 4 million votes.

Having said that, the new ODM government must institute immediate investigations into the strange vote counts in some areas of the country in Western Kenya, Eastern Kenya and the Mount Kenya region so as to prevent any future government allies (including the incoming ODM government) from ever using the same tricks in future elections.

Kumekucha takes this opportunity to congratulate Raila Odinga on being elected the 4th president of Kenya. However while wishing him the best I would like to remind him lest the comfort of State House and the trappings of power make him forget; wembe ni ule ule.

Breaking News: ODM Claims Presidential Victory

ODM Presidential Candidate has won Kenya's presidential election according to a press conference addressed by Musalia Mudavadi.

As Samuel Kivuiti was reading the latest results at KICC earlier in the day, the ODM were addressing a press conference claiming victory.Official figures earlier released by ECK gave Raila
3,726,247 votes against Mwai Kibaki's 3,416,139 and Kalonzo Musyoka's 346,214 votes.

However, at an international press conference addressed by ODM presidential running mate Musalia Mudavida, the ODM said, "In view of the growing anxiety and restlessness in the country over the extended delay... we now call upon the outgoing president to acknowledge and respect the will of the Kenyan people and concede defeat." The press conference indicated that ODM's own independent tallying centres had established that Raila had received 4.2 million votes in his favour in comparison to Kibaki's 3.7million votes.

Further reading:

BBC Breaking News: Kenya Opposition Claims Victory

61 ECK Returning Officers Go Underground, Cellphones Switched Off!!!!

11h55 local time

Kivuitu says if balance results are not sent in immediately, ECK will have to announce what they have and ignore those individuals who are "sitting on results" of over 50 constituencies. Kivuitu is categorical that ECK will not wait forever!

The following constituencies have not filed their results with the ECK and a frustrated Kivuitu is threatening to declare Raila Odinga president as the whereabouts of its own Returning Officers is unknown.
  1. Kamukunji
  2. Makadara
  3. Dagoretti
  4. Embakasi
  5. Changamwe
  6. Kisauni
  7. Likoni
  8. Mvita
  9. Msambweni
  10. Kinango
  11. Bahari
  12. Magarini
  13. Garsen
  14. Ijaara
  15. Wajir North
  16. Wajir West
  17. Isiolo North
  18. Igembe
  19. Tigania West
  20. Tigania East
  21. North Imenti
  22. South Imenti
  23. Nithi
  24. Tharaka
  25. Mutito
  26. Kangundo
  27. Kathiani
  28. Mwala
  29. Mbooni
  30. Kilome
  31. Makueni
  32. Kibwezi
  33. Olkalaou
  34. Kiambaa
  35. Limuru
  36. Turkana North
  37. Turkana Central
  38. Kacheliba
  39. Kapenguria
  40. Baringo East
  41. Baringo Central
  42. Laikipia East
  43. Naivasha
  44. Nakuru Town
  45. Molo
  46. Kajiado North
  47. Sotik
  48. Buret
  49. Ainamoi
  50. Malava
  51. Emuhaya
  52. Kimilili
  53. Funyula
  54. Muhoroni
  55. Rangwe
  56. Ndhiwa
  57. South Mugirango
  58. Bomachoge
  59. Bobasi
  60. Nyaribari Chache
  61. Kitutu Chache
12h15 ECK press conference still on going, although Kivuitu leaves to go and pursue outstanding constituency presidential results. He says he is very disturbed!

Election Update: ECK Awaiting Results From More Than 30 Constituencies!

29th December 2007: 11h15 local time

The ECK Chairman - Samuel Kivuitu - is due to address a press briefing at KICC anytime now.

Meanwhile, independent media tallying have their provisional results are follows:

Raila Odinga: 4.049m
Mwai Kibaki: 3.678m
Kalonzo Musyoka: 661k

However, there are a total of 30 constituencies countrywide whose results are not yet in. The balance constituencies have a combined total registered voter of 2.4 million votes! They include 5 constituencies in coast province, 2 in Nairobi, 3 in North Eastern, 1 in Central, 8 in Eastern and others whose details this blogger is still trying to establish.

It is strange that parliamentary and civic results for these balance constituencies are already officially announced by ECK but the presidential tallies are "unknown" tot he ECK although all votes were counted at the same time by the respective Returning Officers.

Latest Briefs Elections 2007: Skirmishes Countrywide

Plus two corrupt men refuse to accept defeat from two young ambitious women heading to parliament

Skirmishes have now been reported in parts of Nairobi, Kisumu, Migori, Eldoret and Kakamega as the electoral commission has appealed for calm, claiming that they are trying their best to release the presidential election results as quickly as they can.

This should be a clear sign to those trying to "doctor" the results that Kenyans will not take it.

I am absolutely amazed at how some people are immune to grasping clear and very loud messages from the electorate. Imagine a situation where your point men (previously very popular) have all been rejected countrywide. Imagine a situation where your opponent already controls half of the total parliamentary seats and you still cannot sense the mood on the ground.

Even if Kibaki "wins" how will he rule? These are not the days of Moi and even then Moi did not have all tribes minus Mt. Kenya united against him.

P.S. Meanwhile after a tearful day yesterday being chased from the counting hall by riot police, Margaret Wanjiru is all smiles today as she has been announced the winner of the Starehe parliamentary seat. Kudos, Bishop. My great joy is that this means yet another woman in parliament.

Interestingly Mr K. Kaindi the immediate former MP of Kathiani (who distributed money in the mostly remote and poverty stricken constituency like there was no tomorrow) is like Maina Kamanda refusing to conmcede defeat in the hands of yet another woman, young and very attractive Wavinya Ndeti who has won the Kathiani seat with a huge majority.

Mr President, be careful that you do not face the direct wrath of the angry Kenyan voters, they are certainly in no mood for games.

Friday, December 28, 2007

Kibaki's Last Desperate Move...

...And It Will Cost Kenyan Lives

Two incidences of yesterday that many did not take note of to me spoke volumes.

At first I ignored information which I received to the effect that John Michuki had put the crack paramilitary GSU on red alert. Were they fearing excessive celebrations by ODM and Raila supporters, I wondered?

Then a daily newspaper reported about President Mwai Kibaki's strange remark. On being asked by a Foreign journalist whether he would concede defeat, he replied in Kiswahili; "Wacha kuniuliza swali ya upumbavu." (stop asking me a stupid question).

Today Kenyans woke up to some strange happenings. To start with most parliamentary results are in but the presidential results are NOT. Then I personally observed some very "strange" results trickling in from the Mount Kenya region. Unbelievable voter turn out and very high votes for the president, but they do not tally with the parliamentary results.

If he has his way, we are about to see a President whose point men countrywide have been strongly rejected by the electorate being declared president. I wonder how he will feel having been elected ONLY by his own tribe and their neighbors. But I guess some people's consciences get numb when they have power and they would care less.

The big problem is that Kenyans are not going to take it lying down. As I post this I am being told that there is tension and trouble and skirmishes in parts of Nairobi.

Sam Okello has written an open letter that portrays the feelings of millions of Kenyans countrywide.

For those who pray, now is the time to get on your knees and seek divine intervention because the truth is that the country is on the verge of blood-letting.

I have been travelling a lot and even now I am still travelling but I will keep you posted throughout the day, as long as I can find electricity or a Cyber cafe.

I still stand by my Kumekucha poll which gives ODM and Raila over 60% and based on this it is very clear to me that already President Kibaki has rigged and votes in parts of Western and Ukambani do not make sense to me. In fact my careful estimates show that even with the rigging Raila has won. The delay in announcing certain results could be a bid to adjust and tinker votes in certain areas. But according to my calculations the only way Kibaki can win is with a voter turn out of about 150%

Stay tuned to Kumekucha...

Phil and other Kumekuchans currently in Nairobi, what is the situation in the capital city? Please update readers as I seek my insider contacts.

P.S. Is this why so many new ECK commissioners were appointed by President Kibaki who even wanted to remove Kivuitu and replace him with his personal lawyer (the current ECK deputy)?

Open Letter To President Kibaki

Dear Mr President,

The time has come for you to save the nation. If you'll recall, the Electoral Commission of Kenya asked Kenyans to vote on the 27th, and Kenyans did so in unprecedented numbers. For all of us who love democracy and have worked hard to inculcate a sense of civic duty in our people, this has been a big win. I hope you share the joy of witnessing democracy take hold in Kenya.

After the voting, which the commission insisted had to be wound up by five o'clock on the 27th, vote-counting started in earnest. Within hours the fate of civic and parliamentary candidates across the nation was known. Indeed, you must be aware that some of your strongest supporters in the PNU were trounced by newcomers. What should distress you is that the electoral commission has seemingly allowed the vote-counting process to go on indefinitely. Does it make you wonder why the voting itself was restricted while the counting is open-ended? At what point will you realize that quashing the dreams of an entire nation is an impossible task?

Let me play out the scenarios for you. One, you could go out and concede defeat. What that does is...it makes you take your place as a true democrat, a man who believes in the rule of law and a patriot who puts the interest of Kenya above his own.

Two, you slow the counting in provinces where your people are in total control so that numbers can be tinkered with. What that does, Your Excellency, is it makes you close the gap with Hon. Odinga and may even lead to your narrow victory. But consider the consequences. For starters, your win will be illegitimate. Your government will be illegitimate. And you stand a good chance of facing a successful vote of no confidence in parliament. For a man of your stature, that would be the saddest end to a distinguished career.

And so, Mr. President, I call upon you to listen to the voices of the elders who've told you that it's not worth it. Listen to the wise men and women who've warned you that your government won't survive a ferocious Opposition in the new parliament. And listen to your own inner voice that's telling you to do the right thing.

Don't let the blood of innocent Kenyans be spilled in your name!

Kind regards,

Sam Okello
President & CEO
Sahel Books Inc.
P.o. Box 6451
South Bend IN, 46660-6451
USA
Phone: Toll Free: 1.877.297.2435
samokello@sahelpublishing.net
www.sahelpublishing.net

Election Update: Fears As Violence Breaks Out

Whole country on the edge as ECK delays announcement of presidential election result

As the ECK dilly-dallies with presidential ballot results, sporadic violence has broken out in parts of the country.

In Nairobi, cars are being stoned and occupants dragged out in kicks and blows at the Kangemi bridge as well as the Globe Cinema roundabout / Kirinyaga Road. It is instructive to note that these areas were previously perceived to be PNU strongholds (Starehe and Westlands) but have now been won by ODM candidates. Motorist and pedestrians are advised to avoid these areas.

This blogger regrettably predicts that it is a matter of time before the violence spreads to other areas across the country – which may force the police commissioner to impose a country-wide curfew if ECK delays announcing the presidential result further.

At the time of posting this (10h00 local time) violence has reportedly broken out in Kisumu (Kondele and Main Bus Park) areas with youth harassing motorist, especially PSV operators from Nairobi who are known to dominate the public transport in Western Kenya circuit. This blogger is also receiving reports of violence against certain communities in Kericho, Muhoroni, Chemelil, Sotik and Narok areas.

More on this as the story develops and the country await the ECK verdict.

Tension Builds As ECK Presidential Results Trickle In

29th December 2007: 08h30 local time

With ECK seemingly unable to provide presidential results sub-totals, unmistakable tension and anxiety is building not just at KICC ECK centre but also around the country even as independent media tallying give provisional results as follows:

Raila Odinga: 3.974m
Mwai Kibaki: 3,580m
Kalonzo Musyoka: 535k

Both Raila and President Kibaki have not been seen in public since they voted on 27th December and the ECK has had to postpone announcement of the final presidential results several times - despite the fact that ECK Chairman Samuel Kivuitu has promised to announce final results by this morning 08h00 local time. The ECK press briefing centre is now full of weary and exhausted journalists and party agents, some of whom have been camping there for more than 36 hours. TV footage has caught some international journalist, unfortunate not to have relievers, sprawled across seats in deep sleep.

ECK Commissioners Muturi Kigano and Jack Tumwa were early this morning put to task by ODM representatives at KICC to explain how they are unable to announce results that were released by various polling stations two days ago although they have already released parliamentary and civic results from the same areas. Matters are not helped by the fact that withheld presidential results are from areas perceived to be PNU strongholds and ODM is alluding that some manipulation could be on going.

The PNU on its part is sensing presidential victory and its representatives have had a few hot exchange of words with ODM representatives at KICC. There is a tight security around KICC and the dreaded paramilitary GSU have ring-fenced the venue in anticipation of social unrest.

Unconfirmed reports going round Nairobi indicates that PNU are planning to hijack the ODM and the country with "a George Bush in Florida" or "a Yar Adua in Abuja", but ODM pentagon members are categorical that Kenya is not USA nor Nigeria. According to Musa Sirma, a former MP and member of ODM Presidential Campaign team, "the ECK should accept to take full responsibility of whatever happens as a result of their delay is announcing results that are already in the public domain and that barricading the KICC will not help matters."

ODM insiders have privately informed this blogger that 6 independent tallying centres commissioned by the party show that the ODM Presidential Candidate is enjoying a comfortable and unassailable lead against the incumbent Mwai Kibaki.

Meanwhile, parliamentary seats won by individual parties so far are as follows:

ODM: 91
PNU: 12
ODM-K: 12
KANU: 7
Safina: 3
Ford: 3
Narc: 3

More updates later. Over to you Chris.

Is 2007 the new 2012?


Just one look at the election results pouring in from all corners of the country today and you would not be wrong if you came to the conclusion that the Kenyan voter decided to give smoking opium before elections a miss this year and instead went on one long overdue sober parliamentary cleaning spree
Since when did the voters card become such a weapon of straight-forward vengeance? The electorate dispensed blind justice on overfed overcooked political goose, sparing none except those birds whose tribal strongholds could not fathom the idea of what life would be like for them without "mweshimiwa" and their development record
These unfolding events of the past 36 hours days begs asking one question-was there a secret decision by Kenyans to make 2007 elections the new 2012 elections? Not only has there been an increase in the number of first-time women parliamentary aspirants, but it appears that the desire to replace many of the Lancaster House pre and post-independence names and faces is a reflection of the change Kenyans have been crying out and yearning for in their top-most leadership; public servants and officials who represent the hopes, wishes and aspirations of their constituents right down to a letter T
I will be watching closely for signs of the revolution that i thought would take at least another 5 years to hit our Indian Ocean bordering shores-is "democracy" and the ever-elusive "development" finally here for East Africa's largest economy?

All But One ODM Pentagon Members Re-elected Back to Parliament

As Kenya and the world anxiously await the final result of the presidential vote, the Orange Democractic Movement is smiling all the way to the 10th Parliament with members of the prestigious pentagon having been re-elected back to the august house. All but Joe Nyagah who lost to political rookie Mutava Musyimi. But this does not seem to stall the strong orange wave being seen countrywide.

Charity Kaluki Ngilu survived a strong ODM-K wave to emerge the winner while Raila, Mudavadi and Ruto registered landslide wins over their opponents. Ngilu's win is a strong statement to Kalonzo Musyoka and a prophecy of sorts by Ngilu herself who had promised weeping Ministry of Health workers that "she would be back" after she was sacked from cabinet by President Kibaki a few days after she endorsed the candidature of ODM's Raila Odinga.

Meanwhile Kibaki's allies outside the Mt. Kenya region continue to suffer the wrath of the electorate with eighteen of Kibaki's cabinet ministers having been voted out as at last count. Major PNU casualties within the Mt. Kenya region include Mutahi Kagwe, Njenga Karume and Daudi Mwiraria.