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Tuesday, December 27, 2005

"He Could Not make Desisions"

It seems that when Kenyans elected President Kibaki in 2002, nobody bothered to study the man and understand him. It seems the President has never changed.

Former Kibwezi MP Agnes Ndetei who ran away to the US in 1999 when things got both politicially and personally (family scandals) hot, recently sneaked back into the country. In an interview with a local daily, she revealed a fascinating aspect of the President's character that is now common knowledge. Excerpt from The Daily Nation 26th December 2005.

Q -You were once President Kibaki's deputy in the Democratic Party before defecting to Kanu. Had you stuck with him, perhaps today you would be in Parliament and in his government. Any regrets?

Agnes Ndetei: I don't live a life of regrets. What I did in 1995 (defecting to Kanu) was the right thing. I wanted to build the DP to greater heights, alongside Mr Kibaki. But we had a problem. He could not make decisions. He didn't seem to respond to our proposals on recruitment. I was accused of having ambitions to topple him and so I was frustrated.
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Saturday, December 17, 2005

It Isn’t Over Until The Fat Lady Sings, Raila Tells Kibaki

When former Roads Minister Raila Odinga speaks, Kenyans listen.

He now says that Kenyans should enjopy their Christmas and then prepare for two things early in the new year;

1) A major political announcement
2) Early General Elections, sometimes next year

What must be worrying President Kibaki’s handlers is that this battle-hardened warrior who cut his teeth fighting the solid, unshakeable Kanu regime of Moi in the one-party days when it was illegal to do so, should really have no major problem with the blundering Kibaki government now full of inexperienced cabinet ministers.

So what is Raila up to?

It becomes even more difficult to figure out what the (Orange Democratic Movement’s) ODM’s are really upto because as Raila was speaking in Nyanza this week, his LDP secretary Genral was reading from a different script in Nairobi. Joseph Kamotho said that they would fight the government through parliament and if that failed they would wait for 2007.

Raila and former planning Minister Prof Anyang’ Nyong’o on the other hand said that although the law allowed for a vote of no confidence in parliament, ODM had not discussed that strategy.

Does this mean that the ODM has an inner circle that Kamotho is not a member of? This is quite likely.

So if they are not using parliament what is the other option? Most probably it could be civil unrest and generally making Kenya ungovernable. This can be quite effective at the moment with so many Kenyans jobless and frustrated.

Still with the vast Presidential powers still intact, chances are that the Kibaki administration will somehow limp along until 2007. However, gains made will be hard to sell to the electorate when the elections finally come in 2007 mainly because the administration is bound to be busy putting out bush fires for the rest of their term. Which is exactly what the Raila camp wants to happen.

The truth is that the economy has rebounded dramatically and a number of good things like the free primary education have happened. The political reality is that the Kibaki administration is growing more unpopular by the day with advisors who are too old and still living in the old political realities of the 70s. Worst of all the Muthaiga Club golf-playing close confidants of the President hardly have the market-selling skills required to sell the Kibaki administration’s achievements to the people.
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Thursday, December 15, 2005

Is Kibaki Normal?

Newspaper headlines are an excellent way to read the public mood.

A tabloid-like weekly newspaper, The Weekly Citizen” splashed an interesting headline this week that is selling like hot cakes.

The headline;

"Is Kibaki Normal?"

Just goes to show you what’s on the minds of the wananchi.

Today’s email comment from our Nairobi political correspondent;


“According to Billow Kerrow (KANU shadow finance minister) the government will need 5 billion to cater for the new ministries created to appease Ngilu & Kombo.

I now agree with the Weekly Citizen headline: Is Kibaki normal?

Vendors are telling me:"… imeuza sana!"
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Saturday, December 10, 2005

Has Mutahi Kagwe Replaced Murungaru As The Man Closest To The President’s Ear?

The relatively inexperienced MP has achieved that enviable task of never serving as an assistant minister before being elevated to a full cabinet minister. (see earlier posts in this blog predicting his rise to the cabinet)

It is obvious that the President is making an effort to distance himself from his older “wazee” advisors who seem to have completely lost touch with the new realities of Kenyan politics. Kagwe found himself at the right place at the right time.

It was not lost on observers that after the swearing in ceremony at State House this week, the quotes that made the press were those of Chirau Mwakwere and Mutahi Kagwe who said the refusal to join the Cabinet by some MPs would not affect the Government.

Kagwe is quite intelligent and it must help that he is the son-in-law to powerful minister Michuki, but the crisis facing the Kibaki administration will be quite a challenge for him and the new cabinet his inexperience not withstanding.

Who Will Be The Next President Of Kenya?

…will it be the next “…. Tosha” from Raila?

They say that every President in the world passes through a major crisis after which history decides how his legacy will be judged. For the youthful John F. Kennedy it was the Cuban missile crisis.

But for President Kibaki, what will they say the crisis was about?

Referendum crisis, or perhaps Ministers-refusing-appointments crisis.

As the Kibaki crisis unfolds the thoughts on many Kenyan minds is who the next occupant of State House will be. A little pre-mature perhaps, but apparently according to ODM insiders, the ODM is an unstoppable express train. Destination, State House.

More details to follow in this blog.

The Untouchables of Kenya

...So That’s What Raila Meant By Political Tsunami

Kenya has a new breed of hero politicians who can do no wrong in the eyes of the public. No writer who wants Kenyan readers can dare say something evil about this new breed of untouchables. Never mind that just a few short months some of the characters now in the political grouping of the hour -- ODM (Orange Democratic Movement) were on the top of the public hate-list serving the last hours of Moi’s Kanu government. How political fortunes change. Who would have ever imagined that William Ruto and Gideon Moi would be the darling of the people barely 3 years into the Narc administration? Had those two gentlemen marched into Uhuru Park during President’s Kibaki’s wearing in ceremony as President, they would not have come out alive. Now at the same venue where his father was abused, booed, hurled mud at, the people cannot hear enough of what Gideon Moi has to say. “Na Mkai hivyo, hivyo.” Remain like that, Gideon quipped echoing his father’s favourite phrase and the crowd went wild with laughter and joy.

So Raila has proved yet again that he is a kingmaker. He always seems to be one step ahead of the banana team now scrambling about in State House begging people to accept cabinet positions. (What a laugh).

And this is what Raila meant when he said a couple of months ago that there was a political Tsunami coming to Kenya. Close aides of the President dismissed his remarks. Now I wonder what they have to say for themselves.

I am told that I am wrong. I am told that this Tsunami will lead to a snap poll, early next year and that the ODM will come to power.

Oh and about the Presidential candidate for ODM, I am told they already have a line-up. Details will follow.

Thursday, December 08, 2005

Can the Kibaki Administration Survive Until 2007?

Most Nairobians Don't Think So

Listening to Kenyans talking it would seem that the end of the Kibaki administration has come...

What Nairobians are Saying;

Comments received via email (excerpts) …..

"Kibaki has goofed yet again. He announces his cabinet at 8pm and by 10pm 8 asst. ministers have rejected the appointments. Of course Orange has been shut out as expected. Let us see if the Banana govt. will deliver."


"As for the cabinet, I pity Mwai. Anyone in Orange who joins the govt. should know they have dug their political grave. It is as simple as that. People are tired brother -- they know Kibaki is the last person who can lead us to the Promised Land.
We are now waiting to send Kibaki back home now. As predicted earlier, he will not make it to 2007. We are in a whole mess."

Can the Kibaki administration survive?

With the current constitution we see no reason why it should not.

The 3 cabinet ministers will be replaced and life will continue. Things may be a little difficult in parliament but mastering the numbers required for a vote of no-confidence is highly unlikely at this time. Those who will accept appointments will be enough to help defeat any such intentions (we seem to be back to the Moi tactics of survival). Then there is the long period between now and the time parliament meets again – probably in early March. Emotions will have cooled by then and reality will have set in. MPs have not paid off their loans and frankly nobody wants an election now.

But assuming that the Orange team were so eager to get Kibaki out of State House and that they managed to get a vote of no confidence passed in parliament. Immediately after there would be a huge problem in the Orange camp because of a simple question; Who would be the ODM's presidential candidate? Uhuru Kenyatta? Kalonzo Musyoka? Raila Odinga? Musalia Mudavadi? etc. etc.

Still it looks like it’s going to be a very difficult two years for the Kibaki administration until the next general elections slated for 2007.

3 Cabinet Ministers, 17 Assistant Ministers, Decline Appointments

So far 3 Cabinet Ministers and 17 Assistant Ministers Have declined to take up their appointments

The ministers are Charity Ngilu (Health), Musikari Kombo (Local Government) and Orwa Ojodeh (Environment and Natural Resources).

Assistant Ministers
Joseph Nkaissery, Samuel Moroto, David Sudi, Peter Odoyo, William Boit, David Were, Mwangi Kiunjuri, Paul Sang, Zaddock Syongo, Soita Shitanda, Paul Sang, Noah Wekesa, John Munyes, Moses Wetangula, Joseph Nyaga, Stephen Ole Ntutu and Kivutha Kibwana.

Mutahi Kagwe Joins Cabinet As Smoke Bellows From State House

As earlier predicted in this blog, Mutahi Kagwe joins the cabinet as Minister for Communications. Even as tensions mount with at least 3 ministers and 11 assistant ministers rejecting their appointments as per our last count. (details will be contained in a later post).

It will be interesting to see how the inexperienced ministers cut their teeth at a time when the President needs all the experience he can muster at cabinet level to weather political storms from the Orange Movement.

Some Kenyans on the ground are now saying that a snap election is surely unavoidable bearing in mind the latest developments.

Kibaki’s new cabinet

Moody Awori — Vice-President
Born in 1927 and first elected MP in 1983.

Kiraitu Murungi — Energy

Morris Dzoro — Tourism

Mukhisa Kituyi – Trade

John Michuki — Minister of State - Provincial Administration & National Security

Chirau Ali Mwakwere – Transport

Charity Ngilu – Health

Joseph Munyao – Livestock

Raphael Tuju – Foreign Affairs

Kipruto Kirwa – Agriculture

David Mwiraria — Finance

Martha Karua – Justice & Constitutional Affairs

George Saitoti – Education

Njenga Karume – Minister of State Special Projects

Amos Kimunya – Lands

Njeru Ndwiga – Co-operatives

Moses Akaranga – Public Service

Maina Kamanda – Sports & Gender

Mutua Katuku – Water

Mutahi Kagwe – Communications

Henry Obwocha – Planning

Dr Mohammed Kuti – Minister of State, Youth Affairs

Amos Wako – Attorney General

Newton Kulundu – Labour

John Kipsang Koech – East African Community

Orwa Ojodeh – Environment

Simeon Nyachae – Roads

Mohamud Abdi – Regional Development

Musikari Kombo – Local Government

Gideon Konchellah – Immigration

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Who Is Mutahi Kagwe? Will He Join The Cabinet?

Former newspaper marketing executive turned-entrepreneur, Mutahi Kagwe has been very busy over the last fortnight running errands for President Kibaki. Mostly sensitive negotiation tasks. Kagwe is the NAK MP for Mukurweini (neighboring President’s Kibaki Othaya constituency).

Look out for that name. Chances are high it will be one of the new ones in the new cabinet (most probably to replace Chris Murungaru).

Kagwe’s most interesting meeting was with opposition leader Uhuru Kenyatta at a Nairobi hotel. The meeting lasted almost 5 hours and ended shortly before midnight on Monday. It is unlikely that Kagwe was asking Kenyatta to join the Kibaki cabinet. Most probably the Kibaki team are interested in one of the KANU MPs from Rift Valley joining the cabinet. Most likely somebody like William Ruto.

The next few days should be fascinating…

Kibaki Cabinet Announcement Delayed As MP Rejects Cabinet Post

President Kibaki has missed the deadline he set for himself in announcing the new cabinet. It is widely believed that a cabinet minister from Kanu whom former President Moi himself had promised to deliver to Kibaki has rejected his appointment to the cabinet. That MP is believed to be the Kanu MP for Tinderet Henry Kosgey.

The new cabinet is expected to be announced in the next few hours.

This is further evidence that MPs are already thinking very hard about 2007 and their re-election bids then. And not Kenyans welfare and problems at the moment.

Kosgey seems to have bowed to the mounting pressure from Rift Valley against the Kibaki government.

MPs seem to have forgotten that a day is a long time in politics and 2007 is a long, long, long way off.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

The Terrible Truth About The Referendum

Now that the so-called referendum is over and temperatures have died down an anlaysis of the real situation – what everybody missed is in order.

Some spectacular sums of money were spent by both sides on the referendum. Where did the money come from? Nobody seems to be asking and yet this is so important that it is even more important than the referendum itself.

Why? Because sources of money reveal a lot and the source of huge sums of money that went to fund these campaigns will shock Kenyans.

The truth is that we Kenyans were used as mere pawns by politicians who had their own agenda. Mostly they were all thinking about 2007.

The reason why the orange campaign was so well funded was because of the following;

The proposed constitution was going to force investigations into past human rights abuses and political assassinations. In short all that grabbed land that has made some well know families so rich and all those people who died when they dared to try and say anything.

Have you asked yourself why the Orange team had such strong Kanu backing. Really, don’t buy what politicians say. Just ask yourself that question.

Again ask yourself the question who really rules Kenya? Why did Kibaki meet Moi. Forget the official reasons given.

Keep monitoring this blog over the next few days as we reveal to you the terrible truth. The truth which many Kenyans cannot handle.

Saturday, December 03, 2005

Kibaki's New Cabinet?

This email has been circulating over the last couple of days amongst Kenyans worldwide and it is claimed that it is a leaked cabinet line-up. List looks very convincing, but let's wait and see shall we?



Kibaki's Cabinet: Full List
>


> 1-Ministers Of State
>
> Minister of State for Public Service- Hon. Joseph Nkaisserry
>
> · Assistant Minister-Hon. Robinson Githae
>
>
>
> 2-Minister of State for Provincial Administration and National
> Security - Hon. Dr. Newton Kulundu
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Peter Keneth
>
>
>
> 3-Minister of State for Immigration and Registration of Persons - Hon.
> Eric Nyamunga
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Gideon Konchella
>
>
>
> 4-Office of the Vice President and Ministry of Home Affairs Vice
> President
> - Hon. Moody Awori
>
> · Assistant Minister - Hon. Mirugi Kariuki
>
>
>
> 5-Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries Development - Hon.
> Kipruto Kirwa
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Soita Shitanda
>
>
>
> 6-Ministry of East African and Regional Cooperation - Hon. Morris
> Dzoro
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Moses Akaranga
>
>
>
> 7-Ministry of Education, Science and Technology - Hon. Prof. George
> Saitoti
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Beth Mugo
>
>
>
> 8-Ministry of Energy - Hon. Joseph Munyao
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Annaniah Mwaboza
>
>
>
> 9-Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources - Hon. Wangari Maathai
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Joseph Kingi
>
>
>
> 10-Ministry of Finance, Planning and National Development - Hon.
> Simeon Nyachae
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Kilemi Mwiria
>
>
>
> 11-Ministry of Foreign Affairs - Hon. Raphael Tuju
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Henry Obwocha
>
>
>
> 12-Ministry of Sports, Culture and Social Services - Hon John Munyes
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Mwangi Kiunjuri
>
>
>
> 13-Ministry of Health - Hon. Dr.Wilfred Machage
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Ahmed Khalif,
>
>
>
> 14-Ministry of Information and Communication - Hon. Kipkorir Sang
>
> · Assistant Minister-Hon. Suleiman Shakombo
>
>
>
> 15-Ministry of Justice and Constitutional Affairs - Hon. Martha Karua
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Moses Wetangula
>
>
>
> 16-Ministry of Labour and Human Resource Development - Hon. Musikari
> Kombo
>
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Dr. Mohammed Kuti
>
>
>
> 17-Ministry of Lands and Housing - Hon. Prof. Kivutha Kibwana
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Kirugi M'Mukindia
>
>
>
> 18-Ministry of Co-operative Development and Marketing - Hon. Peter
> Odoyo
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Stephen Tarus
>
>
>
> 19-Ministry of Local Government and Regional Development Authorities -
> Hon. Danson Mungatana
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. George Khaniri
>
>
>
> 20-Ministry of Roads and Public Works - Hon. Charity Ngilu
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Petkay Miriti
>
>
>
> 21-Ministry of Tourism and Wildlife - Hon. Chirau Mwakwere
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Asman Kamama
>
>
>
> 22-Ministry of Trade and Industry - Dr. Mukhisa Kituyi,
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Zadock Syongo
>
>
>
> 23-Ministry of Transport - Hon. John Michuki
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. John Katuku
>
>
>
> 24-Ministry of Water - Hon. Joshua Toro
>
> · Assistant Minister- Hon. Andrew Ligale
>
>
> MISSING IN ACTION

LDP / ODM LUMINARIES

Raila Amollo Odinga
Najib Balala
Achillo Ayacko
Lina Jebii Kilimo
William Ole Ntimama
Prof. Anyang Nyong'o
Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka


BANANA CAMP LUMINARIES

Kiraitu Murungi
Dr. Chris Ndarathi Murungaru
John Koech
Amos Kimunya
Njeru Ndwiga

Friday, November 25, 2005

The Boldest Move in President Kibaki’s Long Illustrious Fence-Sitting Political Career: What The Press Missed

The Kenyan press is referring to the Wednesday sacking of the entire cabinet by President Kibaki as the President’s boldest move ever in his long political career.

Then there are all sorts of analysis about what he is bound to do next. Most of it seems to be ignorant of the following facts:

# President Kibaki is still in the heady 70s when he was in the Kenyatta cabinet and is yet to wake up to the new political realities in Kenya. Moi seems to have been faster at reacting and re-engineering himself. Every day the former President’s political skills become more evident as the blundering Kibaki regime makes mistake after mistake. Moi despite the problems he sunk Kenyans into (record corruption, looting of public funds etc. is making the African comeback of the century as far as his image is concerned). This should not be happening. Moi said the draft constitution was “not good” voters responded on Monday. Next he may name the next President of Kenya and this time, Kenyan voters may just respond and heed the mzee’s advice.

# President Kibaki has not been governing like he expects to seek re-election. Monday’s vote more than anything else was a vote against the President. So does he make things better by sacking the entire cabinet? In my opinion this is the wrong move. He has attracted attention to himself at a time when the Orange team is riding high. In other words he has gotten rid of all other possible fall guys and left his neck as the only one on the line. His advisors’ seem to have set him up for yet another showdown that he is unlikely to win.

# The last time the entire opposition united against the KANU regime, they succeeded. This time the entire opposition has united against a President with no strong party support of his own in the grassroots. You predict what is bound to happen.

# Is the Orange coalition ready for a snap general election? Maybe we should ask that question in another way. Is President Kibaki ready to face voters in a snap General election? In my opinion neither of the parties is. Orange is riding high but will crumble the minute they have to choose a single Presidential candidate. It will be hard to agree, especially with the bitter memories of the failed Kibaki memorandum of understanding still so fresh in the mind. Going into a snap election the banana group will have no such problems, however the public mood (at least amongst 3.5 million valuable votes) at the moment is such that they would really need a big excuse to change their minds and vote banana or Kibaki.

# What President Kibaki needs to understand is that perception is more important than the truth. He also needs somebody to sell his substantial achievements so far. Top of the list is an economy that is rebounding and recovering admirably (when was the last time Kenya came anywhere near 6% GDP growth?). Second the President has pushed forward a more equitable distribution of resources countrywide through the Constituency Development Fund that will have a very positive impact on the country for years to come. Thirdly and top of my personal list is the free primary education program. At the moment the best salesperson close to the President is Lucy Kibaki, but she’s very limited by virtue of her position as the President’s wife.

Moi had the Kamothos and the Shariff Nassir’s who did a marvelous job selling the achievements of Kanu and the Robert Ouko’s abroad. Who does Kibaki have? I don’t see anybody capable of selling anything to their own wives, let alone the Kenyan public, anywhere near the President. Maybe Raphael Tuju?

Actually if truth be told, this is just not the President’s style. He’d have done better as a politician in the UK… maybe.

Wednesday, November 23, 2005

What Kenyans Are Saying About The Resounding Orange Victory And The "Hutus" of Kenya

It has been a gruelling path to victory.

”… when we told people to move to higher ground to survive the tsunami-they thot we were joking” quipped Raila.

When Kajwang shouted “we are the people!” they said we were starting a revolution. We asked them to sit down and discuss the issues, they said no-the people have decided. They became abusive and threats followed. But we kept our cool.

As results started trickling in at 10.00pm on Monday, it was an anti-climax of sorts. Calls to Banana leading lights and their supporters went unanswered. As the Kikuyu of central Kenya and parts of rift valley were “voting for their tribesman”, the rest of the country was rejecting the draft. When President Kibaki voted that morning, he assured his constituents they had won the referendum. At around the same time, the Nairobi P.P.O. was ensuring the G.S.U. platoon had set up camp at uhuru park(venue of the planned sit-in if Kibaki rigged the exercise).

At 3.15 am panic gripped the orange side when results from mt.kenya and parts of the settled rift valley started coming through. The Merus have been rewarded by this regime and they turned up 95% to vote. At 4.45am the ukambani figures came through and the celebrations started. It seems that the Kambas always hold the tilt vote.

The message was clear: Kikuyu voted for their man-not the document. Despite their high literacy levels, they went round cheating Kenyans the draft was good (they now admit they never read it).

As we start the healing process, we feel content that the Hutus of Kenya now understand that Kenya iko na wenyewe!


Now the struggle for a new constitution continues. Aluta Continua.

This came in from our main correspondent on the ground covering Nairobi and eastern province.

The views of this blog remain the same. And that is the docuent rejected by Kenyans on Monday gave the country the best chance for a fresh start -- the opportunity has now been lost.

However we are delighted that an Orange vistory was the best thing that could have happened for Kenya because it defeated the ugly head of tribalism that in recent months has been rearing it's ugly head once again.

Congratulations all you orange supporters who read this blog. Let us agree to disagree without emotions and violence. That is democracy.

Tuesday, November 22, 2005

President Kibaki's Think Tank Wins

Contrary to our analysis, the Orange team prevailed and reminded us of an earlier analysis in this blog where we said that the President was in a tails-I-win-heads-you-lose situation. In simpler language, as far as the referendum was concerned, he was in a win, win situation.

Had the bananas carried the day, the President would have been slightly less powerful but the important thing was that it gave the country the best chance to change things. Now that opportunity has been lost, and the President still retains his powers.

The constitutional review process is now legally over and the country will continue to be governed by an all-powerful presidency. One wonders what the Orange team are celebrating. All indications are that most of the Orange ministers will be sacked from the cabinet.

What next for the millions of Kenyans who voted against a constitution that presented them with the best chance of changing things? They were promised that the Orange team would get the Bomas draft passed. It will be interesting to see how exactly they get this done.

Especially when it is clear that future reforms will now be guided through the current constitution in which the President calls all the shots.

It was the view of this blog that the draft constitution offered the best chance to changes things in Kenya.

Nobody is talking about the billions on taxpayers funds that was squandered during the whole circus.

My hope is that we do not sink back into the frustrating Moi days of fighting an almost hopeless war against an all-powerful presidency.

Provisional results from the Electoral Commission of Kenya indicate that the Orange camp won 3.5 million votes and is ahead of the Yes or Banana camp by slightly over 1 million votes.

Thursday, November 17, 2005

Angry Kenyan Strongly Disagrees

My post of yesterday received this strongly worded response. I publish it in full below...


I think you are not being fair to majority of Kenyans. There are no emotions involved with this document. We are disgusted with the authors and their evil machinations. Let nobody cheat you –tumeisoma na tukaichambua.Orange is just repeating what people are saying in churches,bars,offices,etc.For you to give them a lead is like saying Wakenya ni wapumbavu(Emmanuel’s teacher used this word on him the other day-I guess he doesn’t know the meaning).

Ponder this.

1.Should we pass a document just because it cost us billions?(Goldenberg has been forgotten).

Which Christians and Hindus asked for their courts? Even the Indian constitution does not have Hindu courts!

2.Why must a president garner 25% from 35 districts to be declared president? Only one community can qualify-you know which one(which wanjiku gave this view?).

3.Parliament will have to enact 66 clauses in this document (they rarely pass 4 laws in a year!).



Don’t help Kibaki to rig the referendum.



All opinion polls in the past have given Orange the lead.Now the message being spread is that hii ni vita ya Kibaki vs Raila.How do you vote for a referendum when a sitting president has an interest in the vote?

Kikuyus could be many,but majority of them are wallowing in poverty-thus the high crime rate.(2 families in Kawangware/Satellite had their members assassinated by hitmen in the last two weeks).

The emotions you allude to are linked to the frustration/hopelessness that majority of us are going through,not the referendum.

Imagine people are selling voting cards for 100/=!

A banana MP whose vehicle was set ablaze by rowdy youths asking for money in Kakamega said:”hio Prado walichoma sio neno-I have three others more expensive kuliko hio.”That is Hon. Bonny Khalwale for you- and this arrogance is what our current parliament will need to enact 66 laws in two years!

All the above are signs of a revolution.

We need one among us to strike the match.

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Predictions on Monday's New Kenyan Constitution Referendum

Despite Referendum Violence That Has Claimed 10 Lives So Far, it's all systems go for the Monday vote

It seems that the referendum will go ahead despite some spirited and very genuine efforts to stop it. Three judges On Tuesday gave the poll a go-ahead and thus delivered the country fully into the hands of fate.

You will have noticed that we did not have any articles analyzing the constitution here as earlier promised and for a good reason. When any discussion over the referendum even with close friends gets so emotionally charged than even your friendship seems threatened by it, then you realize that the vote on Monday has nothing to do with the issues at hand. (You can now begin to understand all the referendum violence that has left at least 10 people dead so far).

Rather this whole circus is a bid by some politicians (orange camp) to prove to the government that they still hold sway with the electorate and it is also an attempt by the government (banana camp) to prove that they still have enough backing to rule. The new constitution is totally irrelevant in the whole issue, so why discuss a non-issue.

Analysis on the ground show that the banana side will come off with a surprisingly large win in a low turn out affair. The reaction of the orange group is predictable.

President Kibaki’s close aides were probably very wrong in being so arrogant and sidelining key figures who contributing to the Narc win. They should have at least re-negotiated the memorandum of understanding. But that’s all water under the bridge now.

My advice to all Kenyans is to pray very hard for the day the results of the referendum will be announced.

Friday, October 28, 2005

Why is your blood boiling, Kenyan?

These days every time the word “referendum” is uttered in front of a Kenyan, it gets the sort of reaction that you would expect from a dog hearing the word “cat”…

Blood starts “poiling”[boiling] according to our good friends of the Luhya community…

And people see “led”[red] according to you know who…

Just calm down for a minute and consider the following hard facts…

Despite the fact that Kenya has now survived 42 years of bad governance including 24 that were really, really bad, the country has survived and me and you are still here.

Why then have we allowed a bunch of politicians to convince us that the coming referendum is so serious and it is so important for your side to win, that if you don’t they’ll be chaos in Kenya?

Surely it cannot get any worse than it already is? Most people I know can’t feed the family these days and they used to own cars and businesses. Yet a few guys have gotten so rich in a few short months when auctioneers were waiting to move against them on January 2nd 2003.

No constitution, no matter how bad can be worse than the current one that kept a leader in power for 24 years against the will of the vast majority of Kenyans…

And has now allowed his successor to start behaving in exactly the same manner…

Put on your thinking cap and join the elite group of very, very, very few Kenyans who have actually leafed through, let alone read carefully, the draft constitution.

It is never a good idea to open one’s mouth or even to think, without the facts.

That kind of thing is only done by… (I won’t say. You figure it out for yourself).

Why The Best Way To Deal With The Kibaki Administration Is To Vote “Yes” For The New Constitution

Most Kenyans who read this blog regularly are very busy people. They hardly have the time to go through some fancy detailed prose. So this post will be what writers call a list article. Easy to read because my reasons are clearly and numerically listed one by one.

1. The Draft Constitution is better than the current one. It seems that nobody is really disputing this fact. So why is there so much orange support and propaganda to the contrary. The answer is simple. Our politicians have turned this new constitution referendum into “the Kibaki succession referendum”. Vote Yes, and you are saying that Kibaki should continue and even choose a successor after that. Vote No and you are saying No to Kibaki and the Murungarus etc. But is this what it is really all about? The truth is that if we remain with the current constitution, the power remains exactly where it is now and genuine change becomes more difficult by the day. Have you noticed how quickly Presidfent Kibaki has turned into another Moi?
2. Very few people in the orange camp have actually read the draft constitution. Why read the document when there is a more exciting agenda? Namely to show President Kibaki, nay, to rudely remind him of where his immense powers really come from… from the people of course. But what price will Kenyans pay to prove a point?
3. The Draft constitution is actually “the rope that will hang” the Kibaki administration, come the next general elections. In the heat of the moment, few have realized that the draft constitution offers Kenyans a much better chance of getting their “revenge” and voting in the sort of government in the next general elections that we have desired all along. For example the draft constitution allows for independent candidates to stand for even the Presidency. In the past this “weapon” of you-can-not-stand-unless-you-are-nominated-by-a-registered-political-party has been used very effectively to shut out popular candidates. There are numerous other examples, just take the time to read the draft constitution.
4. So why is it that former President Moi is against the new constitution? While it is true that no opinion of a person as experienced as Moi should be taken lightly, the truth is that Moi is from the old school. And this is precisely what is wrong with leadership in Kenya today. We are still trying to use the same old tricks in a world that has not only changed too much, but one that continues to change at a rate that can only be described as “blinding speed.” Let all the wazees go home to rest. Let the baton of leadership be passed on to a new generation of younger Kenyans. But before this happens, let’s give the new generation of Kenyan leaders a new constitution to work with.
5. The draft constitution is actually the Ghai draft with changes to the Executive (Presidency), Devolution, Kadhi’s courts and a few other controversial issues. The spirit remains the same, the basic principles remain the same. We all loved the Ghai draft, why don’t we want to use it as the foundation to a new constitution? Is it because our favorite politicians do not like it? Surely since when did you start trusting a politician to tell you what to do? I love Raila Odinga but his agenda here is that he is out to prove that he is the ultimate king-maker. He’s out to prove that he yields the power to decide. He said Kibaki tosha and it was settled. Now he has said No to the new constitution. If he gets his way on November 21st, then he will also choose the next president of Kenya for us come the next general elections. Should he?
6. The main opposition to the draft constitution consists of the same Kanu elements we fought so hard to remove from power. What are they really scared of in the new constitution? My hunch is that the answer lies in the increased power the draft constitution gives to the people. Some of the leading lights in Kanu have benefited in the past from policies that oppressed the people. Some of them have grown rich on land grabbed from the people who are about to have a bigger voice than they have ever had in the history of Kenya.
7. Everybody says that the district governments in the draft constitution will be as corrupt as the current local governments have proved to be. This is an assumption with no genuine basis. The current local government structure and urban councils are very different from the proposed district governments in the new constitution. The new district governments will consist of representations from the grassroots, while a corrupt person will always be corrupt, the motivation of leaders in district governments will be very different.

Between now and the referendum, this blog will analyze key sections of the constitution for you on a regular basis.

For now, I have an urgent task at hand. All these months I’ve been in the orange camp, I’ve missed them bananas and I need to have one right now. So Until next time, please allow me…

Only Fools Never Change Their Minds

It has happened. The unthinkable event took place last night. My teenage son could not believe his ears when I announced that I had changed camps. I have now shifted from the orange camp to the banana camp.

Here are the chain of events that led to my sudden about-turn

1) My analysis and research clearly shows that the Banana team will win on Nov 21st… and very comfortably at that.
2) I post an article to that effect in this blog. I then promise a series of articles detailing the disaster that will follow this predicted event.
3) I start my research, which must begin with a thorough reading of the draft constitution. To my surprise I find that a lot of the propaganda that has been flying from the orange team about the new constitution is NOT TRUE.
4) I change my mind about the draft constitution. No there were no banana team politicians to welcome me at a rally somewhere. No I was not paid any cash.

I still feel, like most Kenyans, that the Kibaki administration has short-changed Kenyans. I still believe that it has elements in it that are even more corrupt than the Moi regime. But I am now convinced that the draft constitution offers the best chance Kenyans have ever had of changing things for the better. Read the next post to see my listed reasons. Meanwhile I have to talk to the person who sent me the draft constitution in the first place ( a die hard orange supporter). My conversation with him will begin with the words, “YOU MADE A BIG MISTAKE SENDING ME THE DRAFT CONSTITUTION, NOW SEE WHAT YOU HAVE DONE TO THE ORANGE CAMP….

Thursday, October 27, 2005

How The Bananas Will Win…

...Will The Last Man Leaving Kenya Remember To Switch Off The Lights

If you carefully consider the following solid facts;

1) Two surveys carried out so far. The first being the Steadmann survey and the other being an online survey by the Nation newspapers online edition which both give the Orange team a slim 10 per cent lead. Using the power of the provincial administration and taking full advantage of a low voter turn out (only 58% of the registered voters voted in 2002). This lead will easily be wiped out on November 21st.

It has clearly been proved in many past elections that the only way to defeat the government in an election is by a landslide, nothing less, and nothing short.

2) President Moi used the power of the office of the President to win two elections where he was facing stiff competition (1992 and 1997). President Kiabaki is even more powerful because he has the backing of most Kikuyus, which Moi did not have.

Using the vast god-like powers of the Kenyan presidency, the Oranges don’t have a chance against the Kibaki-backed bananas.

3) The behaviour of the powerful Mount Kenya Mafia surrounding the President has so far made it clear that defeat is not an option they will consider. Take the example of the recent travel bans on powerful minister Chris Murungaru. The latest is that he intends to fight the US travel ban in US courts. The most shocking and telling thing here is that he is still a cabinet minister. How is it possible for him to execute his duties and yet he is unable to travel to the US or Britain, nor use connecting flights through these two key western destinations?

This kind of behaviour and reaction clearly gives anybody who would care to look and think, an insight into the sort of characters we are dealing with here.

4) There is increasing evidence that this writer and his blog as well as both his online and offline activities are being carefully monitored by a government that will go to any lengths to stay in power by silencing all voices that want to air an alternative view. Incidentally there has been much more press persecution in Kenya during the Kibaki regime than there was in Moi’s last term.

5) The strategy being used by the orange team is weak and defective. It may have worked with Narc when the whole country spoke in one voice and said “No” to Moi and his “project”. But it won’t work in November, mark my words. In sharp contrast the smart bananas are doing some serious “tribal mathematics” in everything they do (very Moi-like, but also very effective). At least 50 per cent backing from the populous Kikuyu, Luhya and Kamba tribes will guarantee a banana win. Not to mention the other pockets of support countrywide which will give the bananas a clear win.


Based on these facts, I have no option but to tell readers of this blog to brace themselves for a banana win and the banana republic that will come with it. In future days we will give you a full detailed review on what you should expect after the predicted events of November 21st.

Will the last person leaving Kenya remember to switch off the lights.

Monday, October 17, 2005

True test for a Kenyan

... writer claims that it is more accurate than a DNA test (that's the other
thing, most Kenyans don't really undersatnd what a DNA test is).


Are you Kenyan?




ONLY Kenyans.......



1. Are engaged for 5 years or more



2. Never bother to divorce, they just separate



3. Are late to church, work, and everything else

EXCEPT when the disco is free before 9pm*****



4. Refer to diabetes as 'SUGAR'



5. Show up at weddings, showers, graduation,

birthday parties with a new outfit on with nails and

hair done but no gift



6. In relation to #5, they eat like parking boys

and take a plate home



7. Consider 'clubbing' or 'henging' as a monthly

expense



8. Leave bills (instead of insurance money) behind

for surviving relatives.



9. Borrow money for a wedding.



10. have mothers who can use curse words and

religion ALL IN ONE SENTENCE e.g. "Lord, give me

strength because I'm about to knock the hell out of

this child"



11. spend the car insurance money on everything

EXCEPT getting the dent fixed.



12. invite co-workers and all of their friends to

their child's 1st birthday party which happens to have

a professional DJ with only about 3 kid (including the

child) in attendance. And then expect the guests

to "changa" for the bash.



13. Start every sentence with "Me I..."e.g. "ME I

donno why you are saying that I always say 'Me I'.



14. Say 'Spend' when they are staying the night

elsewhere from home, e.g. "Are you going to spend at

her place?"



15. Put in iron rods in all windows and main

doors...referring to them as ''Burglar''



16. Use "Ngai" as an exclamation mark e.g. "Ngai,

what are you doing?"



17. Believe "Ati" is an English word for "What?"



18. Think it is cool to drink and drive and get

away with it "I don't know how I got home that

day..the way I was soo drunk!"



19. Think all their economic and social problems

are caused by "Moi" when in fact some have never been

to school.



20. Pack up all their earthly goods to go to

"shaggs" for a week in December, only to pack them all back

again after that one week and return to "Tao"



21. Call travelling "flying out" e.g. She flew out

(no one ever seems to wonder where all these Kenyans

fly to)



22. Think that taking a clerical job in a company

is better and "cooler" than toiling in their parents'

family business.



23. Prefer washing cars and dishes in USA to

toiling in their 20-acre tea farms in Kenya.



24. Call their homes "at ours". e.g., "At ours, we

eat Githeri every day"



25. Complain for five years about poor governance

and corruption then vote in the same clowns back to

parliament.



26. Have a chief Justice who has no law degree!



27. Go on strike for one day and expect the govt.

to resign!



28. Sit back in their homes and expect their MP to

"bring Development"



29. Refuse to insure against anything and expect

you to bankroll them when calamity strikes... thro'

Harambee.



30. Sit calmly and sometimes cheer as a mad man

drives them in a ramshackle at breakneck speed to

certain death.



31. Drive with their windows wound up when they

get to city centre because of 4-year-old brats armed

with human feaces, and still claim to be free people!

Sounds so true, eh? I hope you are still Kenyan by

all standards. Me, I am Kenyan DAMU!!!!

Monday, October 03, 2005

Somebody Has To Pay The Bills

In the early hours of Friday morning police burst into a room in a leading hotel in Nairobi to find the naked body of a tycoon sprawled naked on the floor and his woman companion cowering at corner. The man was dead and some white substance believed to be heroin was taken away by police for testing.

So who was the man?

The local newspapers described the dead man as a “political wheeler-dealer” who was instrumental in the 2002 KANU walkout of Rainbow luminaries.

My point here is that this story illustrates a political truism; somebody has to pay the bills. In current Kenyan politics it is mostly businessmen who get lucrative government contracts in return. If we are going to make a difference in 2007, the new government will have to start off without this sort of financing. In fact the people of Kenya should demand that sources of financing for political luminaries – especially those vying for the Presidency - be revealed.

Check out the full story on this scandal in Saturday's Daily Nation online (01/10/05). It is under the headline; "Tycoon collapses and dies in hotel room".

Monday, September 26, 2005

Pumbavu” The President’s Favorite word

For those who watched T.V. last night, they must have noticed the agitation on Kibaki’s face as he called L.D.P./Kanu group pumbavu for not interpreting the draft correctly to the people.

The local Kenyan press has interpreted that word to mean stupid (i think it means something more abusive).During my 39 years in this world, I can’t remember a parent, teacher, peer, etc. using the word. He must have ‘captured’ it in a local pub in Othaya before he became President.Shoudn’t our President measure his words on a public platform?
Secondly, are Kenyans not intelligent enough to do their own interpretation of the Wako draft?

Or maybe he was right, for indeed Raila was a "pumbavu" to have said 'Kibaki tosha' in 2001.

Who snubbed who?

By the way is it possible for a Kenyan President on an official visit to the UK not to call in on the Prime Minister. I think not, and I believe that President Kibaki may have had problems getting an appointment with Blair. The President’s spin doctors have of course totally denied that the President had problems getting to see Blair. They sa that Blair was not in his schedule. Hmm…

Thursday, September 15, 2005

Why Do All Mutahi Ngunyi Predictions Seem To Be Coming True?

After years of being an extreme optimist, this blogger changed shortly after the Narc government came to power and now I always fear for the worst and on a number of occasions I am mercifully proved right.

Regular readers of the Sunday Nation will remember controversial columnist Mutahi Ngunyi and his incisive and well thought out column. Somebody recently send me a column of his published in 2003 and pointed out how accurate his predictions have proved to be. My hope and [prayer is that his remaining predictions do not come to pass...

I reproduce the column below, read it and decide for yourself. But first, an excerpt from the same column...

"There is a lesson for President Kibaki here. He is increasingly becoming like Mr Moi during the 2002 elections. He is not yet paranoid, but his insensitivity could develop into ''political blindness''. Who knows how low he will have sunk by the 2007 elections? And this is what worries me.

Consider a hypothetical situation here. What would happen if President Kibaki decided to run for re-election in 2007 and lost? Would he and his men have the grace to hand over power peacefully? From the way they have behaved in the last one year, I doubt it. And where would that leave the country?

At the risk of sounding crazy, I want to suggest the following: If we thought that Mr. Moi would plunge the country into civil strife, he proved us wrong. Narc is the party to plunge the county into civil strife. You just have to listen to the FM stations and the call-in television programmes to see a pattern. From the name of the caller, you can almost predict what they will say and what side of the divide they will take. In a disputed election, such polarity would certainly take ugly proportions.”


-------------------------

Sunday Nation, Dec 2003
Why our second liberation is yet to be completed

By MUTAHI NGUNYI

This week I want to give a suggestion to President Mwai Kibaki: He should fire his speechwriter! If we lived in a ''banana republic,'' these people would have actually been charged with sabotage.
What they gave the President to read on Jamhuri Day was flat and shoddy.

In fact, his speech on this day sounded like recycled material from the Madaraka Day and Kenyatta Day addresses. And what is worrying is that his speechwriters did not even seem to notice the repetitions. The question we should ask here is why?

The answer to this is simple: Maybe they also slept through the speeches! The long and short of things is therefore that someone is being negligent.

Let us now turn to the fact that the President has finally put his portrait on our currency. In my view, there is absolutely nothing wrong with that. In fact, there would be nothing wrong if he put a family portrait on one of the currency notes.

What we must understand here is that President Kibaki is a human being. He has urges and excesses. To deny him some things is therefore ridiculous. It is like placing a pot full of honey in front of a little boy and expecting him not to dip his finger into the stuff! In other words, our new President is cuddling in the warmth and comfort of the institutions that shaped former President Daniel arap Moi. And, if this is the case, why should we be surprised if he ''hatched'' into a dictator?

What we have witnessed in the last one year is the degeneration of President Kibaki from a reformer to a ''Toad King''. This process begins with the President becoming insensitive. At this point, he breaks one pledge after another without feeling a thing. And, as he does this, the question in his mind is: Where can you take me?
In the case of the MoU for instance, we took him nowhere. The begrudged politicians yapped until the cows came home. Now the President has put his portrait on our currency and we will take him nowhere. The general attitude here is this: If you do not like it, you can sit on a pin!

Numbing his sense to popular voices will definitely degenerate into a state of paranoia. At this point, the President will make one blunder after another. And instead of correcting his mistakes, he will increase his speed in the direction of the wrong. This is where former President Moi was when he introduced ''Project Uhuru'' to the country. The crowds booed him, his loyal followers in Kanu abandoned him and even his own people questioned his wisdom. But the more we rejected his ''project'', the more determined he became.

There is a lesson for President Kibaki here. He is increasingly becoming like Mr Moi during the 2002 elections. He is not yet paranoid, but his insensitivity could develop into ''political blindness''. Who knows how low he will have sunk by the 2007 elections? And this is what worries me.

Consider a hypothetical situation here. What would happen if President Kibaki decided to run for re-election in 2007 and lost? Would he and his men have the grace to hand over power peacefully? From the way they have behaved in the last one year, I doubt it. And where would that leave the country?

At the risk of sounding crazy, I want to suggest the following: If we thought that Mr. Moi would plunge the country into civil strife, he proved us wrong. Narc is the party to plunge the county into civil strife. You just have to listen to the FM stations and the call-in television programmes to see a pattern. From the name of the caller, you can almost predict what they will say and what side of the divide they will take. In a disputed election, such polarity would certainly take ugly proportions.

But there are two possible ways out of this. The first one has to do with the agenda of the second liberation. This process was meant to achieve two things - to remove Mr. Moi from power and replace him with reform-minded leaders. This was done successfully. However, as we are beginning to realise, Mr. Moi was not the problem.
The problem was the institutions he inherited from the Kenyatta. To change the leadership without changing the institutions is like treating cancer with Malaraquin. This is partly why the ''institutional cancer'' in the presidency is beginning to affect President Kibaki.

Putting his portrait on our currency and junking the pre-election MoU are just manifestations of this cancer. This is why the other agenda of the second liberation was institutional reforms. Until this is completed, the second liberation will not have happened. More specifically, this refers to the constitutional review process. And, at this point I would want to address the delegates preparing for Bomas III on January 12, 2004.

It is my hope that you have had time to reflect on the issues at hand in Bomas III. We are also told that the politicians have spent this long break to bribe you. In my view you should take the bribes and use the money to enjoy your Christmas. You must realise at this point that you are involved in politics and that in this game there is no morality. As such, you should have fun on someone else’s account! However, when it comes to voting, you must reject the ''bribe givers'' and vote for the country.

This is important because of the following reasons. If the second liberation had two phases, the first phase of replacing the leadership had to be carried out by 3.1 million voters. Replacing Mr Moi and his cronies was in my view the easy part. The second phase is the tough one. And this is where you come in. You are only 600 people, and the future of our country depends on you.
I have two questions for you at this point. One, as you vote for issues, will you be thinking of your ''tribal chief'' or your children? In my view, your tribe is your children. If you make a constitution for your children, you will have made a constitution for Kenya.

Two, consider the question of the Prime Minister’s post. And the question to you is this: If this post had been created before the 2002 elections, do you think President Kibaki would have ''trashed'' the MoU? Do you think he would have put his portrait on our currency and retained corrupt ministers in his Cabinet? If the answer to these questions is no, then the cure to the ''institutional cancer'' in the presidency is the creation of this post. Do think about it!
The second possible way out of civil strife has to do with the Kikuyu. Now that the presidency has returned to the ''House of Mumbi'', some people from the community are convinced that it is there to stay. In my view, this kind of thinking is retrogressive and could result in ethnic animosity.

Kikuyus should come to terms with the possibility that they could lose the presidency in 2007. As such, they should do two things: One, ''bank'' with the other communities. This is important because they cannot survive alone in future. Two, they should disown the Kikuyu ''sharks'' in the Kibaki government.

Unless they do so, the entire community will be blacklisted simply on account of a few people. In future, a Kikuyu presidential candidate would be rejected because of the misdeeds of isolated people. My submission therefore is: They should not support this regime blindly!

Confused About The New Constitution? Here's The Most Accurate And Balanced Summary I Am Yet To Come Across

The best summary of the proposed constitution that I am yet to come across... from an ordinary Kenyan, I received it in my email this morning


"We had a very interesting session at the chapel last evening on the constitution. People would surely appreciate the devolution system down to the district level-but at the top the power is still centered at one apex. Apparently this document is vague and leaves virtually all the laws to be enacted by parliament. The people have to sit and wait for the same ‘hang’ and selfish parliament to decide their destiny."

Friday, September 09, 2005

Big Orange Shortage Predicted...

...But Once Again, Kibaki Strategists have Fooled Everybody

The way oranges are being distributed at public rallies to campaign for the “no” vote in the forthcoming referendum on the constitution, clearly points to a big shortage of this fruit soon.

Most Kenyans to whom an orange is usually a luxury that they cannot afford, are enjoying these “nutritious” rallies and there seems little doubt as to which direction the majority of the votes will go.

But before you start celebrating, many analysts have missed the clever strategy of Kibaki handlers.

It is now clear as day that the new government like the one before it, have no problem with the current constitution which turns the President into an all-powerful god. So they’ve created a new constitution that is not very different from the current one, knowing full well that whatever they did, they would be opposed. So the strategy is to use the opportunity to do a full dress rehearsal for the next elections. They are going all out for a win but even if they lose, they will still have actually won on two fronts.

(i) They will still have the beloved old constitution that makes them so powerful.
(ii) They get to find a strategy to win in 2007 from the valuable data they will gather from voting patterns.

So once again, Kenyans have been fooled…

Yes, it has been said that if the government loses the referendum, it will be political suicide. Those saying this have forgotten the Moi days where he went on to win two general elections after a massive opposition political rally in Nairobi that clearly showed public sentiment was heavily against Kanu.

Toss a coin.

If it falls on heads, Kibaki wins. If it falls on tails, Kenyans lose. That’s the referendum for you.

Central Bank Never Made A Loss Under Moi, Now Under Kibaki, The Impossible Happens…

As the Kibaki administration continues to set dubious new records, the latest touches an area where the government has been at great pains to show signs of improvement - the economy.

Kenya’s foremost fiscal policy regulator, Central Bank has just announced a whooping loss of Sh 4.1 billion, it’s worst performance ever.

The main culprit? It’s recent strange policy of maintaining a strong shilling. This widely criticized move protected importers but hurt exporters. Now you do not need to be an economist to answer the big question here. Who is more important to the Kenyan economy right now? The foreign exchange earner (Exporter) or the foreign exchange spender (importer)?

This latest development, more than anything else so far sends alarm bells loudly ringing that the economic policies of this government led by a brilliant economist of the 70s (President Kibaki himself) seem to be sending the country deeper into problems. It is now clear that the economy which was already in the ICU (intensive care unit) when Moi exites, now seems to be already in the mortuary (or as Kenyans living in the States would put it “in the morgue”).

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

Would You Rather Have A Banana Or An Orange?

What Kenyans are saying through email...

I received this in my email today from one of my leading correspondents on the ground.

Fact: If you eat an Orange, you will remain with seeds to plant again.

Fact: If you eat a banana, you will have eaten everything; no seeds to plant!!!

Take an orange from Kivuitu, not a Banana.



Say NO to the new constitution if you love Kenya.

Saturday, August 13, 2005

Wambui wa Munene vs Lucy Kibaki and the polygamous Kenyan president and the drama that spilled into Kenya politics

Lucy Kibaki vs Wambui wa Munene drama
I have just received the following dispatch from one of my most trusted correspondence which seems to explain all the controversy surrounding the recent Lucy outbursts.

Sources close to State House Nairobi indicate that Lucy Kibaki has stopped taking alcohol.

The reason, they say, is the trauma of Wambui (the President's second wife) getting the limelight and publicity yet Lucy suffered with her man for many years as he was struggling to become a success. This to her, was unbearable.

For your info the first lady is said to have ordered the State House bar closed when Matere Keririr & Co re-opened it in Jan.2003. (President Moi had earlier closed it in 1978)

Due to pressure she took 2 glasses of wine and all hell broke loose. If you stop taking alcohol for a few months - a glass can do great damage.

For those who have witnessed a polygamous marriage, Lucy had the full right to do what she did. The press and Wambui had pushed her to the wall.



The story of Lucy is a very sad one.

She was very right and needs our support and prayers. She had stopped taking alcohol in 2002-when she became the first lady.

But some of Kibaki's friends have been pushing Wambui (Kibaki's other wife) to enter the limelight and be felt. Notably, Matere (Keriri Former State House comptroller who was fired after she got on Lucy's wrong side) and Kimunya (the Lands minister)have liked Wambui all along.

On the Friday before the 'Nation storm', Wambui wa Munene(this is her new title - "Munene" means 'big man' or 'boss') visited Othaya Hospital and donated equipment worth 10 million bob! The media as usual gave this event maximum coverage.
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Love, they say, is blind. But it seems in Kenya it is only partially blind. I say partially-blind because certain tribes will rarely fall in love with particular tribes.

However in the 50s (the decade that tribalism was probably at its' lowest ebb ever in Kenya. Because Luos were getting elected to parliament in Nairobi by an enthusiastic Kikuyu electorate and Luo men were falling head over heels in love with Kikuyu women.)


And that was the decade when the most famous and yet unlikely Luo-Kikuyu marital union was consumated. A tough freedom fighter and strikingly beautiful daughter of Mumbi called Wambui met, and got swept off her feet by, a brilliant criminal lawyer from Luo Nyanza called S.M. Otieno.
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I dug this out of the Kumekucha archives

How could she…?? That girl was yours, or so you thought. How could she fall for a player and a man who is NOT nice to women like that guy I can't stand?? What happened?
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Babu Owino in court at the Milimani law courts cracks a very funny joke that has Gaucho in stitches.
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Analysis of Day 1 and Day 2 of the protest against high cost of living reveals a Ruto UDA secret that will blow your mind and explains why the two days are so different. But where is Raila Odinga? Some insights including a story from the past is more than revealing.
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Addressing a press conference in parliament buildings a few minutes ago in a presser that is still ongoing as I write this, Minority Leader Opiyo Wandayi while commenting on Raila Odinga's whereabouts said that they are the face of "Baba"  Read article
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Maandamano 19th July 2023 Day 1 of 3: Protesters engage police in running battles in Mathare during Azimio demonstrations.
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On day 1 of the 3 day maandamano led by Azimio and Raila Odinga, protests are witnessed in over 15 counties country-wide. Even as Ruto's Kenya Kwanza response predictably remains the same despite clear indications that they are not doing any good to the cause of the Ruto presidency and regime. But where was Raila Odinga, even as he gave instructions for the protests to end at 5pm and resume on day 2 in the morning? Was it a case of the arrest of Raila that failed to happen?
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Raila Odinga, the leader of Azimio, has denounced the use of live ammunition during the anti-government protests on Wednesday 19th July 2023.
Raila said that this was unjustified in a statement issued that was accompanied by a video of a small boy who was seen shot in the leg.
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Is the end of the Ruto presidency and his administration, just around the corner?
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The following information was first released on the Kumekucha Chris YouTube channel in early 2016. It makes for super fascinating reading because of what has ended up happening 6 years later.
Ruto secretly purchased POA from his colleague in Jubilee Raphael Tuju and changed its name to Party for Development and Reforms (PDR) and then later changed it to UDA. Was all this to mask the origin of this party? Did he see the future before it happened?
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self made millionaire business ideas 

Very revealing make money secrets from real life situations that unfolded. This Brian Tracy and Kumekucha Chris nuggets of information are nothing short of game-changing.


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Ruto had a plan and a burning desire to be president. That much is clear. He launched a crusade (in his mind) to achieve his ultimate goal, long before he actually vied. Read article

Read revealing Ruto article on this blog -----
Ruto withdraws the security of key opposition leaders, including governors and MPs.
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MAANDAMANO TOMORROW IN MT KENYA - FEARLESS KARUA DARES RUTO & GACHAGUA.
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“We don’t give a damn about state security,” Governor Ochilo Ayacko, Suna West MP Peter Masara say after their securities were withdrawn.
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The shifty body language of Kenya Kwanza legislators when asked about their recent meeting at State house Nairobi and what was discussed is a total giveaway. But what is that we t down that they are not willing to reveal. A surprising but hardly unexpected answer to that question in this Kumekucha video.
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Update 23/07/2021; Ruto purchased POA and changed its name to Party for Development and Reforms (PDR) and then more recently changed it to UDA. Was all this to mask the origin of this party? Impeccable sources say that DP Ruto has purchased a political party. What does this mean? What is he up to? More so now when a powerful wing of the Jubilee party from the Mount Kenya region is resisting his preparations for 2022. What will happen next?
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Firstborn children have many challenges that most are completely unware of. Especially challenges that have to do with stuff that may not be clear to most. It is therefore not uncommon for firstborns to give up in life or live a very frustrated life. But this can be avoided if one starts to understand the possible spiritual causes of their problems.
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The very first video posted on the Kumekucha Chris channel in 2013. It contrasts a typical humble Kenyan home with 20 registered voters and the neighbouring house with a satellite dish that only has one registered voter. Will help anybody understand some of the dynamics amongst Kenyan voters in any election.
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The real hidden strategy of William Ruto and the Kenya Kwanza regime is beginning to show clearly. It is visible in speeches and tweets by Ruto allies. It suggests that we are not too far from the last option that President Ruto will have. Even though it is whispered that insiders have already been pushing him in that direction for a number of weeks now.

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What is Ruto's real plan to stop Raila? Raila supporters fear that it is a terrible evil plan.

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Charles Njonjo And Daniel Arap Moi State House Drama: Difficult to believe but there was a day that Moi had to be persuaded by Charles Njonjo to accept the presidency of the republic of Kenya. Chris Kumekucha narrates from chapter three of his own best-selling eBook DARK SECRETS OF THE KENYAN PRESIDENCY. Some amazing facts that will enable you to understand Kenyan politics much better.
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Deep political analysts have confessed that they are puzzled at the self-destruct tendencies of the Kenya Kwanza government. The latest is the controversial Finance Bill 2023. However there is a very long list of examples from the week that William Ruto was sworn in as president. A revelation that will shock most in this Kumekucha Chris video that tells us the country called Kenya is in deeper trouble than we all thought.
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It's critical to be ready in case a gunshot wound emergency arises near you. This is of course much more important with the current situation in Kenya. And remember most of the victims in the country so far have been people who were not even participating in demonstrations. Also a gunshot wound that receives early medical attention frequently doesn't become fatal. 
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A celebrated boxing champion is among Kenyans who lost their lives during the anti-government protests on Wednesday 12th July 2023.


Read; Champion boxer Raphael Shigali was shot dead by Jogoo Rd Police station cop during Azimio protests

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The corporate empire of billionaire David Langat was driven into uncharted terrain this week when auctioneers forced the sale of his Mombasa office buildings and Nandi tea estate in order to pay a local bank more than Sh2.1 billion in back debt.

Read; Has David Langat fallen out with close buddy William Ruto?

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In controversial utterances in public, President William Ruto has accused his former boss Uhuru Kenyatta of instigating protests against his rule.


Does Ruto really know what he is saying and doing? Especially after he stole elections from Raila in August 2022? He says in this video Raila has failed to get elected 6 times but Ruto has not confessed that out of those 6 in 3 instances he played a key role in rigging out Raila and denying him his rightful victory. 

Does Ruto know that Vitu kwa ground are very different from this illusion he is trapped in?. Let time tell...
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Even as former Kakamega governor Wycliffe Oparanya was released this evening, after his lawyer recorded a statement, Kenyans are still reeling in shock as they try to digest the jolting revelations from Eugene Wamalwa on what Ruto and UDA are really up to against Raila, Azimio and the people of Kenya.
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Former Kakamega Governor Wycliffe Oparanya, according to Azimio La Umoja One Kenya Coalition Party Leader Raila Odinga, has been arrested by police. He was later released.

Just yesterday: Oparanya recounts how rowdy youths damaged his car during demonstrations in Busia

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Most leading analysts including Pro. Herman Manyora seem to agree that the government of William Ruto is on the losing end of the Maandamano duel with Azimio and Raila Odinga. It is as clear as day. 

Police brutality and the unprovoked attack on peaceful demonstrators seems to have attracted the wrong kind of attention (for Ruto) from the international community.
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So Ruto police had sharp-shooters in place...
Peter Munya: "We came here to engage citizens on the hardships they are going through and it is our rights as leaders to do so. That's what we came to do but police as usual mobilized to come and disrupt and to visit violence on us and you have sees every stop we made... teargas is being thrown. From Makutano where we started...

And it was needless because there was no violence. Citizens were responding because they are all facing the same problems everybody in the country is facing.

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Why was the Azimio rally scheduled to take place at the Kamukunji Grounds in Nairobi yesterday 12th July 2023 abruptly canceled by Raila Odinga, the head of the Azimio la Umoja One Kenya alliance? What was the real reason? Is it true that it was something terrifying? This Lee Makwiny video offers a few clues.
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There are key aspects of the Kenyan presidency that cannot be ignored and when they are not given the attention they deserve will always result in serious political instability. This is the same mistake a past president with great potential, Mwai Kibaki, made. But now once again in 2023 the tell-tale signs of 2005 are clearly visible In this Kumekucha video we go deep into this most fascinating and often ignored issue in Kenya politics.
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Over 600 individuals were detained and arrested at various police stations in Nairobi on Wednesday during anti-government demonstrations. Over ten people were shot and killed by police across the nation, and dozens more were hurt during the clashes that erupted on 12th July 2023. 


The 12th July maandamano country-wide will go down in the history of Kenya for special attention in any analysis of what happens going forward. And apart from the many bad things that happened, historians in future will also record it as a turning point for the nation called Kenya. One that the Kenya Kwanza government and the UDA strongman William Ruto are yet to see.
Rich Kenyans like Ibrahim Ambwere can be described as clean non-politician Kenyan Multi billionaire. That is something very rare in the country. His is the amazing and highly inspirational story of an orphan boy who started off sweeping the premises of a mason's premises when he was only 10 years old and ended up so rich that the government of Kenya in the 1980s felt threatened by his wealth. He has no prominent presence in Nairobi and lives a frugal lifestyle similar to that of the richest man in the world, Warren Buffet. This is the amazing story full of life lessons from the least known Kenyan multi-billionaire.

Patrick Shaw Untold Story: The inside story of the legendary Nairobi super cop Patrick Shaw. A biographical detailed documentary of the man starting with his early days and arrival in Kenya during the Mau Mau and emergency years to his deep involvement in Kenyan politics in the 1980s. In the end it is brutal Kenyan politics that killed him. He should have just stuck to being an extra-ordinarily good cop.
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Pamela Mboya now deceased, Tom Mboya’s widow wrote to Kofi Annan in 2008 as he was mediating peace in Kenya. Part of the letter read; “The assassination of my husband, like others after him, is a matter that has remained shrouded in mystery and speculation, and which has been avoided by successive regimes in this country...” Later she promised to drop the bombshell in an interview but later changed her mind. This is most probably what she was so hesitant to reveal.
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This is Uhuru's future from a man who has NEVER gotten it wrong (2013 prediction)


...Then in the midst of all these uncertainties an arrogant Briton came into the country for prayers and started making predictions and prophecies on the country's political future. Few Kenyans had ever heard of the London based preacher. But he spoke with such authority that some Kenyans even got annoyed.

Then he predicted Uhuru Kenyatta's future and I did not like it one bit....   This is Uhuru's future from a man who has NEVER gotten it wrong (2013 prediction)

On the shadow of the 12th July maandamano country-wide, UDA insiders are putting on a brave face and yet in the background are terribly worried about Azimio's looming check-mate move. A legal coup linked to the 10Million signatures taking advantage of a unique constitution that in their view gives too much power to the people.
Crazy BUT true reading;
The saying "the dead don't tell tales" has come to haunt police and a Kakamega town when the body of a lady who had been missing for more than a week was found after its location was revealed in a dream.
The strange episode has re-ignited the long-running argument over whether the dead may speak to the living and the applicability of "their messages" to those they may have talked to.

Police are unsure of whether to treat the person to whom the revelation was made as a whistle-blower or a suspect as the villagers speculate that the dream may be a testament to the deceased's desire for a proper funeral and her determination to see her killers brought to justice.


Watch related videos;

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Captivating read in the Sunday Nation this morning in the Weekly Review section on Tom Mboya. Confirms information available on this channel over 5 years ago on who killed Mboya and why.
Our series on Mboya: It was more than an assassination even gives you the name of the man who pulled the trigger and later died a miserable man full of regrets in Kenya (NOT Nahashon Njenga).
Victims of saba saba, some of them in serious condition.