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Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Who Do Terrorists Work For?

Guest Post by Blogger Mwarang'ethe

In the recent past, we have rejected the common wisdom that terrorists are Muslims fanatics working on behalf of their fellow Muslims, i.e. “framework of orientation.” Some readers of this blog have refused to take these assertions seriously. We revisit the story of the “Nigerian terrorist” who “attempted” to bomb the plane on the way to the USA on 25th December, 2009. We hope by the end of this piece, many will be more enlightened as to who these “terrorists” work for and why.

We start with an article appearing in the New York Times by Eric Lipton, Eric Schmit and Mark Mazzetti on 17th January, 2010. The title of the article is “Review of Jet Bomb Plot Shows More Missed Clues, available here.

Firstly, they tell us that, worried about possible terrorist attacks over the Christmas period, Obama met with senior security and intelligence officials on 22nd December, 2009. In a separate meeting, on the same day, Obama was informed of disturbing intelligence from Yemen that Al-Qaeda operatives were preparing to attack the USA especially on Christmas day. However, as we are told, for “unknown reasons”, “no one could connect the dots.”

This was despite the fact that, a UN expert on Al-Qaeda had in September warned USA policy makers that the same device that had been used in Saudi Arabia in an attempted assassination could be carried aboard a plane. More so, in November, 2009, the USA intelligence learned by “intercepting communications” from Yemen that a man named “Umar Farouk” had volunteered for a coming operation. Please note that these two names are the first two names of this Nigerian.

Furthermore, in later December, these so called “Al-Qaeda operatives in Yemen” mentioned the 25th December as the “good date” and suggested that they “looking for ways to get somebody out” or “for ways to move people to the West,” according to one senior administration official.

Going further, according to Michael Isikoff and Mark Hosenball of the Newsweek, “A White House report on the foiled Christmas Day attempted airliner bomber provided only the sketchiest of details about what may have been the most politically sensitive of its findings: how the White House itself was repeatedly warned about the prospect of an attack on the U.S. homeland by Al Qaeda operatives in Yemen.” Furthermore, they tell us that, “Still, the report refers, obliquely, to what appear to be significant information that had not previously been disclosed by the White House: U.S. intelligence analysts had “highlighted” an evolving “strategic threat” that Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula or AQAP (as the group in Yemen is known) “posed to the U.S. homeland.” See the story here.

However, the “shocker” came during hearings before the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee when current Director of the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), Michael E. Leiter, made a startling admission. According to the Congress Daily, it was reported that on 22nd January, 2010, the intelligence officials “have acknowledged the government knowingly allows foreigners whose names are on terrorist watch lists to enter the country in order to track their movement and activities."

Leiter is reported to have informed this Committee that: "I will tell you, that when people come to the country and they are on the watch list, it is because we have generally made the choice that we want them here in the country for some reason or another."

Furthermore, according to Congress Daily reporter Chris Strohm citing unnamed "intelligence official" confirmed that Leiter's statement reflected government policy and told the publication, "in certain situations it's to our advantage to be able to track individuals who might be on a terrorist watch list because you can learn something from their activities and their contacts."

When this saga started, the USA officials disclosed to the world that the Customs and Border Protection agency learned about Abdulmutallab only after the manifest for Northwest Flight 253 had been generated and the plane took off.

However, we now know this not true. We now know that the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency had information about alleged terrorist Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab three days before his departure from Amsterdam to Detroit. This is in accordance with the U.S rules that Under U.S. rules, airlines must transmit "passenger name record" data on passengers 72 hours before a flight leaves for the United States. According to Chris Strohm of the CongressDaily, the United States, and Delta, parent company of Northwest Airlines, met that time line for Abdulmutallab, according to officials. In fact, the Delta spokeswoman Susan Elliot was emphatic, "We were compliant with all requirements for submitting passenger information as it relates to the vetting process."

Now, considering that the names Umar Farouk were clearly known before hand from “Qaeda chats,” by the intelligence, further considering that contrary to earlier information, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency had information about Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab three days before his departure from Amsterdam to Detroit, furthermore, taking into account that we now know it is the policy of the USA government to allow well known terrorists to fly into American for “some reason or another” where does that leave the theory concocted by Obama that it was a of “failure to connect dots?”

More so, can one deny that it is entirely possible that these ruthless “choices” made for “some reason or another” which facilitate murder or attempted murder of innocent people while spreading fear are nothing but cynical ways of getting pretexts for advancement of imperialism's geostrategic goals around the world? Let the reader recall what we wrote about Yemen and the, African and Indian Ocean great scramble for big powers.

However, all this is always done in the name of protecting peace, freedom, justice, human rights and such jazz. More so, can we be assured that, the “expected terrorist attacks” by “Somalis terrorists” that Chris has been warning us about, will not be allowed for “one reason or another.”?

In Mein Kampf Hitler said that:

“The great masses of the people in the very bottom of their hearts tend to be corrupted rather than purposely or consciously evil... therefore ... they more easily fall a victim to a big lie than to a little one, since they themselves lie in little things, but would be ashamed of lies that were too big.”

It was a high-breed system that got us into the mess

I have been very pleasantly surprised.

My faith in miracles happening in the land called Kenya has been rekindled.

This has happened as I have watched in utter amazement at the unfolding events in Naivasha where the parliamentary select committee on the constitution has been building consensus over the draft constitution.

Still it is too early to pop the champagne yet. Just watch carefully the politicians who spring up controversy over parts already agreed on. The truth is that there is a small clique of politicians who are very determined that Kenya will NEVER have a new constitution. Their motive is simple. They will be completely unable to operate under a new constitution. They can only thrive and prosper under the current mess.

Which brings me to some words and phrases from Naivasha that I just loved. These words made me want to kiss such known crooks like Ababu Namwamba. I am talking about phrases like “pure presidential system” and “leadership that is accountable.”

Those two phrases ran very deep.

Firstly many Kenyans are not aware of it, but our current system is a high breed system picking from both the Westminster and US models. Is it any wonder that we ended up in such a mess? And the horror of it all is that we were going to jump from the frying pan into the fire proper with another high breed system (eti prime minister and president. My foot!!!). That is why the words “pure presidential system” was music to my ears. Wouldn’t you get nervous when somebody who has not learnt how to use a wheel )or a loaded gun for that matter) properly started attempting to modify it?

Usually pure systems already have inbuilt checks and balances. In a pure presidential system the powers of the president are checked by an independent judiciary and independent legislature. In fact these three key arms of government check each other by remaining independent of each other. Remember I said that I am great believer in keeping stuff simple, I always avoid the temptation to complicate things so as to show off just how much I know about a particular subject (a very common disease in Kenya).

And while every Kenyan is repeating the mantra that has been picked from a certain political party (down with an imperial presidency) we need to pause and think a little more about this imperial presidency thing. What we badly need in Kenya right now is a strong presidency able to get things done. And this brings me to the next phrase that got me all excited. And that is “accountable leadership.” Surely Kenyans do not expect to create a weak presidency and then hold it accountable. It just doesn’t work folks.

We do not need to fear the office of the president in a new constitution as long as we have a strong and independent legislature and judiciary.

I am aware of all the brilliant arguments in favour of a highbreed system with a two-pronged executive. This would have been perfect for a developed nation like South Africa. But not for Kenya where we have hardly scratched the surface of our enormous potential.

I never thought I would ever write the words I am ending this post with… but here I go.

Kudos PSC. You are doing Kenya proud. Finish what you started and Kenya will forever remember you.

Why is your blood boiling Kenyan?

Monday, January 25, 2010

Profiling Makes Us All Less Safe

By Mwarang'ethe

Without even informing us whatever the so called national security really means, in the last few months, Chris has informed us that Somalis are a threat to the Kenyan national security. Thus, while evoking such an ambiguous term, he has now implored us on the wisdom of “supporting” Saitoti in his crack down on Somalis in Eastleigh in Nairobi.

Anyway, the main issue here is not how to define the meaning of so called national security, but to show that, this kind of profiling we have adopted in the name of “fighting” terrorism, and which Chris is cheering in the name of fighting terrorism can only make us less safe.

Now, there are two kinds of profiling. We can use behavioural profiling which is based on how someone acts. The other profiling is automatic profiling which is based on names, nationality; the way one may the way a person buys a plane ticket etc. As an example of automatic profiling, in December, 2009, the USA government designated 14 nations whose nationalities must be subjected to more screening. The meaning is that people from these 14 countries are more likely to be terrorists than all other nations.

The behavioural profiling can be the most effective way of profiling. However, it is extremely hard to get it right. Consequently, national security people and media people, retort to automatic profiling as we see now in Kenya against Somalis. The question is, does this kind of profiling really work?

As a matter of evidence and reasoning, automatic profiling does not work. It does not work because the so called terrorists do not come in a neat profile that computers can pick. For instance, Timothy McVeigh was a white male American. The recent “terrorist,” by the name Mutallab, was a Nigerian. The shoe bomber, a Mr Richard Reid was a British with a Jamaican father. Germanaine Lindsay one of the alleged 7/7 bombers was an African from the Caribbean. Jose Padilla was an Hispanic American. The terrorist who blew the Russian planes in 2004 was a Chechen female. From this list, it is rather obvious that, terrorists do not come in one brand.

More so, this kind of profiling creates two paths through security system. In one path, there is less scrutiny and the other one there is more scrutiny. Once you have this two path security system, you invite the terrorist/criminals to use the path with less security. These criminals no doubt have the capability of analysing a profiling system and then adapt accordingly.

For instance, since Uganda is not among the 14 nations designated by the USA administration, what would stop a criminally minded person to relocate to Uganda for some time and then start his journey from Kampala to the USA?

From what we have said above, it seems more reasonable to have a system where we can randomly select people to be screened. For instance, if it is at the airport, why not have an idea whereby, every 20th passenger, unless is a toddler, will be subjected to a more through screening? With such a system, anyone could be subjected to security checks at any time.

The beauty of such an approach is that it does not anger the ethnic groups that we may need on our side if we are to be secure against criminals. Otherwise, with automatic profiling, you alienate the same people you want to cooperate.

Saturday, January 23, 2010

Kenya’s security: Stuff that Kenyans don’t want to know

My sincere apologies to all foreigners residing in Kenya either legally or illegally who are going through a terrible time of anxiety just now. I have lived in many foreign countries myself and I know exactly what you are feeling.

But please allow me to lay bare the bleak situation facing the country you have chosen to be your home either temporarily or permanently. A country that you would not have wanted to live in if it was not peaceful and secure for you to bring up your children in.

The truth is that Kenya will never be the same again. If you read my predictions for this year you will know that I predicted a successful strike by the Al-Shabab in Kenya. And if you have been following the news then you will know that so far this year there have already been at least two attempts to blow up something (and we are still in January).

But the questions that we should all be asking ourselves now is how did we get to where we are now?

Our intelligence people have known for years now that hundreds of Somali nationals stream into the country daily. Yes, DAILY. Kenyans have seen these foreigners arrive to start businesses in major towns in the country. Even without reading the numerous warnings that have been penned here in Kumekucha since 2005, we all watched Eastleigh change dramatically and start to grow at breakneck speed and we all knew that the people driving these changes were NOT local Somalis. One sure sign was their inability to speak or understand either English or Kiswahili.

Let me cut the long story short and say that we all knew a lot of stuff. And yet nothing was done.

Why?

I have no idea. But there are a few pointers that would need further investigation.

One is especially disturbing, at least to me. I strongly suspect that the government decided that the economic benefit of the illegal Somali immigrants was much greater than the immediate danger posed. If this is true then I can only shake my head in disgust and say that that was a very big mistake that Kenyans shall long live to regret and suffer. I have had the privilege of traveling to many hardship areas of our country. Courtesy of being the son of a policeman who got posted all over the place and always moved with his family. I have known Somalis for many years and I see ignorance in the minds of many Kenyans especially where they underestimate the capabilities of these people. I feel really sorry for all those “well educated” Kenyans who are sure that because they look stupid and slow in terms of mental capability then they are exactly that. Others believe that anybody who cannot speak English is surely not intelligent.

Well, did you know that in the infamous Jamia riots of last week, the CCTV (Close circuit security TV cameras) that cover most of the CBD were disabled by somebody who knew exactly what to steal at the National Archives area. And whoever it was knew exactly what they were doing because whatever they removed disabled the entire system. What that meant was that not only did looters have a field day but security personnel hardly have any footage to study so as to understand just how well co-ordinated the chaos at the Jamia incident were. Interestingly stones carefully targeted any journalist seen to be carrying cameras. And so it was easy for some of the protestors to carry firearms and use them.

Yep, just keep on underestimating Somalis at your own peril. These are the guys who made short work of the dreaded American Marines and the Navy seals as well in Somalia during the Clinton administration.

I appreciate the fact that shortly after my post last week, Internal Security minister George Saitoti moved with speed and did what should have been done 15 years ago. However I dare add that it is way too late.

Somali nationals have infiltrated into Kenya and most of them have Kenyan identity cards (meaning that they can get voters cards and strongly influence our politics as they have done in Kamukunji constituency, just ask former MP Norman Nyagah). Somalis also have lots of cash. It would not be impossible for them to field a presidential candidate in the next general elections and using their numbers (estimated at over 2 million together with local Somalis) and their cash, they have a fighting chance of getting their man into State House and changing Kenya into another Iran before your very eyes.

Folks, now is the time to bury all our political differences and to give full support to Internal security Minister George Saitoti in the imposible task he has ahead of him. We desperately need to deal with the immediate danger otherwise we may not have a country left to squabble over amongst ourselves.

I believe that this is the final warning you will see in this blog concerning this extremely serious threat. I have already been branded a Somali-hater by some of my valued readers here and therefore I will now fall back to my usual tactic of remaining silent even as stuff unfolds. Or perhaps discuss the weather and other things. What more can I do now?

God help Kenya.

See previous article; Do those making decisions know enough about Somalis?

Friday, January 22, 2010

The New Constitution is Void AB INITIO

Guest Post by Blogger Mwarang'ethe

INTRODUCTION

Kenyans have spent a fortune in search of a new constitutional dispensation. It is thus in order that we are now witnessing fretfulness and feverishness in expectation of change. However, we wish to warn Kenyans that all this expense shall be in vain. This must be so because, every new law must of necessity be injurious which is not adapted to that form of society which perfectly agreeable to nature and justice. Thus, any law that is drafted in ignorance of natural law principles, as this Draft Constitution has been, instead of being a staff of honesty and shield, must become a two – edged sword of craft and oppression.

In expressing this uncompromising and bitter truth, we are addressing the court of reason. However, at the same time, we are aware that there are few judges in this court. Furthermore, these already a few judges are too indolent to inquire diligently into the causes of present misery in Kenya. Nevertheless, we must address them because blessed are those who hunger and thirst for justice, for they shall be satisfied. More so, they are not only the salt of the earth, but, they are also the light which places the lamp of knowledge in the dark places.

SOLE OBJECTIVE OF LAW REFORMS

Let go straight to the point. The sole objectives of any law reform are twofold. It is to assure safety of our property and the security of persons. Consequently, all the political commotion we see is all about right to property, i.e. who shall own the wealth generated in the commonwealth. Thus, without addressing this matter conclusively, we are wasting time. Furthermore, to the extent that safety of our property is not assured in any constitutional dispensation, it must follow as the day follows the night that, even safety of our persons is not assured.

RIGHT TO PROPERTY AS BASIS OF SOCIETY

According to Locke while agreeing with Cicero taught us that:

“That the great and chief end of men’s uniting into commonwealths, and putting themselves under government is PRESERVATION of their property.”

Also, Mr Mills expressed the same opinion taught us that:

“The end be obtained through government as the means, is to make that distribution of the scanty materials of happiness, which would ensure the greatest sum of it to the members of the community, taken altogether, preventing every individual or combination of individuals from interfering with that distribution, or making any man to have less than his share.”

In simple words, what these wise men taught us is this. It is for reasons of preservation of property which existed before any government is formed, do men unite under a government. What this means is that, the right of property is the KEY – STONE of a society. Therefore, the right to property is the basis of the political edifice. What this means is this. To the extent that, right of property is a natural right, not created by legislation and therefore, a principle derived from the laws of the universe, all its results must be determined at all times by those laws. Consequently, the legislator ought to ascertain these laws before he legislates. This means that before he takes any step to protect right of property, he must find out by serious study what are the first principles of this right. Let us now demonstrate how this important step has been ignored.

RIGHT TO PROPERTY IN NATURAL & DIVINE LAW

Among the African, Red Indians, Maori of New Zealand, Aborigines of Australia, the traditions and customs of right to land/natural resources are these. Land is a gift from the Creator and therefore, a common property. This meant that, one could farm, graze his animals and hunt on the land freely. However, the fruits of one’s labour, i.e. his millet, his cows, goats etc and the dear he shot, were his private property. This was a remarkable distinction between common property and private property which a modern lawyer and a philosopher has no clue.

In the Bible, we find similar message. The Lord told Moses in Mount Sinai that:

“The land shall not be sold for ever: for the land is mine; for ye are strangers and sojourners with me.” (Leviticus 25:23) Also, in Psalms 24:1, the Lord says, “The earth is the Lord’s.” What this meant is simple. Israel’s were to hold land in fee from Him. Thus, the ground itself, then, was not a proper object of sale, but only the result of man’s labour on the ground. It is for this reason, the wise man Solomon taught us that: “Moreover the profit of the earth is for all: the King himself is served by the field.” The similarity between African, Indian, Maori and Aborigine people and Mosaic Law is striking.

In England during the era of Saxons and Normans, and up to the end of feudalism, land was held along these lines. All land belonged to the Crown who held it as a trustee or a steward. Those who held land directly from the King were called tenants in capite (tenants in chief). The land these tenants in chief occupied was called demesne land. The rest of the land which was called mesne was granted to others who held it indirectly from the Crown on similar conditions. These mesne tenants could also grant others land under similar conditions. However, the most important point is that, all these people, held land for rent in service or in money or in kind. As a result of these arrangements, the cost of the government was from land rent.

CORRUPTION OF RIGHT TO PROPERTY

However, with time, the tenants in chief refused to remit the rent to the Crown. However, they forgot to stop taking rent from their sub tenants. This was the start of an era where privilege started to be divorced from obligation whereby, land was being treated as unconditionally owned private property in fact, but, not in law.

This development had very grave consequences. One, the Crown was starved of funds to run the government. This required introduction of taxation of citizen’s labour. The imposition of tax on the poor who had already lost their land resulted in poverty and crime in England. To hide this problem, the English government introduced Poor Relief law and punitive punishment of using modern prisons and capital punishment. Today, they call the Poor Relief the so called Welfare, but, it is the same Poor Relief law which was enacted when many people lost their birthright to land. The other consequence was that, having retained land free of duty, i.e. rent for public purse, the few grew very wealthy. From this wealthy generated from rent which rightly belongs to the Crown, they started lending the Crown loans with interest. To pay these loans, the English government had to incur further public expenditure which increased taxation even further.

UNHOLY TRINITY OF MODERN STATE

It is this corrupt and inequitable system which developed in England, we cheerfully and ignorantly inherited. As a result, we now have an unholy trinity of TAXATION of incomes, POVERTY and WELFARE. Under this trinity, taxation causes poverty because it falls hardest on the poor. Poverty necessitates Poor Relief which is euphemistically now called welfare. The funding for welfare calls for more taxation which further increases poverty. This creates a vicious circle which is broken by borrowing.

However, since it is impossible to repay these loans and interests, the governments must sink into more debts to be met with more taxation. As we all know, this leads to serious inflation which again bites the poorest most. And, mark you, this borrowing is from those who hold land, but, do not remit rent that is due to the State although they continue to collect rent from the poor. This is one the worst defect of modern state and without its reform, poverty and conflict will be with us.

MODERN LAND LAW

In the modern English law on land, we find this. There are two basic doctrines in the law of real property. These are known as:

  • (a) The doctrine of tenures: all land is held of the Crown, either directly or indirectly, on one or other of the various tenures, and
  • (b) The doctrine of estates: a subject cannot own land, but can merely own an estate in it, authorizing him to hold it for some period of time.

What is crystal clear, but, not to a modern lawyer, is that, under the current land law in England which we have accepted is this, all those who call themselves land owners in Kenya, as a matter of law are not land owners. They only own an estate in that land. The question that we must ask is this. So, who owns the land in Kenya then? The answer is obvious. It is owned by all Kenyans as a common property. It is remarkable that, the modern English land law takes us back to where we started about African traditions law and customs of land. The question is, if those who call themselves land owners are tenants of all Kenyans, where is the rent due for holding this land? Or, what is the consideration for holding this land?

The answer is that, those who call themselves owners of land in Kenya have not been paying their dues to those who own land. This means that, the government we had since 1963 did not meet the requirement that the chief end and aim of a government is to preserve the existing property of those who form a government. This being the case, one the major aim of the current constitution reforms should have been about securing the birthright to land i.e. property, that a few robbers have dared rob for so long. The question is, has the Draft Constitution done this?

We answer with bitter disappointment that, it has not come even close to this. This is not surprising for lawyers who are like priests of the Middle Ages, blend technical competence with plain and fancy hocus-pocus to make themselves masters of their fellow men. Thus, they are only versed with technicalities of conveyancing which is a means of attaining reputation and wealth to understand what they are doing. Being what they are, they can only amend some of these technicalities and some trivial discrepancies of detail. They do this while blindly assuming to be correct that which reason teaches is an error. Thus, since they are experts in what is law and not what law ought to be, they can only recommend the continuation of an error while only pruning the most revolting consequences of the same.

To the extent this draft has not addressed the lost birthright to land, i.e. right to property; we are still stuck with the unholy trinity of taxation, poverty and welfare. The only way to end this vicious circle that bleeds ignorance and conflict is to require the King to live on his own as they expressed in England when land rent was collected to run the affairs of the government. It is in accordance with this doctrine, Sir John Fortescue (Lord Chief Justice 1442) expressed in clear and unambiguous terms that, it is only in case of overmuch exorbitant for suppression of rebellion, the defence of the realm to repel invasion was it thought right and necessary that people should be taxed.

To many Kenyans, the problem is the executive. To this we answer. This is mere delusion and fantasy borne out of confusion of thought fostered by brainwashing of modern education if one can call it education, the pulpit, the legislature and the media which are all under the control of the land lords. We say this because, political organisation very much depends on the mode in which property is distributed. Whenever the right to property is placed on the proper foundation, the oppression and its offspring’s, i.e. ignorance and poverty it with all their dreadful consequences are unknown. However, whenever the foundation of property is rotten as this draft proposes, freedom cannot exist and justice cannot be administered. This is so because history bears witness to the following facts:

The rules which regulate the manner in which land can be owned, and used, and disposed of, must always be the very greatest importance to the state. The STABILITY of the state and the WELLBEING of its citizens at all times depend, to no small extent, on its land law. This is true today as it was in the earlier period of history.

For heaven’s sake, if you have not secured the foremost natural right i.e. inalienable birth right to land, how dare you deceive humanity that you can secure those other so called human rights you call right to food, clothing, access to justice and shelter among others that you put so nicely in this constitution?

Therefore, concurring with Chief Justice Coke, we call upon all men of reason to join us, in saying that, when any man made law is against common right and reason, the common law will control it, and adjudge such law to be void. Therefore, as demonstrated in this short essay, this so called new constitution is in utter violation and in fact in contempt of both Natural and Divine Law. Thus, it cannot assure the safety of our property and our personal safety. For these reasons, it is void ab initio and the nation cannot claim not to have been forewarned. In God’s name, stop this robbery of the poor and weak.

Presidency: Reducing Institution to Personality

By Guest Writer

Come on Kenyans, let us get our priorities right for once and have the cart behind the horse. This animal called the presidency is the singular source of all the ills afflicting Kenya and until we rectify and straighten that institution we will only succeed in bandaging a festering wound with devastating consequences.

The constitutional order was never the problem for Kenya. Rather, the problem has been and will always remain the abused institution of the presidency, debased by tribal shenanigans and left to rot by a "below-the-threshold" civic consciousness, low energy and rudderless political participation by the Kenyan people.

To create a proper constitutional presidency takes thorough-going measures to establish formal permanent structures to manage the presidency. These structures must create a process for how the presidency functions; develop goals and action plans for achieving presidential agenda, time frames and a reporting mechanism for the accomplishments of the presidency. Kenyans can then begin to make sense of the institution, weigh its actions against its goals and agenda and, evaluate its excesses based on a known set of parameters referencing constitutional provisions and limits of presidential action.

As things stand, the presidency in Kenya operates by rule of the thumb, has a limited executive apparatus consisting of a state comptroller, a press secretary and a security details. Think about it, how can this outfit effectively manage presidential programs?! The president's involvement in national issues, under these circumstances, becomes residual and the presidential routine includes such mundane roles as signing legal notices, receiving ambassadors credentials, attending ceremonial functions etc.

Lords of Impunity
There is much more that a broadened presidency can do. It can act as a centre for the expeditious implementation of important socio-economic agenda that meets the expectations of the people.

Institutions that are not held accountable never reformed or restructured in any way become derelict. If Kenyans can separate the presidency from the president, the executive, as an institution, from the president and, if focused attention can be paid to the structure and facility of these institutions, they have a chance to function as organs for the pursuit of the integrity of the state.

Instead, we have a presidency without a structure, an administration that functions as the superintendent of the permanent bureaucracy, a government that reels under the disruptive impact of new dynamics associated with new administrations, absence of transitional structures to anchor the bureaucracy from the degenerative effects of administration change. The presidency has, historically, produced political impunity and hawkish ethnic power centres. All these elements sour the political landscape and make good governance untenable.

A president that knows he/she functions under the watch of an institutional rather than an individualized presidency, will, in most cases, be controlled and limited in what he/she can arbitrarily do or allow to be done.

Return of Imperialism
Any constitution, old or new, that does not guarantee the rule of law, that allows the president to feel and act as an omnipotent deity, that tempts tribes to want power so desperately, will never be a good constitution. Anytime a good constitution is combined with bad institutions the resultant practices and political behaviours will undermine the rule of law. This will often create the impression that the constitution is the problem. Nothing can be further from the truth.

In a nutshell we are not starring hell in the face for lack of preachers. Far from it, we have collectively and unwittinly allowed pretenders and little devils to lead us by the hand to hellhole.

We must hold our leaders to account so that they match the letter and spirit of our laws, period.

The Big Question of the Week

Was an expensive retreat really necessary just to give Kenyans the same current constitution but dressed up in colorful distractions?

Now joking has acquired a new meaning altogether. But we must have sen it coming, didn't we? Well, welcome to JOKERS REPUBLIC.

Bottom line, the LAW IS AN ASS. What is more, man was both EVIL and the law is to keep him on a tight leash. Until we get cultured as a nation defined by values, the written law's spirit will be shredded by the living devils ruling us.

Thursday, January 21, 2010

325 MPs: PSC's Paradox of Presidential System

It must be such an obtuse paradox to have parliamentarians as authors of a presidential system of governance. Well, if the imperial presidency is synonymous with impunity, then the parliamentary system is a poor acceptance of tribal tension among Kenyans.

Kenyans have been unanimous in demanding one centre of power. Consequently, the PSC meeting in Naivasha have taken cue to settle for presidential system of governance. So far the whole PSC business smacks of smartly-disguised mischief.

What a lucky and privileged lot? Not only do they set and increase their own salaries, this time around they have upped the game by creating more constituencies for themselves.

Now we have PSC members determining a cap of 325 MPs. Which leaves you wondering what were their parameters in their hurry to jump the gun. Here we have people enslaved with the present political dispensation selfishly prescribing a future manual and structure of governance.

It appears the Kenyan voter hasn't seen the last of these scoundrels. One would be forgiven for believing the MPs when they shamelessly wax patriotic and pseudo objective until they start voting on weighty matters using their stomachs and mouths.

But you cannot blame the MPs who are only flying their Principal's flag. Lack of leadership from the TOP proved a clear abdication of responsibility. This saw the PSC being entrusted with an enormous task that the real power men never even pretended to solve.

Well, plastic patriotism may make us shout in denouncing those classifying us as a failed state. But the reality remains we are in the same cesspool as that hosting Mugabe and Tsvamgirai.

Kenya may not be Zimbabwe (spelling and pronunciation) but the common thread through both countries is the beautiful MIRAGE of a new constitution.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Xenophobia and Mau Unites Karua and Ruto

They play in opposite sides of the political field occasionally throwing choicest epithets at each other. But on demanding humane treatment of victims of official harassment, Hons. Karua and Ruto play on the same team for the same goal: FAIRNESS.

While Ruto took the PM head on demanding HUMANE EVICTIONS from Mau forest, Karua is roasting Saitoti for allowing police to use excessive force in breaking last Friday's protest. True to the hen-egg adage, which came first: the floods/trees for Ruto or human rights/security for madam Martha?

Here are two presidential candidates walking the talk. And Karua should know when she barracks Saitoti for a failed intelligence gathering. Her fidelity to the law can only earn her more admirers if not more voters. She stands tall and tough when no man dares raise his neck as evident during the post-election storm.

As for Ruto, his focus and bare knuckles approach to matters he consider close to his political cause can only raise his standing. After defying Moi and succeeding against all odds, nobody knows better how to fell a political giant.

These two presidential candidates have introduced a breathe of fresh air to political competition based on ISSUES. Karua knows human rights must not be compromised at whatever cost. Even Al-Shabaab sympathizers have rights and what is more, they are Africans and Kenyans to boot. Eastleigh and Kenya would be much poorer without these enterprising lot.

Meanwhile Ruto's selfless fight for the downtrodden sets a new standard for true leadership. Nobody could have been far-sighted than an Agriculture Minister promising a nationwide tree planting instead of selective actions media tokenism witnessed in Mau last Friday. Ruto has reminded us that tree planting is like infant immunization that can be postponed till the right time.

It is no coincidence that events of last Friday provided the platform on which these two great politicians launched their constructive campaigns against xenophobia and government harassment of her citizens.

Kenya can only get better. Kudos to the principled iron lady Karua and the indomitable honest Ruto. You have both painfully planted and the bounty harvest from your common constituency constituting the harassed will not disappoint.

Sunday, January 17, 2010

Deadly Police killers Part 4



Deadly Police killers Part 4

I will end this series with some very interesting information I have just gotten from one of my informants.

They start by refuting my story earlier this week where I said that Maj gen Ali’s survival outside prison is favoured by current International politics.

He assures me that sources close to the American embassy have assured him that Ali is a marked man by the Americans. He is sure that the only way Ali will possible ever gain access into the US is in handcuffs to face trial. Apparently the Americans are really pushing behind the scenes for Hague to indict Ali for crimes against humanity. Apparently it will be difficult for Ali to implicate his superiors and those he took orders from, even if he wanted to.

Interestingly the other two names that never leave Ocampos’ lips are those of Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto. However chances of a successful prosecution against Uhuru Kenyatta appear to be getting dimmer by the day. Three police executions have buried all possible evidence. Namely the two Oscar foundations executions and that of the Mungiki spokesman Njuguna Gitau. The Oscar foundation had a thick dossier on Ali and Uhuru that would have made Ocampo’s day. And Gitau was Uhuru Kenyata’s link to the Mungiki when he financed deadly attacks in Naivasha against non-Kikuyus in retaliation to what had been done to the community in the Rift Valley. It is widely recognized that the Naivasha killings ended eneded the post elections violence when it was realized just how devastating a Kikuyu retaliation could be. This is one reason why Uhuru is a hero to many in the Kikuyu community.

Ali and Ruto were not able to possibly ‘destroy’ all the evidence to cover their crimes and are definitely destined for an appointment with Ocampo.

The sad news is that as long as the current political class remains in power and for as long as state security continues to be an issue of national importance police killings will remain. Albeit maybe not at the scale that Kenyans have witnessed in the recent past.


Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

See previous weekend special

Deadly Police killers Part 3



Deadly Police killers Part 3
The very first thing that Mwai Kibaki did on taking over power was to ask for a detailed report from the major security agencies in the country. It was clear to the then delighted Kenyans that the new president considered fighting crime as one of his top priorities.

It was also apparent that the president had some very clear ideas on how exactly to go about combating crime and insecurity in the country. Increasing the number of police officers was one of them. However this hardly had the desired effect and the frustration of the new administration was clear as Mwai Kibaki’s first year in power dragged on. At one point the president even started threatening criminals in his public speeches.

From the various reports the government received it had emerged that the police (even with the injection of new ideas) was losing the fight against criminals. More drastic action was urgently required.

Now, during the Kenyatta administration whenever the spate of bank robberies increased in the country police would be ordered to hunt known bank robbers and to shoot them on site. One or two shootings later, criminals would start surrendering guns to the police and promising to behave themselves. It was clear that Mwai Kibaki’s mind was still firmly fixed in this long past era. And this is where the idea of using brutal methods to deal with crime in Kenya were first mooted. To implement this, a soldier was appointed to the post of police commissioner. And this is how the then Brigadier Hussein Ali ended up at Vigilance House. The minister in charge at the time was Chris Murungaru a close confidante of president Kibaki for many years. Soldiers are trained to kill whilst policemen are trained in law enforcements methods. The two are as different as night is from day. And this is the reason why Ali’s appointment at first puzzled many close security observers.

It is quite possible that Ali’s methods of fighting crime would never have been detected had it not been for the Mungiki menace. Still what remains puzzling to this writer is how Ali despite being a very intelligent man convinced himself that he could oversee the killing of so many people and still get away with it. More so in this age of satellite “spying” where it is virtually impossible to do anything major in the world and completely get away with it. Was it ignorance of the law? After all soldiers hardly get any training in legal matters.

The Kumekucha figures as to the number of people who were killed by Ali’s killing machine in clamping down on the Mungiki menace alone is close to 5,000. That is a figure many have sneered at here in this blog and has been ridiculed but I am still convinced that it is the figure closest to the truth. Unknown to many Kenyans Ali’s killing machine had also perfected methods of disposal of bodies. There were various tactics employed. One was to transport bodies to morgues very far away from where those people lived. A person could be killed in Nairobi and the body dumped at a Garissa morgue. Sometimes a Nairobi body would be dumped in nearby Machakos. But think about it for a moment, would you ever think of looking for a missing relative who lived in Nairobi even in nearby Machakos? Very unlikely although one lucky family was tipped off and found their loved one in Machakos.

The other method was to dump the body at the Nairobi national park. This one was ingenious. In 1975 the police dumped the body of the then Nyadarua North legislator, JM Kariuki in Ngong Forest where there are wild animals. All would have gone well but so determined were the police that he should never be recognized that they poured acid on his face and parts of the body to make positive identification impossible. In pouring the acid, this actually prevented most wild animals from feeding on the burning flesh (burning from acid), at least until a Masai herdsman discovered it. Incidentally JM Kariuki’s widow ended up identifying the body from a scar in his inner thigh, where the acid did not reach.

Now when you dump a dead body in the National park without pouring any acid on it, chances are that within a few days there will be no trace left. First the Hyenas will get to it. Hyenas even chew the hard bones of bigger animals and so imagine what they would do to supple human bones. And then when they are done there are the scavengers hovering all over the place. Not to mention the ants and worms in the bushes who usually clean up any remnants. In this way thousands of bodies disappeared without trace and without any evidence.

So experienced and efficient did the Ali killing machine become that by the time the post election troubles came in early 2008, the ingenious method of throwing some of the Kisumu bodies into Lake Victoria was quickly mooted.

Admittedly most of the stories told about the killings that Maj gen Hussein Ali supervised in his tenure as police commissioner sound like fiction straight out of a spy thriller. Indeed this is Ali’s best defense, to say that the stories are too incredible to be true. Sadly the truth is that most are true.

Still during the aftermath of the botched presidential elections a close informant of mine who lives in Nyayo High rise estate had an interesting encounter. They called me at about 8 am to say that they couldn’t sleep because there was constant gunfire in neighbouring Kibera. They reported that the gunfire went on the whole night without ceasing and only petered off in the early morning at around 5 am. Now there are no Somalis living in Kibera and therefore you can safely rule out the idea of anybody exchanging fire with the police. Can we assume that all those bullets were missing their mark? Or perhaps the police were shooting at rats (there are plenty of those in the slums)?

Also remember that the poor folks at Kibera have no idea where the newspaper offices are. Majority of them would be terrified after a relative is killed by the police. Who would protect them if they reported a police killing? It is this mostly innocent blood crying out from the ground that will definitely not leave Maj gen Ali and his superiors in peace until justice is done, however long that takes.

To be continued

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

Previous Weekend special

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Deadly Police killers Part 2




Deadly Police killers Part 2

The Kenya police has a long history of being brutal and when one examines the very beginnings of the force it all begins to make more sense.

Press reports in Kenya have always maintained that Ali was the very first military man to be appointed police commissioner. This is NOT true. The very first commissioner of police was a soldier (Brig.Gen.F.S. Edward who served from 1908 to 1922). In fact as early as 1909 Edward himself noted that the military element had been promoted at the expense of police training, as a result of which a training depot was established in Nairobi in 1911 together with a small fingerprint section.

But perhaps the peak of brutality for the “Kinya” police (as the colonialists pronounced it) was during the emergency. The first thing that the colonial government did to deal with the Mau mau menace was to greatly expand the numbers in the force. Now you know where one Mwai Kibaki may have gotten his idea of how to easily deal with escalating crime when he took over power in 2003. The other thing they did was to stop playing things by the book. In other words this meant untold brutality torture and killing of many innocent people. This tactic was quite effective in snuffing out the Mau mau rebellion. And again now you know where the Kibaki administration may have gotten the idea of not playing things by the book of which Maj Gen Ali’s appointment as police commissioner was key.

There was a honeymoon period for the police when Kenya gained her independence in 1963. The injustices in the police that happened over this period were mainly to do with appointments. A handful of very able men including an excellent Luo officer were overlooked for the post of police commissioner in favour of a Kikuyu man who was hurriedly transferred from the Special branch called Bernard Hinga. You have to realize that until independence very few and carefully selected Kikuyus were recruited into the police or any armed force in the country. This is because they were mainly considered to be disloyal and unpredictable. Kambas were greatly favoured followed by other tribes like the Luo. So considering the numbers alone the chances of a kikuyu being the first commissioner of police were very slim indeed.

But even more instructive was the man appointed to take Bernard Hinga’s place at the Special Branch. His name was James Kanyotu.

Evidence that I have gathered seems to suggest that as 1964 came to a close the Kenyatta government had come to the realization that the celebratory honeymoon was over and they needed to put their house in order. Alarming developments in other African countries like frequent coups, including neighbouring Zanzibar (where there was a bloody revolution engineered by a Ugandan policeman) quickly caused paranoia in the Kenyatta administration and pushed security of the state to the top of the government’s priority list. What security of the state meant was really security of the president and indeed the very survival of his government.

The result was that all enemies, real and imagined, had to be identified and dealt with long before they made their moves. Bernard Hinga headed the special branch until the end of 1964 and at the time this police department mainly gathered and analyzed information and there were no “executions” as such carried out.

Advisors to the Kenyatta administration pointed out that even developed countries like Great Britain and the United States had state security organs that dealt with threats viciously and the young Kenyan administration could not pretend that such an arrangement was not necessary in these shores.

It is very telling that barely within two months of the appointment of James Kanyotu in February 1965, the first “police execution” took place. Pio Gama Pinto was reversing from his house when a lone gun man appeared from nowhere and shot him dead.

How was Pinto a threat to national security?

Many local writers have speculated that his leanings towards communism were the reason. Actually the real reason was that courageous Pinto had actually confronted the President at parliament buildings a few weeks earlier over his personal land grabbing and the corrupt ways of his government. Eyewitnesses say that Kenyatta retorted by calling Pinto a bastard and without thinking Pinto told the head of state that he too was a bastard. Everybody who was there was stunned. It is likely that Kanyotu felt that if Pinto was allowed a little room he would develop a formidable opposition to the Kenyatta government. In fact Pinto had been Kenyatta’s fund raiser at the most difficult time of the latter’s political career and there were few political fundraisers at the time that were as effective as Pinto. This is closer to the truth as to why Kanyotu gave the order for Pinto’s life to be terminated.

As I have said before in this blog, Pinto’s assassination and Tom Mboya’s killing 4 years later had a lot of uncanny similarities that point directly to the police, or rather the secret arm of the police being responsible. However there was one big difference. Kanyotu was an impeccable man who carefully covered his tracks and only started making serious mistakes many years later, late into the Moi administration and even then his mistakes were very few. Kanyotu must have noted that in the Pinto assassination a man who was not a police officer was used and it became clear that there were many problems with this approach including possible leakages later. And that is why I tend to believe information made available to me that the man who actually pulled the trigger to end Mboya’s life was in fact a police officer. The late Ben Gethi. The man later arrested for the murder Nahashon Njenga, a Kanu activist and youth winger who was personally known to Mboya, had an uncanny resemblance to Gethi.

All the assassinations done during the Kenyatta era were carried out by the Special branch and with the knowledge and nod from the director of intelligence James Kanyotu himself. Now when the Moi era commenced, there was again a honeymoon period where all political detainees were released and police executions stopped. It seems that while Moi still received regular briefings from his intelligence chief James Kanyotu, he shied away from authorizing killings. To Moi’s credit, even after the 1982 coup he favored detention without trial to killings. He was probably still too disgusted at what he had seen during the Kenyatta era. Even the Ouko murder was not really ordered but was rather a spontaneous thing that happened in the heat of the moment although the Special branch was used to track the foreign minister’s every move and to later to help cover up the murder.

You must also remember that it was during the Moi era that the Special branch was abolished and replaced by the National Security Intelligence Services (NSIS) which unlike the special branch has no legal arresting powers. Actually its’ predecessor, the special branch thrived on the arrest and brutal torture of its’ subjects to verify and get information. It is for this reason that many old hands wondered how the new NSIS would work.

This is very important to keep in mind because the Kibaki administration met this kind of arrangement when he took over office in 2003.

To be continued

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

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Previous weekend special

Deadly Police killers Part 1



Deadly Police killers Part 1

It was approaching mid 2008 and two different incidents happened in quick succession. The first was a warning that my true identity and location was known to certain persons hell-bent on hiding the truth from Kenyans at all costs. These people had been linked to various assassinations that at that point were only “rumours published in Kumekucha.” The second was when out of the blue one of my most impeccable and reliable security informants warned me to lie low and ensure that my identity was never known to this same group. My two informants did not know each other, I was sure of that. And so the timing of their warnings unsettled me greatly. I realized then that my life was really in danger.

Still I hesitated. What if both were wrong? Besides I had been very careful all along, surely there was no way they could find me. And so I did a little more checking and digging. Some sources assured me that all was well. But one or two others told me that I was a marked man because I had disclosed information that was way too sensitive in my blog and what made matters worse is that the information had reached the wrong “foreigners” who were now going to cause a lot of trouble. Since I knew too much and would most probably be called upon to help unearth the truth later, I could no longer be ignored.

Running for dear life can be a strange thing. The first thing that happens is panic. I did not realize how panicked I was until a friend who was helping me asked me a direct question; who exactly wanted to kill you? My mind went blank. It seemed that I had forgotten all the distinct incidents and happenings that had led me to that conclusion. It took two different lengthy dossiers for me to pinpoint the exact source of my fears with barely plausible motives as to why anybody would want to end my life prematurely.

In retrospect what happened in the weeks and months that followed confirmed that my information was correct as people who knew much less than I did ended up dead, execution-style. I am convinced to this day that had I not shifted locations when I did, things would have been very different.

It is important to remember that when I had my troubles almost nobody believed that there was a police execution unit at work in Kenya. And you really couldn’t blame them because they did not know as much as I knew on the subject.

This weekend I hope to help you dear readers of Kumekucha to understand a lot more about the reign of terror of one Maj Gen Hussein Ali and the reason why the Americans will not leave him alone even after he left the police to be postmaster general. His reign of terror as police commissioner is unprecedented although the truth is that police killings did not start with him.

And so let’s start in the next post with a history of the brutal nature of the Kenya police shall we?

To be continued

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

P.S. Warnings here in Kumekucha about the time bomb that is Eastleigh have been numerous and started at least two years ago. The government as usual ignored them. The violence yesterday at the Jamia mosque in Nairobi caused many Kenyan Muslims to hang their heads in shame. And there is very little that they can now do to cleanse their image in the eyes of other Kenyans. After all who will believe that the so called Muslim youth who caused chaos are all from Somalia and are resident in the country (mostly illegally)? Who can differentiate between them and the local peace loving Muslims? Some deaths were caused yesterday… and for what? For a radical muslim cleric who has suddenly found that there is no airline in the world willing to carry him (even those from muslim countries?) A man who came into Kenya through Tanzania and yet the same Tanzania refused to follow the usual protocol where the radical cleric should have retraced his steps back to where he came from? By the way Tanzania has majority of the population listed as being Muslims.

So how differently should have the Kenyan government handled this Faisal chap who promotes the killing of innocent women and children and claims that his is a religious crusade? Should he have been invited for a cup of coffee in State house? Maybe flown back to Jamaica on the presidential jet? Please!!!!!

It is really annoying for illegal immigrants from a neighbouring country to cause so much chaos and disturb the peace in our country after they have caused such serious problems in their own country so that it is now inhabitable. It would seem that they want to do the same to our beloved Kenya. How dare you come into my peaceful house as a guest and then start breaking stuff and behaving as if it is your house? Hon George Saitoti please wake up and do something drastic!!

I have personally witnessed a man of Somalian descent being denied entry into Tanzania by immigration officers at Namanga. That tells you why Tanzania will never have such silly problems.

If I was Saitoti I would literally shut down Eastleigh right away. As I said in a post over a year ago. It is probably too late to do anything sane now. And that means that the only way to solve the problem is to do it with radical and bold strokes (whatever the consequences). Unless of course we want Nairobi to rapidly degenerate into another Mogadishu soon.

Previous weekend Special

Friday, January 15, 2010

CoE Betrayed Kenya, Planted Deadly Tension

The wide gulf between the two leading political camps on the new draft constitution beggars the question, whose views did the committee of experts (CoE) gather and synthesize? In fact the VP has already challenged the CoE to table the raw views.

Something is not quite right here. Either the CoE betrayed their mandate and deceived Kenyans by ignoring their views or the political shenanigans are back to what they know best by stroking tension in preparation for 2012.

Our politicians have thrown posterity to the dogs. Meanwhile they continue to hold us collectively hostage by the fear and interests of personalities. And the CoE did us no favour with the hybrid proposal that thought was a master stroke to bridge the divide but instead seems to be even driving the wedge deeper.

The last few days brings back the tension and division of referendum 2005 live. The coalition mongrel is tottering in the brink of collapse. Already ministers are publicly pulling in opposite direction pandering and aligning themselves for 2012.

Deceit manifests itself in various shapes and forms including contempt packaged as silence. Just look at all the nonsensical standoff between the PM and President on tree planting in Mau. The whole episode leaves you wondering and marvelling at the folly of inverted priorities.

Unless some sombre leadership prevails, the impeding referendum will do more damage and leave the country more polarized like never seen before. That would be the perfect catalyst to spark inferno come 2012.

Something or somebody must stop these selfish politicians from playing Russian Roulette with Kenya. The Katiba mirage is fast fading in the horizon.

P.S. Don't miss the sizzling weekend special this weekend;

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Deadly International Politics Favours Maj. Ali

...even as he is denied a Visa To America on official business
Retired Maj gen Ali in his "killing" uniform.
Politics is a very dirty game and no matter how clean and good-intentioned one is when they start out, sooner or later they are bound to find themselves wallowing in the “muddy waters of political expediency” out of necessity.

An extremely fascinating scenario is beginning to play out between the Kenyan government and the Americans (as I predicted in my column on predictions for this year, only that I thought it would take a couple of weeks at the very least, and not mere days.) Retired Maj general Ali, the former police commissioner has been denied a visa to visit the United States on official duty in his capacity as post master general. All his subordinates including his personal assistant were all quickly granted visas to travel to the US of A on the same trip.

But now comes the really interesting part. And that is the reaction of the United States Ambassador to Kenya Mr Reinberger. On being asked about Ali, his first response is that the press does NOT have their facts right. All he can say, he adds with a straight face, is that Ali was denied a visa to travel, implying that no permanent Visa ban has been slapped on Ali. Now that’s a really puzzling answer coming from the Americans considering that many Kenyans have already received a Visa ban for much less mischief than the atrocities that Ali has been linked to (I reveal these shocking atrocities in my Weekend special this weekend titled Police killers. Don’t miss it.)

Let me tell you good folks about the politics playing out in the background in Ali’s case. The Americans are currently keen to do business with the man whom Ali was taking orders from when he committed the said atrocities against Kenyans and chances are that avoidance of a complete Visa ban for Ali will be an extra bargaining chip on the table. And so if all goes well, the good general will be free to travel to the United States next time round. That is when everybody has long forgotten about this incident and the members of the press have their eyes focused on another controversy somewhere else.

President Barrack Obama got elected on a reform platform but to reassure many conservative voters he incorporated a lot of hard-nosed conservatives into his administration (and gave signs of the same before election day) especially to key areas linked to national security and the war on terror. The best illustration of this is the fact that he chose to retain Ambassador Reinberger (a George W. Bush appointee) as his man in Nairobi, territory that President Obama knows extremely well. Anyway until now his close conservative advisors have had only limited sway. That was until the failed terrorist attack on a plane headed to America by a Nigerian last Christmas. Now everything has changed rather dramatically. The president cannot afford to keep his soft gloves (which earned him the Nobel peace prize) and has to start acting tough against the terrorist threat. I am afraid that under these circumstances reforms in Kenya have to take the back seat for a while in US policy in East Africa and especially Kenya. The most urgent thing on the plate of the Americans right now is dealing with the very real threat of the Al Shabab on American interests in the region. The truth is that even as you read this, things are already rolling, and rolling very fast. If you follow Kenyan news then you would have seen the news item yesterday about Moi expressing his views about the draft constitution. His views (where he opposed the hybrid system in favour of an executive president answerable to the voters) grabbed all the headlines and nobody paid much attention to the people who had paid the president a courtesy call which gave him the opportunity to make the remarks to the press, and the reason why they came calling. Actually the visitors were very high ranking officials of the besieged interim government of Somalia. They were asking for Moi’s help in seeking for peace and stabilizing things in Somalia. Guess which country has played the biggest role in establishing and maintaining this shaky government against all odds and thus helping create groups like the Al Shabab in the process? Moi of course promised to act which I am sure he will. But what can Moi do in such a complex scenario that has defeated the best diplomats in the world?

Actually folks this is only a well designed smoke screen because everybody knows that the only language the Al Shabab can understand has to do with a military solution. To the more observant, this is a classic American approach to dealing with a crisis of this nature “borrowed” from the Israelis. Well I can’t resist digressing to tell you a little story about the Israelis. An Air France plane carrying plety of Jews was hijacked by terrorists way back in 1976 and landed in Entebbe Uganda to the then President Idi Amin’s welcoming hands. The Israelis immediately started preparing their commandos for a risky rescue operation at the airport which everybody forgot was designed and built by the Israelis themselves (meaning that they had access to detailed layouts of the place). Meanwhile on the diplomatic front the Israeli government seemed to give in to the terrorists and agreed to negotiate for the safe release of the Jewish hostages. Fascinatingly the minute that the Israelis got word that their commandos had landed at Entebbe is the very minute they walked into the negotiation room to begin talks with the Arabs.

The Israelis quietly listened to the terrorists’ representatives as they breathlessly stated their long list of demands even as the commandos thousands of miles away made short work of the terrorists and Idi Amin’s sleepy soldiers rescuing all the hostages save for one old lady who had unfortunately been taken to hospital. Idi Amin later had her murdered in cold blood to revenge the very successful rescue mission by the Israelis. That was around the time the Arabs shifted their attention from their more formidable opponent to the ‘easier prey’ Americans.

But back to Ali, reforms and Kenyan politics. It seems that barring something out of the ordinary (or this post getting into the “wrong” hands; and it won’t be the first time) Ali and his boss seem headed for a very soft landing in the neat future. They should at least anonymously send flowers to that crazy Nigerian kid. Meanwhile to us poor Kenyans that damn Nigerian has done us all terrible irreversible damage that we may never recover from.


Did you miss Kumekucha’s controversial predictions for 2010?


Don’t miss the weekend special this weekend titled Police killers. Regular readers are well aware that the weekend specials are sizzling hot and so it might be a good idea to have a cool drink at hand. See you then. My drums and Nyatiti column resumes next week.

P.S. I get rather amused every time the controversial press laws are sneaked in and media owners predictably start running round like headless chickens. I get even more amused when people get busy condemning mere servants like the PS for information or the clueless minister. Let me brief on this (I don’t want it to develop into a mini-post). The PS and the minister take their orders from only one person. This is the fourth time in recent times that this media laws circus has been played out. It never happened even once during the Moi or Kenyatta days. Folks, it will only stop when Kibaki leaves office. Secondly guess who was the president’s close “advisor” in this when the initial plan was made for these draconian laws at State House Nairobi. None other than the CEO of the leading media house in Kenya himself. If you don’t know which CEO I am talking about, just ask any journalist you see next the most tribalistic CEO in corporate Kenya (who by the way is on an American Visa ban list for his role during the clashes. List to be announced soon, unless he (the said CEO) too is saved by the Christmas day actions of the Nigerian nutcase). I will say no more for now.

Primsident: Burden of Past Political Trauma

Political scientists often advance the theory that a country needs a crisis to draft a new constitution. So do we need a crisis or are we already in one to warrant one? Well, maybe we have both circumstances in our hand if the single obsession with executive power is anything to go by.

Ex-President Moi has just added his voice with a preference to presidential system of governance. And he has the right more so given his 24 years of RUIN as the president himself as be shamelessly reminds us that the presidential system is not dictatorial as politicians want us to believe. Well, we better listen to the professor of Kenyan politics now that the present dispensation makes him look a saint.

The renown Oxford-trained political scientist Mutahi Ngunyi (WANTED by Ford foundation) also bastardized the CoE of intellectual laziness. He opined that the PSC can salvage the simmering political situation by presenting two drafts for a YES-YES vote. And therein lies the matchbox to ignite a raging inferno.

Recent developments points to the two political sides pandering to this ROSSY proposition. But behind this poisoned chalice for proposal hides their true intention to drive the final blade through body Kenya. You cannot fail to see the smartly veiled gimmick to rally other Kenyan tribes against those who have ALLEGEDLY suffocated them with the imperial presidency.

Bloggers here may chose to differ but not before the mass hysteria acquires a life of its own to self-destruction. True, the CoE failed in their mandate by holding themselves hostage to present political dispensation while giving leave to posterity.

But all is not lost. Kenyans have come along way and the politicians can only use old tricks on them at their collective peril. Until then the scent of new constitution may just drift away as the struggle enters its third decade.

Monday, January 11, 2010

Al-Faisal: Loyalty to Religion and not Country


The difference between failed and failing state may just be reduced to tenses. Well, somebody must have slept on the wheels to let the Jamaican preacher in Kenya. So far nobody wants to answer the basic question of who gave him visa to enter Kenya.

Nobody and no country wants to touch him. But Al-Faisal traversed a dozen African countries including South Africa before landing in Mombasa by road. Now none of these countries want anything to do with him.

Either we were more vigilant within our borders or just plainly naive and left holding both the baby and the bath tab. The fact that neither Tanzania not SA doesn't want to hear about this guy leads to the obvious question did he have visa for these countries or was he there illegally?

Meanwhile our over zealous activists and lawyers-for-rent are all over demanding his release. Speak of the law being an ass. Religion has become a cheap rallying call and adherents can sell both their souls and country for six silvers.

Well, these loud-mouthed activists must have forgotten one Fazul staying and marring a local in Lamu and the subsequent dark August 7, 1998.

Al-Faisal must have been unlucky to have been nabbed before he disappeared into Eastleigh. Kenya must be the safe haven and route for Al-Shaabab recruits.

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Why this obsession with a Prime Minister?

There are a lot of good things in the draft constitution. But it is now crystal clear that Kenyans are going to lose it all because of somebody’s obsession with a silly hybrid system.

Why anybody would get so obsessed with this dangerous experiment just beats me. Tell me something, when a company is in a crisis what do you do? Do you start to undertake dangerous experiments? Do you create a new system which will make it difficult for anybody to take responsibility for failure? Will somebody then make me understand why we must have a hybrid system and why we must continue to insist on it even when it is crystal clear that most Kenyans are against it? (By this is now official. Today the nation printed as its’ main headline what many Kumekuchans have known all along (at least the ones who have believed me) and that is the fact that most Kenyans are against having both a president and prime minister.

The excuse at the beginning for this crazy experiment (which has never worked anywhere else in the world) was that we were trying to get rid of an imperial presidency. Nobody stopped to ask the simple questions; is this the only way of reducing the powers of the presidency? How have other countries reduced the power of the executive? Instead our so called experts have been at pains to cheat Kenyans that a hybrid system is the only way out our problems of the past.

I find it rather instructive that although the committee of experts responded to public pressure and restored the provincial administration (more on that later) they chose to ignore the section that was crying out most for them to take action, the issue of having two centres of power within the executive.

Now if I may ask, if a government under such ridiculous constitution fails, who will take the responsibility? The president or the prime minister? And please don’t tell me both.

Let me end this angry post by saying something about the provincial administration. The truth of the matter is that a lot of the excessive powers of the presidency stems from the provincial administration. Most Kenyans do not realize this. And that is why it is funny when somebody argues for a hybrid system and then in the same breath says that the provincial administration MUST be retained. In my view let’s keep things simple and neat. Let’s get rid of the prime minister nonsense and check the president’s powers using both the legislature and the judiciary. And then let’s get rid of the provincial administration. Let’s get serious about having devolved government and let people vote for their leaders at the grass roots. If they want to elect devils who will steal everything, let them, it is their democratic right.

I find it unacceptable that a lot of the arguments coming from Kenyans these days are to the effect that the ordinary Kenyan voter is not intelligent enough to make a wise informed decision and they therefore need “help” in the form of legislation. This is the reason why most people fear devolved government and it is the same reasoning behind the Mudavadi local authorities bill that will require Mayoral candidates to be university graduates even though they will be elected directly and not by fellow councilors is the case currently. My dear fellow “well educated” Kenyans, lets stop pretending and hiding our real thoughts behind many nice words that the common folks don’t even understand. Let’s be blunt and take this thinking a step further and create two different classes of voters. One the educated Kenyan voter whose vote will count twice against the single vote of the poor illiterate pumbavus from the village. Is that what we want? It seems to me that many Kenyans are very determined that we continue to widen the gap between the two different classes of Kenyans we have created.

P.S. I continue with my weekend specials next weekend and before then I will hopefully complete my current special on the dark secrets of the presidency. I will announce later what my topic for this weekend will be.


Other articles on the constitution from Kumekucha:

Why are ODM so determined to force a hybrid system on Kenyans?

What I have against a new constitution

Why the draft constitution is juice laced with poison

Friday, January 08, 2010

Zuma: Authentic Fidelity With Plural Emotions


Not even ultimate power comes in between the joy and burden of athletism around the waist.

Monday, January 04, 2010

2010 predictions by Kumekucha: The sucker punch year

What is a sucker punch?

There was a time in my eventful life when I boxed a little before other sports like Rugby kept me too busy to return to the ring. I believe that one has to have been a boxer or at least able to imagine themselves in the ring to fully understand what a sucker punch is. Come with me into a boxing ring where you have the upper hand and are already boxing your opponent to the corner of the ring. At this point you get pretty confident that the fight is soon ending with your opponent’s back firmly on the floor of the ring. In fact you are looking for that big knock out blow that will floor him. In other words you are moving in for the kill. But your problem is that in the process you have left yourself wide open. Suddenly your opponent who is already reeling around the ring like a drunkard masters all the strength they still have and throw one heavy punch blindly in your direction. His fist gets you square in the jaws. It is so unexpected that it hurls you back. As you fall you know that your jaw must be broken and the fight is definitely over. Sure enough, the next thing that happens is that your opponent’s hands are being lifted in the air in victory. He has won. He is bleeding and still feeling so dizzy that he can hardly stand. BUT he has won.

A sucker punch is something that is so unexpected that it catches you completely unawares and usually it comes when you are pretty confident that things are going your way.

That is how I see 2010.

And we saw an ominous sign on Christmas day 2009 that illustrates this brutally well. President Obama was on a well deserved brief holiday retreat with plenty to celebrate, including his success with a health care bill that has defeated plenty of presidents before him, including the very politically-savvy two-term Bill Clinton. Then suddenly without any warning the attempted Bombing incident by a 23 year old Nigerian. Everybody knows that this single event has completely changed the politics of the Obama administration. His big priority now has to be to prove to his critics that he is tough enough to continue the war on terrorism. Although this blog is not about American or International politics, I mention this example because it is going to have a very huge impact on local politics. If I was Mwai Kibaki or Raila Odinga I would have been popping the most expensive Champaign I could find after that incident. You see until now the two gentlemen have been under such intense pressure that breathing must have been difficult. Now we can expect a very sudden and deliberate change in US policy towards Africa and Kenya. The priority now will be fighting terror. Those Al-Shabab kids in neighbouring Somalia who swoon and get all wet at the mention of the name Al-Qaeda will now have to be dealt with ruthlessly. Reforms in Kenya will have to take a back seat for a while as much more urgent issues are dealt with first.

I believe that the year 2010 will be one full of surprises and sudden and completely unexpected political shifts. I believe that it will be the year of the under dog. Remember that it is the under dog who usually delivers the sucker punch on the over-confident guy who is already sure of victory.

I am afraid that I see a successful Al-Shabab strike on Kenyan soil in 2010. Just when Kenyan security forces thought they were in control of the situation. Rather obvious when you consider the porous nature of our borders and the fact that ours is a country of Kitu kidogo meaning that anybody can bribe their way to anywhere as long as they have ready cash.

I also see the new constitution being defeated in 2010 and throwing the country into deadly birth pangs of its’ long awaited re-birth.

I also see major political problems for Prime Minister Raila Odinga and his twin brother President Mwai Kibaki. The kind of political problems that people never recover from.

Also, like most Kenyans I see some very prominent big shots making appearances at The ICC at The Hague which will naturally cause lots of excitement and joy amongst Kenyans. Never in the history of our nation have we seen any “untouchable” in the country sweat from anything else other than from overeating at some five course meal in a big hotel or from making tribal hate speeches on a warm Kenyan weekend day. This will be the year that a handful of people will sweat and have their lawyer’s numbers available on speed dial. Don’t be surprised if the big shots of the big shots are indicted. The perfect sucker punch don’t you think? When you are confident that you are too big to be touched by Luis Moreno Ocampo… the worst happens.

If you are currently winning and on top of the situation, prepare to taste the dust in 2010. And if you were facing imminent defeat towards the end of 2009, prepare for sudden and unexpected victory. I repeat, 2010 will be the year of the underdog.

I believe that the world economy will slump just when everybody thought that recovery was here. You see you do not have to be an economist to realize that the stage-managed recovery has only succeeded in postponing the inevitable. Lets simply this further for the non-economists. A man is badly in debt and out of a job and so you decide to bail him out by handing over a lot of cash to them so that they can start their own business and get themselves out of the mess. Instead of starting the business or getting a job the person instead focuses all their efforts on their image in the eyes f their debtors. They work hard to prove to debtors that they now have a cash flow going and are therefore credit worthy and will end up paying their debts some day. BUT meanwhile this person has not addressed the crux of the problem. This is exactly what has happened with the so-called stimulus packages that have been implemented all over the world. There was even one for Kenya that has hardly taken off because the government financial year is already halfway gone and it is unlikely that a significant percentage of the stimulus package funds will be released before the budget in June. Just as well, because I don’t believe in such cosmetics things.

Of interest to most of you readers will be what I think the effect of the widely expected second dip (as some economists are calling it) will be on Kenya and indeed Africa. Call me crazy but I firmly believe that it will be the beginning of the rise of Africa. Notice that we were mostly unscathed by the first wave of the unprecedented world economic crisis that was triggered by the American mortgage market. I believe that this time round Africa will in fact start to shine. Let me go further and add that the continent to place your investments in is definitely Africa. Investors in Kenya should go ahead with their plans at full throttle but make contingency plans for sudden and unexpected violence, looting and mayhem that will hopefully pass quickly when it comes, because it will surely come. Whatever businesses you want to dive into in 2010 just make sure that Africa is firmly at the centre of your plans.

For currency speculators, I am aware that currently there are plenty of positive sentiments towards the dollar (remember the sucker punch analogy?) but personally I am shifting all my savings to Euros. I will stick with the Euro and be patient even into 2011.

Interested in specific industry by industry Kumekucha predictions for 2010? Want to know what I think will happen in your industry and how you can best prepare for it? This post became way too long and so I have put all my other research covering virtually every industry you can think of into a special report for my free email newsletter, Kumekucha Confidential subscribers. Subscribe now and get this amazing special report titled; 2010 Amazing Kumekucha predictions, via email. Remember my record so far on predictions (political and otherwise)… it is well over 85% bang on target. Ask those who have been reading Kumekucha since 2006. get your free subscription and free report via email now by sending an email to:
kumekucha-subscribe@yahoogroups.com


Other recent posts in Kumekucha by Chris:

How stupid are poor people in Kenya?

Mystery of Kibaki bloodbath?

Friday, January 01, 2010

Kumekucha Citizen Journalism Awards 2010

The first decade of the new millennium is gone. And gone with it too is the prophesied meltdown that never was in 2000. The vanishing decade also ushered in the so-called citizen journalism that saw the birth of our own Kumekucha.

True, a blog is nothing but just that a blog, an online diary if you like. But again there are blogs and there is Kumekucha. This is not only a political blog that trail blazed while others followed, but readers visit this blog so as to have a true feeling of Kenya’s political pulse. And the opinions are both varied and acidic as they come.

As we welcome the second decade of the millennium, pioneer writers of this blog deserve accolades. First comes Chris with his no-holds-barred insights. The BOSS has rubbed many regulars and newbies the wrong way. And true to the adage that only fools don’t change their minds, he has modified his political takes based on dynamics while retaining history as his principal anchor. Wapi Oscar?

Acid and vitriol
Next comes Phil, the indefatigable. Like him hate him Phil’s passion and steadfastness to advance and defend his course is a case study of political fidelity. That picture would be incomplete without mentioning Derek (aka Deroo) as Phil’s checkmate on the political chessboard. Derek and Vikii’s eloquence in articulating their respective political stands is passion personified.

The rainbow politics in Kumekucha would be the poorer without mentioning both UrXlnc and Sam Okello with their often controversial pitches. And yes, one and only Luke with his tongue firmly stuck in his cheek.

Then comes the girls who stuck their heads to disabuse the male folk of political naivity. The potent mix of PKW, Ciku Msa, Sayra and Mrembo would often leave the men scampering for political safety like headless chicken. This lot provided the much needed reality check when the political kitchen became too hot.

The past few months wouldn’t have been the same at this blog without the intellectual rigour and vigour of our own Mwarangethe. His singular obsession and articulation of matters wealth and land is a thesis superlatively written and defended.

Reclaim Kenya
The KK citizen journalism awards would be biased and insensitive without mentioning the numerous anonymouses whose wits and vitriol spiced and enriched the blog.

This is therefore to wish all of you a happy NEW YEAR for making this blog such a success. KK's clones never grew wings or the feathers froze. You have provided a steady pedestal for even better political discourse in the new decade.

Phew! Gone is the cursed decade when we almost collectively stewed in our own blood and incoming is the defining year when Kenyans either reclaim their country from scoundrels or kiss the bottom of abyss-self destruction.

Happy new year once more folks.