Wednesday, December 20, 2006
Ex-Mungiki, Ndura Waruinge: What You Don't Know About Election Violence In Kenya
Special Edition: Report On Kibera Violence
Most well informed, well educated, smart Kenyans still think that Mungiki is nothing more than a bad joke that went a little far.
-Kumekucha-
Breaking News:
After this article was written Ndura Waruinge was charged in court. Read the story here. My only comment to this develelopment, is let us wait and see if he goes to jail.
Many Kenyans do not know the purpose of election violence or just how effective it can be in a political campaign. But before we go into that, it is important to ask a few questions;
1. Ndura Waruinge was once the leader of Mungiki. Under his watch dozens of Kenyans were murdered in cold blood, however Mr Waruinge is amazingly still not in prison. Why?
2. Many less prominent Mungiki adherents who dare break their blood oath (every member of Mungiki is initiated with a very serious blood oath) and become Christians were beheaded or barely escaped with their lives. Ndura has lived without fear since his conversion. Why?
3. Kanu, by that I mean the old Kanu of Nicholas Biwott, Daniel arap Moi and company comes back into the limelight and political forefront and suddenly Mungiki re-emerges and we also see so-called land/tribal clashes coming back with a vengeance. Could it be just a coincidence?
4. Ndura Waruinge ignores his native Dagoretti constituency where he has the best chance of making a serious impact politically and instead opts for neighboring Langata constituency where the MP is a well-known government opponent and a "thorn in the flesh" to those who would like to have their way in Kenya. Why Langata?
5. Have you seen the way Ndura dresses? Immaculate suits and he definitely doesn't look hard up for cash at a time when ordinary Kenyans are going through great difficulties putting food on the table. Where does he get his money?
6. Why is it that Ndura only gets really active in the run up to an election? It happened in 2000/2001 and now in 2006/2007.
7. Is it just a coincidence that Ndura wants to stand for a political seat where there is heavy Mungiki presence?
The next thing that is important to note is that every government in the world has covert operations carried out by various security and political units that it controls for the purpose of achieving various objectives.
I happened to be at Kamukunji police station in the year 2000, just when Mungiki had started to come into the limelight in the country. A roll call was being carried out in the cells and a duty police officer called out a name and then said loudly that the person was a member of Mungiki. He then exchanged a knowing look with a colleague. It was very strange. This was not the way policemen (however corrupt they were) behaved with dangerous violent criminals. Later that year many strange things started happening that suggested that either the security organs in the country had been overwhelmed by Mungiki, or they were deliberately on a go-slow whenever it came to dealing with these murderers. To me after that, I did not need any more convincing that Mungiki was in fact a covert government operation.
Armed with this information, it now becomes much easier to speculate over what is really going on. I have deliberately used the word "speculate" because in any covert operation, the number one priority is to leave no trace of evidence whatsoever linking the operation with the real sponsors. As soon as somebody is able to identify a link, then the whole operation is compromised. So if you are looking for concrete evidence to link Mungiki with the government, good luck to you. Chances are that you will grow old and die still looking for it.
Police spokesman Alfred Mutua has told us that the government is preparing some very serious charges against Ndura. Very strange statement that. We all know that to be easily convicted by a court in Kenya, the qualification is to be poor and ignorant. Otherwise if you are not poor or ignorant, then the government needs plenty of solid evidence to put you behind bars. What evidence is there to convict Ndura? According to me, zilch. He simply wanted to hold a meeting and then violence broke out. Don't get me wrong, there are of course serious suspicions, but nothing that can uphold a conviction, least of all for "very serious charges" as Mr Mutua told us. I doubt whether Mutua knows what is really going on. He is just told what he is supposed to say. He may have his suspicions (he looks pretty nervous and shifty these days, like he believes less and less of what he is saying).
In Kenya election violence achieves the following political objectives;
a) Your opponent's voters are forced to relocate from the place where they need to be to vote. Those who remain can hardly make an objective choice when their priority is to stay alive. (This is one reason why the law should be changed to allow people to vote from anywhere).
b) In the chaos there is nobody to stop you "importing" thousands of voters to win the election for you.
c) Violence spreads fear. The idea is to create very serious fear, then come in and quell the violence. It is then very easy to convince the voters that if they don't vote for the "people who quelled the violence" then the violence will return if the other side wins.
d) It becomes easy to collect voters cards from those who remain in return for their lives and security.
e) It becomes impossible for any candidate to sell their agenda to the electorate.
In brief election violence and intimidation works. That is why people use it. When you are seated in safety in that posh apartment in some smart neighborhood or in some foreign country, it is impossible for you to understand what it is like to live in constant fear of your life in your own country.
P.S. 1: For the umpteenth time, I am not supporting Raila for President. Personally I would prefer Charity Ngilu out of all the current presidential aspirants (but I am waiting and actively organizing for the new deal leader who will emerge from nowhere to win the presidency). But just think about the following scenario for a minute. Langata breaks into chaos and violence and uncertainty continues until Election Day. The Kenyan constitution says that for you to be duly elected as president, you have to be an elected member of parliament. So assuming that Raila will be the ODM candidate, the idea would be to ensure that he does not win the Langata seat. Or to keep him so busy fighting for his parliamentary seat for him to campaign effectively, nationally. This could explain why the ODM leader looked so shaken walking into Kilimani police station to file a complaint against Ndura and his mob the other day. This is sadly one of the reasons why many politicians opt for a rural home political base. It is much easier to defend against such threats.
And to make sure that the public will never be convinced that the violence in Kibera is targeted against Raila, some smart alec starts the violence in Mathare first. So when Raila speaks out, many people assume that he is talking "his usual nonsense" yet if truth be told, Raila has mostly been proved right in the end no matter how wild his allegations have seemed. Remember the first reaction to Raila's claim about the Armenian brothers? Mercenaries in the country? Sent to assassinate? Totally insane!! Somebody actually just stopped short of saying that he should be rushed for an urgent check-up on his mental health. But Raila was proved right in the end wasn't he?
P.S. 2: Young, naïve political candidates and presidential hopefuls like Kumekucha, please take careful note of these developments. This is the only way the wazees know how to play the game of politics. They play dirty and they always seek to punch way below the belt. 2007 will be a year full of unexplained mysteries for those who think that Kenyan politics is similar to American politics and seek textbook official explanations for everything. Majority of those kind of Kenyans read this blog regularly. Happily those who read this blog with an open mind will always know exactly what is going on.
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Coming Soon: Bloodshed is the inevitable result of election violence. I will explain the real purpose of blood shed in the Kenyan political context. And how a Kenyan MP won a political seat by murdering a close friend who was his own campaign manager. Keep reading folks, the mother of all general elections is fast approaching. Let it not catch you uninformed.
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Tuesday, December 19, 2006
Home Page 19th December 2006
I'm Back!
I'm back folks. I had to take a little break after I published the hottest story of my career.
I missed you all so much, especially that favorite girl of mine who works in some agency (I call her my biggest inspiration. Hi!) And of course all you lovely Kenyans based in all corners of this world and also those of you dear readers based in Kenya. I'm not sure how much you missed me. But I missed you all terribly.
I am happy to be back and you'll be hearing a lot from yours truly in the days to come. Please keep on forwarding those emails (of Kumekucha Confidential) to other Kenyans (the more Kenyans know about the biggest cover up ever, the safer I will be and the safer those other people who supplied the details will be.)
If you're not a subscriber, become one today by sending an email to KUMEKUCHA-SUBSCRIBE@YAHOOGROUPS.COM
I hope you like the new format of this blog. I just decided that I should return with a new look.
Latest Stories;
What A Peasant Farmer Thinks Of ODM, Raila And Elections 2007
Kalonzo Musyoka: What Does He Stand For? Who Is He Really?
Medical Emergencies And Visa Hitches For Old And New Corrupt Money
Ex-Mungiki, Ndura Waruinge: What You Don't Know About Election Violence In Kenya.
This Blog is dedicated to the memory of this man...
Other Amazing Stories From The Archives;
Biwott: The Man Kenyans Love To Hate
Exclusive Interview: Alnoor Kassam Of TradeBank Fame Speaks to Kumekucha
Controversial Steadmann Presidential Polls Altered After Kumekucha Analysis
Why Kenyans Admire Thugs, And Deride Hawkers
Interview With Raila Odinga
The Four Most Important Provinces For A Winning Presidential Candidate
The Most Hotly Discussed Topic In This Blog: Kikwete Behaves Like The Kenyan Ambassador
Why The Daily Nation Is Such A Potent Political Weapon And The Mistake Kanu Made In 2002
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Obama: A True Kenyan This Guy
Open Letter To America Voters Over Senator Obama
7 Things That Will Happen To Kenya If Kibaki Is Re-elected
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The Amazing Kenyan Political Prophecy
What A Peasant Farmer Thinks Of ODM, Raila And Elections 2007
My findings have been shocking to say the least. I have realized that ordinary Kenyans views are the very opposite of those elitist ones expressed online.
Sample the following (mostly translated from Kiswahili);
Kumekucha: Do you read political views on the Internet?
Peasant Kenyan Farmer about 65 years in age: That is for the rich. Poor people cannot afford the Internet in Kenya.
Kumekucha: Have you felt the impact of the expanded economy that has recorded very high growth rates in recent times?
Peasant Farmer: More of my relatives are jobless and sugar is now Kshs 100 per kilo. I have heard the government saying that the economy has improved and I have been looking for somebody learned to explain it to me. Can you?
Kumekucha: What are your views on ODM?
Peasant Farmer: ODM cannot add more Ugali into my Sufuria. To start with there are too many crooks in that party. They all think that they will be voted for the way everybody voted for Narc candidates blindly in 2002. This thing of *three-piece suits voting has ended. Just wait for the elections and you will see. Kenyans will this time vote for candidates, not parties.
* Three piece suit voting refers to the practice of blindly voting for the same party, in presidential, parliamentary and civic candidates.
Kumekucha: Do you think solving the Ouko murder is a priority?
Peasant Farmer: You are joking. How can it be solved when the people who killed Ouko are ruling Kenya?
Kumekucha: Who are these people?
Peasant Farmer: Biwott shot the late minister while Moi was watching. Moi was taken by surprise, but he is an accomplice to murder because he was there and also later covered up. Moi is Kibaki's friend now. So what are you talking about?
Kumekucha: But is solving the murder a priority?
Peasant Farmer: Human blood cannot be lost just like that and solving any murder is a priority, but young man, you need to be realistic. You don't seem to understand Kenya with all your education.
Kumekucha: So who do you think will be the next president of Kenya?
Peasant Farmer: Too early to tell. Ask me in November 2007.
Kumekucha: Raila Odinga?
Peasant Farmer: No chance.
Kumekucha: And why not? He is the cleanest of the lot.
Peasant farmer: Young man you are more stupid than I thought. You don't seem to understand Kenyan politics. Clean people never win elections. You know a man called Tom Mboya?
Kumekucha: Yes.
Peasant Farmer: Who was he?
Kumekucha: The most brilliant politician Kenya has ever produced?
Peasant farmer: Did he become president?
Kumekucha: No.
Peasant Farmer: Why?
Kumekucha: You tell me.
Peasant Farmer: Those who own Kenya refused. Those who own Kenya cannot accept Raila, for the same reasons they rejected Tom Mboya.
Kumekucha: Who owns Kenya?
Peasant Farmer: A small group of rich people who control even presidents. If you refuse, then what happened to Mboya happens to you. Even Raila had to apply emergency breaks. You notice how quiet he is these days. They have already warned him.
Kumekucha: How do these so-called rich people influence voters?
Peasant Farmer: My friend, what can you not do with money? You can rig elections, get people to die of heart attacks, even bribe people who want to help the ordinary mwananchi to abandon their good intentions.
Kumekucha: Where do you get your information?
Peasant Farmer: Experience, my son, experience.
Kumekucha: But ODM will surely win the elections?
Peasant Farmer: No.
Kumekucha: No?
Peasant Farmer: Mzee Kenyatta once said if you want to catch a cow, you do not show that cow the rope? The original Ford made that mistake and now ODM have made the same mistake. The winner of the elections will either be Narc Kenya or another party that will appear at the last minute, within 3 months to the elections. That party could also include some ODM people who will left ODM. It is not a certainty, I am speculating on this other party. But of this I am sure. You do not show the cow the rope early and then win.
Kumekucha: I will publish this interview on the Internet. What message do you have for the Kenyan electorate?
Peasant Farmer: Only God can save Kenya.
Kumekucha: That is your only message?
Peasant Farmer: My friend that is a very loaded message that even those educated friends of yours will take many, many months to chew, let alone digest.
Kumekucha: Thank you.