The mysterious funding of the NO camp

Think about this carefully and try to remember the manner in which those in Ruto’s camp have joined him. Remember Samuel Phogiso who remained silent for a long time even when he was associated with the YES camp? And then suddenly he announced his position which appears to be different from that of the party he chairs—ODM Kenya. Assuming that you have made some sense out of Kalonzo Musyoka’s Yes-NO-NO-Yes-stand on the draft constitution.

For those who understand Kenyan politics this appears to be a clear sign that people are joining the No brigade only after prolonged negotiations. But negotiations for what? Has anybody negotiated with you before you took your particular stand on the draft constitution? Unless of course you were waiting for a bribe to tilt your opinion.

For those with their ears to the ground politically, it is no secret that those who are opposing the draft constitution have been recruiting and are still recruiting on a massive scale. So if you are looking to make some big cash quickly you know what to do. Assuming that you have some significant influence, they will certainly not entertain a nobody in that camp.

But before you run off, I urge you to consider a few facts. The cash that you will receive will mainly be enjoyed by yourself and even if you leave a little for your children, it is unlikely that the cash will reach your grand children. What kind of life would you like for your grand children. For future generations that will be called by your name? What legacy do you want to leave them? Ill gotten stinking wealth from corruption? Bear in mind that whatever happens the day is coming when all those families who made their wealth from corruption will be publicly listed and shamed. It is of course your right to want this kind of legacy for your children and grand children.

But the rest of us Kenyans trying to think ahead, there is the nagging question of where the NO camp is getting its’ funding. We have a pretty good idea of where the YES chaps are getting funded from. Government coffers, all kinds of human rights NGOS and doners and the campaign funds of certain high profile individuals whose political game plan is to win the referendum and use the inertia generated from their involvement to push themselves into State house.

But where are akina Ruto getting their cash from? You will have seen the launch of their grand secretariat recently in the press. These things don’t cost two shillings. It is not the kind of thing you would pass a hat around for a quick fundraiser.

In earlier posts I have revealed that organized crime (if I can call them that) are giving the No camp a blank cheque to get results and derail this new “nuisance” constitution at all costs. The really fascinating thing here is that there is a very thin line between retired President Moi’s fortune and the fortunes being generated from wrecking the lives of young Kenyans with hard drugs. But that is Kenya for you.

Of course the church half of the NO camp is getting its funding from church funds and the numerous donors aboard who want to delay the new world order as predicted in the Bible many centuries ago. Passing the new constitution will put Kenya at the forefront of massive changes that sweep the world rapidly leading to the emergence of the anti-Christ and the end of the world as we know it. Just thought I would let you know what the conviction of the church is in fighting this new constitution. The real issue is not the abortion clause or the Kadhi courts one or the latter is going to play a key role in ushering in the new World order with Islam taking over Europe in terms of influence and sheer volume of voters.

My personal views are that the church is wrong this time because what has been prophesized in the good book is unstoppable and the best we can do is help ordinary Kenyans have a chance to make good that does not depend on coming from a famous family (which made its’ wealth from corruption anyway and should therefore be an infamous family).

But I digress, the bottom line is that the NO brigade have been closing in on the huge gap the YES camp had given them in the lead. When I did my survey countrywide about a month ago my findings showed that 75% of registered voters were going to vote YES to the new constitution. Now we are told that the figure is 59% and reducing rapidly. The referendum is about two months away and two months is a pretty long time in politics. It translates to several decades.

And so by the time we start entering enclosures to cast our votes, the situation may be very different indeed. In other words the YES camp is in a crisis even if they don’t see it yet.

P.S. There is so much hopelessness in Kenya that everybody “knows” that you cannot make it until you leave the country to raise your fortune abroad and then come back properly armed to face the problems at home. That came out very clearly during the question and answer session visiting American VP Joe Biden had in Nairobi yesterday. Leaders of variouis NGOS and political wannabe organization did not bother to field intelligent questions and instead embarked on a major begging mission asking for all sorts of favours from America from a Joe Biden airlift to all kinds of petty favours to help them help themselves. I am so ashamed of being Kenyan at this very moment just remembering how guys were falling over themselves to beg for all kinds of hand outs from Uncle Sam’s representative. That's the hopelessness that is in kenya for you.

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Rigging being planned for referendum

For those who don’t know the intricacies of how rigging is usually done, I think it would be right to start with a brief appreciation of certain key points.

- Vote rigging works best when the results are close. That is one of the reasons why Mwai Kibaki’s rigging in December 2007 ended up being so disastrous. The truth is that Raila Odinga had a massive lead. In sharp contrast Moi never got caught because the results were always much closer. He did a good job of dividing the opposition at all costs.
Prof George Saitoti has perfected the art of rigging in his constituency.

- It is impossible to carry out a rigging exercise without the help of the intelligence service. Why? Because you need very precise and up to date figures to execute a vote rigging operation efficiently. The way it works is that as people are voting you are feverishly collecting figures. In the old days the votes used to be stuffed as the ballot boxes are being transported to one central place in the constituency for counting. These days it is much more expensive because the votes have to be stuffed in each individual polling station. The Kibaki guys went round that by simply ensuring that the vote count that arrives at the ECK was different from what was on the ground. Clean ups were then organized later in the individual constituencies. It is a massive and extremely expensive exercise these days.

- This national model for the country is often executed at a single constituency where the powerful MP uses his own people. One George Saitoti has perfected this system in his constituency.

Folks I am afraid that I have more bad news for you concerning the new constitution most of us are yearning for. Let me start by confessing that for a person with my years of experience I was rather naïve to believe that those who own Kenya would ever allow for an electoral system that they did not have any control over. The truth is that the so caled "tamper-proof" electoral roll has already been tampered with and non-existent voters introduced. And since it is NOT the same electoral roll that we will go to the general elections with, the only conclusion is that the intention is to rig the August 4th Referendum.

The game plan by the powerful owners of Kenya is for the NO camp to catch up with the YES majority so that the difference is around 20% or less. What will then happen is that NO will win with a very slim majority. Enough to deny most Kenyans what they are yearning for so much that they can no longer sleep too well. Those who have read the document and realize the sweeping changes it will bring into the country and the deadly blow it will deal to impunity.

What really scares me is that so far these powerful forces have been able to get things done through the NSIS and have even influenced the judiciary to make certain bizarre rulings. To me that is evidence enough that they are quite capable of going ahead with their well laid plan even as the president tires himself criss-crossing the country campaigning for a new constitution.

There is ONLY one way to stop them. And that is to ensure a landslide victory for YES. Anything less will be dicey.