Crazy Shebesh, crazy Ruto

Since the inception of the Kumekucha brand I like to keep my hand pretty close to the pulse of Kenyans on the ground. This has helped me a great deal. More recently I have found social media ideal, although it covers only the middle class and omits the vast majority of Kenyans on the ground. Reading through social media yesterday one thing struck me.

Kenyans do not realize or at least some of them have forgotten that a court of law is very different from the court of public opinion. The fact that Ruto and Sang' defence lawyers poked holes into the testimony of the current witness on the stand does not mean that Ruto "is winning" his case. However when you look at the Sonko/Shebesh photos, it hardly matters whether the photos were "photoshoped" or not, irrepairable damage has been done so much so that the truth is now completely irrelevant.

The said witness at the ICC mixed up a few things BUT that does not mean his whole testimony will be disregarded. Remember that in the successful prosecution of Liberian Charles Taylor in the same court it took only ONE woman's testimony to sink the former president/war lord. Bottom line is that Ruto's supporters should not get the champagne out yet, let alone try to pop it open. Getting the handkerhsiefs out would be much more prudent.

Remember also what I said earlier here. All the prosecution has to do is prove that Ruto was influential enough amongst the Kalenjin community to have ordered or even partly financed the astrocities. Most Kenyan lawyers can do that in their sleep and so if the ICC prosecutors have the right counsel (and I am persuaded that they do), this is an open and shut case. Ruto supporters can continue enjoying their court of public opinion victories in court but sadly  they will not count when it comes to the final verdict.

Shebesh and Sonko are finished for all intents and purposes. But it gets worse for Shebesh

Impeccable sources involved in the negotiations (ordered by the President) between Shebesh and Kidero after the slap told me that Shebesh had asked for a huge sum of money as compensation. Kidero is an extremely wealthy man who would have gladly paid the double digit million figure to ensure that his moment of fury does not bury his political career. However if the Kidero cheque to Shebesh has not cleared by now, it never will. The kinky photos have changed everything and it will be difficult for any judge in the country to rule anything in her favour. Indeed the cock and bull story of Shebesh assaulting Kidero in "his lower abdomen" can now be easily sold and bought by anybody including a court of law. It matters little that it is NOT true. That is how serious dear madam Shebesh's problems are.

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Too many times something big has happened in Kenya only for me to realize later that I had the advance warning information all along. For instance I received info 6 months before the Westgate attack that there was a possibility of a Mumbai-like terrorist attack on either the Village Market or Westgate shopping malls. This info was not used in my raw notes because we were not able to verify its' authenticity (we like to confirm info from, at the very least, one other independent source before we publish anything in these raw notes.) However I am sure some of my very well informed regular readers here would have easily digested it based on how familiar they were at the time on developments within the al-Shabab high command.

Again on Monday (after black Saturday 21st September 2013) at the height of of the Westgate siege I received information that the terrorists had escaped. There was no way I was going to publish that at the time. It did not make sense even though it came from a highly reliable source. More so because gun fire and explosions could still be heard inside Westgate.

Again almost two days after the siege ended another bizarre report came in to the effect that there was still a lone terrorist firing at the KDF from the Westgate ruins. This info has still not been verified to date.

These are just a few of the most recent examples.

Without sounding defensive, it is NOT that I am sleeping on the4 job it's just that with the huge number of contacts I have managed to build over the years, there is too much info flowing ion my direction.

To partly solve this problem, I have decided to give you my readers, access to these raw intelligence reports. I wish I could give it out for free but as you all know gathering this info is not FREE and neither is it easy, otherwise I would have already had dozens of copycats doing this all over the web already as we like to do things in Kenya.

The new product will be called Kumekucha real time intelligence reports and features info in its' raw form (not yet processed and analyzed by me or my team). My Raw notes will continue as usual with improvements that are ongoing.

Some of the first reports you will receive as a subscriber to Kumekucha real time intelligence reports are puzzling meetings between some shady characters and highly placed members of the Supreme court in the ongoing power struggle there and some sizzling new info about a well known female MP (all yet to be processed but from proven and reliable sources). And much more. If you are interested send an email now to umissedthis at gmail dot com for an instant response.

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High wire ICC drama plus who released Sonko/Shebesh photos and why?

Some years back I used to work for a company that had a draconian mzungu CEO who micro-managed everything. He had many highly qualified managers but he never allowed us to make any decisions, no matter how small or how petty. There was even a time when this CEO went on holiday in Europe for 2 long months and STILL micro-managed the company via sms replying in minutes even to queries from sales reps on the floor like; "Can we give this customer a 5% discount he has given us business worth Kshs 4.5 million over the last year alone." He would then place calls at the end of the day to key managers usually after he had gone through the sales and expenditure figures for the day (the man had access to the company computers via his laptop wherever he went).

The point I am trying to make here is that the President of the Republic of Kenya does not have to be in Kenya to govern and he does not even need Skype to keep his administration running smoothly. But yesterday the media reported that Deputy President William Ruto was returning to the country over the weekend so as "to allow his boss, the president to travel to Addis for an extra ordinary African Union summit. Somebody somewhere is working very hard to convince anybody gullible enough that the country cannot run when both the President and his deputy are away, even if it is to neighboring Ethiopia where any Kenyan can cross on an old Black Mamba bicycle and still stay in touch with their family in Kenya.

Get this right; Presidential authority is NEVER EVER transferred, NOT even to the deputy president. What happens is that the president delegates various tasks now and then. And so this issue of the Deputy president being in the country to allow the president to leave is pure hogwash. These are NOT class prefects we are talking about here.

Ladies and gentlemen, what we have here is a very well choreographed script playing out and the title of the movie is "ICC siege." The current high wire suspense scene started with the foreign secretary Amina Mohamed reading out her lines the highlight of which was "no seating president in history has ever had to go through the indignation of being tried in a court anywhere in the world while still in office." blah blah blah. We will always fully co-operate with the ICC blah blah.

Now one of my sources has delivered a bombshell on my desk this morning about what will happen next (details in my latest raw notes).
Saturday's scene of this ongoing movie should be most interesting. In all likelihood the AU heads of state in their extra ordinary session will pass a resolution that will legalize Uhuru's skipping of his trial at the ICC. After that it will become all politics. Why issue an arrest warrant for a sitting African head of state? Would you do that to a head of state in the West? Is there a precedent? How legal is such an arrest warrant? What legal basis is there to enforce a Western arrest warrant on African soil? blah blah.

==============================One of my raw notes readers sent me the following question this morning;
Is it a coincidence that nude photos of Sonko and Shebesh in a compromising position came out just days after Sonko hinted on a motion to push out NSIS Chief  spook Gichangi over Westgate attacks and same week with his testimony on parliamentary committee on security? Could it be that Sonkos phone and online activities are under constant surveillance ? Comment on that.

My answer; All politicians and prominent Kenyans are under constant surveillance and the closer the said persons are to the president the more serious that surveillance is. This is standard procedure. Having said that your theory about the timing of the release of the nude photos cannot be ignored. More so when you know from these raw notes that there is a very serious survival campaign that has been launched to keep the said chief spook in office and enable him to weather the current storm over Westgate-related security lapses.

The bottom line is that somebody released those photos and you can be sure it was not for the purposes of entertaining the Kenyan public. Some people think that it is Sonko himself who released the photos (notice that most of them are posed rather than surveillance photos. However the NSIS can also easily gain access to photos saved in computers or even cell phones). Still, Sonko releasing the photos which would also damage him does not make sense.

Some highly sensitive additional info may either prove to be useful or confuse things further...(continued in the current raw notes).