Abdi Yusuf Hassan won the Kamukunji parliamentary seat just a few hours ago garnering 19,030 votes.
He happens to be from PNU and that is what short-sighted political analysts are busy emphasizing on this morning. Had Brian Weke of Narc Kenya (who came in third with 4,064 votes) won then I would have emphasized the role his party played in winning those elections.
Many so-called political analysts still don’t get it. The vast majority of Kenyans have moved on from this party thing. They are getting wiser by the day in realizing that there is no difference between the political parties, what matters is the individual. They have taken note of the fact that it is not PNU nor ODM legislators who are refusing to pay tax it is the majority of legislators in the current house. Greed, corruption and impunity do not recognize or respect any party lines.
Having said that, there is no denying that money played a major role in the victory of Abdi Yusuf Hassan. The man was backed by some very serious cash and the people behind that cash is what should be of great interest to Kumekuchans just now.
An incident that happened at the Shauri Moyo tallying centre yesterday is an interesting pointer. Makadara MP Gideon Mbuvi arrived riding on a motorcycle and accompanied by over 20 other people also on motorbikes. Mbuvi entered the Shauri Moyo hall and after a short while emerged again but this time with a large group of chanting youths in tow.
Folks, there is a really fascinating thing unfolding within PNU that has a lot of similarities with what happened within ODM in 2007. A group led by Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka is working overnight to increase its’ influence within the lose alliance of parties that is claiming to be a unified party. This group is spending cash like there was no tomorrow. It is not clear where exactly the funds are coming from but the clear agenda is to get the water melon into State house (a mirage for hopeless day dreamers if you ask me). This same group is the one that recently financed the poll by the Nakuru-based Smart Octopus Limited (what a revealing name).
Maybe I should take this opportunity to reveal how these opinion polls are usually done. For starters you must know that doing a national opinion poll is pretty expensive. And I guess that you also know that these companies doing the polls are not NGOS or World Bank sponsored entities, but private profit-making enterprises.
I know what your next question is. Do they even bother to do a poll? Of course they do. If you wanted figures and a breakdown they will give them to you. The only difference is that the figures are tweaked slightly to portray “the client” in good light. So one easy way of establishing who has sponsored a particular poll is to look at the final analysis of the particular pollster which they give in the press briefing they usually hold to release their results.
The tweak done by the Smart Octopus outfit was to announce that one Kalonzo Musyoka is the candidate who would have the greatest majority in the event of a run-off in the next presidential elections. What I find extremely interesting is the timing because we know that many analysts are of the view that the next general election will have to go into a run off with two candidates competing in the final showdown for State house. I am not one of those analysts because I firmly believe that there is a huge chance that the next president of Kenya will be duly elected without a run off. But that is a post for another day because today we are talking about the Kamukunji by-election.
Any doubts that there was a serious money game going on in Kamukunji should be dispelled by the high number of double registration that was detected. Of the 42 voters arrested during the by-election yesterday a staggering 38 were for double registration.
The VPs remarks when the Kamukunji poll results were released was even more illuminating for those who want to know what is really going on behind the scenes. He said: “I congratulate Hassan for emerging victorious. It was a result of unity of purpose in PNU alliance which shows better things are coming,”