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Today I received a message from a Kenyan residing in Tanzania telling me that he is an avid reader of this blog and read yesterday's posts on a web-enabled mobile phone while traveling in a "dala dala" (that's what they call matatus in Tanzania). He said that he especially enjoyed yesterday's amusing post about private telephone conversations in public places.
While Internet-enabled phones are a very common phenomenon in the West, I must admit that I was a little taken aback that it should be available in Africa and inside a matatu at that. Alas, these are just part of the rapid technological advances in which we now find ourselves in and which most of us can hardly keep up with.
Interestingly not too long ago the then CEO of a locally based web business predicted that the time is nigh when people in a matatu will all be busy surfing the net on their way home or to work.
Let me admit that I seriously considered editing out that part of the interview article at the time, because to me this was just too wild a possibility that would surely not happen in the next two decades at least and by then, who knows if Matatus will still be around? Somebody recently gave me a very convincing thesis of how we will all be flying around in some rocket-propelled personal gadgets. Wow!!
It seems that I was very wrong about the "surfing-in-matatus" prediction because it is in fact already happening and it is only a matter of time before it becomes much more widespread. Remember how cell phones used to cost Kshs 250,000 the first time they arrived in Kenya and could only be owned by prominent thieves of public funds and corruption czars? Now mobile phones are a basic necessity even for mama mboga..
However I foresee a few problems. We all know what kind of sites most schoolboys and men visit (a friend insists that the line dividing the two is too thin for comfort hence the similarities in bizarre tastes). Can you imagine the explicit images of people in various positions of the act and the moans and "animal noises" that go with it filling a matatu where at least half the occupants are drunk and trying to get home? It's not a pretty picture I can assure you.
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Monday, June 18, 2007
Saturday, June 16, 2007
Predictions On Election Results Against What Is Happening Behind The Scenes
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Last night 2002 presidential elections runner up Uhuru Kenyatta officially pulled out of the ODM presidential nominations by missing the deadline to present his nomination papers.
Readers of Kumekucha can't have been too surprised at this development. It is just further confirmation that Kanu has different plans for the forthcoming elections even as ODM insiders struggle to ensure that the oldest political party in the land remains within ODM.
The ODM high command hastily accepted the 40:40:20 demand from Kanu and immeditately welcomed two more Kanu members into the highest decision making body of the party. The demand by Kanu that they field their own parliamentary and civic candidates was however rejected. If you remember this demand was at the core of Uhuru's damands because, as he put it, Kanu has to retain its' identity and not get swallowed up by this giant animal called ODM.
So! What next?
It seems that it will be difficult for Kanu to avoid splitting into two different camps. Those who will remain in ODM and those who will go back to "mama na baba." Any possible coalitions will only be formed after the elections and after the constitution has been amended to allow for them.
It seems that the splinter group that will remain in Kanu will be led by William Ruto and the one that will leave will be led by Uhuru Kenyatta. The big question analysts are now asking is which group will be more powerful?
Now I know that I am talking to a lot of ODM diehard supporters, but ladies and gentlemen let us put away our party affiliations and emotions for now and analyze the situation coldly. By the way, that is the only way you can get to be a good political analyst because this is really not the place to drum up support for your preferred presidential candidate.
To answer the question I have just asked, we need to look at Rift Valley soberly. Who will stick with Moi and Uhuru and who will go with Ruto? To be honest that is a very difficult question but I think it is fair to agree with what most analysts say, which is that Moi and Uhuru's group will consist mostly of older Kalenjins and will be weaker. This had better be true because after the Narc and ODM nominations are completed, Kanu will gain a lot of strength from the rebels who will come trooping in from both sides of the divide. Actually whatever you think of Kanu, those guys are smart. That is why they exploited and robbed us blind for over 40 years. Kanu has positioned itself perfectly to gain a lot of power from both Narc and ODM.
Let me remind you of what happened in 2002. It is a fact that many of the defections from Kanu that year could not stand NAK (The Kibaki-Wamalwa-Ngilu axis.) However they had no problem joining Raila's LDP. Just think of many prominent parliamentary candidates who may end up missing nominations in either Narc-Kenya or ODM. The vast majority will not be comfortable crossing to the other party and anyway those parties will already have completed their nomination process. Mark my words, Kanu nominations will be carried out last and they have the perfect excuse, because the circus in ODM and Narc Kenya will continue until the 11th hour which will be the perfect timing for Kanu to withdraw and go it alone.
N.B. At least two separate predictions so far (one from a pastor and genuine man of God who has always got it right since 1992) say that President Kibaki will lose the forthcoming elections. However it is the second prophecy which has been widely circulated via email and is from a man I don't know which has caught the eye of many. According to that prediction the presidential race this time will be very close between two candidates (President Kibaki not included) that it will be difficult to say who the winner will be. But even more interesting, they predict that Kanu will re-emerge as a very strong political force. The political situation currently is very fluid and anything can happen, but this prediction seems to confirm what is going on currently behind the scenes with Kanu, which I have reported here, in great detail.
I know there are a lot of you guys out there who are rabid Kanu-haters but it seems that this will be the party to watch, at least now and for the next few months.
Discover how the exciting new video web conferencing can make your business or web site much more profitable today.
Vote for a fellow Kenyan today because when he wins, Kenya wins
Last night 2002 presidential elections runner up Uhuru Kenyatta officially pulled out of the ODM presidential nominations by missing the deadline to present his nomination papers.
Readers of Kumekucha can't have been too surprised at this development. It is just further confirmation that Kanu has different plans for the forthcoming elections even as ODM insiders struggle to ensure that the oldest political party in the land remains within ODM.
The ODM high command hastily accepted the 40:40:20 demand from Kanu and immeditately welcomed two more Kanu members into the highest decision making body of the party. The demand by Kanu that they field their own parliamentary and civic candidates was however rejected. If you remember this demand was at the core of Uhuru's damands because, as he put it, Kanu has to retain its' identity and not get swallowed up by this giant animal called ODM.
So! What next?
It seems that it will be difficult for Kanu to avoid splitting into two different camps. Those who will remain in ODM and those who will go back to "mama na baba." Any possible coalitions will only be formed after the elections and after the constitution has been amended to allow for them.
It seems that the splinter group that will remain in Kanu will be led by William Ruto and the one that will leave will be led by Uhuru Kenyatta. The big question analysts are now asking is which group will be more powerful?
Now I know that I am talking to a lot of ODM diehard supporters, but ladies and gentlemen let us put away our party affiliations and emotions for now and analyze the situation coldly. By the way, that is the only way you can get to be a good political analyst because this is really not the place to drum up support for your preferred presidential candidate.
To answer the question I have just asked, we need to look at Rift Valley soberly. Who will stick with Moi and Uhuru and who will go with Ruto? To be honest that is a very difficult question but I think it is fair to agree with what most analysts say, which is that Moi and Uhuru's group will consist mostly of older Kalenjins and will be weaker. This had better be true because after the Narc and ODM nominations are completed, Kanu will gain a lot of strength from the rebels who will come trooping in from both sides of the divide. Actually whatever you think of Kanu, those guys are smart. That is why they exploited and robbed us blind for over 40 years. Kanu has positioned itself perfectly to gain a lot of power from both Narc and ODM.
Let me remind you of what happened in 2002. It is a fact that many of the defections from Kanu that year could not stand NAK (The Kibaki-Wamalwa-Ngilu axis.) However they had no problem joining Raila's LDP. Just think of many prominent parliamentary candidates who may end up missing nominations in either Narc-Kenya or ODM. The vast majority will not be comfortable crossing to the other party and anyway those parties will already have completed their nomination process. Mark my words, Kanu nominations will be carried out last and they have the perfect excuse, because the circus in ODM and Narc Kenya will continue until the 11th hour which will be the perfect timing for Kanu to withdraw and go it alone.
N.B. At least two separate predictions so far (one from a pastor and genuine man of God who has always got it right since 1992) say that President Kibaki will lose the forthcoming elections. However it is the second prophecy which has been widely circulated via email and is from a man I don't know which has caught the eye of many. According to that prediction the presidential race this time will be very close between two candidates (President Kibaki not included) that it will be difficult to say who the winner will be. But even more interesting, they predict that Kanu will re-emerge as a very strong political force. The political situation currently is very fluid and anything can happen, but this prediction seems to confirm what is going on currently behind the scenes with Kanu, which I have reported here, in great detail.
I know there are a lot of you guys out there who are rabid Kanu-haters but it seems that this will be the party to watch, at least now and for the next few months.
Discover how the exciting new video web conferencing can make your business or web site much more profitable today.
Vote for a fellow Kenyan today because when he wins, Kenya wins
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