Musalia Mudavadi's comments about an Idi Amin within ODM has caused plenty of anxiety within the party supporters and insiders. He did not make matters any better by trying to brush off his earlier comments telling white lies to the press that he meant that there were dictators within and outside ODM.
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However insiders within ODM-Kenya now think that they have identified the person Mudavadi was really referring to.
Apparently recent rulings by the chairman of the council of elders within the party who have been mandated with the hairy and hyper-sensitive task of finding an acceptable way of selecting the party's flag bearer have not gone down well with the former Vice President.
The chairman is of course one Fred "Kaa Ngumu" Ngumo. It is said that one of the rulings which Mudavadi and others feel should be discussed in more detail is the requirement that all presidential hopefuls come up with a fee of Kshs 2 million to qualify for consideration.
Not only Mudavadi but a number of ODM presidential hopefuls are feeling the heat from Mr Ngumo's harsh rulings n recent times and feel that they are highly dictatorial, more so because of the finality with which they are delivered.
However considering the Kshs 2 million fee, there is a lot of sense in what Mr Ngumo is saying. A candidate who cannot raise such a small amount of money is unlikely to be able to achieve the kind of fundraising required for a presidential candidate and is therefore just wasting everybody' time.
According to my estimates, a presidential candidate in Kenya today requires a minimum of about 50 million just to carry out a respectable campaign and not necessarily a winning one. And we have not even taken into consideration the fact that it is clear the incumbent is puling out all stops as far as spending is concerned in this presidential race that is expected to be the most bruising in the history of elections in Kenya.
In fact the reluctance by most of the leading presidential candidates to pay a mere Kshs 2 million seems to gave ruled out the possibility of direct primaries to select the ODM presidential candidate. Some observers had indicated that the only way direct elections can be paid for is by each of the candidates sharing the bill of such an exercise which would come to a minimum of about Kshs 5 million each (including the so called fringe candidates.)
Incidentally the only person who has had no problems with Ngumo's decisive rulings so far is one Raila Odinga the man most Kenyans believe Musalia Mudavadi was referring to in his remarks. Kalonzo Musyoka handlers are also said to be quite nervous about the power which this council of elders that "came from nowhere" seems to have accumulated within such a short time of existence.
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