Scary military reaction to General Ogolla crash | Kenya news

Thursday, March 01, 2007

What are Kalonzo Musyoka's Options Now?

Now that it is evident that Kalonzo Musyoka will NOT be the ODM presidential candidate, chances are that he will leave the party soon after Raila Odinga is named the party's presidential candidate.

What must be understood is that Kalonzo will not dessert ODM-Kenya because of the way that Raila will be selected but it will have more to do with his pride and his misplaced belief (built over numerous Steadmann popularity poll results) that he is a better man than Raila.

It will be perhaps the most bitter pill Musyoka has ever swallowed in his long political career, considering that opinion polls for the better part of last year have always said that he was more popular than Odinga and was only second to Kibaki. One opinion poll at the beginning put him right at the top, above eve prsient Kibaki, in popularity. These polls gave Musyoka the false impression that he would easily be selected as the ODM-Kenya presidential candidate by whatever method was arrived on, although he clearly favored some sort of direct vote country-wide.

And again, during the constitution referendum, Raila said in public 'Kalonzo tosha' meaning Kalonzo was capable which made Kenyans assume that Raila could vouch for a Musyoka presidency and he would settle for the much-talked-about prime minister's post.

So, if Musyoka is to leave, where can he go? Especially if you put into consideration the fact that he does not have the cash to finance his own presidential campaign and neither does he have enough super rich friends in Kenya to assist him, like some of the other candidates. But let's assume for a moment that Musyoka somehow finds the cash and decides to go it alone with his own party—which would most probably be the Rainbow Alliance Party (RAP), an outfit registered by his alter ego, one Dee Kivuva a former police officer sacked from the general service unit several years ago for fraud.

He will probably secure the Kamba vote, though not as a block as his support from the community was previously powered by the fact he would be the ODM-Kenya candidate whose presidential aspirant had the biggest chances of dethroning Kibaki.

Another factor that may cause Kalonzo to write his own political obituary on leaving ODM is the simple fact that he will leave alone as he does not have the capacity and ability to woo other big wigs in the movement to join him in abandoning it. In other words, Musyoka's exit from ODM will barely affect the party's chances of dethroning Kibaki and will probably strengthen it as most of the power jostling in the party has always been between Kalonzo and Raila supporters. This will cease with Kalonzo out of the way.

Kalonzo's other option is to join Narc-Kenya who will probably not treat him as a big catch but will accommodate him all the same for propaganda purposes against ODM in exchange for an obscure position in the next government if they win.

In other words, Kalonzo's option on leaving ODM are extremely limited and if he thinks twice and gets good advice, he is better off swallowing his pride and accepting the vice president post within ODM. That is by far his best bet.

A Kenyan safari of a lifetime at a price you will not believe.

Shocking Nation sex scandal dossier finally released.

Controversial Narc-Kenya Activist Mary Wambui (Mrs Kibaki) Returns To The Campaign Trail With Her Strikingly Beautiful Daughter

Now that the Artur brothers saga seems to have cooled off, Narc-Kenya activist Mary Wambui who is President Kibaki's second wife, is back on the campaign trail with her wayward but strikingly beautiful daughter, one Nancy Wangui.

This time round, she has bounced back in style with blaring sirens going ahead of her along with two chase cars filled with armed bodyguards, and of course, loads of cash to dish out to women groups and any worthy (vote-generating) cause that she may bump into on her way.

Last week she was in western Kenya where she donated shs 200,000 in a small harambee in Enoch Kibunguchy's Lugari constituency.The MP has since left Ford-K and has joined Narc-Kenya.

The question still remains, where does this lady get the sack loads of cash that she distributes in her various political meetings? At one time while covering her meetings in Ukambani, I saw her spend more than Sh 800,000 in a few short hours and she generously paid off everyone including the local police who had provided extra security in her functions supplementing the civilian dressed bodyguards that always travel with her.

And again she is a likeable woman if not motherly. She will always tell journalists to be patriotic and mind about the welfare of their motherland. With all the pep talks accompanied by her knock-em-dead infectious smile and a heavy Kikuyu accent and of course the free-flowing cash, Mary Wambui has to be the President's most valued secret weapon in the forthcoming polls.

Her previously impeccable reputation was however marred by her association with the notorious Artur brothers who enjoyed the powerful influence and connections of the Narc-Kenya activist and her daughter. Not to mention the nasty rumours that won't go away to the effect that Wangui is carrying the baby of one of the Artur's.

President Kibaki has denied vehemently on several occasions in public that he has any relations with Wambui and her daughter but Kenyans don’t understand why Mary Wambui still enjoys state security round the clock at her Lavington residence and everywhere she goes. Not to mention the enormous influence she wields in political circles.

Then there is the fact that her drop-dead-gorgeous daughter will be an invaluable asset in reaching younger voters countrywide. (see her in this romantic setting).

A Kenyan safari of a lifetime at a price you will not believe.

Shocking Nation sex scandal dossier finally released.