Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Biwott Faction Takes Over Kanu: The Danger That Looms For The Shaky Kibaki Administration

Nicholas Biwott spent a lot of cash last week but it certainly wasn't in vain. The Kerio South MP with quite a past is said to have virtually single-handedly financed the whole exercise of transporting over 4,000 Kanu delegates to Mombasa where they stayed at five star hotels and ate like kings. The whole Thing wouldn't have cost him less than Kshs 10 million. Phew!!

Uhuru Kenyatta and Kanu MPs allied to ODM also spent a lot of money hosting (mostly the same delegates who went to Mombasa, at Kasarani. The fact that it seems to have al been a waste of time, is no doubt one of the things that has made the Kenyatta faction so angry. My rough estimate is that Uhuru and company spent about Kshs 6 million.

There's lots of money in Kenya, you just need to know where to look.

But even as analysts try and fully understand what an official opposition leadership change actually means, there is a very clear danger ahead and all indications are that the shaky Kibaki administration is headed for yet another shaking. This was very clear from remarks made by both axed former Kanu chairman Uhuru Kenyatta and his sidekick, William Ruto. They said that they were waiting for Biwott to attempt to take over the instruments of the official opposition leadership, Nay, they in fact dared the Kerio South MP "to try".

Whatever happens, you can be sure that the Kenyatta camp that is currently seething with rage that will not be easily quenched is already plotting on how to go about exacting their revenge for the "under the belt" punch that they have just received from the Biwott faction. Uhuru Kenyatta has already ruled out going to court.

When you put the ODM-sympathetic MPs together with the aggrieved Kenyatta faction of Kanu MPs, you have enough numbers to cause plenty of mischief and even an attempted vote of no confidence in parliament against President Kibaki is not out of question.

It seems that parliament is going to be split right down the middle with two warring factions determined to go for nothing short of each others' jugular. Whatever happens it will certainly be a very interesting run up to the general elections.

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Nicholas Biwott: The Man Kenyans Love To Hate But Fail To Understand How Dangerous He Really Is

Nicholas Biwott is a man who does not take "no" for an answer. Whether it is from a chamber maid in Auckland whom he admires or the top seat in Kanu that he wants, the man will just not give up. To prove it, he now has the Kanu chairmanship firmly in his grip.

Kenyans have accused Biwott of many things. But what they are not aware of is that this is one man who doggedly follows his objective and will not quit until he has his "prize" in his hands. Many who have crossed his path and lived to tell the story, will tell you that you don't mess with Nicholas Biwott.

Right now, topmost on his mind is to protect the ill-gotten wealth he accumulated during Daniel Moi's 24 years in power. He has been successful in doing just that through the Kibaki regime and now looming in the horizon is this threat called ODM. Together with his old buddy Daniel Moi, Biwott is plotting for nothing short of the obliteration of ODM-Kenyan. Of course it will not be easy, but this tiny man will just not give up.

In the run up to the general elections in 2007, you can be sure that you will be seeing and hearing a lot about one Nicholas Biwott.

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Uhuru Kenyatta could be the devastating trump card that ODM hands Narc Kenya in the race for the presidency in 2007.

An ODM sympathizer who regularly calls this blogger (usually to tell me off for criticizing ODM) last night delivered a shocker to me. He asked a simple question; "imagine" ODM fielding Uhuru Kenyatta as their presidential candidate? Then he added; Of course Moi will still be the winner as we create a political dynasty of sorts in Kenya.

Analyzing this rather reckless statement I came to an astounding conclusion. To keep ODM Kenya intact, political schemer par-excellence, Raila, could just urge the leading presidential candidates to opt for a compromise candidate. Uhuru Kenyatta is in a perfect position to be that compromise candidate. Especially now when there is so much sympathy for him after what Biwott and Moi did to him in Kanu.

A Uhuru Kenyatta candidature would split the significant Kikuyu vote and de-tribalize the whole presidential campaign, just like in 2002 and chances are very high that it would carry the day, especially with an ODM Kenya that is still intact, having avoided the widely predicted fall-out the minute they announce their presidential candidate.

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