Predictions of a coming Kamba president?

Contrary to what most folks here think, I DO NOT enjoy putting down my community. I want only what is best for the Kamba and a much better future than what the past has brought. It saddens me at the dawn of one of the biggest breakthroughs Kenya has ever had, namely a new constitution, the same old diseases are holding the Akamba people back and threatening to push them from receiving any benefits like the rest of the country. That alarms me very much and is what inspired this series.

President inspects guard of honour during promulgation of constitution.

But let me tell you a fascinating tale first so that you understand my thinking in writing this no-holds barred ruthless analysis of the tribe that gave birth to me.

My story is about these two brothers who never finished high school. However it seems that they had grasped some key lessons in life when one is looking for a breakthrough. Namely start where you are and start by analyzing the failures. Failures are extremely valuable if you know how to handle them. I am of course talking about the Wright brothers (Orville and Wilbur). For years I have studied the methods they used in discovering mechanized flight with a fascination that will just not go away. The two started by gathering all the information they could find on previous attempts at flying. They studied them in great detail and then started their work with the failure they thought was closest to success. One of the really important things they did was to develop the most accurate wind tunnel of the time. This is for experimentation and gives you an idea in exact scientific terms of the lift of your wings and aircraft considering its’ weight and shape. And so when the two exhausted but excited brothers gathered at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina; December 17, 1903 they were not hoping for a miracle, they already knew from their calculations that the dammed thing was going to fly.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_Flyer

That’s why history, even your own personal history can be life saving, but the key in analysis is to be brutally honest. The positive thinking comes after your plan is in place.

My hope is that my series has shown the Kamba people where they are and now we have to find a way forward and out of our misery. Already it is clear that the Kamba tend to do very well far from home. Many agree also that they are very creative fellows. But on the political front they have done very poorly. Their leaders have failed to unite so as to negotiate and fight for a better life for their people. And neither has the lone ranger approach worked as stubs for the presidency by leaders from Ukambani like Charity Ngilu and Kalonzo Musyoka have yielded very little to show. Before them Paul Ngei’s repeated claim that he was the king of Ukambani did not add any isyo (Kamba staple of maize and beans) into the people’s plates.

But even before that there was the renowned ruler and medicine woman Syokimau who correctly predicted the coming of the white man. She did not try to unite the Kamba to face this coming threat. And that is one other thing about us, we love to have our predictions proved right but are hardly proactive in suggesting remedies and solutions that will come in handy in dealing with the problems we see coming. You would think after the biting famine that kept on sweeping across Ukambani for centuries, somebody would have come up with an attempted remedy of at least preparing for them. It never happened.

At the moment Kalonzo Musyoka is the leading political figure from the region who is very much interested in the presidency in 2012. Mr Musyoka needs to ask himself if his community is fully behind his bid for the presidency. Secondly he needs to put his house in order before he seeks national leadership. What kind of man leaves sufurias flying in his poverty stricken home to go to the village to seek to be chief of the entire community? While doing that he needs to appreciate the fact that things have hanged dramatically on the ground. More and more members of the community are looking at other more united communities and asking themselves why not us? Chances are that if he does not quickly reposition himself he will find that events have conspired to make him completely irrelevant in 2012 politics. It matters little that he is currently the vice president. Remember vice president Moody Awori?

Charity Ngilu has already etched her name boldly in the history of the country and can beat Musyoka easily in any political contest that is limited to Ukambani. But now at the twilight of her political career Madame Ngilu needs to sekk to make a different kind of history, Namely helping find the lost key that will unlock the Akamba people and their virgin potential.

But if you want to believe that Syokimau was right in most of her predictions then keep your eyes on a miracle of sorts in the not too distant future that will put a Kamba in State house. That’s right, she predicted that a great leader from Ukambani would make their mark nationally, after Kenyatta and Moi meaning that the day cannot be too far off.

Many thanks for reading and commenting on this series. This is my last post and I hope that it will stri up things enough to bring about much needed change in Ukambani.

Previous articles in this series:

Part 1: What future for sleepy Kenyan community?

Part 2: What is the true origin of all the suffering?

Part 3: Dangerous votes from Ukambani

Part 4: Terrible crab mentality that rules the Kamba

Part 5: Kamba athleticism and other deadly talents

Part 6: Kamba constituency that is very different from the rest

Part 7: Predictions of a coming Kamba president?

Kamba constituency that is different from the others

The most fascinating tale my dad has ever told me is the one about his trip to Nairobi from Machakos on foot through the bushes, sometimes in the dark. It happened around 1943 or thereabouts and my father was barely 5 years old.

A section of the crowd during the historic promulgation of the new constitution 27th August 2010

His uncle was carrying some tobacco from his small shamba to sell in Nairobi and the environs. It took them about two days to get to Nairobi. On their way back they were “loaded” with cash and so they took a bus. The highlights of that trip was that he saw a car for the very first time in his life and children back in the village could not get enough of that story months and years later.

The point is that the Akamba people pioneered in many things and started traveling far and wide very early on. They were mostly traders and sometimes sold the produce of their farms when famine did not hit. If other communities had gotten the kind of opportunities they got, there is no doubt that they would have utilized them and gotten very far.

Indeed the Kamba started getting a reputation of “not being ambitious”. They would dutifully work for an Asian for decades without it ever crossing their minds that they could duplicate the business and set up their own. The only kind of business that seems to be populated by many from Ukambani is the one of selling car tyres. Don’t ask me why because I have no idea.

The Kambas were trusted in the military because they would never dream of being disloyal let alone overthrow the government.

Sadly it is also true to say that one of the reasons why many Kambas are terrified about progress is because of the fear of being bewitched by jealous friends and relatives. In other instances they are actually bewitched or seem to believe that they have been bewitched and that is the end of the road for them. In other instances the crab mentality creeps in and a fellow Kamba works hard towards their downfall which then becomes inevitable.

This is an attitude that will have to be tackled head on by the new governors who will have jurisdiction over counties in Ukambani. The big challenge is finding ways and means to overcome this mindset and to encourage people to work and exercise their talents.

There is no doubt that the Kamba are generally very talented people and anybody who unlocks their potential will be utterly amazed.

So what is the way forward? How can the Kamba break from the terrible bondage of the past into a glorious new future?

Sadly as the voting patterns from the referendum proved this will be very difficult in the foreseeable future. Cheque book politics, it seems, will continue to rule in most of Ukambani.

Still there is a little light at the end of the tunnel. From progressive constituencies like Kangundo (where Johnsone Muthama is MP). Many who have visited the place for the first time have quickly said that they did NOT believe that they were in Ukambani. It does not look like Ukambani they have emphasized. Interestingly this is the same constituency that was ruled with an iron hand by one Paul Ngei for years.

You will find plenty of cash crops and development in Kangundo and you will notice a lot of stone houses as opposed to grass thatched huts with “extreme poverty” written all over them.

Constituencies like Kangundo give me a lot of encouragement that Ukambani can change for the better.

See interesting tale about how Paul Ngei's friendship with Kenyatta enabled him to get away with test-driving a Mercedes Benz for 20 years.

Previous articles in this series:

Part 1: What future for sleepy Kenyan community?

Part 2: What is the true origin of all the suffering?

Part 3: Dangerous votes from Ukambani

Part 4: Terrible crab mentality that rules the Kamba

Part 5: Kamba athleticism and other deadly talents

Part 6: Kamba constituency that is very different from the rest

Part 7: Predictions of a coming Kamba president?

Month of disasters turned into month of miracles

August has usually meant disaster for Kenyans. Even on a personal level my own mother suddenly and very unexpectedly passed on August 20th. One evening she was there and a few hours later she was gone. Founding father and first president of Kenya Jomo “land grabber” Kenyattta died August 22 1978. The list of disasters in the month of August for Kenyans is pretty long and includes the American embassy bombing in Nairobi in August 7th 1998 and the death of former Vice President Kijana Wamalwa on 23rd August 2003.

But this August 2010 was very different. Mighty different!!

I will continue with images from Kenya's KATIBA day in August over the next few days: Here the PM takes the oath of office.

Powerful forces behind the scenes including the president’s own close advisors not to mention his intelligence boys were very much against Kenyans getting a new constitution. Hopefully one day Kenyans will get to hear of at least a fraction of the things that went on behind the scenes to frustrate things. But historians will record that in the month of August 2010 miracles happened and Kenyans got a wonderful new constitution, in my view the best in Africa.

By some miracles one Mwai Kibaki who has never been enthusiastic and passionate about anything in his life (even the political fight of his life in 2007) was suddenly deeply passionate about Kenyans passing a new constitution and criss-crossed many different parts of the country campaigning like some youngster rookie president.

As the miracle month approached the end with the many wonderful things that happened, and as most Kenyans pinched themselves to confirm that it was all real and happening, yet another miracle was dropped on their laps. Folks went to bed paying about Kshs 7 per minute for their calls even as the leading mobile phone service in the country was still able to declare obscene profits in the region of 20.9 billion. The next August morning Kenya suddenly woke up to Kshs 3 per minute to all networks and short text messages to all networks was at a mere shilling. Zain the company that introduced these rates told Kenyans that this was NOT an offer but a more permanent rate structure. As you read this Kenyans are paying as little as 2 shillings for Safaricom to Safaricom calls (which is an offer as the company thinks of what else to do to keep its’ obscene profits).


Why the number of Somalis in Kenya exploded
By Guest writer

Early this year, rumours had it that the number of Somalis in Kenya have increased substantially. And that the results for the census that was carried last year were cancelled because of this. Actually, this story appeared in one of the tabloids in Kenya - The Star. Now, the results are out; Oparanya officially announced the Kenya Census 2009 results on 31st August, 2010.

Seems like they are not rumours anymore; the population of Somalis in Kenya which was just under a million in 1999 has more than doubled in just a decade and now stands at about 2.4 million. Is that possible? Yes and no. The new figures for the Somalis would not be possible if you base your analysis on natural growth alone, i.e. the net difference between births and deaths. But, there are many ‘non-natural’ reasons that could increase the population of a community.

Thus the question here is; what could have caused the exponential growth of the Somalis in Kenya? In my opinion there are many reasons underlying this seemingly doubtful growth rate that have nothing to do with immigration. And that the growth rate in essence could be a true reflection of the Somali population in Kenya. Therefore, these reasons include, but are not limited to, the following; changes in method of data collection and analysis, and changes in the pattern of intra-country migration – notably from nomadic to sedentary lifestyles. Other reasons could include inaccuracies, either deliberate or accidental, in the base population from which we found our previous assumptions. If, for example, the earlier census was not properly conducted or the results intentionally distorted, both of these would have an effect on the validity of our base population i.e. 1989, 1999 etc.

I know for sure the method of calculating Somalis in Kenya has changed. This, by sheer happenstance, I came to learn while a student at a certain college in Nairobi when we were given some assignments part of which entailed getting some figures from the census book. A friend of mine, he was a Turkana, decided for some reasons to compare the Somali population in Kenya to his community’s. He was shocked when he realized that the Somalis were indeed much fewer than the Turkanas. When I went back to the library with him, I was stunned too. The Somalis were divided into clans and each clan listed separately. Only a tiny minority were listed as Somalis. I later explained to my friend that the Degodias, Gurres, Ajurans and Ogadens he was seeing were actually Somali clans and not some distinct communities.

Why they decided to enumerate the Somalis in that manner is something that I have never understood. Now, if indeed the ‘Somali’ population, as listed in the 1989 census, was much lower than the Turkanas in Kenya, would the KNBS also be basing their analysis on inaccurate figures? Wasn’t it also easy for the guys behind these evil machinations to push the figures for the Somalis downwards? I have this feeling they not only could do that but they did. Why they did it is something that we would probably need to ponder on, for a long time to come.

Secondly, the Somalis in Kenya are predominantly nomads. We also know that the region mostly inhabited by these people has suffered from perennial drought and famine. This, I know for a fact, pushed many nomads to a sedentary lifestyle. Some of my relatives currently living in Garissa can attest to that. Also, it is only possible for government officials to enumerate settled residents. I thus, do not believe that the census clerks can exhaustively count nomadic tribesmen wandering in the expansive arid northeast, especially, when the census exercise is carried within a relatively short period of time. Therefore, the fact that many people now live in the urban centres in North-Eastern would definitely affect the number of Kenyan Somalis and of course push their numbers upwards.

Thirdly, and slightly related to the previous point is that the enumerators could have done a brilliant job this time round. I have a feeling that with each subsequent census the sophistication of the whole exercise improves. And this would have a positive effect on the census. Therefore, this would most likely increase the population of a community and in this case the Somalis who usually were not counted would effectively be captured by the census clerks.

Fourthly, I have this feeling that someone somewhere has some vendetta against the Somalis. I say this because it was only early this year when we heard that there would be some audit of Somali owned properties in the city. I am convinced that someone, reeling from the failure of the anti terrorism bill fail to go through, wants to pass the same through the backdoor. Thus as Kenyans we need to be careful about this shadowy figures.

Conversely, the argument that immigration, too, has something to do with the increase of the Somalis could be true. And, in the case that this is true then the government should be held responsible for that. How, for example, should Kenyan Somalis be held accountable for the corruption condoned by the government? If any non Kenyan Somali has illegally obtained Kenyan citizenship then I doubt whether their accumulated numbers could exceed a few thousands. Thus, I doubt this last point could substantially increase the number of Somalis.
Lastly, most of the above would also be true for the Turkanas whose numbers have also been questioned. Or, is this some clever way of justifying the imminent downward revision of the number of Somalis in Kenya? By making it appear as though it’s not just Kenyan Somalis they have a problem with? Anyway, I pray that sooner rather than later we will come to bottom of all this.

Question for Kumekucha readers to ponder:
Recent developments point to increased pressures to charge for quality content on the web and even at times on TV where it has mostly been free. And so is the future in TV services like DirectTV in the Americas Caribbean etc. and DSTV closer to home? What are your views? Would love some feedback in the comments area below.