Break ups are very nasty things indeed. Very few people are able to manage them, let alone live with the new reality they present to the two individuals concerned. And I am talking about relationships where those concerned are passionately and deeply in love with each other.
Najib Balala and Raila Odinga were once inseparable. I remember the tearful moment during the ODM presidential nominations in late 2007 when the handsome mzee from the Coast publicly stepped down in favour of “the Captain.” Not even that Nyagah guy from Embu stepped down for Raila. And this was after Mr Balala had already spent a small fortune campaigning for his presidential bid. I saw Raila shed tears and I said to myself if that man becomes the next president of Kenya then Mr Balala is going to be a very powerful man indeed.
Alas, human relationships are not that predictable. As you read this the two are bitter enemies. Balala took a very direct swipe at his party chief during the controversial Mau fund raiser when he said; “Look at this high table here. This is the future. If you are not here you are not the future.” There was loud mocking laughter at the end of his comment because there was absolutely no doubt who he was referring to as “ NOT being in the future.
Then at the same meeting Uhuru Kenyatta angrily said that “there are some people who are very stupid.” He quickly recovered and tried to make excuses saying that he had never hurled abuses at anybody from a podium in his life. But it was too late and again it was clear who the insults were directed at.
The clincher for me came when the increasingly busy (politically) Jimmy Kibaki addressed a meeting and started by telling people that he had brought greetings from Honorable William Ruto. Who is Ruto?
So what the hell is going on?
Why don’t we start by asking what has caused this bitter break up. Remember that in a real relationship the true reasons are sometimes so petty that neither of the parties will even talk about them. At other times they are so serious that they will talk of nothing else. So which is it in the case of Balala and the man who shed tears because of him not too long ago? I believe the Raila/Balala problems started with very petty issues like Balala not getting enough attention and not being given quality time. But they quickly escalated to more serious issues like the involvement of the said gentlemen in the post election skirmishes. Indeed on the surface this seems to be the same reason that Ruto and Uhuru Kenyatta are so bitter against the Prime Minister. But why should they be so bitter and yet the PM has dutifully protected all the murderes in ODM and has even defied Ocampo and stuck with his fellow principal Mwai Kibaki in insisting on a local tribunal to try post election violence suspects. For my slower readers a local tribunal means that the real culprits will go scot free no matter how much noise Kenyans make. Muta-do?
Some analysts believe that it is all political and that is why Balala, Uhuru Ruto etc are under the banner of KKK. This KKK rubbish is meant to signify the union of three major tribes in 2012, namely Kamba, Kikuyu and Kalenjin. Actually in my book the real name for this ridiculous “contraption” that will never work is Kalonzo, Kenyatta and Kipruto (the order is significant). But that is a story for another post very soon.
Let me admit to you folks that the real reason why there are such bitter feelings of animosity towards the PM is still a mystery to me. But I am digging and you guys know that when I start digging I never quit until I am able to solve all my mysteries and cold cases.
But the Jimmy Kibaki mystery I have already solved and I will tell.
Remember how I have said in many posts here that Mwai Kibaki’s schemes are usually so perfect that they never work? Well the president is still at it. If a leopard can ever get rid of its spots then you can expect that he will change soon. Admittedly in this case the president is borrowing heavily from the political notes of one Jomo Kenyatta who often fanned battles between his close lieutenants and then supported both sides, even going as far as financing both sides. Once upon a time Kenyatta had let loose Tom Mboya to destroy Odinga Oginga (Raila’s dad) and he gave hefty donations to both sides so that Oginga started believing that Mboya was acting on his own. Fast forward to the present and the president is fully backing Raila Odinga in the Mau battle. But he is also fully backing Ruto and the KKK alliance.
P.S. I stand by my headline in the last post where I asked if Ruto will survive. My opinion is that both Ruto and Raila are finished politically (only that they don’t know it yet.) However Ruto will fall first and Raila may survive even to the next presidential elections where it will dawn on him at the very last minute that his time (politically) is up. Hold me to account for this prediction, if I forget.