The talks over the grand coalition cabinet have collapsed.
A short while ago the two principals held separate press conferences accusing each other.
To cut to the chase it was obvious who was lying. Extremely obvious.
Raila Odinga read a lengthy statement complete with dates and details of how the negotiations have proceeded thus far up to the current deadlock. What he said rang true. After his statement he then answered questions from the press. This was in sharp contrast to President Kibaki's shifty eyes as he read his statement. He almost looked embarrassed. He then refused to answer any questions from the press. nstead he consulted briefly with Internal security minister George Saitoti and Vice prsident Kalonzo Musyoka before getting into his limousine and leaving. Although Saitoti has been the emissary between Raila and Kibaki in negotiations over the last few days, I believe that President Kibaki thinks he is ready this time for any eventuality. In fact the president has been planning a long time for such an eventuality as this when tensions rise in the country and violence threatens once again. As you read this, that is exactly where Kenya is tonight.
Raila says that one of the main stumbling blocks towards progress is the fact that PNU believe that the constitution gives the president sweeping powers that supersede anything that may have been legislated from the Anan talks.
Another obvious pointer to who is to blame for the collapse of the negotiations between PNU and ODM over the cabinet appointments can clearly be seen from the proposed PNU list. The party, in contravention of the new law (yes, that list breaks the law) want to keep all the powerful ministries and give ODM the meaningless portfolios like Nairobi affairs. Can you imagine PNU hanging on even to the nely proposed ministry of cabinet affairs?
I will be giving you updates on this post as I continue to gather information from various insider sources on both sides of the political divide. Please stay with me for the next 3 hours or so.
This circus is getting very interesting. ODM declined an invitation by KTN to be interviewed live during their 9 pm news. PNU accepted and sent in Local government minister Uhuru Kenyatta who cleverly dodged all questions by repeating the mantra that the appointment of the cabinet is the sole prerogative of the president. He then introduced the point that ODM wanted the entire civil service split along party lines. Actually if truth be told he sounded quite hallow and did not add any value to the news item for KTN viewers. Little wonder that in the SMS comments at the end of the news, one viewer reminded the president that he serves at the pleasure of the Kenyan people.
The truth is that the PNU argument is thin and there is too much "evidence" all over the place pointing to where the problem really is, including the PNU list that attempts to distribute the ministries. It is actually laughable because PNU retains all the powerful key ministries. Some portfolio balance.
ODM on the other hand has all the documentation to prove their case including correspondence and documentary evidence of the reversal of PNU's position between Thursday and Saturday morning when their letter with brand new cabinet positions arrived at ODM headquarters.
PNU have nothing but allegations to prove their side of the story. Seems like ODM were a little ahead of the game here.
Sadly, calling this a game is really insensitive and off the mark because there are valuable Kenyan lives at stake here. I just have received a report from one of my sources on the ground that tensions were very high over the weekend in Naivasha. You can imagine what the situation is now after the collapse of the cabinet talks.
But the really scary thing here is that the government side seems to be a little too pleased for comfort. What this latest development means is that it will be business as usual for the Kibaki administration. They are already running government and will continue to do so with or without ODM. This is classic example of where the law is being broken with impunity when it suits the government. And yet when it favors them they will always fall back on the same law. In other words the law in Kenya is toilet paper to those in power. Valuable when you go into that small room but you quickly use, dumb and flash down the toilet.
I would love at this point to read some a comment from those who have already applied for Safaricom shares like Proud Kikuyu Woman (PKW) and others. This is because the current situation does not augur well for the stability of the nation over the next few weeks and months.
The big question Kenyans across the political divide need to ask themselves now is what next?
According to me we have 3 simple options;
1. Fresh general elections as soon as possible.
2. Secession. Republic of Kenya and Republic of Mount Kenya.
I leave you dear readers to chew on that.
God have mercy on Kenya.