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Saturday, February 23, 2008

Is it a Grand Coalition or a Transitional Government?

Impeccable sources in Nairobi are this morning revealing that contrary to what is publicly being peddled that the Annan peace mission is aimed at creating a Prime Minister's post in a grand coalition government, the talks have actually been discussing ways of creating a TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT to be led by none other than Sabatia MP and former KANU Vice President Musalia Mudavadi.

In yet to be verified claims, sources further reveal that Musalia Mudavadi will be deputised by a Vice President to be nominated from the PNU side. Kalonzo Musyoka's name had been mentioned but was outrightly rejected by the ODM side. Names that have been forwarded for consideration as possible contenders included Uhuru Kenyatta, Prof. Sam Ongeri, George Saitoti and even gender balance in Dr. Naomi Shaban have been put forward as possible contenders.

It is unclear how the choice of the transitional leader was reached but Mudavadi has long been viewed as a moderate in ODM and as an individual who PNU insiders (read Athuri group) can work with.

Ironically, this is the very proposal ODM put forward immediately after the disputed elections and they were rejected by the PNU side.

The transitional government is the one that will be mandated to implement the deal that was agreed upon in Kilaguni Lodge last week. The Kilaguni agreement was very comprehensive and it included constitutional reforms that will comprise the following:
  • Comprehensive Constitutional reforms
  • Comprehensive electoral reform – including of the electoral laws, the electoral commission and dispute resolution mechanisms
  • A truth, justice and reconciliation commission
  • Identification and prosecution of perpetrators of violence;
  • Respect for human rights
  • Parliamentary reform
  • Police reform
  • Legal and Judicial reforms
  • Commitment to a shared national agenda in Parliament for these reforms
  • Other legislative, structural, political and economic reforms as needed.
Even more significantly, the agreement reached at Kilanguni had also proposed the creation of an Independent Review Committee, that would be mandated to investigate all aspects of the 2007 Presidential Election and make findings and recommendations to improve future electoral processes. The Committee is expected to be a non-judicial body and be made up of Kenyan and non-Kenyan recognized electoral experts of the highest professional standing and personal integrity. The Committee will be expected to submit its report within 3-6 months and it should be published within 14 days of submission. It is scheduled to begin its work not later than 15 March 2008. The findings of the Independent Review Committee must be factored into the comprehensive electoral reforms that are planned by the interim government.

If these developments are true and an agreement is signed next week, Kenya's political landscape will dramatically change overnight. However, it remains to be seen if such a development will eliminate the post election violence that has left the nation deeply scarred and divided.

It is also unlikely that both Mwai Kibaki and Raila Odinga will seek re-election as president in the new political set-up. The former may bow out on account of age and health, while the latter may be satisfied serving as Prime Minister, a position that is bound to be created by the new devolved constitution that the interim government will facilitate.

16 comments:

mrembowaodm said...

phil......are you serious?

your impeccable sources must be very, very wrong!! maybe you should all get your heads examined!

a transitional government led by musalia? have you people seen martha karua's disposition lately?

again i really have to ask are you serious? where pnu is concerned, experience has taught me to be eternally pessimistic and thats how i will be...... i will be waiting to see things with my own two eyes first!!

huh! transitional government?

Anonymous said...

Phil the rumour monger. Any relation to Kajwang? Dream on

Anonymous said...

I dont want to be too optimistic to the point of being naive. If true, however, this would indeed be welcome news for all peace loving Kenyans on both sides of the political divide. If Kalonzo was to deputize Musalia or vice versa, that would be perfect. Remember that is what ODM elders had suggested (i.e. either Musalia or Kalonzo to head ODM) before the pro-Raila hammer carrying thugs in Tononoka (Mombasa) imposed Raila on ODM leading to the break-up. If they had listened to the Gumo and company, Kibaki would never had even a slim chance of a second term. But anyway that is now water under the bridge.

Anybody is welcome but Hon. Raila. Hon. Raila, like his father, is and will remain unacceptable to the majority of Kenyans. It is not an issue of his tribe, but rather a character flaw. Anybody, regardless of tribe, who aspires to lead Kenya by rubbing his or her nose against the majority of Kenyans will never ever make it.

But in recognition of some of the positives things he has done, a weak PM will do for him. After all he once said to Moi that HATA MKIA NI NYAMA.

Anonymous said...

Anon 3:20 AM, You're level of Ignorance is PATHETIC TO SAY THE LEAST....RAILA ODINGA HAS BEEN ACCEPTED BY ALL IN KENYA EXCEPT CENTRAL & PARTS OF EASTERN. AND BELIEVE IT, HE HAS SUPPORTERS IN THESE AREAS AS WELL! THE MAJORITY OF KENYANS VOTED HIM FOR HIM & HE IS THE LEGITIMATE PRESIDENT OF OUR BELOVED COUNTRY UNITING 6 & a HALF OF THE COUNTRIES PROVINCES. WHAT ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT? EVEN A TODDLER WILL ATEST TO THIS..I.E HE IS EXTREMELY ACCEPTABLE TO THE MAJORITY OF KENYANS, THOUGHT I SHOULD SCHOOL YOU!!!

"Anybody is welcome but Hon. Raila. Hon. Raila, like his father, is and will remain unacceptable to the majority of Kenyans. It is not an issue of his tribe, but rather a character flaw. Anybody, regardless of tribe, who aspires to lead Kenya by rubbing his or her nose against the majority of Kenyans will never ever make it.

CANDY

Sayra said...

At least we are now talking. A proposal that is making sense and that can be implemented.

What is bothering me is, will the loosers in the government and opposition let this committee work without been bothered with petty & selfish political interests?
And does Mudavadi have the balls to deals with the likes of Ruto and Michuki?

yours,
Political Fence Sitter.

Anonymous said...

It's so sad that ODM failed to realize this long time ago. Mudavadi had a very good chance of becoming President. But due to Raila dicatorship in the ODM secretariat, this never came to pass.
When there was a row on which system to use to choose the Presidential candidate, that was the moment Mudavadi was supposed to have got the Flag.
It's clear to all that Mudavadi can work with both Raila and Kalonzo Musyoka. Had Mudavadi been the Presidential candidate even the likes of Musikari Kombo would have supported his bid. Infact, for once, the Western Province would have voted as a bloc. Not forgeting that Nyanza is with Raila no matter which party he is in. A good number of Kambas would have followed Kalonzo with the hope that after Mudavadi he would get his chance.
If that could have been the case, no matter how many votes Kibaki could have stolen in Central they wouldn't have been enough. And Mudavadi would have a better vote count than Raila even in Central Province and Nairobi due to the killings of "mungiki" adherents.
Lakini Ojinga ulifanyika.

Anonymous said...

This is cheap propaganda by PNU,they want to divide ODM.They been enticing Mudavadi since the struggle started.Beleive me,this ODM guys are desperate.Don't beleive in this bull.... .

Anonymous said...

nope.

this should definitely remain in the wishful thinking category of the rumour factory. if credible evidence is presented, then we can upgrade its status

fave of BG said...

Seems like an acceptable deal but. I think our social fabric is so torn that I wonder what will help.

The question that Sayra asks...'does Mudavadi have the balls to deals with the likes of Ruto and Michuki'... is exactly what ails us. it is the law supposed to deal with the likes of the above two but again we know in Kenya the law is relative.
Hope the deal works otherwise we are heading towards a pitiful bloody alley

Anonymous said...

Anon @3:20: Wow, your relentless stupidity and ignorance is baffling. In case you went to school managed by a pack of wolves and not a typical Kenyan class room, you would know that Oginga Odinga refused to ascend to the Presidency while Kenyatta was in detention. Upon Kenyatta's release, he stepped aside to let the latter ascend to this position. They fell out among other reasons, Oginga's populist position and anti-land grabbing, multipartyism, etc, versus Kenyattas lang grabbing, state-sanctioned killing approach to consolidate power. He was under house arrest for a lot of time after that and denied the right to actively participate in politics, until the advent of Multipartyism in 1992. Character flaw? Which? I see a man who put his country first, did not view leadership as unadulterated authority to oppress the masses and dissenting views.

On Raila, sorry to inform you but majority of Kenyans already accepted and overwhelmingly voted for Raila. The ONLY reason he is not in State House is because rogues posturing as "gentlemen of impeccable character" rigged the election and refused to cede power even when it was obvious that they had no chance of winning. In their greed for power, they thought Kenyans would complain about the vicious, public rape for 3 days max and go back to their lives. As you are well aware, that didn't happen. More than ever, the elections fiasco by your juvenile election thieves has inspired and emboldened thousands more to support him.

Now to the character flaw - is he flawed because he challenges the status quo, dared to present new ideas/manifesto that the public embraced, making your "duly elected thug" look like a "leader" without vision? because he wants ALL Kenyans to have equal access to services and opportunities, all parts of Kenya to be equally developed, NOT just Central province? To take Kenya through it's institutions and people to their rightful place in the world? Give me a break!

Lastly, Kikuyus are the largest tribe in Kenya BUT, contrary to some fantasy deeply rooted in delusion, they DO NOT OWN Kenya. Kenya belongs to ALL of us including the tiniest tribes that may have only 50,000 members or less; and you have no right to think that you can throw the country into chaos just because you reject the majority's choice. Look what happened when you tried? The whole country stood up. The only difference is that PNU used the police and Mungiki to silence the outrage. So to state that Kikuyus must approve before one gets elected President is B.S!

Anonymous said...

Kumekuchans, I am not sure I understand this post! Is this source sure? I believe this impeccable source might have gotten this wrong!
Kumekucha has been pretty right in most of its previous posts but this one! Hmmmm I doubt it. If it was around april I would have said it is a foul's day prank but it is not april!
Does anyone believe for a moment that Kibaki will give up power that he fraudalently got!Not with the hawks and hardliners like MArtha Karua, Michuki, Mungatana etc around him! People died, blood has been shed! Can he give it to Musalia that easily? I will wait to see! While praying for the best yet prepared for the worst!

Kimi Raikkonen said...

A coaliton for now, regardless of whether you call it a Grand coalition or transitional Govt, should last five years. It should have as its principal mandate the enactment of comprehensive constitutional reforms in readiness for 2012.
Another thing, Ati Raila was voted for by the majority of Kenyans? really? Using ODM's own figures, Raila had 4.3m notes, Kibaki 4.1m and kalonzo 0.8m and fringe candidates about 0.08m. Raila therefore got approx 46% of the votes. That is NOT A MAJORITY by any measure. Get your facts right.
After the constitutional reforms, and ideal line up will be:

Mudavadi- President.
Kalonzo - Vice President.
Uhuru - Prime Minister.
Ruto - Jail prefect in Kamiti.
Raila - Retired to Bondo.
Kibaki - Retired to Othaya.

Anonymous said...

Ndoto, domo, ndoto, domo, ndoto, domo and more ndoto and domo. ODM guys you are so alented kwa msenye

Anonymous said...

1.16am- Uhuru should also be in jail for funding Mungiki to nurn Luo's alive in Naivasha and behead those in Kibera and Mathare.
Kalonzo needs to retire to wherever he wishes as far as we are concerned he has no qualities to lead anything leave alone anyone. He directly contributed to the 1000 deaths in this country bcoz unknown to few he was in cahoots with the thief from Othaya all along to defraud Kenyans...

Anonymous said...

Anon @ 9:09am, Cannot put forth an argument based on merit, then goes on a tirade, go ride Martha's frills and then come back.

Anonymous said...

1:16 am
While you were busy cooking up a storm in the name of results & percantages....You clearly did not take note
4.3 TO 4.1 ARE NOT ODM'S FIGURES, WOOOOIYE BAABAA!!!!

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