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Saturday, September 29, 2007

Is The Steadman Poll Accurate Only When Your Preferred Presidential Candidate Is Winning?



Kalonzo Musyoka of Hoo Ndii Emm says that the Steadmann poll is flawed.

This is really interesting because when he was doing well in the same poll, last year, he often praised it as being very accurate and representative of the people’s views. It is now clear that since he is lagging behind, the poll is suddenly flawed.

Kumekucha has been consistently critical of the Steadman polls. My view is that the people conducting them concentrate most of their efforts on Kenyans in a certain class. The pollsters are quite often young girls in mini skirts and smartly dressed graduates who have never used a pit latrine in their lifetime and are frightened to go into places like the Kibera or Mathare slums—two places that will decide the presidential vote in Nairobi.

When these areas omitted by Steadmann are factored in, the implication here is that Raila odinga has a landslide victory if the elections were to be held today.

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6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Chris:
Kuna e-mail ina circulate eti Raila aliongea na Obiero na jamaa wengine sita. anasema alikuwa amechoka. Kama ni ukweli, nasisitizwa yakwamba rais wa Kenya wa nne anatamku kijinga akiwa amechoka. Ni marangapi atachoka na ni wangapi wataekwa jela ama wata uawa kila atakapo choka? Mbona hakuna wengine wanasisitizwa?

Proud Kikuyu Woman said...

Yes

Taabu said...

Kenyans are a funny political lot. No wonder our politicians know us best and take us for ego trips every 5 years. Kalonzo is only doing what others before him had done. When KM was tops Raila dismissed steadman with the a cheap quip that polls is no beauty contest. At least that was a latent admission of some ogre face somewhere. Now that tables are upside down all his well and bad depending on which horse you ride. We couldn't be more self-deceiving, or can we?

As for Emilio, either the guy knows something WE DON'T ama he is resigned to fat after seeing his chic chased, roasted, eaten, digested and EXPELLED. Na bado.

Phil said...

PKW, please, say something.Nini mbaya?

Vikii said...

"Are polls only correct when your candidate is tops?"--I think the people who can answer that question best are Chris, Phil and Raila Odinga.

Anonymous said...

Exactly what is ODM going to do about the looted funds! NOTHING capital NOTHING - at the risk of sounding like Kioko of BC, I dare say - None of them has the balls to chase the chums..uongo mtupu kutafuta kura.

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