Which ODM presidential candidate has a Plan “B” and who does not? Analysts will tell you that both Raila and Kalonzo have too much riding on the forthcoming elections that they both have elaborate plan Bs, should anything go wrong within ODM.
But to be fair to the two gentleman, they are not the only ones. Every serious politician has a plan B and not just these two. And that Plan B is what we need to watch very carefully because it is what could clinch this coming elections.
Let me remind you of what happened in 2002. Late into the year, in fact as late as September, the two main serious contenders in the elections were Kanu and Mwai Kibaki’s NAK. It was only well after the famous September 2 “Professor kimya” presidential nominations at Kasarani that Raila led a number of leading politicians out of Kanu. These politicians did not join NAK. What actually happened is that a new entity NARC for hurriedly formed using Charity Ngilu’s registered party and many politicians from both NAK and Kanu joined the new entity. Others stayed put in both parties.
All signs on the ground are that we are headed for a very similar Grande finale. Both Narc Kenya and ODM Kenya have serious “earthquakes’ happening as you read this and it is anybody’s guess what will end up happening. However chances are very high that disgruntled elements from both Narc Kenya and ODM-Kenya will join forces in the much talked about third force that could carry the day in December 2007.
That is the reason why it is premature and much too early for folks to start talking about their preferred presidential candidates. The Magarini constituency by-elections slated fro Monay will give us a pretty good idea of possibilities for December.
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Despite all the political motions there is practically no movements. All these people are only hiding under glossy papers packaged as visions while deep down they remain slaves to their personala and tribal interest. Nothing in there for Kenya.
ReplyDeleteTheir plan Bs are even worse versons of their visionlessness. All they are doing to crafting is nothing but a safety net anchored on tribal loyalty and nothing more.
We haven't seen anything yet. The coming months will witness political moves that leave the last 40 years a sahmed by resembling some political menopause. Come the third political force or whatever numeric value you attach to it and all we are staring at is nothing but the woods we won't manage to navigate ourselves out of soon.