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Saturday, July 29, 2006

What The By-election Results Say About 2007

Let us start with the good news, which is the fact that two 27-year olds triumphed in the recently concluded polls in Kenya. The son of former Nakuru town MP (now deceased) Mirugi Kariuki and the younger brother of the immediate former Moyale MP (also deceased) Guracha Galgalo.

It is a very powerful statement coming from a cosmopolitan constituency (Nakuru) and remote rural one (Moyale). It is the first clear indication that Kenyans voters are capable of rising to the occasion and voting in younger Kenyans. This is something the country needs badly at the moment as the old folk fight to cling on to power at all costs, even when they have completely run out of ideas.

However, I am afraid that all the rest of the news is bad.

1) The by-elections demonstrated clearly that the government is prepared to use state resources to ensure that things go their way. The government is also very upset that the ECK (Electoral Commission of Kenya) should blow the whistle. In this kind of scenario you can forget about a fair election.

2) Kenyans hailing from the Kikuyu tribe are staunchly behind the government of President Emilio Mwai Kibaki (as was proved in Nakuru town). Meaning that nothing has changed about the "Hutu of Kenya" since the November referendum.

3) Judging by the noise the government is making against the ECK chances are that the current (extremely experienced) commissioners will not be re-appointed when their terms come to an end (all before the general elections scheduled for the end of 2007. Assuming that the President does not call for early elections (see my other post).

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