There are no doubts that President Kibaki is now firmly in control of his destiny and poised to win re-election in the next general elections.
The president, if reluctantly, is now finally plunging himself deeply into the dirt and quagmire of the political game. For too long the he has been coming across as the kid dressed in their Sunday Best who does not want to get their white suit stained by mud and is prepared to go to great lengths to stay away from the filth. The recently concluded by-elections that saw Narc-Kenya snatch three of the five parliamentary seats that were up for grabs are clear evidence of this.
Essentially we are now back to the Moi days where the president feels that they have to cling on to power at all costs. Which means using every trick in the book.
One of the possible political gimicks is to call for an early election and catch most of the opposition totally unprepared. That would mean dissolving parliament later this year or early next year and having the general elections soon after that.
Actually if the situation were to remain more or less the same as it is currently, then President Kibaki is the most prepared candidate for the presidential elections at the moment and would benefit immensely from a snap poll.
I'm betting that at the last minute DP, Narc-Kenya and Kanu will merge to create a formidable alliance. Ford Kenya looks just too eager to be married off to the LDP, the only problem is, who will be the joint party's presidential candidate? Musikari Kombo seems very determined to stand for the presidency this time round. Then there are a number of loose ends whose outcome is impossible to predict. For example with Raila Odinga set to be the LDP presidential candidate, what will Kalonzo Musyoka do? And if, as widely expected KANU merges with Narc- Kenya, who will be President Kibaki's running mate and the Vice President-elect if Narc-Kenya wins?
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Am very concerned that we, the Kenyan electorate, sit back and watch our politicians line themselves up to form alliances to find their way back to power; yet without offering much substance in form of economic and social agenda for the new administration that'll take office next year.
ReplyDeleteIts worrying that we do not know Kanu's agenda, LDP's agenda, Narc-K's agenda and probably because they don't have it yet. The agenda problem is one that can be sorted out once they have the necessary coalition in place. Backward thinking i say!
The end result being, that once the coalition govt. is formed; should political problems arise, the coalitions disintegrate and the economic & social agenda falls into disarray.
I think we should find a way to hold them accountable; and to force them to start formulating agenda's which shall form the basis of our vote; and hopefully 2007 will be determined by the party's agenda.
Kibaki still has a long way to go. Fact is no one really knows what will happen if kenyans go to the polls. Expect earthquake and thunder.
ReplyDelete@ Kibet..agenda? You can only find one of those in NY or London.
In any case they will only be paying lip service to kenyans. Kibaki is right now supposed to be fighting corruption will all his resources