Navigating the Calm Before the Storm: Insights into Kenya's Political Crossroads

To grasp the dynamics of this storm, history offers critical lessons. In African politics, the realization that a president's tenure is nearing its end often triggers intense instability, spearheaded by individuals benefiting from the current regime. These individuals, desperate to protect their privileges, can become exceedingly dangerous.

Take, for instance, Kenya in 1976. After President Jomo Kenyatta underwent a medical examination by Dr. Christian Barnard, speculation of his declining health sparked the "Change the Constitution" movement. This movement aimed to block Vice President Daniel arap Moi from succeeding Kenyatta. It failed politically due to Kenyatta’s opposition and public ignorance of his condition, but behind the scenes, dangerous schemes were brewing, including the establishment of a paramilitary group.

History repeated itself during Moi’s presidency in the 1990s. The introduction of multi-party democracy coincided with tribal clashes, orchestrated by individuals close to the regime to maintain their grip on power. These clashes culminated in the horrors of 2007—a chapter of Kenyan history that remains unresolved and suppressed.

Fast forward to today, parallels are undeniable. Those close to President Ruto are undoubtedly aware of the finite nature of his presidency, and history tells us such knowledge breeds turmoil. The Rift Valley, a region critical to Kenya’s political stability, shows troubling signs of unrest, reminiscent of past conflicts.

The venomous rhetoric between opposing political factions further exacerbates tensions. What makes this even more alarming is the unresolved nature of issues that fueled the 2007 crisis. Ignoring these festering wounds risks a repeat of the past.

As we approach critical political milestones, I urge Kenyans to remember the lessons of history. Emotional attachments to political figures should not cloud judgment. Our focus must remain on safeguarding the nation’s unity and stability.

To better understand this pivotal moment, I highly recommend revisiting documented accounts of Kenya’s darkest political periods. My book, Let the Blood Flow, offers a detailed account of the 2007 post-election violence. While graphic, it provides critical insights into the triggers and consequences of political unrest. For regular followers of my platform, I am offering free copies—reach out via the contact information provided.

We must awaken from political complacency and engage in constructive action. Kenya is our only home; preserving it is our collective responsibility. Let us learn from history to avoid repeating it.