Raila Odinga’s Exit from Local Politics: A Turning Point for Kenya?

It is now official: Raila Amolo Odinga is retiring from local politics to focus on his role within the African Union. Currently, his primary focus will be campaigning for African Union elections, effectively marking his exit from Kenyan political affairs. At the same time, some of Raila’s closest allies now serve in President William Ruto’s government as cabinet secretaries. This development leaves no doubt that Ruto and Raila are working together, despite earlier denials.

Initially, Raila dismissed claims of collaboration, asserting that he merely responded to a distress call and temporarily lent his allies to assist Ruto. However, recent events have proven otherwise, sparking outrage among Kenyans. The sight of Raila at State House alongside Ruto has been hard to stomach for many, leading to widespread feelings of betrayal.

The Opposition Without Raila

With Raila’s exit, the mantle of opposition leadership appears to have been handed to Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka. However, questions abound about Kalonzo’s ability to fill Raila’s shoes. Political analysts doubt Kalonzo’s capacity to unify a fragmented opposition, especially during a period when the stakes for Kenya’s future are higher than ever. Kalonzo’s history within the KANU regime and his lack of experience in leading a robust opposition raise concerns about his effectiveness in this role.

Unlike Raila, who commanded unwavering respect and brought diverse opposition factions together, Kalonzo faces the challenge of dealing with ambitious leaders like Babu Owino and emerging political figures like Peter Orero. The ongoing Gen Z political movement further complicates the situation, as it seeks new leadership amidst its evolving dynamics.

Kenya’s Political Transition

Kenyans are also grappling with larger questions, such as the impact of Raila’s collaboration with Ruto on the Gen Z revolution. Many worry that the movement, which once represented hope for change, has lost momentum since Raila aligned with Ruto. However, Kenya's political landscape has undergone significant changes beyond the Gen Z movement. Public dissatisfaction with Ruto’s presidency, marked by economic hardship and widespread industrial action, has created a volatile environment. Strikes by teachers, doctors, and transport operators have made the country increasingly ungovernable, signaling a shift that could reshape Kenya's political future with or without Raila’s leadership.

The Mystery Behind Raila’s Decisions

Kenyans are puzzled by Raila’s decisions, viewing them as a betrayal of his long-standing commitment to championing the people’s cause. Despite nearing 80 years of age, Raila remains sharp and active, making his political alignment with Ruto even more perplexing. The question on many minds is: What truly happened to Raila Odinga?

As Kenya transitions into this new political era, only time will reveal whether these developments mark progress or further political turmoil. Until then, the nation watches and waits.