It has happened. The unthinkable event took place last night. My teenage son could not believe his ears when I announced that I had changed camps. I have now shifted from the orange camp to the banana camp.
Here are the chain of events that led to my sudden about-turn
1) My analysis and research clearly shows that the Banana team will win on Nov 21st… and very comfortably at that.
2) I post an article to that effect in this blog. I then promise a series of articles detailing the disaster that will follow this predicted event.
3) I start my research, which must begin with a thorough reading of the draft constitution. To my surprise I find that a lot of the propaganda that has been flying from the orange team about the new constitution is NOT TRUE.
4) I change my mind about the draft constitution. No there were no banana team politicians to welcome me at a rally somewhere. No I was not paid any cash.
I still feel, like most Kenyans, that the Kibaki administration has short-changed Kenyans. I still believe that it has elements in it that are even more corrupt than the Moi regime. But I am now convinced that the draft constitution offers the best chance Kenyans have ever had of changing things for the better. Read the next post to see my listed reasons. Meanwhile I have to talk to the person who sent me the draft constitution in the first place ( a die hard orange supporter). My conversation with him will begin with the words, “YOU MADE A BIG MISTAKE SENDING ME THE DRAFT CONSTITUTION, NOW SEE WHAT YOU HAVE DONE TO THE ORANGE CAMP….
Friday, October 28, 2005
Thursday, October 27, 2005
How The Bananas Will Win…
...Will The Last Man Leaving Kenya Remember To Switch Off The Lights
If you carefully consider the following solid facts;
1) Two surveys carried out so far. The first being the Steadmann survey and the other being an online survey by the Nation newspapers online edition which both give the Orange team a slim 10 per cent lead. Using the power of the provincial administration and taking full advantage of a low voter turn out (only 58% of the registered voters voted in 2002). This lead will easily be wiped out on November 21st.
It has clearly been proved in many past elections that the only way to defeat the government in an election is by a landslide, nothing less, and nothing short.
2) President Moi used the power of the office of the President to win two elections where he was facing stiff competition (1992 and 1997). President Kiabaki is even more powerful because he has the backing of most Kikuyus, which Moi did not have.
Using the vast god-like powers of the Kenyan presidency, the Oranges don’t have a chance against the Kibaki-backed bananas.
3) The behaviour of the powerful Mount Kenya Mafia surrounding the President has so far made it clear that defeat is not an option they will consider. Take the example of the recent travel bans on powerful minister Chris Murungaru. The latest is that he intends to fight the US travel ban in US courts. The most shocking and telling thing here is that he is still a cabinet minister. How is it possible for him to execute his duties and yet he is unable to travel to the US or Britain, nor use connecting flights through these two key western destinations?
This kind of behaviour and reaction clearly gives anybody who would care to look and think, an insight into the sort of characters we are dealing with here.
4) There is increasing evidence that this writer and his blog as well as both his online and offline activities are being carefully monitored by a government that will go to any lengths to stay in power by silencing all voices that want to air an alternative view. Incidentally there has been much more press persecution in Kenya during the Kibaki regime than there was in Moi’s last term.
5) The strategy being used by the orange team is weak and defective. It may have worked with Narc when the whole country spoke in one voice and said “No” to Moi and his “project”. But it won’t work in November, mark my words. In sharp contrast the smart bananas are doing some serious “tribal mathematics” in everything they do (very Moi-like, but also very effective). At least 50 per cent backing from the populous Kikuyu, Luhya and Kamba tribes will guarantee a banana win. Not to mention the other pockets of support countrywide which will give the bananas a clear win.
Based on these facts, I have no option but to tell readers of this blog to brace themselves for a banana win and the banana republic that will come with it. In future days we will give you a full detailed review on what you should expect after the predicted events of November 21st.
Will the last person leaving Kenya remember to switch off the lights.
If you carefully consider the following solid facts;
1) Two surveys carried out so far. The first being the Steadmann survey and the other being an online survey by the Nation newspapers online edition which both give the Orange team a slim 10 per cent lead. Using the power of the provincial administration and taking full advantage of a low voter turn out (only 58% of the registered voters voted in 2002). This lead will easily be wiped out on November 21st.
It has clearly been proved in many past elections that the only way to defeat the government in an election is by a landslide, nothing less, and nothing short.
2) President Moi used the power of the office of the President to win two elections where he was facing stiff competition (1992 and 1997). President Kiabaki is even more powerful because he has the backing of most Kikuyus, which Moi did not have.
Using the vast god-like powers of the Kenyan presidency, the Oranges don’t have a chance against the Kibaki-backed bananas.
3) The behaviour of the powerful Mount Kenya Mafia surrounding the President has so far made it clear that defeat is not an option they will consider. Take the example of the recent travel bans on powerful minister Chris Murungaru. The latest is that he intends to fight the US travel ban in US courts. The most shocking and telling thing here is that he is still a cabinet minister. How is it possible for him to execute his duties and yet he is unable to travel to the US or Britain, nor use connecting flights through these two key western destinations?
This kind of behaviour and reaction clearly gives anybody who would care to look and think, an insight into the sort of characters we are dealing with here.
4) There is increasing evidence that this writer and his blog as well as both his online and offline activities are being carefully monitored by a government that will go to any lengths to stay in power by silencing all voices that want to air an alternative view. Incidentally there has been much more press persecution in Kenya during the Kibaki regime than there was in Moi’s last term.
5) The strategy being used by the orange team is weak and defective. It may have worked with Narc when the whole country spoke in one voice and said “No” to Moi and his “project”. But it won’t work in November, mark my words. In sharp contrast the smart bananas are doing some serious “tribal mathematics” in everything they do (very Moi-like, but also very effective). At least 50 per cent backing from the populous Kikuyu, Luhya and Kamba tribes will guarantee a banana win. Not to mention the other pockets of support countrywide which will give the bananas a clear win.
Based on these facts, I have no option but to tell readers of this blog to brace themselves for a banana win and the banana republic that will come with it. In future days we will give you a full detailed review on what you should expect after the predicted events of November 21st.
Will the last person leaving Kenya remember to switch off the lights.
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