While President Kibaki and Prime Minister Raila Odinga are busy telling Kenyans how the government of National Unity is solid and united, behind the scenes deadly daggers have been drawn and it is possible that very soon we will see some major turmoil on the political front.
Interestingly both sides of the political divide thing that they have outsmarted the other. I will reserve my controversial but well thought out verdict for the very end. After I have told you what they are saying and doing deep in the kitchens of PNU and ODM.
The plan now in the drawing boards of PNU insiders is to look for a way to put a spanner in the works to bring down the government of national unity. The motive is simple. They have carefully gone through the Anan laws with the help of lawyers and it is clear that in the event of the GNU collapsing Kibaki remains president and has the power to re-constitute a new cabinet. The PNU think tank s confident that they will be able to easily pull this one off because they say that they have well-documented evidence of corruption amongst the top ranks of ODM (more details in my raw notes to be released tomorrow). Interestingly ODM, as brilliant as their think tank is, has not been able to document much on the PNU side in terms of evidence on corrupt deals.
So the plan will be to leak the evidence to the public which I am informed will cause serious outrage and great disappointment even amongst ODM diehards.
The truth is that the Anan deal greatly favored PNU and ODM was short-changed in many ways. This is what PNU insiders are looking to cash in on.
It is not clear what the effect of the break up of the GNU would have on the general public. Most Kenyans are really sick of the current crop of politicians and Kenyan politics as a whole so the truth is that many will be delighted to see the GNU collapse. The only problem is that the alternative (a Kibaki cabinet) will not be acceptable to many. We know for instance that the warriors in Rift Valley have not disarmed. We also know that groups sympathetic to the PNU cause have been heavily arming and swore earlier this year never again to be caught unawares. That is the reality on the ground.
But as usual PNU insiders seem to have miscalculated and have probably not fully considered the repercussions of a re-constituted Kibaki cabinet.
As much as I have no love lost for the greedy selfish insensitive GNU, I shudder to think of what any alternative may bring.
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