Just hours after I posted a fascinating story about the rapidly developing [political situation in the country, ahead of the forthcoming general elections, one of our regular commentators confirmed my story with his own additional claims.
His remarks deserve to be repeated here;
Phil said...
Chris, we've heard from the grapevine that the 3rd force have actually taken over the Democractic Party and they have been actively financing it over the last few months. They were actually the 4th force before Kombo betrayed Ngilu over EALA nominees stand-off last week. Many people are not happy with NARK-K politics and ODM-K is just too hot (read too democratic) for some to handle - actually none of them luminaries can beat RO in a fair contest be it delegates or consensus. I am not sure about your line-up for the 3rd force but I am informed principal players are Uhuru, Saitoti and Kalonzo. Mudavadi is out, he has never forgotten the 2002 debacle. The criminals of the last 4 decades cannot just imagine a Raila led government - chances are high that they will be made to pay either through jail or through public apologies and amnesty. Meanwhile Kombo knows FORD-K doesnt stand any realistic chance in the national platform and he knows exactly which side of the bread is buttered. Infact what Kombo is doing might not be illegal, but it is highly immoral. Ngilu is awaiting Kalonzo's defection from ODM before she joins in. She, Bishop Wanjiru and Sally Kosgei are Raila's bet in wooing the women and youth vote. One of them will end up being VP in a Raila led govt. But then again, who is the hidden hand meddling in national politics? Why cant Moi relax and enjoy his retirement? Is he fearing a Charles Taylor-like arrest? I wonder.
Ladies and gentlemen, this is what the wolves are up to now. Tukae chonjo
Uhuru, Saitoti & Kalonzo Third Force?
ReplyDeleteUhuru: Mt. Kenya is sittng pretty in the Great House on the Hill. Why should they gamble with Uhuru.
George Muthengi (aka Saitoti) for the same reason will not get much from Mt. Kenya and remains with a paltry Maasai votes to bring to the table.
As for Kalonzo... As some predicted months ago, when Kalonzo's supporters were cork sure of State House, it now appears the guy will not be ODM Prezi candidate. ODM ina wenyewe... (read Agwambo).
If Kalonzo cant swallow his pride and stay in ODM he may have to debunk to another party on a much more diminished profile. If his footing is not deemed sure, he may even then loose a chunk of Kao support now blindly following him to 'State House'.
Enter Mama Ngilu, later this year, posing more Catholic than the Pope in the Agwambo cheerleaders squad, and Kalonzo may have a probie in Ukambani.
The Kalonzo chap was told by Prof. Makau Mutua more than a year ago that he and his key backers lacked the Cash or Vehicle (read party) to make any serious dig for the Apex of power.
On a National level it is expected there will be a lot of fall out and re-allignment following Party nominations and new alliances, such as the suggested Third Force may emerge, but the main bout it appears will be between disappointed Kenyans (fronting Agwambo) Vs the Mt. Kenya blokes in currently in Power. Many aggrived voters may want to see Mbari ya Mumbi and their relas out of Power for more than one generation. To achieve this desire, many may be left with no option but to cast their lot with Agwambo and his fellow Wolves in Sheepskin.
As for your generation-next leaders... where are they, have they mobilized funds, networks, infrastructure and networks? The answer is negative.
Can they stage coups and hijack the existing Party Infrastuctures? Again the answer is negative. Hizo Party zina wenyewe (read oldguard).
'O' Cry the Beloved Country'
From Jonne