Opinion Polls Are Dangerous Things, Mr Kalonzo Musyoka

Yet another Steadman and Associates opinion poll indicates that Kalonzo Musyoka is the most popular presidential candidate in Kenya at the moment.

The most surprising thing is that Mr Musyoka has behaved like a political novice throughout this Steadmann opinion polls affair and has greatly reduced his chances of being the next occupant of State House.

One of the most important rules about politics anywhere in the world is that you do not let your opponents guess your next move. Moi mastered this technique and survived as President of Kenya through 24 mostly turbulent years.

The most dangerous thing that Mr Musyoka has done is declare his interest and even more dangerous is the poll which clearly indicates the person to be beaten. When the other contenders for the Presidency start working on poor Mr Musyoka, it will not be long before they leave his entire presidential bid in tatters. He has forgotten too quickly that one of the reasons why Mwai Kibaki is sitting in State House today is because the announcement of the single opposition presidential candidate was delayed for the longest period possible. All the time Kanu were sure that the opposition were not capable of agreeing on a single candidate for the Presidency.

By the time Raila was saying Kibaki tosha at Uhuru Park, it was too late in the game for Kanu to device an effective strategy to counter candidate Kibaki.