Sunday, April 21, 2013
Mystery Monday: Unlocking the 2013 Kenyan Presidential Polls Secrets Part 2
Read Part 1 of this post
Nobody can hope to analyze the 2013 polls in any way without
prominently including at the very least a whole chapter on former
Eldoret North legislator and now deputy president elect William
Ruto.
Later in this book we shall see how Ruto was incorporated into the
plan to neutralize the other threat. But in the business of spooks
sometimes allies go rogue and that is what Ruto did at one point.
But let us start off with a much better understanding of the man first.
In recent times he has managed to successfully re-package
himself to the Kenyan electorate and amazingly even to the
Kikuyu community who held him very deeply responsible for the
slaughter of Kikuyus in the Rift Valley during the 2008 skirmishes.
The truth is that nobody (including this blogger) believed that the
Kalenjin would vote in such large numbers for Jubilee.
This is a man who played a very major role in what unfolded
during the 2013 presidential polls and even defied and frustrated
the NSIS and became one of the very few people who have gotten
away with it. To begin to understand how he managed this and
many other feats, it is useful to remember the chapter on the
Kalenjin that highlights their crafty nature. Time and again people
have greatly underestimated Ruto (including this blogger) and
have ended up being shamed.
Ruto got his start from the massive amounts of cash that Moi
printed in 1992 and which was mainly distributed by the notorious
YK92 (Youth for Kanu 92) lobby group of which Ruto was an
official. Numerous eyewitnesses have described the scene at the
Anniversary Towers offices of the Youth For Kanu where large
cartons neatly stashed with 500 bob notes (the biggest
denomination notes in circulation at the time) were stacked up right
to the top of the high roof and occupied most of the space. The
campaign cash was being distributed in carton loads rather than envelopes.
An interesting aside here is that 2013 presidential candidate Peter
Kenneth also had his financial start with the Youth for Kanu group.
To his credit while others in YK92 squandered their sudden new
found wealth, driving around town in flashy cars, Ruto followed it
up with other deals like getting land allocations from Kanu for free
and re-selling the land at exorbitant prices, mostly to government
agencies. In a few short months it became difficult to link Ruto to
the man with blood-shot eyes yawning from pangs of hunger while
“tarmacking” on the streets of Nairobi looking for a job. In those
early days he would frequently be seen seated dejectedly on the
public benches outside the Hilton hotel popularly known by
Nairobians as the jobless corner.
The hugely ambitious Ruto then quickly moved into politics which
appeared at the time a grave mistake because many Kenyans
have had their business fortunes wiped out by politics and some
have been reduced to paupers. In yet to be explained
circumstances Ruto the MP was soon sitting in cabinet meetings
and still holds the distinction of the only Kenyan who is not a
cabinet minister known to have attended cabinet meetings.
Observers point his then closeness to Gideon Moi as being a
possible explanation. Whatever the reason he also fully exploited
that relationship with Gideon Moi to quickly climb up the ranks
of the KANU party.
He was to later fall out with Gideon who accused him of
amongst other things enriching himself with cash that was meant
for the Kanu presidential campaign in 1992. There are claims that
at one point his life was even threatened by people associated
with Gideon. How he repaired that relationship is yet more proof of
Ruto’s craftiness and an uncanny ability of somehow turning a
setback that looks like it will destroy him to his advantage. Another
case in point are the ICC charges which he used to form an
alliance with Uhuru who has also been charged. It is unlikely that
the union would have been accepted by both the Kalenjin and
Kikuyu communities if both Uhuru and Ruto did not have ICC
troubles. There are very few other mortals who would have seen
the opportunity and exploited it the way Ruto has done thus far.
Ruto is famous for his “short fuse” and is the man who did the
unimaginable in State House, Nairobi when he attacked and
punched Reuben Chesire, an elderly man who could have passed
for his father. Ruto had accused the old man of going around and
tarnishing his name by telling people that he was a con-man.
In the 2007 general elections Ruto gave former president Moi
(who was supporting Kibaki) a serious political hiding in Rift Valley
and bagged most of the votes there in favour of ODM and Raila
Odinga to the surprise of many political analysts who had already
started writing his political obituary.
Ruto fell out with Odinga soon after those elections in what was
clearly a carefully crafted NSIS operation to dismantle ODM and to
remove the militant Kalenjin from the party so as to avoid a
possible repeat of the 2008 blood-letting.
Gideon Moi somehow let the cat out of the bag in 2010 when he
said at a public meeting;
"In 2007, Ruto fiercely criticized Kanu for
supporting Kibaki yet he is now a frequent guest at State House. I
urge Ruto to use his newly found friendship with the President to
have innocent youth languishing in jails and police cells released
following their arrest for alleged role in post-election violence.
Please Bw Ruto when you take tea and githeri with the President
at State House remember to address the issue of the suffering
Kalenjin youth".....
The Museveni link
At the time of doing the final editing for this book President Yoweri
Museveni was scheduled to be the only foreign dignitary to speak
at Uhuru Kenyatta’s swearing in ceremony. Very telling indeed
when you also consider the frequent visits Ruto has been making
to Uganda for a very long time.
Kenyans will also remember that it was Ruto’s great influence
with the Ugandan leader that secured the release of a Kenyan
Muslim political activist held by Museveni. It is said that the release
was a personal favour to Ruto.
This close relationship with Museveni has puzzled many Kenyans
and Ruto has played his cards very close to his chest finding
clever official reasons to visit Uganda even as he has made
numerous other private visits in secret. The truth about the true nature
of this relationship will shock most people right up to their bones...
Interested in FREE details on this book?
See also; Are all the kinky stories about Shebesh true?
Saturday, April 20, 2013
Mystery Monday: Unlocking the 2013 Kenyan Presidential Polls Secrets
DEDICATION
To all the Kenyans who ignored tribal affiliations and cast their vote based on issues. Our time may tarry but it will certainly come
=======================
Truth buried is like a seed. It will disappear and rot in
the ground but you can always be sure that one day it
will come shooting out of the ground forcing its’ way
through all the rabble to shame the peddlers of
falsehoods. Sometimes it happens right away, other
times it may have to wait a long time for the next
rains. But grow it will one day…
-The blogger known only as Chris Kumekucha-
Introduction
On Monday March 4th 2013 at about 6:15 am I went to the polling
station and found a huge crowd stretching onto the road. The
doors were still closed and voting had not even started. Since I had a
responsibility that I take very seriously of covering the elections on
behalf of my Kumekucha Raw notes readers I went back to work
where I was staying for the duration of the election.
I returned in the evening bracing myself for a huge crowd but
found the polling station almost empty. I had already made a
decision to vote with my conscience for the candidate that I
thought had the best qualities to deal with the problems facing my
beloved nation just now. And so without hesitation I made a mark
next to Martha Karua’s name and did not pay much attention to
the other 5 people I voted for. I was just careful to avoid those
whose record I already knew. I was out of the polling station in 5
minutes.
I went back to where I was staying and soon the results started
streaming in on the TV with Uhuru taking an early lead. Based on
the information I had gathered weeks before this did not surprise
me. But I also kept a very close eye on Musalia Mudavadi’s votes.
I assumed that this thing was going to end quickly with Kenyans
being told to prepare for a run off.
It was not to be. By the second day to my horror I saw the same
signs that I had seen in December 2007. My wife was nervous.
What was happening? That was the beginning of a long string of
continuous questions that had no ready answers. More so
because the press went quiet and there was a news blackout
save for the results streaming in on the TV. The newspapers had
more but not nearly enough to answer any of the big questions. To
date the media has remained mum about many aspects of those
strange mystery elections
I worked my contacts and the information started streaming in. I
shared most of it with my Raw notes readers. A disturbing picture
was beginning to emerge and I continued to ferociously dig around
for even more information without knowing that I would end up
writing a book. But I did and here it is.
I love my country to bits and writing this account has been
emotionally draining and even confusing some times because the
truth is complex and raises even more questions about the
decisions that were made by people whom I believe were mostly
acting for the good of the country as far as they were concerned.
As you are about to discover it is complicated and there are no
clear black and white positions to be taken here. This is probably
what most things in our world have come to these days. You will
read and make up your own mind.
There is no doubt that the presidential results of the just
concluded elections split the country right down the middle and
the Supreme court petition that followed widened the gulf between
the supporters of the two different candidates even further. Half
the country went into wild celebrations while the other half felt so
dejected and crushed by the verdict that days later the wounds
are yet to heal. On some people I know they probably will never
quite heal. And yet we have a new president who is fresh and
different from what we have seen in the past and the feeling of
many is that despite the baggage he brings with him to the office
he should be given a chance.
Still the questions linger and they are important ones. It matters
little on what side you were, you still deserve an explanation as to
what really went down.
Were the IEBC computers hacked? If not what produced the
results that were mathematical impossibilities forcing the IEBC to
go manual as far as tallying of the votes was concerned? Who
really won those elections? What was so difficult about carrying
out a simple non-controversial presidential election? Why did we
start off with the promise that the presidential poll results would
come first and yet they ended up coming last and many days
later? What were the intrigues behind the scenes? Were the NSIS
involved? And if so how?
Questions, questions and more questions.
In this book I answer them all and I go deep to do so and well
beyond the surface. Some of those answers will amaze you.
Whatever happens one promise I can confidently give you; you
will come away from this experience with a much deeper
understanding of the forces that were at play and plenty of
answers about what really happened on mystery Monday. What
you will be left with will be questions on whether the decisions
taken were the right ones or not and for any neutral Kenyan who
wants the truth those questions may not all be very easy to
answer.
Still it is my hope and desire that you enjoy reading this. I have
done my best to make it as interesting and easy to read as
possible. I have made the effort to write concisely and clearly
without filling in plenty of words that really say nothing, like many
books I have read in the past that have bored me to tears. Yet I
have said everything that was to be said.
ENJOY!!
God bless the nation of Kenya,
History of rigged elections
Elections have been rigged on a small scale for years in Kenya
but this has been limited to constituencies in parliamentary seat
contests. There was no need to develop sophisticated systems
for falsify a countrywide poll because during the Kenyatta days
and most of the Moi years there was no presidential contest.
Nobody could dare challenge the presidency and so after every
general election the incumbent was declared unopposed and
therefore duly re-elected.
However when Kenya succumbed to intense international
pressure and returned to multi-party politics in 1991 things
changed rather suddenly. Some analysts predicted that then
President Daniel arap Moi was in serious trouble. They pointed to
the fact that he had never been in a competitive election in all his
long years in politics. This was true because it is his people in
rural Rift Valley who prevailed on the then school teacher Moi to go
into politics in 1957. His people had overwhelmingly decided and
so he was not opposed. After independence the next general
elections came when he was already Vice President and so he
easily used this influence to remain unchallenged until he took
over the presidency. Now Moi suddenly found himself in a fiercely
competitive election at the highest level in a pretty hostile
environment where opposition to his government had spread
virtually countrywide save from his own Kalenjin community.
Moi had to do something. If he had any illusions about what would
happen to him if he were to lose those very first multi-party
elections of 1992, then it was spelt out clearly for him by the then
opposition. Lawyer Paul Muite went public and told Kenyans that
he was already preparing charges which would be filed the minute
Moi was out of power. With the heavy support the opposition was
receiving then from the West most notably the United States,
including very generous funding, it seemed almost a certainty that
Moi would end his long political career rotting away behind bars.
He was cornered and cornered animals are extremely dangerous.
The result was a desperately rigged poll that ended up with Moi
being quickly sworn in for his first term under a constitution that
had been amended to limit the presidential term to only two five
year tenures.
And that is how presidential election rigging was born in Kenya. In
the following years it was to thrive and grow in sophistication
leading to the 2013 case where an attempt to use computer
software was made but did not quite work due to a few hitches.
There is one very significant point that anybody who wants to fully
understand how presidential elections work in Kenya must grasp.
It is the elephant in the room that every analyst tends to miss.
Ever since the country returned to multi-party democracy and
competitive presidential elections, there has never been a free
and fair presidential poll in Kenya save for the ones held in
December 2002. That is the sad truth.
It is instructive that magical 2002 was the only year when there
was no petition challenging the election of the president. Indeed
historians will note that Mwai Kibaki was the first president in the
history of the country to be popularly elected directly by the
popular vote of the people. Jomo Kenyatta the first president
swept into power in 1963 by virtue of the fact that he was leader of
the party that won the majority number of seats in parliament.
Daniel arap Moi succeeded him on his death and ruled without
elections until 1992 when he was forced to manipulate two
elections that kept him in power until his retirement in 2002.
It should also be said 2002 was the only presidential election in
the history of Kenya where the tribal factor was absent because
both front runners were from the same tribe. Both Kibaki and
Uhuru are Kikuyu.
Go to Part 2 of this post
Interested in FREE details on this book?
See also; Are all the kinky stories about Shebesh true?
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