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Saturday, April 20, 2013

Mystery Monday: Unlocking the 2013 Kenyan Presidential Polls Secrets


 

DEDICATION
To all the Kenyans who ignored tribal affiliations and cast their vote based on issues. Our time may tarry but it will certainly come




=======================

Truth buried is like a seed. It will disappear and rot in
the ground but you can always be sure that one day it
will come shooting out of the ground forcing its’ way
through all the rabble to shame the peddlers of
falsehoods. Sometimes it happens right away, other
times it may have to wait a long time for the next
rains. But grow it will one day…


-The blogger known only as Chris Kumekucha-


Introduction

On Monday March 4th 2013 at about 6:15 am I went to the polling
station and found a huge crowd stretching onto the road. The
doors were still closed and voting had not even started. Since I had a
responsibility that I take very seriously of covering the elections on
behalf of my Kumekucha Raw notes readers I went back to work
where I was staying for the duration of the election.

I returned in the evening bracing myself for a huge crowd but
found the polling station almost empty. I had already made a
decision to vote with my conscience for the candidate that I
thought had the best qualities to deal with the problems facing my
beloved nation just now. And so without hesitation I made a mark
next to Martha Karua’s name and did not pay much attention to
the other 5 people I voted for. I was just careful to avoid those
whose record I already knew. I was out of the polling station in 5
minutes.

I went back to where I was staying and soon the results started
streaming in on the TV with Uhuru taking an early lead. Based on
the information I had gathered weeks before this did not surprise
me. But I also kept a very close eye on Musalia Mudavadi’s votes.
I assumed that this thing was going to end quickly with Kenyans
being told to prepare for a run off.

It was not to be. By the second day to my horror I saw the same
signs that I had seen in December 2007. My wife was nervous.
What was happening? That was the beginning of a long string of
continuous questions that had no ready answers. More so
because the press went quiet and there was a news blackout
save for the results streaming in on the TV. The newspapers had
more but not nearly enough to answer any of the big questions. To
date the media has remained mum about many aspects of those
strange mystery elections

I worked my contacts and the information started streaming in. I
shared most of it with my Raw notes readers. A disturbing picture
was beginning to emerge and I continued to ferociously dig around
for even more information without knowing that I would end up
writing a book. But I did and here it is.

I love my country to bits and writing this account has been
emotionally draining and even confusing some times because the
truth is complex and raises even more questions about the
decisions that were made by people whom I believe were mostly
acting for the good of the country as far as they were concerned.
As you are about to discover it is complicated and there are no
clear black and white positions to be taken here. This is probably
what most things in our world have come to these days. You will
read and make up your own mind.

There is no doubt that the presidential results of the just
concluded elections split the country right down the middle and
the Supreme court petition that followed widened the gulf between
the supporters of the two different candidates even further. Half
the country went into wild celebrations while the other half felt so
dejected and crushed by the verdict that days later the wounds
are yet to heal. On some people I know they probably will never
quite heal. And yet we have a new president who is fresh and
different from what we have seen in the past and the feeling of
many is that despite the baggage he brings with him to the office
he should be given a chance.

Still the questions linger and they are important ones. It matters
little on what side you were, you still deserve an explanation as to
what really went down.

Were the IEBC computers hacked? If not what produced the
results that were mathematical impossibilities forcing the IEBC to
go manual as far as tallying of the votes was concerned? Who
really won those elections? What was so difficult about carrying
out a simple non-controversial presidential election? Why did we
start off with the promise that the presidential poll results would
come first and yet they ended up coming last and many days
later? What were the intrigues behind the scenes? Were the NSIS
involved? And if so how?

Questions, questions and more questions.

In this book I answer them all and I go deep to do so and well
beyond the surface. Some of those answers will amaze you.
Whatever happens one promise I can confidently give you; you
will come away from this experience with a much deeper
understanding of the forces that were at play and plenty of
answers about what really happened on mystery Monday. What
you will be left with will be questions on whether the decisions
taken were the right ones or not and for any neutral Kenyan who
wants the truth those questions may not all be very easy to
answer.

Still it is my hope and desire that you enjoy reading this. I have
done my best to make it as interesting and easy to read as
possible. I have made the effort to write concisely and clearly
without filling in plenty of words that really say nothing, like many
books I have read in the past that have bored me to tears. Yet I
have said everything that was to be said.
ENJOY!!

God bless the nation of Kenya,


History of rigged elections

Elections have been rigged on a small scale for years in Kenya
but this has been limited to constituencies in parliamentary seat
contests. There was no need to develop sophisticated systems
for falsify a countrywide poll because during the Kenyatta days
and most of the Moi years there was no presidential contest.

Nobody could dare challenge the presidency and so after every
general election the incumbent was declared unopposed and
therefore duly re-elected.

However when Kenya succumbed to intense international
pressure and returned to multi-party politics in 1991 things
changed rather suddenly. Some analysts predicted that then
President Daniel arap Moi was in serious trouble. They pointed to
the fact that he had never been in a competitive election in all his
long years in politics. This was true because it is his people in
rural Rift Valley who prevailed on the then school teacher Moi to go
into politics in 1957. His people had overwhelmingly decided and
so he was not opposed. After independence the next general
elections came when he was already Vice President and so he
easily used this influence to remain unchallenged until he took
over the presidency. Now Moi suddenly found himself in a fiercely
competitive election at the highest level in a pretty hostile
environment where opposition to his government had spread
virtually countrywide save from his own Kalenjin community.

Moi had to do something. If he had any illusions about what would
happen to him if he were to lose those very first multi-party
elections of 1992, then it was spelt out clearly for him by the then
opposition. Lawyer Paul Muite went public and told Kenyans that
he was already preparing charges which would be filed the minute
Moi was out of power. With the heavy support the opposition was
receiving then from the West most notably the United States,
including very generous funding, it seemed almost a certainty that
Moi would end his long political career rotting away behind bars.

He was cornered and cornered animals are extremely dangerous.
The result was a desperately rigged poll that ended up with Moi
being quickly sworn in for his first term under a constitution that
had been amended to limit the presidential term to only two five
year tenures.

And that is how presidential election rigging was born in Kenya. In
the following years it was to thrive and grow in sophistication
leading to the 2013 case where an attempt to use computer
software was made but did not quite work due to a few hitches.

There is one very significant point that anybody who wants to fully
understand how presidential elections work in Kenya must grasp.
It is the elephant in the room that every analyst tends to miss.
Ever since the country returned to multi-party democracy and
competitive presidential elections, there has never been a free
and fair presidential poll in Kenya save for the ones held in
December 2002. That is the sad truth.

It is instructive that magical 2002 was the only year when there
was no petition challenging the election of the president. Indeed
historians will note that Mwai Kibaki was the first president in the
history of the country to be popularly elected directly by the
popular vote of the people. Jomo Kenyatta the first president
swept into power in 1963 by virtue of the fact that he was leader of
the party that won the majority number of seats in parliament.

Daniel arap Moi succeeded him on his death and ruled without
elections until 1992 when he was forced to manipulate two
elections that kept him in power until his retirement in 2002.

It should also be said 2002 was the only presidential election in
the history of Kenya where the tribal factor was absent because
both front runners were from the same tribe. Both Kibaki and
Uhuru are Kikuyu.

Go to Part 2 of this post

Interested in FREE details on this book?

See also; Are all the kinky stories about Shebesh true?

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Comment posted on Facebook;

Biashara Daktari; Before I read this book I hated Kumekucha with a passion and I have disagreed with most of his crazy diarrhea that he calls posts in his blog. This book is different. I read it at work and did nothing that whole day. I just couldn't stop reading it. This guy has insights into the way Kenya works and most of the burning questions I had about those strange presidential elections were answered in this very revealing read. Best political book I have read in a very very long time. I really hesitated before writing this comment because Chris Kumekucha is an erratic blogger and my deepest fear is that this honest view from my heart will go into his head and he will disappear once again from the blog as he frequently does which would be a disaster at a time when our mainstream media is so shallow and biased. Prove me wrong Chris.

M. Pesa said...

Hi Chris,although I voted for Martha Karua just like you, I had no doubt Uhuru would eventually win but I expected that to happen in second round thanks to a well oiled campaign machinery and tyranny of numbers.

Elections are usually won before the voting day and I'm sure that's where Jubilee had the upper hand. Their millions of voters came out and registered en masse. This was due to opinion polls showing Raila was ahead. Not only did they register by higher margin than CORD, but their turn out was quite impressive!

At first I thought Raila would make inroads in Kalenjin and Meru nations, but when few results from those areas started trickling in, I knew the game was over!

Add the surprisingly healthy results Jubilee got in areas like Kisii, Lamu, Maasailand and North Eastern and you will not be left with any doubt that Jubilee floored CORD quite decisively.

On the issue of campaigns, Uhuru had a more healthy and robust one compared to his opponents. The message of "change" and "youth" touched many voters. The election was also some sort of referendum on ICC and the minute Wazungu nations started yapping "choices have consequences" the tide turned against them because Africans are very proud people who don't like being bossed around by Johnny Foreigners.

Raila's team that comprised Kalonzo was cobbled up hurriedly in the last minute. We know from American cables leaked by Wikileaks that Uhuru and Ruto started hatching plans to grab power years back. Now when someone like Wetangula spoke to restless youth in his boring demeanor, they quickly fell asleep.

This election will be debated for years, but to me even if there had been a run off, Raila would still have been thrashed quite severely. IEBC and Uhuru's lawyers in Supreme Court is what I would call a dream team! Raila's lawyers botched the little chances he had big time and we all saw it.

2013 was Raila's best chance to take power. This is because he was facing two guys weighed down by grave charges from ICC and no one expected a Kikuyu to replace a fellow Kikuyu. So if you can't beat such guys with so much baggage, who can you beat honestly?

Let's not forget Raila was part of the much hated "nusu mkate" govt and many Kenyans tried hard but couldn't see anything tangible the certified reformer had done. Actually, his side was severely dented by so many corruption scandals and nepotism that rocked the Govt. In essence, he was limping from that when he should have made dramatic change and progress with his 'nusu mkate' side of coalition.

Anonymous said...

Rao was beaten squarely...he lost the war b4 it started..his suporters travelled en mass anticipating chaos giving uhuruto team an edge..however much u hate the man,i simpathise with him..it was his best if not the last chance 2 have a shot at the top job...r.i.p jakom baba...

Anonymous said...

Propaganda tupu. Nobody travelled home to avoid violence. Kidero and MPs for Kibera A, Kibera B would have not been elected.

Massive cheating, rigging, vote buying by Jubilee took place.Voting kits were programmed to fail. Voter registry was tamperred with (IEBC had same server as Jubilee). IEBC, CJ, SC were threatened, or paid heavily. We suppose. Truth will one day come out.

Let the truth be said. One community wants to rule Kenya forever.

Anonymous said...

With retards and sewage mouths like Muthama & Wetangula campaigning for the octogenarian opinion poll president, how do you expect the paper prince to win any contest?
I do not even have to read Chris attempt to rekindle his dying writing moja, to me its just like the long winding crap raila called democracy in trial..not worth the papers its printed on.

I hope Chris has the balls to post this painful truth and not moderate it.

Jane

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