If President Kibaki Loses Polls, Will Othaya Lose An MP?

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I sincerely do not see President Kibaki sitting in the opposition benches come January 2008 should he lose his re-election bid later this year. So the question arises, what will happen? And even if he resigns his parliamentary seat and a by-election takes place shortly thereafter, who will be official leader of the opposition? Will the situation allow for a peaceful change of leadership in the opposition benches? (Remember the troubles Narc-Kenya have had filling the chairman's post—who automatically becomes the party and country Vice President?)
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Also published today
Parliament set to discuss notorious Artur's today.

KTN cameras seal fate of Robin Hood doctor

Quip for the day:
Some of our readers have started calling the founders of this blog dreamers. Wow!! What a compliment. They said the same about Nelson Mandela in the 60s and even late 80s. They said the same about Wilbur and Orville Wright (the guys who invented mechanised flight)
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And just how fair will this whole scenario be to the people of Othaya, asking them to go back to the polls so soon after what is widely expected to be the most bruising battle in the history of elections in these shores? Naturally nobody seems to be giving much thought to these very real possibilities. Those who should be thinking about these things obviously consider them to be peripheral and of no consequence since the whole concentration is on the winner-takes-all battle for the presidency. What the opposition and government are busy and keen on are power games and the introduction of clauses to tame each other in the forthcoming mother of all political battles in Kenya.

And the worries and concerns do not end with President Kibaki. We have seen just how powerful and effective a former president can be, even after leaving office. Do we want future former presidents actively involved in politics? This is going to be a pertinent issue because even if future former presidents will not be as wealthy as Moi is, the constitution now allows such a generous package and retirement benefits that they will have plenty of cash and staff paid for by the taxpayer, to cause lots of mischief.

In fact in the case of Kenya, if President Kibaki loses this election, we will have a situation where two former presidents with vast resources can let lose their political ambitions and settle old scores if they so wish. Just the sort of scenario that can cause great instability in our young democracy that is yet to build strong enough institutions to allow for smooth transitions, irrespective of the characters and morality of the holders of the key relevant offices.

It really does not matter which angle you view things from, a Moi/Kibaki axis is capable of doing a lot of damage and tripping up the newly elected government in 2008. Let's take the simple example of corruption issues. Both former presidents will obviously be targets if any serious purge or fight against corruption is attempted. What kind of chaos will such a move cause in the current environment where the constitution is conveniently quiet on the political parameters for retired presidents? In other words, these two gentlemen are well able to hold the entire nation at ransom and oppose the will of the majority of Kenyans for their own personal and selfish ends as well as for self-preservation.

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Parliament Set To Discuss Artur's Today

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Today parliament will discuss the issue that has disgusted many, shamed many others but generally refuses to go away. That is the issue of the infamous Artur brothers.

After all the circus, including drawn guns and serious allegations of assassination attempts, Kenyans still do not know who exactly the Artur brothers are. But what is known is that they are still a very sensitive issue still to the Kibaki administration and the 10-hour detention and interrogation of senior managers of the Standard newspapers is proof of that.

Although it is clearly apparent that most MPs know as little as the public about his issue (which is very strange and just goes to show how the hole thing is still shrouded in so much mystery) it will still be interesting to see how the debate will go.

It is hoped that no session of the debate on this sensitive national issue will go into camera because that will be extremely infuriating. Still chances are high that this is exactly what will happen because we have already been told that theirs is an issue that touches at the core of national security.

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