The Real State of Kenya’s Politics: Beyond the Propaganda

If you ask many Kenyans about the current political climate, they’ll tell you that President William Ruto's administration is pushing forward, despite Raila Odinga’s ongoing threats of protests. They'll say that Ruto’s victory is secure, backed by the Supreme Court’s confirmation of his presidency. But the real situation on the ground is far different from this narrative, and things are not as stable as they seem.

While propaganda campaigns from Ruto’s administration work hard to maintain the appearance of control, a different reality is unfolding. There is growing animosity towards the government, with many feeling neglected as the country’s economic situation worsens. Unemployment, poverty, hunger, and suffering are rampant, and the government’s failure to address these issues is eroding public trust.

On the other side of the political spectrum, Raila Odinga’s supporters, especially the youth who once blindly followed the "Hustler" narrative, are becoming disillusioned. They were promised change and inclusion, but instead, they’ve seen no real improvement in their lives. The government’s failure to deliver on these promises has only deepened their frustration.

One of the biggest mistakes the UDA administration has made is underestimating the power of devolution. Unlike in the past, when local communities depended on the central government for development, counties now have more autonomy, meaning that winning the presidency no longer guarantees that areas will receive development. This shift has changed the dynamics of Kenyan politics, and many are realizing that local governments—aligned with different political parties—are more relevant than ever.

Another misstep of the UDA administration is their reliance on outdated tactics, like trying to buy loyalty and support by offering rewards or spreading propaganda. These methods may have worked in the past, but they are failing today. The government's sluggish response to the current hunger crisis and their slow-moving action to address the needs of the people show a lack of leadership and urgency.

In short, the UDA administration is on shaky ground. The political situation in Kenya is tense, and many Kenyans are on the brink of demanding serious change. The risk of a revolution is palpable, especially when political figures in traditionally peaceful regions like Western Kenya are facing backlash for simply acknowledging Ruto as president. It’s clear that the country is heading toward a tipping point, and the next few months may very well determine whether Kenya continues down this rocky path or turns toward a new political era.

This could very well lead to the words "Raila Odinga, Linda Katiba" becoming a rallying cry, marking a pivotal moment in the nation’s history. Whether or not this happens remains to be seen, but the growing unrest suggests that a change is inevitable.