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Saturday, November 24, 2007

890 Begin Mad Race to (Mis)lead Kenya

With almost 1000 Kenyans queueing to join the club of waheshimiwa, the big battle and race to next month's elections being in earnest. With only 210 seats vacant, the next 30+ days will witness political heat like never seen before in Kenya's history.

The galaxy of contestants all have their eyes singularly trained on the trophy of goods besides the hefty pay cheque. And this is the time our collective conscience and efforts are auctioned at the altar of sectarianism and pettiness.

The obscene number of aspirants with a poor province like Coast having well over 200 only goes ahead to betray the predictable poor quality winners. The price surely negates the high stakes. True, a part from religion only politics flourishes in Kenya with no correlation to economic depression. So let enterprising Kenyans cash in.

Moreover you cannot blame Kenyans either because they can only afford to make hay when it is still shinning because the sun will disappear only to reappear with same lies in 2012. In the process the highest bidder takes our national soul in his/her pocket and either chose to resuscitate it or kill it within 5 years.

Different acts, same script
Painfully the few faces that embody our hopes have no chance in hell to make it anywhere near the podium come December 27. The KJ's of this world cannot stand the tide that sweeps anybody with shallow pockets and no tribal goons nor mouths for hire.

The shameful 9th parliament selfishly and unwittingly placed political noose around their necks by coating their seats with honey which political bees have found irresistible. In the face all aspirants it amounts to acting differently but the script and objective is the same.

If only wishes were horses, how I pray these madness came and passed as fast a bad dream. Well, this a true necessary and legal devil we have to entertain. Na bado.


patriot said...

Steadman Cooking up Numbers.

A casual addition of President Kibaki’s support per province as released on Friday then divided by eight (the number of provinces) showed that Kibaki had scored 39.5 per cent, Raila had 47.6 while Kalonzo had 8.5 per cent.

Presidential voting by province
Province Kibaki Raila kalonzo
Nairobi 46.3 39.3 12.1
Central 92.8 5.0 2.0
Coast 34.7 51.5 9.7
Eastern 48.9 6.1 43.8
Nyanza 11.9 85.3 1.8
Rift Valley 39.3 55.8 3.9
Western 20.7 72.8 1.4
North Eastern32.2 64.4 3.4
Total 43.2 43.6 11.4

Kibaki average: 46.3+92.8+34.7+48.9+11.9+39.3+20.7+32.2=326.8/8 = 40.85

Raila averages: 39.3+5.0+51.5+6.1+85.3+55.8+72.8+64.4=380.0/8 =47.525

The weighting has already been taken care of by using a representative sample size based on registered voters per province. The larger the registered population in a province the larger the sample size!

That means that the results can be deduced by simple addition and division in two ways:

1. Because the sample sizes have been weighted you can add the total number of votes of each presidential candidate and divide by the total votes to get the percentage of the candidate!
2. Because the sampling has been weighted you can add the percentage provincial totals of each candidate and divide by the number of provinces.

Vikii said...


Mbaya said...

Yeah I think Kibaki Should Win this Election. Raila is Simply enjoying the money he Got from the Americans. and practically if he wins we kenyans will be auctioned to the americans by one Raila amolo Odinga. Kenyans Voye Wisely.

for more insights.
VIKII , The ODM Euphoria is slowing down and will fall off soon. Moi Alisema "ODM ni Upepo Tu UNavuma......."

Mbaya said...

Patriot Please Learn some STATISTCS and CALCULUS the sum does'nt work at all. Ur assuming all provinces are having equal no. of voters???. please try to use a fraction method of adding.

Sue said...

True Taabu politics is all madness and we got mixed up in it coz its part of our life. I look forward to around mid 2008 when the madness will start cooling down.

Sue said...

Mbaya, wacha propaganda mbaya kama jina yako. Hata Raila ni mkenya na an haki kama wakenya wote kuongoza nchi hii.

Anonymous said...
Why pu lucy all over the place these guys are joking can anybody inform them of this

kalamari said...

So where on our small flat earth is Chris? Now that our drunken nomination fiascos are over and everybody is sobering up from the whiskey of rigging, the tusker of direct nominations and the changaa of awarding certificates to blatant losers, I'm looking forward to reading Chris' take on which party is bound to form the majority in the next parliament. It is not enough that certain parties have ballooned into fielding politically bankrupt candidates in every nondescript constituency, what we want to know is a tally of whom among those officially recognized by the ECK are truly viable. This is not 'too close to call', or is it?

In my opinion, the pre-election nominations are intended to separate the wheat from the chaff. I think what we have seen in the past weeks is the addition of chaff.

Oh and Phil, aren't the voter registries of hotly contested constituencies like Langata supposed to be reviewed and reviewed again? Please provide an update on the progress.

Vikii said...

Taabu take this damn thing up bana or at least call Chris and tell him to shut the bloody blog down and we move on.

Anonymous said...

what solutions do you suggest in order to negate the view of an MP position as one where one has to get to start getting a hefty paycheck?

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