What Kibaki Wants To Exploit In Waki List

I can confirm to my dear readers that President Mwai Kibaki has a high level think tank tasked with doing nothing else but making the Hague go away for the president. Their latest scheming is what led to the bizarre incident yesterday where a group of youth gained instant access to the president and wide media coverage firing salvos at the ICC.

Judge Philip Waki secrets: The man has booked his place in history books.

These are the kind of political games invented by one Thomas Joseph Mboya, ironically the man who drove and old VW Beetle all the way to Makerere University to fetch highly educated Mwai Kibaki to help change the image of Kanu and bolster its’ intellectual credentials. Mboya was a master schemer and when he operated there were frequent petitions from the public that would always support his position and intentions. But alas that is a story for another day.

The point here is that it is crystal clear that these youth who appeared from nowhere are not the ones who came up with the idea to go and see the president. The idea in fact came from deep inside State house. If you think it is easy to see the president or get an opportunity to present a petition, then just try it out and you will quickly see what I mean. Even visiting Senator Barrack Obama was unable to see Kibaki, even for a few minutes. Incidentally when that happened nobody in Kenya believed that that Ka-senator jaruo would ever become president of the most powerful nation in the world. Now Kibaki has a big problem getting n appointment to see President Obama and quite rightly so. (I will tell that story in my next post)

So what was the whole purpose of yesterday’s drama at the president’s office in Harambee house? What is in the Waki report that the president’s men want to exploit?

The whole idea is to cash in on a very powerful emotion that politicians always take advantage of. It is called sympathy. Sympathy has won landslide elections all over the world and there is no telling what this thing can acheieve.

Tucked away in the Waki list are two names that will hit Kenyans so hard that many will change their views on this whole Hague thing. Those two names are….. (Drums rolling please)

Njenga Karume

John Njoroge Michuki

What!!!!

Yep.

You get my drift. It is quite possible that this will start a major push from Kenyans (who worship dead people and fear them more than they fear almighty God himself) to insist that the post election violence be tried in Kenya. More importantly if this grand plot succeeds then it will mean that President Kibaki is off the hook and will not soon join his good friend Al Bashir on the suspects’ list.

Expect the Waki list to be made public very soon.

Wonders never cease.

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Evidence That The G7 is Headed Nowhere

Admittedly there are very few likeable things about the game called politics but one thing that I personally love about it is the fact that copy cats usually end up in terrible grief. This is in sharp contrast to the situation in business and commerce where copycats quite often benefit much more than the originators. The nature of politics is too dependent on the mood of the country and the unique situation as folks go to the polls for every election for the same old trick to work again and again.

Unelectable compromise candidates?

In the ill-fated 2007 general elections presidential candidate Raila Odinga’s strategy of identifying popular tribal chiefs from various parts of the country and bringing them all under the ODM umbrella worked like a charm. Of course it was helped by the fact that President Mwai Kibaki had succeeded in provoking animosity against his administration from the entire country. To make matters worse the president’s handlers chose to use a campaign strategy for the president’s re-election that was very tribal in nature and served only to alienate his administration even further.

I have said this here many times and I will repeat it yet again. Kenyans did not vote for Raila Odinga in 2007 rather the vast majority cast their votes against Mwai Kibaki.

Now fast forward to 2012 and William Ruto, Uhuru Kenyatta and Kalonzo Musyoka amongst others are pretty sure that the exact same approach will work this time round. Uhuru and Ruto are so blinded in their rage against Raila Odinga that they have failed to see that the Odinga campaign bus is headed in a slightly different direction this time round. Although his strategy still relies on having point men/women in different regions of the country, there is a lot of emphasis on talking directly to the electorate.

If there was any doubt as to how sure some folks are that this G7 strategy will work then it was dispelled when Kalonzo Musyoka was shunned recently. His reaction was very telling. The watermelon VP went on his knees before President Kibaki who intervened on his behalf and ordered Uhuru and Ruto to accept the VP back into their fold.

My big question is; what will happen when this strategy falls flat on its’ face?

Indeed there is plenty of evidence on the ground that voters will totally ignore these tribal groupings that their leaders are so determined to classify them into for very selfish voting purposes. I have talked to numerous Kenyans in the so-called voting blocks most of whom are very sure that the days of voting according to instructions from the tribal chief are over. And if you doubt what I am saying just take the time to study the results of the referendum on the new constitution two years ago.

Many of my readers here are also in touch with people on the ground and it will be interesting if they can share their observations in the comments below.

But above all else, there will be a major problem when members of the G7 have to decide on a presidential candidate. Assuming that that candidate is William Ruto, you can be sure that the Kikuyu vote will vanish. Assuming that it is Uhuru Kenyatta, the Kalenjin vote will also evaporate into thin air whether Ruto remains in the G7 or not. The ideal solution would be to choose a compromise candidate. Somebody like Kalonzo Musyoka. However the problem with that is that Musyoka is unelectable and so are all the other possible compromise candidates in G7 at the moment. My take is that the G7 is a very noisy and crowded train headed for a place called Nowhere.

See also; 

Why Does Jimmy Kibaki want Eugene Wamalwa to be the next president?

What John Kerry has in Common with Kalonzo Musyoka 

Will Mwalimu Mati still stand for president?