In a surprise turn of events, Narc-Kenya yesterday appointed Foreign Minister Raphael Tuju as the chairman of the party.
The appointment and apparent easing of tensions within the party speaks volumes. The first clear message is that based on the enormous intelligence gathering services at the president's disposal the Narc-Kenya high command seems certain that the ODM-Kenya nominee for president is going to be Raila Odinga.
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Quip of the day;
An idea that is not dangerous is unworthy of being called an idea at all.
Oscar Wilde (Irish Poet, Novelist, Dramatist and Critic, 1854-1900)
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Going by he nature of Kenyan politics these days the nomination of Raphael Tuju would seem to be an effort to neutralize the Luo vote somewhat. However those who understand Luo politics will tell you immediately that this is something that will not work.
On a positive point it would seem that the president and his handlers have finally realized just how explosive a Raila versus Kibaki battle would be, more so if the radical Kikuyus who hold so much power and sway with the president are given a free hand to run the campaign. What the old men are going to say is pretty predictable and would be the same anti-Luo propaganda that the Kenyatta administration peddled for over a decade. The exact recipe for a very violent election.
However by placing Tuju as the party chairman, the message is that the president is clearly working very hard towards an issue-oriented campaign and there is bound to be a deliberate effort to douse any possible emotional campaign issues. What better way to do this than to have the president's running mate being a Luo?
If this is indeed the thinking close to President Kibaki then I fully support and back what they are trying to do. Over the last few weeks my top priority has shifted from seeing change in Kenya at all costs to doing everything possible to ensure a peaceful general elections. It has become abundantly clear to me that Kenyans are not yet ready to embrace the radical changes that can save them and it is only prudent to accept these changes to filter into the minds and hearts of the public gradually.
And if Tuju will indeed by President Kibaki's running mate, then it means that Raila's running mate in ODM would have to be a Kikuyu. Would Uhuru Kenyatta accept such a position?
Thinking totally in terms of a peaceful election, because the forthcoming general elections with the usual suspects still running is hardly the sort of scenario worth any Kenyan losing their life or being injured, then this balance would eliminate any negative campaigning or opening up of old wounds which would bring chaos.
Of course the best way to avoid it all is for ODM to opt for Kalonzo as their presidential candidate or to go for a compromise candidate in somebody like Musalia Mudavadi.
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