The Rift Within: A Closer Look at the Relationship Between Rigathi Gachagua and William Ruto

Are the Rumors True?

What are these whispers I keep hearing? Rumors are swirling, but I believe they might just be propaganda. Yet, as an observer of Kenya’s political scene, one thing is clear—there is a problem brewing between Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and President William Ruto. The tension is evident, even in their body language.

History has a way of repeating itself. I recall noticing similar signs between then-President Uhuru Kenyatta and his deputy William Ruto in 2015-2016. At the time, many dismissed my observations as baseless, pointing to Ruto’s public support for Uhuru. But as we approached the 2017 elections, the cracks became undeniable.

Today, the situation between Gachagua and Ruto appears even worse. Photographs and public appearances hint at strained relations. Adding to the tension are Gachagua’s comments about "shareholding" in the government, which he later attempted to downplay. President Ruto, however, firmly rejected the notion, stating that all Kenyans, regardless of their voting choices, should benefit equally from the government.

Key Questions: What Lies Ahead?

On today’s discussion, I want to address two critical issues related to this growing rift:

1. How is President Ruto sidelining Deputy President Gachagua?

2. What potential damage could Gachagua inflict on the Kenya Kwanza government if tensions escalate?

1. Ruto’s Strategy to Sideline Gachagua

Dealing with a deputy president is straightforward. As we’ve seen in past administrations, the president can empty the deputy’s in-tray—assigning no tasks or meaningful responsibilities. This leaves the deputy idle, reduced to ceremonial roles and making speeches about unity while the reality paints a different picture.

2. Gachagua’s Limited Options

Unfortunately for Gachagua, his ability to disrupt the Kenya Kwanza government is minimal. Unlike Ruto during his time as deputy president, Gachagua lacks a strong political base or significant clout. He has attempted to rally Mount Kenya leaders, but rising figures like Martha Karua and Jeremiah Kioni are overshadowing his efforts.

Gachagua’s options are limited to sabotaging Kenya Kwanza discreetly while supporting Mount Kenya unity or aligning with the Azimio coalition. However, these moves are unlikely to yield significant impact. Unlike Ruto, who was resourceful and strategic in his opposition, Gachagua’s political maneuvers lack the same effectiveness.

Final Thoughts

The relationship between Gachagua and Ruto appears strained, but its outcome is unlikely to mirror the dramatic fallout between Uhuru and Ruto. Gachagua’s political limitations make his path forward challenging, leaving little room for significant disruption.