Will Tribal Numbers Move The ICC?

At least we know one thing for sure now. Contrary to what we were being told in the prayer rallies (cum presidential show of might campaigns) the ICC cases against William Ruto and Uhuru Kenyatta are a very very big deal.

We also know something else for sure now. As things stand, it will not be possible for Uhuru and Ruto to run in the next general elections. Why else would they want the ICC process to be halted until after the general elections?

The latest move by the powerful G7 (which has let the cat out of the bag and confirmed many things that we already knew) is to seek over a million signatures from the house of Mumbi and 3 million from the Kalenjin community petitioning the ICC to apply emergency brakes on court proceedings so that the sons of these two tribes can run for the presidency of the banana republic of Kenya.

But lets not get mixed up here (like they want us to be). Instead let’s identify the true source of all these "acrobatics." Team Uhuru? NOPE!!! Perhaps the Ruto camp? NO WAY!!

Actually it is all coming from the handlers of president Kibaki. And as I have been repeatedly saying here and in my popular raw notes, the president and his handlers will do everything in their power to scuttle the ICC process. And it is not because the president loves Uhuru and Ruto so much despite the fact that he was the one who walked into the maternity hospital where Mama Ngina birthed a son in 1963 and declared "Uhuru tosha kama jina" and that became the name of the youngster born with a silver spoon. 

Forget all that, it is an act of pure self preservation. If the cases against the Ocampo four do not go forward then it means that there is no chance of Mwai Kibaki being picked up after he leaves office to face the music (not Mungithi) at the Hague.

In fact our politics at the moment (and the violence in the country) are all being driven by one thing and one thing alone. Namely the ICC cases at the Hague against four Kenyans, with other suspects to be charged later.

I will end my post today by asking and answering two questions.

Questions:

1. Will the ICC be moved by the millions of signatures that will be collected?

2. Millions of signatures? Is the move to halt the ICC proceedings against the Ocampo 4 that popular amongst ordinary Kenyans?

Answers:

1. NO.

2. Actually a vast majority of Kenyans believe that Uhuru, Ruto and the other two are guilty as charged and would love for the trials to proceed ASAP. So where will the signatures come from then? Hehehehe, signatures are no problem, some smart computer whizz kids are going round selling data bases to political parties of names of Kenyans and their id cards complete with signatures. The very same lists on the very same flash disks will come in handy this time round. And so chances are very high indeed that Kumekuchas signature will be in the list petitioning for the cases to be postponed and so will be yours, upende usipende. This coupled with public signature sessions where you sign infront of the TV cameras and then collect a thousand bob off-camera on your way out will do the trick neatly.  Unajeza na waKenya!!!

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Lords of Impunity, Return of the Royal Tribes

The adage the more things change the more they remain the same won't have been more apt in describing Kenya's political landscape. Well, the phoenix that is ETHNIC groupings is back in full swing with all their divisive and siege mentality to boot.

Gema did its a great job in the 1970/80s to own Kenyatta's presidency. They may have failed in blocking Moi from succeeding Jomo but the embers only hibernated. Now with the imminent retirement of Kibaki, they have smelt blood and the tribal drums are beating at the highest decibels.

Tribal apologists may deny it but Gema latest meeting as Limuru II has reawakened the dread and the vitriol that is proving to be even more vicious. Other hitherto tribals groupings were nothing but cultural organization. But not Gema whose succeeded in singular morphing itself into a quasi state power and economic hegemoth.

How one would wish that the rest is history. Not quite. The wheels have been re-invented and zooming at breakneck speed to secure Kibaki succession. The faint hearted may brand the naked truth as hate speech but will be disabuses of the absurdity when these evil machinations are proved right with time.

Moi's cheap and populists ideas too ban these tribal associations couldn't stand the test of time. It was an open secret his target was to ban Gema while later cobbling Kamatusa to advance the very evil he purported to fight.

We are back to square one. Kibaki learned his ropes during Kenyatta's tribal reign and matured during Moi's ERA. We can only sit back and watch his perfected script alloyed with wisdom spanning close to 50 years.

Last week it was Gema and today it is Kamatusa. The others will follow suit but only one retains its lethal potency to secure its interest at whatever cost. No prizes for guessing. We haven't seen anything yet. Welcome to BATTLE ROYALE 2012/3. NA BADO.