How Long Will The Coalition Government Last?

I have this famous friend whom I have been very lucky with when it comes to predictions on Kenya.

He usually calls me and asks me a specific question, seeking my views and gut feeling. And oh boy have I been lucky with him or what? Everything I have ever told him has worked out exactly as I have said it would. He must think I have some magical powers or something.

Despite his amazing track record, Kumekucha has denied that he is a soothsayer

A few examples.

About two days before the general elections in Dec 27th 2007, he called to tell me he was a little confused. Some quarters were telling him it was going to be a close race for the presidency whilst others were telling him it would be landslide for the ODM presidential candidate.

I told him; It is definitely not a close race. ODM have it by what looks like a landslide. My only worry is that I doubt if President Kibaki and PNU are going to concede defeat and hand over power peacefully. You can read my post on the eve of the election expressing my worries HERE. I still get goose pimples reading it today when I realize how accurate it was. l

You know what happened.

Then another day he called me and asked me about Safaricom IPO. I told him that I was sure that the shares would dramatically drop in price the minute they started trading on the Nairobi stock exchange. I pointed out what had happened to the Kenya Airways shares over 10 years earlier. This time he doubted. After all Safaricom was an excellent company and he had insider information about what those buying most of the shares were planning to do which would no doubt push prices up.

You know what ended up happening.

So now recently he asked me how long I think the grand coalition government is going to last for. He did mention that most people have predicted that it will NOT last through March this year.

So far I have not replied to that query. But today I felt I have enough information and insight to do so.

I will be surprised if the grand coalition government survives past May this year. They will hang in there beyond March because increasingly Kenyans will realize that both PNU and ODM are both the enemy and the two will increasingly have to stick together to survive. And also because politicians on both sides of the political divide need to build their war chests for the next elections. So they need to continue robbing the country blind for as long as they possibly can. The exposed scandals Kenyans are hearing about are only a tip of the iceberg.

But we shall about May, shall we not?


P.S. Salim Lone told the Daily Nation early last year while still in New York that the exclusive story on kumekucha saying that he had fled Kenya was false. Earlier this month Mr Lone appeared on the popular K24 chat show and talked about the 3 times he had been forced to flee the country. One of those times was the time he denied to Nation that he had fled.

Read the accurate story Lone denied here.

Time and again Kumekucha has been proved extremely accurate in its' stories despite tons of jeering comments that follow some of our big exclusives. Of course all credit goes to our informants who risk everything for love of country, even their lives sometimes. They are the real heroes. I am just but a messenger to be used for a better Kenya.


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State House Site Attacked And Other Tidbits

Husband and wife form committee of themselves to settle their differences

Imagine a man and his wife getting into a serious marriage-threatening disagreement. Apparently the cause of the domestic quarrel is some silly thing the husband keeps on doing while knowing only too well that it really upsets his wife.

Well it is pretty obvious that the way to sort out this problem is for husband and wife to sit down and calmly talk about the situation. Since the problem is serious, they should first decide whether they want to stay in the marriage. If the answer is YES, then they should try and find a solution (just the two of them).

Now just imagine a situation where the man decides to form a committee to look into the issue. And to make things really funny the members of that committee are his wife and himself.

That is exactly what the two principals did yesterday. President Kibaki and Prime Minister Raila Odinga formed a committee to mediate coalition wrangles. And guess who is on that committee? The top pick of the main protagonists on both sides. So what is going on here?

While the Kibaki administration has rapidly became famous for forming commissions of enquiries that are destined to produce reports whose only purpose is to decorate government shelves and cabinets, the composition of this so-called committee leaves Kenyans wondering why the two sides would not just have sat down and talked.

Or is this part of the usual window dressing?

Seriously rather than waste tax payers money by taking up the valuable time of public servants, why not have Raila and Kibaki go to that Sagana State Lodge place over the weekend and have a lengthy chat over what they want to do now with their favourite play thing called Kenya?

State House Site Attacked

Apparently somebody has hacked into the State House website and is using it to distribute malicious software to visitor’s computers.

If you go to Google and search statehousekenya.go.ke, and then click on the top result, you will view a Google warning about the site.

Now this is more than a little ridiculous and raises the million shilling question, how secure are Kenyan government sites, some of which hold extremely sensitive information?

Traffic Policeman Who Are Asking For Too Much And Bushy troubles In Athi River

Our informant was traveling to Nairobi yesterday and when his public transport vehicle neared Athi River, it suddenly diverted away from the road and hurtled deep into the bush a high speed. At first he panicked, thinking that maybe they had been hijacked. However the tout quietly explained that they were avoiding a police check ahead where the traffic policemen had gone bonkers in what they were demanding in bribes. After a while they met quite a number of other public service vehicles following the same bumpy route coming from Nairobi.

But there was something even more interesting our informant observed. Deep in the bush the landscape was littered with dirty plastic paper bags as far as the eye could see into the distance. He wondered where it had all come from and even more worrying was the kind of cost that would be required to carry out a clean up exercise. Looking at all the different colored plastic paper bags, our informant says it was not difficult for him to imagine a country completely buried in the stuff, in say the next 2 years. But who cares???

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