The Biggest Mistake That Dr Robert Ouko's Killer's Made

Out of all the political assassinations that have taken place in Kenya, the Dr Robert Ouko murder is unique in many ways.

One of the major differences is the fact that it is the only one where foreign investigators were involved. And there lies the biggest mistake that the Ouko's killers made and it haunts them to this day. It is the reason why they will forever always be looking over their shoulders with lots of anxiety and fear. It is also the reason why the chairman of the Parliamentary select committee set up to investigate the murder, Gor Sunguh, has been telling close friends and associates that he still receives death threats two years after his committee's business was concluded. It matters little that the controversial select committee set up in 2003 got absolutely nowhere.

This is also the reason why those who killed Ouko (who are well known) will not retire from politics quietly but are in fact seeking to influence the outcome of the forthcoming general elections. The whole idea is to ensure that the mystery of the Ouko murder remains just that—a mystery and is never solved. And also so that light will never be shed on the subsequent murders of numerous other Kenyans and a few foreigners in direct connection to that gruesome political assassination.

One of the consequences of bringing in foreign investigators is that there is plenty of forensic evidence locked up somewhere in Britain, so that even where virtually all the possible witnesses are now dead, the forensic evidence mainly supervised by one Doctor Ian West (now deceased) is still available and waiting. Waiting for that day that will inevitably and surely come. That day that the killers dread so much…

It is instructive that those involved in the murder of Tom Mboya (some of whom are still alive today) are not as anxious as the killers of Ouko. Neither are the cold blooded Kenyans who murdered and dismembered the body of JM Kariuki so anxious and paranoid of being brought to book, at least those who are still alive and well in Kenya today. I fact these guys are very comfortable and quietly enjoying themselves far from politics.

Yet in the case of Ouko there would appear to be absolutely no reason at all to fret. After all Kenyans have forgotten about the murder of the best foreign minister the country ever produced. It is no longer in the agenda, so to speak, let alone being a priority. Still, those with the blood of Robert Ouko on their hands continue to have plenty of apprehension. Even with their vast ill-gotten wealth and resources, which ensure that they can easily go to court anywhere in the world to sue anybody who may come up with anything incriminating or pointing a finger in their direction.

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The Kenya Shilling In 2007: What Kind Of Year Will She Have?

There are some very rich people who are currently purchasing the dollar like there was no tomorrow. They are all betting that the shilling will inevitably lose some major ground against the green buck towards the end of the year and closer to the general elections and they want to cash in big.

In all likelihood some of them hope to finance the last crucial leg of the general elections using the cash that they will reap from this speculation.

So are they correct in their assessments and predictions?

Their reasoning is that as politics inevitably gets pretty ugly in the final stages of the general election campaigns, dollar inflows will slow down dramatically and in many cases cease altogether, causing the shilling to lose a lot of ground and thus give them the sort of margins that will have the speculators laughing all the way to the bank.

Seems to make a lot of sense. Especially when you consider that even Kenyans repatriating dollars back home for all sorts of development projects are bound to halt things as we go through the electioneering period.

It all seems to make plenty of sense.. Except that this kind of thinking ignores two major factors. Firstly the very high probability that there will be major dollar inflows to finance the general elections, both from politicians with substantial foreign accounts and also from foreign interests seeking to quietly influence the outcome of these crucial general elections in their favor. In fact emerging evidence on the ground is that these elections will attract the kind of record spending and cash inflows that will make the 1992 general elections (where money was being distributed in cartons) look like a joke in comparison.

Naturally this sort of thing is bound to be inflationary which should put lots of pressure on the shilling.

It is definitely not a sure thing, what these speculators are banking on, but we shall have to wait and see.

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