Unity at the Coast: A Threat to Kenya Kwanza or Raila Odinga?

 

 Leaders from Mombasa have united across the political divide in an unprecedented move to fight for the rights of ordinary Kenyans at the Coast. While some political analysts argue this development could spell trouble for Raila Odinga, historically a strong figure in the region, this perspective seems shortsighted. Here’s a closer look at the situation and its broader implications.

Complex Coast Politics

Politics in the coastal region is much more intricate than many realize. One key dynamic is the division between Arabs and non-Arabs. Arabs, often wealthier, wield significant economic power, while non-Arabs make up the majority of the working class. Despite their historically opposing political interests, both groups have now joined forces under a unified front. This development is not just rare but signifies a significant political shift.

The unifying trigger? The controversial government plan to lease out Mombasa Port. Critics argue this is essentially privatization, with promises of improved profitability masking deeper issues. Local leaders and residents fear this will lead to job losses and economic disenfranchisement for those who directly and indirectly rely on the port. The government’s failure to consult local stakeholders has only intensified frustrations, fueling this newfound unity.

The Political Hot Potato: Mombasa Port

Ports worldwide are expected to benefit their surrounding communities, compensating for environmental, economic, and logistical challenges. The exclusion of Mombasa residents from discussions on the port’s future has ignited tensions. Leaders across the spectrum are responding to mounting pressure from their constituents, emphasizing that the port is not just a local issue but a national economic concern.

The government’s approach to the port reflects a broader issue of disenfranchisement among Kenya Kwanza supporters outside the Rift Valley. Many feel sidelined as the region reaps disproportionate benefits from the current administration.

A Growing Rift in Kenya Kwanza

The presence of key figures at the Mombasa leaders' press conference — including former Mombasa Governor Ali Hassan Joho, former Kilifi Governor Amason Kingi, and CS Aisha Jumwa — signals deeper cracks within the Kenya Kwanza coalition. Jumwa’s involvement is particularly telling. As a Cabinet Secretary, her privileges depend on the president’s favor. Her public alignment with Coast unity suggests a strained relationship with the administration.

This discontent within Kenya Kwanza highlights a significant political risk: leaders who feel sidelined may begin to assert themselves in ways that challenge the coalition's stability.

Lessons from 2017

This unity is not unprecedented. In 2017, despite significant efforts by the Jubilee administration to win over the Coast through title deeds and other economic incentives, Joho and Kingi united against the government. Their efforts were successful, as the region overwhelmingly backed Raila Odinga. History seems poised to repeat itself.

The Real Threat

Contrary to claims that this unity will weaken Odinga’s influence, it poses a more immediate threat to the Kenya Kwanza government. Joho and Kingi have a proven track record of rallying the Coast against perceived injustices. Their ability to unify diverse interests makes them formidable opponents.

This alliance also underscores the increasing alienation of regions and leaders outside the Rift Valley under the current administration. If unaddressed, this discontent could lead to broader challenges for Kenya Kwanza’s political dominance.

Conclusion

The Mombasa leaders’ unity is a clear response to grassroots frustrations and a testament to the Coast’s political complexity. While some may view it as a blow to Raila Odinga, its real impact lies in exposing and challenging the fissures within the Kenya Kwanza government.

As this story unfolds, one thing is clear: the Coast’s long-suffering people are demanding a fairer share of the national pie, and their leaders are stepping up to ensure their voices are heard.