Understanding the Hidden Dynamics of Kenyan Politics and National Security

 A heartfelt welcome to another analysis filled with rare insights and thought-provoking reflections on politics, society, and national security.

The Political Classroom of 2017

In August 2017, Kenyans unknowingly entered a profound political "class," one orchestrated not by any institution or individual but by circumstances seemingly set by a higher power. This period offered critical lessons about the nature of politics, politicians, and their strategies.

One key takeaway is that politicians rarely act in the public's interest. They often manipulate emotions and exploit tribal divisions to achieve personal and political objectives. By framing issues along tribal or socioeconomic lines, they stir passions to secure votes. For instance, narratives about tribal suppression or the struggles of the poor resonate deeply, often leading to intense loyalty, even fanaticism, among supporters.

The Nature of Politicians and Political Alliances

In politics, friendships are transient, and interests are paramount. Alliances shift as interests realign. For example, reports of Deputy President William Ruto warming up to a former rival, Kalonzo Musyoka, underscore the fluidity of political relationships. This unpredictability highlights the need to focus on policies and governance rather than personalities or tribal affiliations.

Post-2017: Lessons Yet to Be Learned

The events following the disputed 2017 elections illustrate how deeply entrenched tribalism and political manipulation remain. The controversial "handshake" between President Uhuru Kenyatta and opposition leader Raila Odinga shocked many Kenyans. While intended to foster unity, it also revealed the self-serving nature of political maneuvers. Politicians’ interests often supersede public good, leaving citizens disillusioned.

Focusing on Issues, Not Individuals

To achieve meaningful progress, Kenyans must prioritize issues over individual politicians. Questions such as whether constitutional amendments are necessary to improve governance or whether the focus should be on reforming political behavior are crucial. The 2010 Constitution aimed to curb executive overreach but was undermined by political manipulation. Any future reforms must address these systemic flaws to be effective.

National Security and the Link to Political Instability

The consequences of political divisions extend beyond governance. The attack in Nairobi in 2017, involving an improvised explosive device (IED), illustrates the vulnerabilities created by internal disunity. Divided nations become easy targets for external threats, as intelligence agencies focus more on monitoring domestic dissent than external enemies.

Tanzania’s experience under President John Magufuli further underscores the dangers of political fragmentation. Increased repression and political assassinations have created deep divisions, leaving the country vulnerable to terrorist activities.

The Way Forward

Kenyans must learn to detach their loyalty from individual politicians and focus on creating a system that prioritizes national unity and accountability. By challenging leaders on their policies and holding them accountable, citizens can foster a political environment that prioritizes progress over personal gain.

Conclusion

The 2017 "class" continues, and the lessons are clear: focus on unity, question leaders' motives, and prioritize national interests. Only then can Kenya achieve lasting stability and progress.