Analyzing Kenya's Political Landscape: Controlled Chaos and Narcissistic Tendencies

There’s an old African proverb that says: What an old man can see while seated on a small three-legged stool, a young man cannot see even if he climbs the tallest tree. This wisdom feels incredibly relevant to Kenyan politics today.

In the past, it was relatively easy to predict political developments in Kenya. You could foresee events unfolding with precision. However, things have changed. On the ground, there is a sense of controlled chaos, particularly within the ruling UDA party. This chaos, while currently managed, could either subside or spiral out of control.

Reports suggest internal conflicts between key figures like Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi and Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, alongside other less publicized tensions. These infightings are playing out on the eve of a critical moment—the Finance Bill 2023. This bill has sparked unprecedented controversy in Parliament and among the public.

President William Ruto has insisted on a public voting process for the bill, a move that has puzzled many. While some see this as a strategy to expose dissenters, others question its rationale, given the widespread unpopularity of the bill. Yet, understanding the political maneuvers of the Kenya Kwanza administration requires a deeper dive into the underlying dynamics.

Foundations of Rebellion and Leadership Psychology

A key principle to understand is the significance of foundations. Everything—whether an organization, law, or government—relies on its foundation. When the foundation is built on rebellion, its longevity and stability are compromised. This principle might explain the confusion and lack of coherence in the current administration.

Interestingly, the Kenya Kwanza leadership appears to exhibit traits associated with narcissistic personality disorder (NPD). This condition is characterized by an exaggerated sense of self-importance, a lack of empathy, and a need for admiration. These traits resonate with the behaviors observed in Kenyan leadership today:

1. Superiority Complex: Expecting to be seen as superior without tangible achievements.

2. Arrogance: Frequent bragging and conceited behavior.

3. Belittling Opponents: Reducing others to elevate themselves.

These traits provoke public discontent, especially in a country where many are struggling to make ends meet. For instance, holding UDA rallies in some regions has become increasingly difficult as the public grows more resistant to perceived arrogance and insensitivity.

Spiritual Perspectives on Political Behavior

For those with spiritual insight, these behaviors are linked to controlling spirits, often described as the “spirit of Jezebel.” This spirit is said to bring along deception, immorality, and manipulation. Whether viewed through a medical or spiritual lens, the traits manifest in a manner that stirs unrest and alienates the public.

The Finance Bill and Its Implications

Despite widespread opposition, the Finance Bill 2023 is expected to pass due to the loyalty and influence wielded by the president. However, enforcement may become the true challenge. History shows that enforcing laws against overwhelming public resistance is a near-impossible task.

While the middle class may comply to avoid legal consequences, the majority—who lack resources and trust in governance—may resist, creating potential enforcement dilemmas.

Raila Odinga's Strategy

Opposition leader Raila Odinga’s subdued response has also raised eyebrows. Some suggest he’s adopting a "wait-and-watch" approach, letting the government "cook itself in its own fat." This strategy allows the administration’s missteps to unravel without direct interference, which could be politically advantageous for him.

Final Thoughts

Kenya’s current political and economic challenges demand preparation and resilience from its citizens. As the Finance Bill looms and uncertainty persists, it’s crucial for Kenyans to equip themselves with strategies to navigate these turbulent times.