Sunday, November 17, 2024

Karua, Kioni, Jealousy, and Bad Blood Politics Exploding in Raila's Azimio




Folks, we have a very serious problem deep inside Azimio. Naturally, this is not good news because many Kenyans—especially the over 8 million who voted for Azimio (real figures likely closer to 10 million)—have placed all their hopes on Raila Odinga. Therefore, it is deeply discouraging to hear that within the coalition, there are serious problems—problems significant enough to cause cracks, which is the last thing we need right now.


But let’s get down to it.


On a serious note, what we’re about to discuss is for those mature in politics and who understand that where human beings are involved, things can never be entirely smooth. Disagreements, jealousies, and feelings of being shortchanged are normal. Naturally, such discussions cannot be had in the presence of "political children"—those who cannot understand the complexities of human dynamics in politics.


To be clear, no one is saying Azimio is in trouble or finished. What we’re doing is deeply analyzing a problem that may or may not grow into something bigger in the near future. The best way to summarize the crux of the problem within Azimio is with the phrase: Bad Blood.


Before I proceed, let me give you a moment to catch your breath with a snippet from my latest book, The Ruto Kenyans Will Never Know. Trust me, it’s fascinating. I’ll be back shortly.



[Excerpt from The Ruto Kenyans Will Never Know]


The story of YK’92, an infamous organization accused of complicity in ethnic violence during the 1992 elections, is one that remains largely untold. The events began over a drink at Boulevard Hotel on January 5, 1992. At the time, a young William Ruto worked as a driver for Cyrus Jirongo.


Ruto’s political career began when he was appointed head of the YK’92 Secretariat. To be brutally honest, his duties were initially mundane—answering phones and opening the office daily. However, Ruto quickly demonstrated the political and business acumen that would define his career.



Back to the matter at hand: Professor Makau Mutua’s latest outburst against Jeremiah Kioni, head of the technical team in the ongoing bipartisan talks, highlights deep-seated issues. Professor Mutua criticized Kioni for opposing the talks, repeatedly calling them a waste of time. However, Mutua only addressed the symptoms, not the root cause, of the problem—which is understandable, as this is politics.


The tensions within Azimio didn’t start yesterday, just as tensions in UDA and Kenya Kwanza didn’t start recently. Where humans are involved, disagreements are inevitable. Earlier in the year, Jeremiah Kioni clashed with Professor George Wajackoyah over remarks made during a church event. While the issue seemed minor, it hinted at underlying discord.


The current crisis erupted when Raila Odinga announced his team for the bipartisan talks. Many within Azimio felt that Odinga should have selected the most loyal members of the coalition. Instead, Odinga’s strategy appeared to prioritize other objectives. This created confusion and resentment, particularly with the inclusion of Kalonzo Musyoka as a key figure in the talks.


Some interpreted this move as diminishing Martha Karua’s role. Karua, Odinga’s running mate in the last election, is viewed by many as the duly elected Deputy President of Kenya, if not for the alleged manipulation of election results. This sidelining created "bad blood" within the coalition.


The root of the strategy seems clear in hindsight. Raila Odinga’s true objective with the bipartisan talks was not to extract concessions from Kenya Kwanza but to expose the alleged electoral fraud that transpired during the August elections. This revelation, Odinga believes, should have come to light through the Supreme Court but didn’t.


Money has also become an issue. Participants in the talks are reportedly receiving significant allowances, which has fueled resentment among Azimio leaders who feel loyalists should have been prioritized.


Additionally, Martha Karua and Jeremiah Kioni’s rising political profiles in the Mount Kenya region have complicated matters. Their newfound popularity stems from growing frustrations among Mount Kenya voters who feel betrayed by UDA leaders. This has led to the formation of the Mt. Kenya Leadership Forum, a lobby group championing regional interests. However, both Karua and Kioni insist their loyalty to Azimio remains intact.


Despite the challenges, Raila Odinga’s strategy has not been derailed—yet. However, cracks within the coalition are cause for concern. Azimio leaders must act cohesively to ensure the broader mission remains on course.


In conclusion, while the signs of discord within Azimio are evident, the Kenyan people’s collective will remains unstoppable. When a nation unites behind a single narrative, no force—no matter how powerful—can stand in its way.


For now, this is where we stand. I will keep you updated on any developments. In the meantime, details on how to get my latest audiobook, The Ruto Kenyans Will Never Know, are on your screen. Until next time, stay informed and stay vigilant.


ICC’s Karim Khan, Ruto in Mt. Kenya, Raila’s Strategic Retreat, Luo ICC Probe: All Linked




In 2006, on my Kumekucha blog, I suggested that for the healing of Kenya, it was crucial for the Kenyan people to officially apologize to the Luo community. In my opinion, then and now, this would have been the perfect starting point for the nation's healing and for combating the monster called tribalism, which has stifled and suffocated our country for decades.


Looking back today, from the bottom of my heart, I wish we had done this back then. Unfortunately, what we have done since 2017, and even as recently as 2023, has only added salt to a gaping wound. Instead of healing, we have resorted to actions that exacerbate the pain.


I know some of you may be lost, so let me explain. We are in a season of judgment—God’s judgment on Kenya as a nation. One thing you need to understand about divine judgment is that it matches the crime and is usually severe.


If you’re not from the Luo community, try to imagine the injuries, damage, and deaths inflicted on this community since independence. Of course, among these incidents, the Kisumu Massacre of October 25, 1969, stands out as the most heinous.


Now, God’s judgment is at our doorstep. It may already be too late to make amends or stop it. For those interested, I’ll return to this point at the end of my commentary.


The Current Political Scene


Let’s delve into the politics that, if you’re attentive, will provide evidence of the troubling reality we face.


Today, President Ruto is at Sagana Lodge, preparing for a five-day tour of the Mt. Kenya region. This development is directly connected to what I’ve just outlined.


Why now? Why would a busy president, with so much on his plate, prioritize campaigning in Mt. Kenya? The answer is simple: there is a problem in the region.


Interestingly, Ruto’s handlers claim that one key objective of this tour is to explain to the Mt. Kenya people why a handshake with Raila Odinga is neither plausible nor desirable. The narrative they’re pushing is that the UDA government has no interest in such a handshake.


But why would they feel the need to stress this? After all, as many Azimio supporters might argue, who wants a handshake with UDA in the first place? The answer lies in UDA’s political strategy: they are desperately trying to reawaken anti-Raila sentiments in Mt. Kenya.


By reigniting these sentiments, UDA hopes to solve several political problems:


1. Prevent Mt. Kenya from joining anti-government protests (mandamanos).



2. Ensure that any support for Raila remains local.




This is the logic behind their narrative, but will it work? Given the current environment, it’s doubtful.


Meanwhile, Raila Odinga is taking a low profile within Azimio. The face of Azimio has increasingly become Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka, who is now making key announcements and leading press conferences.


Speculations about Raila’s health have surfaced, but the real reason for his retreat is strategic. His reduced visibility helps shift the narrative and avoids giving the government a convenient target to frame unrest as a Luo issue.


ICC Prosecutor in Kenya


Adding to the intrigue is the arrival of Karim Khan, the ICC prosecutor, in Kenya. This visit, kept low-key, raises questions. The ICC prosecutor is a busy man; he hasn’t come here on vacation.


What is his mission? The international community is putting immense pressure on the Kenyan government to investigate recent events in Sondu and Londiani, where Raila alleged ethnic cleansing of the Luo community.


Though official statements may not confirm it, it’s evident that Khan’s visit is linked to these allegations. His presence signals serious international scrutiny.


Mt. Kenya’s Brewing Discontent


President Ruto’s Mt. Kenya tour is also a desperate attempt to address growing dissatisfaction in the region. Reports from the ground indicate massive discontent against the UDA government.


If the anti-government sentiment in Mt. Kenya continues to grow, it could overshadow the influence of local leaders like Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua. The region, once a stronghold for Ruto, appears to be shifting.


Judgment and Reconciliation


As I conclude, I return to the concept of judgment. The wrongs committed against the Luo community—whether by individuals or their ancestors—cannot go unanswered. The blood of the innocent cries out for justice.


For Kenya to move forward, we must repent and seek reconciliation. We must collectively apologize, with tears and remorse, for the pain inflicted on our Luo brothers and sisters.


Let us also remember that divine judgment spares no one. The time to act is now, and repentance might yet mitigate what lies ahead.