Friday, April 06, 2007

Fred Gumo Is Now Chair Of Key ODM Committee

Wonders never cease. A very violent man who lost the Narc nomination polls for the Westlands seat to Betty Tett but was rigged in by the Narc Summit, has now been appointed to chair a key ODM-Kenya committee whose major objective is to resolve the thorny issue of deciding the party's presidential flag bearer.

The name of the man is of course Fred Gumo. Actually Fred "slapped a woman returning officer" Gumo. I am not sure what criteria ODM used to make this bizarre appointment, maybe the guy will slap into line the presidential candidate who defies him. I kid you not when I say that the man is feared by many. Even president Kibaki was not able to cool him down when the man defied him by violently opposing a cabinet minister early in the Kibaki administration. And his consistent record of slapping people speaks for itself. This is a man who resolves problems by going violent and his antics are well known.

Once he walked into a bar off Tom Mboya street accompanied by a few of his cronies and on being presented with a bill, Hon Gumo was upset about something and he slapped the waiter and left the bar without paying for his drinks.

Then there was the 1997 election incident at the Railway Club where Fred Fidelis Gumo slapped a woman returning officer who had announced that he had lost the Westlands seat to Betty Tett. The frightened woman promptly reversed her announcement and declared Fred Gumo the winner of those controversial elections. Betty Tett filed an election petition which went absolutely nowhere just as the man with a rather big axe-shaped head had loudly announced to his supporters at Railway club while taunting them over the results that he had just influenced with his trade mark slap.

Ladies and Gentlemen these are the so-called leaders of ODM and Kenya.

It will be interesting to see how Gumo "slaps" everybody into line over the thorny issues to do with the Presidential nomination within ODM.

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What The Steadmann Poll Has Never Captured

A reader recently asked me here whether I was now satisfied with the accuracy of the latest Steadmann poll that puts Raila Odinga slightly ahead of Kalonzo Musyoka. My answer is "no."

This is one poll that has failed to capture a lot of things. I am always on the ground carefully monitoring what the wananchi (and the vast majority of voters) have to say and that is why many readers of this blog hardly ever agree with what I have to say. The ordinary people have no idea what a blog is, let alone how to leave a message here telling off some of the elitist commentators we seem to have with us. These elitist commentators with elitist see-no-evil-hear-no-tribal-evil views are hardly those of the ordinary mwananchi of Kenya. They are in fact what the ordinary folk call Wenye nchi (which means the owners of the country.) The Steadmann poll seems to concentrate their sampling amongst this group that I have just called Wenye nchi. Clear evidence is when you consider the views of the majority of those who read this blog. Most are persuaded that the Steadmann polls are fairly accurate.

But I know that the Steadmann polls do not make sense on several fronts. By sheer tribal numbers and arithmetic (because Kenyans have always voted along tribal patterns) they do not make any sense at all.

But there is one more thing that the Steadmann poll always seems to miss. Which in fact the winning side during the referendum took full advantage of which has never been reflected in Steadmann figures. And although much has changed since November 2005, this factor has in fact increased and now is set to affect even the ODM. This factor will greatly affect the outcome of this General election.

This is the anger factor in the Kenyan voter. This anger factor in most Kenyans who are fed up with the way things have gone politically, firstly dramatically decreases President's Kibaki's huge percentage and increasingly bloats the numbers of undecided voters or voters who are yet to decided who they will vote for to be Kenya's Fourth president. Yep, my polls say that Kibaki is not being re-elected if things remain as they are on the ground. So we are waiting for the fourth president of Kenya. And I have some bad news for some of you. It will NOT be Raila Odinga. Mercifully it will not be an 80-year-old ailing grandfather who has lost touch, either.

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