Monday, March 12, 2007

ODM-Kenya And Narc-Kenya Need To Take Lessons From Old Russia

London Fiasco And Failed Narc Elections Were Predictable

Kenyan politicians are amongst the wealthiest in the world and wealth sometimes goes to the head, blinds and causes people to want to do the impossible.

Coalitions are usually formed after elections but in Kenya the political class is attempting the impossible. And that is to keep dozens of "bulls" in the same coalition pens for months on end and hope that they will not want to gore each other apart. That is what ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya are all about.

The recent incident in ODM-Kenya, which has left more questions than answers, is a case in point. The whole thing looks very much like one of those internal coups that used to frequently happen within the Communist party's powerful Politburo, as it was called then. This coups would end with the disappearance of a politician or two, sometimes the head of State himself as was the case with Comrade Krushnev in the sixties whose undoing was that he got too friendly with the Americans.

Raila was away in the United States, and so somebody got up to some mischief, very similar to what the folks in the politburo used to get up to in their quest for power. The consequences are that even if the party remains together, things will never be the same again.

This whole madness started with the formation of Narc-Kenya, which was executed by President Kibaki's handlers when it became clear that the president was without a political party. They failed to consider one important detail. That is, how to resolve the always thorny issue of party nominations when you try and put all leading politicians in a region under one umbrella. ODM-Kenya will still have to face this same issue after they deal with their current presidential candidate crisis. I believe it will be so chaotic that it will make the current crisis look like a picnic that happened at Uhuru park.

The writing is now very clearly on the wall. Political parties in Kenya do not have the resources to carry out proper primaries at the constituency level. So they are forced to carry out selections rather than elections, which somehow works out with minimal competition and when each party is operating independently at the grassroots level. But coalitions inevitably lead to nothing but chaos.

Predictably what we can expect from both ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya is for the two parties to self-destruct sooner or later. But before that happens attempts at internal coups should keep things interesting.

Just study what used to happen in the communist party in the former Soviet Union and you will understand very clearly where Kenyan politics is at the moment and where ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya are both headed.

Real Gikuyu man answers lonely frustrated beauty who complained to Kumekucha about her lovers of the past.

Raila Odinga Under Siege?

Presidential aspirant Raila Odinga is feeling the heat. His friends in the ODM-Kenya say the Langata MP planned the visit to the United Kingdom by top ODM leaders for his own benefit.

According to insiders, Raila planned the whole tour without briefing his colleagues on the itinerary and even went ahead to solicit funds for the trips sponsorship from characters in London with dubious reputations like Bishop Gilbert Deya of the miracle babies scandal.

The bishop is wanted in Kenya to face child trafficking charges and both Kenya and the UK government are holding talks on how to bring back the semi literate clergyman to face the charges.

However, Bishop Deya is also known to be a close friend to another ODM presidential aspirant Kalonzo Musyoka who skipped the trip along with other leaders, poor Raila was in London with only MPs Anyang' Nyong'o, Joseph Nyagah and Omingo Magara.

The truth is that all ODM leaders have known about the London trip for months and they were also familiar with the identity of the organizers. Why suddenly leak out names of the organizers to the press and start pretending to be holier than thou at the eleventh hour? The answer is simple. That is exactly how politics is played when the competition is from within.

It is an open secret that Raila already believes that he is the ODM presidential candidate and nobody can stop him including Musyoka who is his main rival for the presidential nominations in the movement.

What Kalonzo supporters believe is that Raila is blind to the fact that apart from his Luo tribesmen, they is practically no other tribe that can vote for him in Kenya's ethnically-based politics hence making it almost impossible for him to be president.

Raila supporters say that this is nonsense and that Kenya has changed.

Still Kalonzo supporters are adamant that their man has much better chances than Odinga though the former does not have the finances and resources to win the presidency on his own and he badly needs the ODM-Kenya vehicle for his ride to state house.

Not only was the big London bash poorly attended but what Raila may not have considered is that a couple of his cronies in ODM can't get visa's to that country because of corruption allegations against them. Folks like William Ruto and Moses Mudavadi. Mutula Kilonzo is also a man Whitehall does not like. This appears to have been the perfect trigger to use to cause trouble, which is exactly what happened.

Real Gikuyu man answers lonely frustrated beauty who complained to Kumekucha about her lovers of the past.