ODM-Kenya And Narc-Kenya Need To Take Lessons From Old Russia

London Fiasco And Failed Narc Elections Were Predictable

Kenyan politicians are amongst the wealthiest in the world and wealth sometimes goes to the head, blinds and causes people to want to do the impossible.

Coalitions are usually formed after elections but in Kenya the political class is attempting the impossible. And that is to keep dozens of "bulls" in the same coalition pens for months on end and hope that they will not want to gore each other apart. That is what ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya are all about.

The recent incident in ODM-Kenya, which has left more questions than answers, is a case in point. The whole thing looks very much like one of those internal coups that used to frequently happen within the Communist party's powerful Politburo, as it was called then. This coups would end with the disappearance of a politician or two, sometimes the head of State himself as was the case with Comrade Krushnev in the sixties whose undoing was that he got too friendly with the Americans.

Raila was away in the United States, and so somebody got up to some mischief, very similar to what the folks in the politburo used to get up to in their quest for power. The consequences are that even if the party remains together, things will never be the same again.

This whole madness started with the formation of Narc-Kenya, which was executed by President Kibaki's handlers when it became clear that the president was without a political party. They failed to consider one important detail. That is, how to resolve the always thorny issue of party nominations when you try and put all leading politicians in a region under one umbrella. ODM-Kenya will still have to face this same issue after they deal with their current presidential candidate crisis. I believe it will be so chaotic that it will make the current crisis look like a picnic that happened at Uhuru park.

The writing is now very clearly on the wall. Political parties in Kenya do not have the resources to carry out proper primaries at the constituency level. So they are forced to carry out selections rather than elections, which somehow works out with minimal competition and when each party is operating independently at the grassroots level. But coalitions inevitably lead to nothing but chaos.

Predictably what we can expect from both ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya is for the two parties to self-destruct sooner or later. But before that happens attempts at internal coups should keep things interesting.

Just study what used to happen in the communist party in the former Soviet Union and you will understand very clearly where Kenyan politics is at the moment and where ODM-Kenya and Narc-Kenya are both headed.

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