The two major events everybody's talking about in Kenya as far as our politics is concerned is the very dramatic return to the limelight of former President Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta and of course the incident in Bomet where President Ruto in attendance received a fairly cold deception in his own backyard and then his energy CS Davis Chirchir was openly jeered.
Well, what I can tell you is that those two events have extremely far-reaching consequences going forward in our politics.
Ruto cannot break all the rules in politics and survive in the presidency
Since the beginning of time we know that politics whatever system you're talking about; communism socialism whatever the system, cannot survive without enough support from the people. That should be very basic. In history we know that the brutal Roman Empire that once straddled virtually the entire world (with powerful "state machinery" and they were also a major military power) came crushing down. And that happened when support for the administration back in Rome started failing. Supporters dramatically dwindled. (see illustration below for the other reasons which seem to be very similar to the Kenya of today).
Did MP ask for help from Uhuru to remove Ruto?
Former president Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta on the invitation of Azimio principal Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka, was in Mwingi. Where he received such a warm welcome that even went too far. Because during a speech within the church that was being raised funds for Mwingi West legislator Charles Ngusya actually requested the former president to assist to remove current President William Ruto from the presidency.
Human nature is indeed super fascinating because President Uhuru Kenyatta was not this popular when he was in office. But his popularity went overboard and off the charts after he left office and then the William Ruto presidency came crushing down shortly after takeoff. It never quite took off, it crashed and burnt while attempting a takeoff. That is really the story of Kenya and that is the real reason that has caused the wild popularity of Uhuru Kenyata.
And of course that makes the UDA high command very uncomfortable and even livid. They can't believe it and they have nobody else to blame except themselves. Especially when they keep on blaming the former administration for everything they get wrong. This is a government that governs with excuses.
Impossible to understand the Ruto obsession with blaming Uhuru for his failures
Indeed it is more than puzzling and impossible to understand, let alone justify, this UDA obsession with blaming former President Uhuru Kenyatta. To me it sounds very petty and very personal. Something unbecoming for a government of a republic. But it has served Uhuru very well and continues to make him even more popular with Kenyans.
Deep in their hearts, Kenyans are comparing the Uhuru presidency to the current Ruto presidency and of course the Uhuru presidency is looking like the golden years of Kenya in comparison. And therefore the people have no option but to love Uhuru and to fanyacize that Uhuru can come back to power.
Of course the Constitution does not allow that and he is now a former president--end of story.
Apparently Kenyans did not know the good thing they had until they lost it. Isn't that the story of the human race?
Uhuru is a cautious politician and unlike the current president he does not just shoot off his mouth carelessly without careful thinking and weighing and analyzing and re-analyzing his position. And sometimes he even changes his mind after re-analyzing certain situations.
Cautious Uhuru in sharp contrast to arrogantly careless Ruto
The most recent example was when it was announced officially that from the beginning of November the former president would start to tour the mount Kenya region to thank the people for their support during his presidency. Obviously that has got a lot of political undertones. But those tours never happened and now we're late into the month of November it has still not happened.
So, how did Uhuru suddenly emerge in Mwingi? Which is not in the mount Kenya region. Was he just testing the waters before he does what he is really going to do next? There are some analysts who believe so and they are convinced that that is really the game plan here. In his carefully chosen words where he did not mention any names, but instead made a joke out of the whole issue saying that some people are so used to blaming others for their failures that even when their wives fail to give birth they blame it on the previous administration. That joke brought the house down, but the message also got home and I hope that message has also reached the government. That going forward it will be impossible to produce the excuse Uhuru's administration as a viable excuse for the failures of this government.
In fact the truth is that governments are not there to give excuses they are there to provide solutions.
Let us now rush to Bomet.
Was Sotik in Bomet the beginning of the Kalenjin rebellion?
There are many supporters of the Kenya Kwanza government who have tried very hard to downplay the drama that unfolded in Bomet over the weekend. They have tried to tell us that there's no big issue. It is local Kalenjin politics, they say. Which does not affect national politics.
This analyst does NOT agree. It should be common sense that if your support from your home ground is anything less than solid, then as a government you're in very very shaky ground. Especially if that happens shortly after Mount Kenya suddenly becomes hostile to you. The writing is very clearly on the wall.
Kenyans need to be very careful next time they go to the polls. They will need to think and rethink two or three times before they carelessly vote for anybody because the consequences can be dire as we are now seeing.
Judgment on a leader carelessly chosen will affect ordinary people most
Kenyans need to think very carefully next time round. Even those who don't vote need to think very carefully on whether it is a good idea not to vote at all.
The reason is very well illustrated in a brief story I want to tell you.
There was a king called King David in the Old Testament and he made a big mistake and angered Almighty God he held a census in Israel and counted the people wanting to show how powerful he was without God. And yet he was fully supported and installed by Almighty God and this angered God and therefore God sent judgment.
Now this is the interesting part. The judgment killed 70,000 citizens of Israel, the subjects of King David. It did not even touch his family.
Now fast forward to the present. Many people believe that the ongoing floods in Kenya are part of judgment on the nation. The people have died in those floods so far, were they responsible for the rigging of the last elections? The answer is NO. Were they directly responsible for the things Kenya is being judged for including spilling human blood and innocent human blood at times. Jacob Juma. Meshack Yebei, Robert Ouko, JM Kariuki, Tom Mboya, Pio Gama Pinto etc.
Those who have passed on in the current season of judgment over Kenya, were not responsible for what is being judged. But they suffered the judgment and that is the major take home lesson.
Once you have installed Your leader whatever they do when judgment comes it does not leave out you innocent long-suffering citizens of the country and that is why those of us who are wishing for judgment calling for it should realize judgment is a very serious thing. And it comes on the entire nation. You tolerated that regime and you also tolerated those crimes that almighty God is judging.
Next time, think very carefully before you cast your vote. Think very carefully about the character of the man you want to put into state house.
Because if you don't, whether you like it or not, there will be direct consequences. Some of them very serious and on you and your children.
Now, isn't that scary?
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